This opponent (Pescara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pescara
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.20
0.93
1.00
1.00
1.40
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.29
0.50
1.25
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (22)
1.09
1.18
1.00
0.90
1.17
1.42
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Padova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.2%
Under 1.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.0%
Under 2.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
17.6%
Under 3.5
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.8%
No
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.7%
1-0
12.3%
0-1
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.4%
Padova goals ↓
Pescara goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
9.8%
5.4%
1.8%
0.4%
1
12%
15%
6.5%
2.1%
0.5%
2
8.2%
8.0%
3.9%
1.3%
0.3%
3
3.3%
3.2%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.0%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Padova goals (down), columns = Pescara goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Brescia
1.86
Lecce
1.83
Palermo
1.75
Benevento
1.67
Pescara
1.53
Hellas Verona
1.44
Spezia
1.42
Cittadella
1.42
Perugia
1.39
Cremonese
1.36
Cosenza
1.28
Ascoli
1.19
Foggia
1.19
Crotone
1.19
Livorno
1.08
Salernitana
1.06
Venezia
1.06
Padova
0.86
Carpi
0.81
Padova is 0.67 points worse than Pescara in terms of average points per game (0.86 vs 1.53).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Brescia
1.92
Lecce
1.83
Benevento
1.69
Palermo
1.58
Spezia
1.47
Pescara
1.39
Perugia
1.36
Hellas Verona
1.36
Cittadella
1.36
Foggia
1.22
Salernitana
1.14
Ascoli
1.11
Crotone
1.11
Carpi
1.08
Livorno
1.06
Cremonese
1.03
Padova
1.00
Venezia
0.97
Cosenza
0.94
Padova is 0.39 goals worse than Pescara in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.39).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.92
Palermo
1.06
Cittadella
1.06
Brescia
1.17
Cosenza
1.17
Crotone
1.17
Lecce
1.25
Benevento
1.25
Pescara
1.28
Spezia
1.28
Hellas Verona
1.28
Venezia
1.28
Foggia
1.36
Perugia
1.36
Padova
1.36
Livorno
1.42
Ascoli
1.56
Salernitana
1.58
Carpi
1.86
Padova is 0.08 goals worse than Pescara in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.28).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Padova
For 3.4 · Against 7.2 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 13.4 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pescara
For 5.1 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 12.8 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Padova
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (5)
10.6
14.5
8.0
4.8
4.0
5.3
27.2
25.0
28.7
vs Stronger (3)
12.7
14.5
9.0
4.3
4.0
5.0
27.7
25.0
33.0
vs Similar (2)
7.5
-
7.5
5.5
-
5.5
26.5
-
26.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
100%
0%
80%
50%
100%
60%
50%
67%
% under line
60%
0%
100%
20%
50%
0%
40%
50%
33%
This opponent (Pescara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pescara
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.2
11.0
4.4
4.1
4.7
29.4
29.3
29.6
vs Stronger (13)
10.2
8.0
11.5
4.1
4.8
3.6
28.9
30.8
27.8
vs Similar (36)
9.9
9.1
10.8
4.5
3.9
5.2
29.7
29.1
30.4
vs Weaker (1)
18.0
18.0
-
4.0
4.0
-
25.0
25.0
-
% over line
54%
48%
60%
70%
60%
80%
94%
92%
96%
% under line
46%
52%
40%
30%
40%
20%
6%
8%
4%
This opponent (Padova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Livorno
13.2
Venezia
11.0
Cremonese
10.6
Crotone
10.6
Padova
10.6
Foggia
10.5
Hellas Verona
10.2
Pescara
10.1
Spezia
10.1
Brescia
10.0
Cittadella
9.8
Salernitana
9.6
Benevento
9.6
Palermo
9.5
Carpi
9.4
Perugia
9.1
Ascoli
8.9
Cosenza
8.6
Lecce
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Padova
4.8
Cittadella
4.8
Ascoli
4.7
Brescia
4.7
Cremonese
4.7
Lecce
4.7
Salernitana
4.6
Hellas Verona
4.6
Perugia
4.5
Pescara
4.4
Benevento
4.2
Livorno
4.2
Spezia
4.2
Venezia
4.1
Palermo
4.1
Cosenza
4.0
Crotone
4.0
Foggia
3.9
Carpi
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lecce
32.8
Brescia
32.5
Cittadella
31.8
Perugia
31.4
Salernitana
31.4
Cremonese
31.2
Ascoli
30.9
Cosenza
30.6
Carpi
30.3
Pescara
29.4
Spezia
29.4
Palermo
28.9
Venezia
28.8
Livorno
28.4
Foggia
28.1
Padova
27.2
Benevento
26.9
Hellas Verona
26.6
Crotone
26.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
65.3%
Under 9.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.2%
Under 3.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
92.1%
Under 21.5
7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Padova
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.40
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Pescara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pescara
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.43
0.27
0.47
0.53
0.40
vs Stronger (7)
0.00
0.43
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.45
0.40
0.50
0.67
0.42
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Padova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Padova over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pescara over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pescara over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pescara over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Padova
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.33
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (2)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Pescara) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pescara
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.67
0.53
0.47
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.86
0.50
0.75
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.73
0.60
0.40
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Padova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Padova over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pescara over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pescara over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pescara over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Padova · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pietro Fusi33%
Gianluca Caprari0%
Kevin Lasagna0%
Lorenzo Carissoni0%
Mattia Bortolussi0%
Christian Pastina0%
Alessandro Sorrentino0%
Marco Pompetti0%
Emanuele Zuelli0%
Alessandro Dellavalle0%
Matteo Cocchi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christian Pastina33%
Pietro Fusi33%
Alessandro Dellavalle33%
Gianluca Caprari0%
Kevin Lasagna0%
Lorenzo Carissoni0%
Mattia Bortolussi0%
Alessandro Sorrentino0%
Marco Pompetti0%
Emanuele Zuelli0%
Matteo Cocchi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gianluca Caprari0%
Kevin Lasagna0%
Lorenzo Carissoni0%
Mattia Bortolussi0%
Christian Pastina0%
Pietro Fusi0%
Alessandro Sorrentino0%
Marco Pompetti0%
Emanuele Zuelli0%
Alessandro Dellavalle0%
Matteo Cocchi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gianluca Caprari0%
Kevin Lasagna0%
Lorenzo Carissoni0%
Mattia Bortolussi0%
Christian Pastina0%
Pietro Fusi0%
Alessandro Sorrentino0%
Marco Pompetti0%
Emanuele Zuelli0%
Alessandro Dellavalle0%
Matteo Cocchi0%
Pescara · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lorenzo Insigne38%
Antonio Di Nardo26%
Giacomo Olzer21%
Lorenzo Meazzi19%
Andrea Oliveri13%
Tommaso Corazza13%
Davide Merola9%
Riccardo Tonin9%
Gennaro Acampora8%
Davide Faraoni8%
Andrea Cagnano8%
Fabrizio Caligara7%
Lorenzo Sgarbi7%
Gastón Brugman6%
Matteo Dagasso5%
Gaetano Letizia3%
Riccardo Capellini3%
Luca Valzania3%
Gianmarco Cangiano0%
Frank Tsadjout0%
Gabriele Corbo0%
Riccardo Brosco0%
Davide Bettella0%
Andreaw Gravillon0%
Giorgio Altare0%
Orji Okwonkwo0%
Filippo Pellacani0%
Niccolo Squizzato0%
Sebastiano Desplanches0%
Flavio Russo0%
Julian Brandes0%
Alessandro Vinciguerra0%
Ivan Saio0%
Leonardo Graziani 0%
Lamine Fanne0%
Davide Giannini0%
Lorenzo Berardi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Andrea Cagnano33%
Julian Brandes33%
Gennaro Acampora25%
Davide Bettella25%
Andreaw Gravillon25%
Riccardo Brosco24%
Gabriele Corbo24%
Luca Valzania22%
Filippo Pellacani20%
Andrea Oliveri20%
Gastón Brugman18%
Giacomo Olzer17%
Giorgio Altare17%
Lorenzo Insigne15%
Lamine Fanne14%
Lorenzo Meazzi13%
Lorenzo Berardi12%
Gaetano Letizia12%
Riccardo Capellini12%
Fabrizio Caligara11%
Antonio Di Nardo11%
Matteo Dagasso10%
Davide Merola9%
Davide Faraoni8%
Sebastiano Desplanches8%
Lorenzo Sgarbi7%
Tommaso Corazza7%
Gianmarco Cangiano0%
Frank Tsadjout0%
Orji Okwonkwo0%
Niccolo Squizzato0%
Riccardo Tonin0%
Flavio Russo0%
Alessandro Vinciguerra0%
Ivan Saio0%
Leonardo Graziani 0%
Davide Giannini0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Leonardo Graziani 25%
Matteo Dagasso20%
Lorenzo Insigne15%
Tommaso Corazza13%
Gaetano Letizia12%
Gastón Brugman12%
Antonio Di Nardo11%
Orji Okwonkwo10%
Riccardo Tonin9%
Andrea Cagnano8%
Luca Valzania8%
Niccolo Squizzato6%
Lorenzo Berardi6%
Riccardo Brosco5%
Andreaw Gravillon4%
Fabrizio Caligara4%
Giacomo Olzer3%
Lorenzo Meazzi3%
Davide Merola0%
Gianmarco Cangiano0%
Frank Tsadjout0%
Gabriele Corbo0%
Gennaro Acampora0%
Davide Faraoni0%
Davide Bettella0%
Giorgio Altare0%
Riccardo Capellini0%
Filippo Pellacani0%
Lorenzo Sgarbi0%
Sebastiano Desplanches0%
Flavio Russo0%
Julian Brandes0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Alessandro Vinciguerra0%
Ivan Saio0%
Lamine Fanne0%
Davide Giannini0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lorenzo Insigne38%
Antonio Di Nardo32%
Giacomo Olzer28%
Frank Tsadjout17%
Tommaso Corazza13%
Matteo Dagasso10%
Flavio Russo9%
Gennaro Acampora8%
Lorenzo Meazzi6%
Andreaw Gravillon4%
Fabrizio Caligara4%
Riccardo Capellini3%
Davide Merola0%
Gianmarco Cangiano0%
Gabriele Corbo0%
Gaetano Letizia0%
Davide Faraoni0%
Luca Valzania0%
Riccardo Brosco0%
Davide Bettella0%
Gastón Brugman0%
Giorgio Altare0%
Andrea Cagnano0%
Orji Okwonkwo0%
Filippo Pellacani0%
Niccolo Squizzato0%
Lorenzo Sgarbi0%
Riccardo Tonin0%
Sebastiano Desplanches0%
Julian Brandes0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Alessandro Vinciguerra0%
Ivan Saio0%
Leonardo Graziani 0%
Lamine Fanne0%
Davide Giannini0%
Lorenzo Berardi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (36)
€117m
LEC (31)
€72m
HV (34)
€57m
PAL (27)
€54m
CRE (30)
€49m
PAD (31)
€25m
BEN (30)
€12m
SPE (34)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
PES (27)
€8m
Padova's squad is €17m more valuable than Pescara's (€25m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (9)
€39m
PAL (7)
€23m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
PAD (9)
€6m
ASC (11)
€5m
PES (10)
€4m
BEN (8)
€4m
SPE (10)
€3m
Padova's attack is €2m more valuable than Pescara's (€6m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (11)
€31m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
PAL (7)
€12m
PAD (9)
€7m
SPE (11)
€4m
BEN (9)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
PES (6)
€1m
Padova's midfield is €6m more valuable than Pescara's (€7m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (16)
€47m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PAL (13)
€19m
PAD (13)
€12m
BEN (13)
€5m
SPE (13)
€4m
PES (11)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
Padova's defence is €8m more valuable than Pescara's (€12m vs €3m).
Italy: Serie B 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Brescia
Lecce
Palermo
Benevento
Hellas Verona
Cittadella
Spezia
Perugia
Cremonese
Cosenza
Ascoli
Venezia
Salernitana