The model favours an away win, with a 54 % chance for Ethnikos Achna, 25 % for a draw and 21 % for PAEEK. The expected total goals hover near three, 2.9 on average, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12 % probability. PAEEK, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.73 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. Ethnikos Achna, in the away spot, has been struggling, coming off a 1-2 loss and a last-five record of LWLWL. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.1 %), Home under 3.5 goals (97.8 %), Under 6.5 (97.3 %), Under 5.5 (92.9 %), Away +2 handicap (92.1 %), Home under 2.5 goals (91.0 %), Away under 3.5 goals (88.8 %) and Away over 0.5 goals (83.8 %). The overall shape suggests a low-scoring affair with Ethnikos Achna likely to edge out a narrow victory.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
PAEEK win
20.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna win
54.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
PAEEK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.03
1.60
0.67
1.27
1.40
vs Stronger (23)
1.43
1.00
1.58
0.67
1.27
1.36
vs Similar (3)
1.00
0.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
1.50
2.00
0.00
1.50
3.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Ethnikos Achna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ethnikos Achna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.67
1.21
1.14
0.81
2.12
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
2.78
1.25
2.00
0.40
3.40
vs Similar (21)
1.10
1.19
1.20
0.80
1.00
1.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.1%
Under 1.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54.7%
Under 2.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
32.4%
Under 3.5
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
55.5%
No
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.4%
0-1
9.2%
0-0
6.8%
1-3
6.0%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
PAEEK goals ↓
Ethnikos Achna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
9.2%
9.4%
5.7%
2.6%
1
4.9%
12%
9.9%
6.0%
2.7%
2
3.1%
5.7%
5.2%
3.1%
1.4%
3
1.1%
2.0%
1.8%
1.1%
0.5%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PAEEK goals (down), columns = Ethnikos Achna goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.66
Akritas
2.54
Enosis
2.44
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Ermis
1.37
Polemidion
1.37
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.37
APEA
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
MEAP Nisou
1.00
PAEEK is 1.07 points worse than Ethnikos Achna in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 2.66).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ethnikos Achna
2.62
Akritas
2.50
Enosis
2.40
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
PAEEK is 1.17 goals worse than Ethnikos Achna in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 2.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ethnikos Achna
0.70
Akritas
0.73
Enosis
0.76
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
APEA
1.31
Digenis Morphou
1.31
Ermis
1.35
Polemidion
1.35
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.35
Ayia Napa
1.48
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
PAEEK is 0.37 goals worse than Ethnikos Achna in terms of goals conceded per game (1.07 vs 0.70).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
PAEEK or Draw
45.7%
Avg Implied -
21%
25%
54%
covers PAEEK + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
PAEEK or Ethnikos Achna
74.9%
Avg Implied -
21%
25%
54%
covers PAEEK + Ethnikos Achna
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ethnikos Achna
79.4%
Avg Implied -
21%
25%
54%
covers Draw + Ethnikos Achna
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
PAEEK over/under 0.5
Over
65.0%
Under
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 1.5
Over
28.2%
Under
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 2.5
Over
9.0%
Under
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 3.5
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 0.5
Over
83.8%
Under
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 1.5
Over
54.3%
Under
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 2.5
Over
27.5%
Under
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 3.5
Over
11.2%
Under
88.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to PAEEK, so a minus line means PAEEK give that many goals of a start and Ethnikos Achna receive them. At -1, PAEEK must win by two or more to land; a one-goal PAEEK win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (PAEEK)
PAEEK -2
2.2%
Draw -2
5.7%
Ethnikos Achna +2
92.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (PAEEK)
PAEEK -1
7.9%
Draw -1
12.7%
Ethnikos Achna +1
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (PAEEK)
PAEEK +1
45.7%
Draw +1
22.8%
Ethnikos Achna -1
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (PAEEK)
PAEEK +2
68.4%
Draw +2
17.0%
Ethnikos Achna -2
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
PAEEK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
0.80
0.40
0.87
0.80
vs Stronger (23)
0.74
0.61
0.75
0.42
0.73
0.82
vs Similar (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Ethnikos Achna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ethnikos Achna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.64
0.43
0.25
0.69
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.78
0.75
0.75
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.48
0.60
0.30
0.27
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.8%
Under 0.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.5%
Under 1.5
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.9%
Under 2.5
90.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PAEEK over/under 0.5 HT
Over
41.2%
Under
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.2%
Under
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 0.5 HT
Over
44.8%
Under
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.3%
Under
88.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
PAEEK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.80
0.27
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (23)
0.70
0.39
0.83
0.25
0.55
0.55
vs Similar (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.75
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Ethnikos Achna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ethnikos Achna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.10
0.57
0.71
0.56
1.44
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
2.00
0.50
1.25
0.20
2.60
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.71
0.60
0.50
0.73
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.5%
Under 0.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
42.0%
Under 1.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.8%
Under 2.5
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PAEEK over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.4%
Under
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.6%
Under
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 0.5 2H
Over
52.3%
Under
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 1.5 2H
Over
24.0%
Under
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ethnikos Achna over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ethnikos Achna · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christos Giousis60%
Nicolas Andereggen25%
Pablo Gonzalez Juarez17%
Emmanuel Lomotey14%
Rafael Camacho0%
Ioakeim Toumpas0%
Juan Bautista Cejas0%
Carlos Rentería0%
Giorgos Papageorgiou0%
Marios Pechlivanis0%
Paris Psaltis0%
Alois Confais0%
Patrick Bahanack0%
Luís Machado0%
Richard Ofori0%
Mamadou Kané0%
Martim Maia0%
Javier Siverio0%
Luís Felipe Hungria Martins0%
Rodriguinho0%
Lucas Flores0%
Georgios Angelopoulos0%
Marios Dimitriou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Richard Ofori75%
Mamadou Kané50%
Nicolas Andereggen38%
Pablo Gonzalez Juarez33%
Emmanuel Lomotey29%
Georgios Angelopoulos29%
Carlos Rentería25%
Javier Siverio25%
Christos Giousis20%
Luís Machado14%
Alois Confais12%
Giorgos Papageorgiou11%
Rafael Camacho0%
Ioakeim Toumpas0%
Juan Bautista Cejas0%
Marios Pechlivanis0%
Paris Psaltis0%
Patrick Bahanack0%
Martim Maia0%
Luís Felipe Hungria Martins0%
Rodriguinho0%
Lucas Flores0%
Marios Dimitriou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Giorgos Papageorgiou33%
Martim Maia33%
Christos Giousis20%
Juan Bautista Cejas14%
Nicolas Andereggen12%
Rafael Camacho0%
Ioakeim Toumpas0%
Carlos Rentería0%
Marios Pechlivanis0%
Paris Psaltis0%
Alois Confais0%
Patrick Bahanack0%
Luís Machado0%
Pablo Gonzalez Juarez0%
Richard Ofori0%
Mamadou Kané0%
Emmanuel Lomotey0%
Javier Siverio0%
Luís Felipe Hungria Martins0%
Rodriguinho0%
Lucas Flores0%
Georgios Angelopoulos0%
Marios Dimitriou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nicolas Andereggen25%
Christos Giousis20%
Pablo Gonzalez Juarez17%
Rafael Camacho0%
Ioakeim Toumpas0%
Juan Bautista Cejas0%
Carlos Rentería0%
Giorgos Papageorgiou0%
Marios Pechlivanis0%
Paris Psaltis0%
Alois Confais0%
Patrick Bahanack0%
Luís Machado0%
Richard Ofori0%
Mamadou Kané0%
Emmanuel Lomotey0%
Martim Maia0%
Javier Siverio0%
Luís Felipe Hungria Martins0%
Rodriguinho0%
Lucas Flores0%
Georgios Angelopoulos0%
Marios Dimitriou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
PAEEK and Ethnikos Achna have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
PAEEK and Ethnikos Achna have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
PAEEK and Ethnikos Achna have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Cyprus: 2. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →