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PAEEK vs Ermis Result & Analysis

Date: 16/03/2024
Time: 13:30
Final 5-0
PAEEK
PAEEK
Vs
49%
25%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ermis
Ermis
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAEEK win✓ Hit
49.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ermis win✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PAEEKPAEEK

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W15L00D31W10W10W30W33D11D11DA·OLY06/01H·OMO13/01A·XYL21/01A·ERM27/01H·AKR03/02A·ENA10/02H·AHI17/02A·DIG24/02H·MEA02/03H·XYL09/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.101.571.141.121.06
vs Stronger (26)1.311.081.461.231.150.92
vs Similar (2)0.501.00--0.501.00
vs Weaker (2)2.501.503.000.002.003.00
Clean sheet %40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Ermis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ErmisErmis

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-636L13L10W13L01L02L00D05L41W01LA·AYI06/01H·ENA13/01A·AHI20/01H·PAE27/01A·DIG05/02H·AKR10/02A·MEA17/02H·ENA24/02A·XYL02/03H·AHI09/03
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.102.170.932.431.251.94
vs Stronger (2)0.501.50--0.501.50
vs Similar (22)1.142.181.002.501.301.80
vs Weaker (6)1.172.330.502.001.502.50
Clean sheet %13% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.6%
Under 1.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.3%
Under 2.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.9%
Under 3.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.3%
No
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
PAEEK goals ↓
Ermis goals →
01234
05.9%5.0%3.7%1.6%0.5%
17.6%12%6.7%2.8%0.9%
27.7%9.6%6.0%2.5%0.8%
34.6%5.7%3.5%1.5%0.5%
42.0%2.5%1.6%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PAEEK goals (down), columns = Ermis goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Omonia Aradippou
2.10
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.00
Olympiakos
1.86
Enosis
1.86
Digenis Morphou
1.76
PAEEK
1.59
Krasava Ypsonas
1.52
ASIL Lysi
1.48
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.24
Akritas
1.21
MEAP Nisou
1.14
Peyia
1.10
Ayia Napa
1.03
ENAD
0.90
Ermis
0.69
Xylotympou
0.69
PAEEK is 0.90 points better than Ermis in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 0.69).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PAEEK
1.62
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.59
Omonia Aradippou
1.59
Enosis
1.52
Olympiakos
1.48
Digenis Morphou
1.41
Krasava Ypsonas
1.34
ASIL Lysi
1.24
Ayia Napa
1.21
Akritas
1.21
Peyia
1.14
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.10
ENAD
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Ermis
0.97
Xylotympou
0.97
PAEEK is 0.66 goals better than Ermis in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Aradippou
0.66
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.72
Olympiakos
0.72
Digenis Morphou
1.00
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.10
Enosis
1.14
Akritas
1.14
PAEEK
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.24
Krasava Ypsonas
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.31
ENAD
1.41
Peyia
1.52
Ayia Napa
1.79
Xylotympou
1.90
Ermis
2.41
PAEEK is 1.24 goals better than Ermis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 2.41).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PAEEKPAEEK

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L00D20W00D10W10W32W10W01LA·OLY06/01H·OMO13/01A·XYL21/01A·ERM27/01H·AKR03/02A·ENA10/02H·AHI17/02A·DIG24/02H·MEA02/03H·XYL09/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.330.640.290.620.38
vs Stronger (26)0.580.270.540.310.620.23
vs Similar (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
vs Weaker (2)1.501.002.000.001.002.00
Clean sheet %77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Ermis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ErmisErmis

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D02L01L01L00D02L00D00DA·AYI06/01H·ENA13/01A·AHI20/01H·PAE27/01A·DIG05/02H·AKR10/02A·MEA17/02H·ENA24/02A·XYL02/03H·AHI09/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.770.430.930.440.62
vs Stronger (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
vs Similar (22)0.450.770.500.920.400.60
vs Weaker (6)0.330.830.001.000.500.75
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PAEEK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PAEEKPAEEK

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L00D11D10W00D20W01L01L10WA·OLY06/01H·OMO13/01A·XYL21/01A·ERM27/01H·AKR03/02A·ENA10/02H·AHI17/02A·DIG24/02H·MEA02/03H·XYL09/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.770.930.860.500.69
vs Stronger (26)0.730.810.920.920.540.69
vs Similar (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ermis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ErmisErmis

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-434L13L10W11D00D01L00D03L41W01LA·AYI06/01H·ENA13/01A·AHI20/01H·PAE27/01A·DIG05/02H·AKR10/02A·MEA17/02H·ENA24/02A·XYL02/03H·AHI09/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.400.501.500.811.31
vs Stronger (2)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.681.410.501.580.901.20
vs Weaker (6)0.831.500.501.001.001.75
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PAEEK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ermis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
O2M (10)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
ENO (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
PAE (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
4
PAE wins
1
Draws
0
ERM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

PAEEK vs Ermis · H/A from PAE
DateH/AGameScore
27/01/24AErmis Vs PAE1-3
11/11/23HPAE Vs Ermis3-1
10/03/23AErmis Vs PAE0-1
21/01/23HPAE Vs Ermis2-1
29/10/22AErmis Vs PAE1-1

PAEEKPAEEK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/24HPAE Vs Xylotympou1-1
02/03/24HPAE Vs MEAP Nisou1-1
24/02/24ADigenis Morphou Vs PAE3-3
17/02/24HPAE Vs Ahironas / Onisilos3-0
10/02/24AENAD Vs PAE0-1
03/02/24HPAE Vs Akritas1-0
27/01/24AErmis Vs PAE1-3
21/01/24AXylotympou Vs PAE0-0
13/01/24HPAE Vs Omonia Aradippou1-5
06/01/24AOlympiakos Vs PAE0-1

ErmisErmis

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/24HERM Vs Ahironas / Onisilos0-1
02/03/24AXylotympou Vs ERM1-4
24/02/24HERM Vs ENAD0-5
17/02/24AMEAP Nisou Vs ERM0-0
10/02/24HERM Vs Akritas0-2
05/02/24ADigenis Morphou Vs ERM1-0
27/01/24HERM Vs PAEEK1-3
20/01/24AAhironas / Onisilos Vs ERM0-1
13/01/24HERM Vs ENAD1-3
06/01/24AAyia Napa Vs ERM6-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

PAEEK
PAEEK
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDD1.38
HomeLWWDD1.42
AwayWDWWD1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%38%35%
AVG goals2.502.542.46
Over 1.5 %70%79%62%
Over 2.5 %42%38%46%
Over 3.5 %26%21%31%
Scored1.301.331.27
Conceded1.201.211.19
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet32%33%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Ermis
Ermis
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL1.08
HomeLLLLL0.80
AwayLWLDW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%20%40%
AVG goals2.822.762.88
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %50%48%52%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.141.001.28
Conceded1.681.761.60
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet22%16%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou2961
62%
2.1
4619+27
2.2
66%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.60.7
-
2Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2958
59%
2.0
4621+25
2.3
76%
38%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0021.60.7
-
3OlympiakosOlympiakos2954
55%
1.9
4321+22
2.2
66%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1021.50.7
-
4EnosisEnosis2954
55%
1.9
4433+11
2.7
79%
59%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.1
-
5Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2951
52%
1.8
4129+12
2.4
66%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
6PAEEKPAEEK2946
45%
1.6
4734+13
2.8
83%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
7Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas2944
41%
1.5
3936+3
2.6
76%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.31.2
-
8ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2943
41%
1.5
3636+0
2.5
79%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
9Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos2936
28%
1.2
3232+0
2.2
69%
48%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
10AkritasAkritas2935
34%
1.2
3533+2
2.3
76%
48%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.1
-
11MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2933
28%
1.1
2938-9
2.3
66%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
12PeyiaPeyia2932
31%
1.1
3344-11
2.7
79%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
13Ayia NapaAyia Napa2930
28%
1.0
3552-17
3.0
79%
59%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
14ENADENAD2926
24%
0.9
3241-9
2.5
69%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
15XylotympouXylotympou2920
14%
0.7
2855-27
2.9
72%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.9
-
16ErmisErmis2920
21%
0.7
2870-42
3.4
86%
69%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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