PAEEK’s recent draw streak has left them a touch fragile, especially after a 0-0 stalemate at home, whereas Akritas have surged with three consecutive wins, a 1-2 victory over AEL proving their attacking edge. The model therefore names an away win as the clear favourite, assigning a 63% probability to that outcome. Home win sits at 15%, draw 22%. The expected total goals is three, yet the most likely total is two, reflecting a modest scoring expectation. The single most likely scoreline is 0-2 for Akritas, with a 10.7% chance, signalling a decisive away performance.
PAEEK, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.58 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, while Akritas, in away form, is expected to score more and concede less against this tier. The model’s suggested picks cover a range of outcomes: Under 7.5 (98.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.5%), Under 6.5 (96.6%), Away +2 handicap (94.9%), Home under 2.5 goals (93.3%), Under 5.5 (91.6%), Away over 0.5 goals (87.5%), and Draw or Away (85.2%). Each selection is presented with its exact probability, reflecting the model’s confidence in a low-scoring, away-dominant match.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
PAEEK win
17.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Akritas win
58.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
PAEEK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.03
1.60
0.67
1.27
1.40
vs Stronger (23)
1.43
1.00
1.58
0.67
1.27
1.36
vs Similar (3)
1.00
0.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
1.50
2.00
0.00
1.50
3.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Akritas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akritas
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.83
0.73
1.87
1.27
1.80
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
2.91
0.33
2.67
0.40
3.20
vs Similar (19)
1.37
1.21
1.00
1.33
1.70
1.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.1%
Under 1.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54.7%
Under 2.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
32.4%
Under 3.5
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.7%
No
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
6.7%
0-3
6.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-1
5.0%
PAEEK goals ↓
Akritas goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
9.8%
10%
6.6%
3.1%
1
4.4%
11%
9.9%
6.3%
3.0%
2
2.6%
5.0%
4.8%
3.0%
1.5%
3
0.8%
1.6%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PAEEK goals (down), columns = Akritas goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.66
Akritas
2.54
Enosis
2.44
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Ermis
1.37
Polemidion
1.37
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.37
APEA
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.00
PAEEK is 0.95 points worse than Akritas in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 2.54).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.62
Akritas
2.50
Enosis
2.40
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
PAEEK is 1.05 goals worse than Akritas in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 2.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ethnikos Achna
0.70
Akritas
0.73
Enosis
0.76
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
APEA
1.31
Digenis Morphou
1.31
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
Ayia Napa
1.48
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
PAEEK is 0.34 goals worse than Akritas in terms of goals conceded per game (1.07 vs 0.73).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
PAEEK or Draw
41.5%
Avg Implied -
18%
24%
58%
covers PAEEK + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
PAEEK or Akritas
76.0%
Avg Implied -
18%
24%
58%
covers PAEEK + Akritas
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Akritas
82.5%
Avg Implied -
18%
24%
58%
covers Draw + Akritas
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
PAEEK over/under 0.5
Over
61.8%
Under
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 1.5
Over
25.0%
Under
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 2.5
Over
7.4%
Under
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 3.5
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 0.5
Over
85.2%
Under
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 1.5
Over
56.9%
Under
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 2.5
Over
29.9%
Under
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 3.5
Over
12.7%
Under
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to PAEEK, so a minus line means PAEEK give that many goals of a start and Akritas receive them. At -1, PAEEK must win by two or more to land; a one-goal PAEEK win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (PAEEK)
PAEEK -2
1.7%
Draw -2
4.6%
Akritas +2
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (PAEEK)
PAEEK -1
6.3%
Draw -1
11.2%
Akritas +1
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (PAEEK)
PAEEK +1
41.5%
Draw +1
23.2%
Akritas -1
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (PAEEK)
PAEEK +2
64.8%
Draw +2
18.3%
Akritas -2
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
PAEEK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
0.80
0.40
0.87
0.80
vs Stronger (23)
0.74
0.61
0.75
0.42
0.73
0.82
vs Similar (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Akritas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akritas
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.80
0.47
0.80
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (11)
0.18
1.36
0.17
1.00
0.20
1.80
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.47
0.67
0.67
0.40
0.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PAEEK over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
PAEEK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.80
0.27
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (23)
0.70
0.39
0.83
0.25
0.55
0.55
vs Similar (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.75
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Akritas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akritas
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.03
0.27
1.07
0.93
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.18
1.55
0.17
1.67
0.20
1.40
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.74
0.33
0.67
1.30
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PAEEK over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Akritas · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
José Romo25%
Ioannis Chatzivasilis22%
Stefanos Miller22%
Alberto Fernández10%
Nearchos Zinonos9%
Thomas Ioannou0%
Pavel Zabelin0%
Christos Hadjipaschalis0%
Kyriakos Antoniou0%
Anthony Limbombe Ekango0%
Emanuel Taffertshofer0%
Braydon Manu0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Benito0%
Chris Kablan0%
Izuchukwu Jude Anthony0%
Benson Anang0%
Kleton Perntreou0%
Adrián Riera0%
Yair Castro0%
Carlitos0%
Thierno Barry0%
Giorgos Vasiliou0%
Andreas Athanasiou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chris Kablan67%
Alberto Fernández50%
Adrián Riera50%
Pavel Zabelin33%
Carlitos33%
Emanuel Taffertshofer29%
Nearchos Zinonos27%
Izuchukwu Jude Anthony25%
Giorgos Vasiliou22%
Ioannis Chatzivasilis11%
Stefanos Miller11%
Thomas Ioannou10%
Kyriakos Antoniou10%
Yair Castro9%
Christos Hadjipaschalis0%
Anthony Limbombe Ekango0%
Braydon Manu0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Benito0%
Benson Anang0%
José Romo0%
Kleton Perntreou0%
Thierno Barry0%
Andreas Athanasiou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Braydon Manu20%
Anthony Limbombe Ekango17%
Carlitos17%
Alberto Fernández10%
Thomas Ioannou0%
Pavel Zabelin0%
Christos Hadjipaschalis0%
Kyriakos Antoniou0%
Ioannis Chatzivasilis0%
Emanuel Taffertshofer0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Benito0%
Chris Kablan0%
Izuchukwu Jude Anthony0%
Benson Anang0%
José Romo0%
Kleton Perntreou0%
Adrián Riera0%
Yair Castro0%
Thierno Barry0%
Stefanos Miller0%
Nearchos Zinonos0%
Giorgos Vasiliou0%
Andreas Athanasiou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yair Castro9%
Nearchos Zinonos9%
Thomas Ioannou0%
Pavel Zabelin0%
Christos Hadjipaschalis0%
Kyriakos Antoniou0%
Ioannis Chatzivasilis0%
Anthony Limbombe Ekango0%
Emanuel Taffertshofer0%
Braydon Manu0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Benito0%
Chris Kablan0%
Izuchukwu Jude Anthony0%
Benson Anang0%
José Romo0%
Kleton Perntreou0%
Alberto Fernández0%
Adrián Riera0%
Carlitos0%
Thierno Barry0%
Stefanos Miller0%
Giorgos Vasiliou0%
Andreas Athanasiou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
PAEEK and Akritas have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
PAEEK and Akritas have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
PAEEK and Akritas have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Cyprus: 2. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Doxa
Enosis
Ayia Napa
Digenis Morphou
Spartakos Kitiou
Ethnikos Achna
Anagennisi Deryneia
Iraklis Yerolakkou
Halkanoras
Polemidion
APEA
ASIL Lysi
Ermis
MEAP Nisou