PAEEK vs Karmiotissa Result & Analysis

Date: 24/04/2026

Time: 14:00

Final 0-0

PAEEK

38%

28%

34%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Karmiotissa

Cyprus: 2. Division

Referee: -

Match preview & prediction

This Cyprus 2. Division match between PAEEK and Karmiotissa is finely balanced, with PAEEK coming off a draw against Karmiotissa in their last outing, and Karmiotissa unbeaten in their last 5 matches. PAEEK's recent form note suggests they're capable of getting a result against Karmiotissa, but the visitors' strong away form, scoring an average of 2.5 goals, could prove decisive.

The model predicts a 38% chance of a home win, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 34% chance of an away win, favouring PAEEK's home win. The expected total number of goals is 2.7, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 13.4%. PAEEK's home scoring and conceding averages are 1.33 and 0.67 goals respectively, while Karmiotissa's away scoring and conceding averages are 2.5 and 1.75 goals respectively. The model's selections include Over 1.5 with a 76.8% chance of hitting, and Under 3.5 with a 70.9% chance of hitting. PAEEK has a 38% chance of winning, a 28% chance of drawing, and a 34% chance of losing.

Results analysis

In a surprising turn of events, PAEEK's unbeaten streak at home came to an end with a 0-0 draw against Karmiotissa, extending their winless run to three matches. The winless draw marks a significant upset, as PAEEK had been undefeated in their last 5 matches at home, coming off a draw against the same opponent just a week ago. The model's selection, a home win, was incorrect, with the pre-match probability of 38% failing to materialize. The model's selection was not the favourite, but it still picked up the home win. Meanwhile, the model's suggested picks, Over 1.5 and Under 3.5, missed and hit respectively, with probabilities of 76.8% and 70.9%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAEEK win✗ Miss

38.3%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw✓ Hit

28.1%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Karmiotissa win✗ Miss

33.6%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PAEEK

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.0

Avg scored

1.3

Avg conceded

1.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.53	1.03	1.71	0.71	1.38	1.31
vs Stronger (15)	1.53	1.07	1.88	0.75	1.14	1.43
vs Similar (8)	1.62	0.88	1.33	0.67	1.80	1.00
vs Weaker (7)	1.43	1.14	1.67	0.67	1.25	1.50
Clean sheet %	50% (+20pp vs league)

This opponent (Karmiotissa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Karmiotissa

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.4

Avg scored

2.5

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.83	0.90	2.13	0.60	1.53	1.20
vs Stronger (11)	1.64	1.09	2.25	0.50	1.29	1.43
vs Similar (12)	2.17	1.00	2.00	0.62	2.50	1.75
vs Weaker (7)	1.57	0.43	2.33	0.67	1.00	0.25
Clean sheet %	43% (+13pp vs league)

This opponent (PAEEK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

76.8%

Under 1.5

23.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

51.2%

Under 2.5

48.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

29.1%

Under 3.5

70.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

56.5%

43.5%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

13.4%

2-1

8.6%

1-0

8.1%

1-2

8.0%

0-0 ✓

7.8%

0-1

7.4%

2-0

6.6%

0-2

5.6%

PAEEK goals ↓

	Karmiotissa goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	7.4%	5.6%	2.5%	0.8%
1	8.1%	13%	8.0%	3.5%	1.1%
2	6.6%	8.6%	5.6%	2.5%	0.8%
3	3.1%	4.0%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.1%	1.4%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PAEEK goals (down), columns = Karmiotissa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Nea Salamis

2.62

Karmiotissa

1.93

Omonia 29is Maiou

1.83

PAEEK

1.59

Halkanoras

1.55

Doxa

1.45

Ayia Napa

1.41

Digenis Morphou

1.34

Spartakos Kitiou

1.34

APEA

1.34

Iraklis Yerolakkou

1.28

ASIL Lysi

1.07

Ethnikos Latsion

1.03

MEAP Nisou

1.00

AE Zakakiou

0.90

Ahironas / Onisilos

0.28

PAEEK is 0.34 points worse than Karmiotissa in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 1.93).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Omonia 29is Maiou

2.07

Nea Salamis

1.93

Karmiotissa

1.86

Halkanoras

1.62

Digenis Morphou

1.55

Spartakos Kitiou

1.45

PAEEK

1.45

Ayia Napa

1.45

APEA

1.31

Doxa

1.17

ASIL Lysi

1.10

AE Zakakiou

1.10

MEAP Nisou

1.07

Ethnikos Latsion

0.97

Iraklis Yerolakkou

0.93

Ahironas / Onisilos

0.62

PAEEK is 0.41 goals worse than Karmiotissa in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Nea Salamis

0.52

Karmiotissa

0.90

Iraklis Yerolakkou

1.03

PAEEK

1.07

Omonia 29is Maiou

1.14

Doxa

1.21

Spartakos Kitiou

1.24

Halkanoras

1.28

Digenis Morphou

1.31

APEA

1.31

Ayia Napa

1.48

Ethnikos Latsion

1.59

ASIL Lysi

1.72

MEAP Nisou

1.72

AE Zakakiou

1.79

Ahironas / Onisilos

2.34

PAEEK is 0.17 goals worse than Karmiotissa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.07 vs 0.90).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Over 1.5	76.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
Under 3.5	70.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

NS (26)

€4m

O2M (28)

€2m

KAR (27)

€2m

PAE (34)

€0m

DOX (32)

€0m

AN (40)

€0m

HAL (36)

€0m

PAEEK's squad is €1m less valuable than Karmiotissa's (€0m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

KAR (0)

€0m

NS (0)

€0m

O2M (0)

€0m

AN (0)

€0m

DOX (0)

€0m

HAL (0)

€0m

PAE (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

KAR (0)

€0m

NS (0)

€0m

O2M (0)

€0m

AN (0)

€0m

DOX (0)

€0m

HAL (0)

€0m

PAE (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

KAR (0)

€0m

NS (0)

€0m

O2M (0)

€0m

AN (0)

€0m

DOX (0)

€0m

HAL (0)

€0m

PAE (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

PAEEK vs Karmiotissa · H/A from PAE

Date	H/A	Game	Score
28/02/26	A	Karmiotissa Vs PAE	2-1
08/11/25	A	Karmiotissa Vs PAE	2-1

PAEEK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
19/04/26	A	Ayia Napa Vs PAE	6-3
04/04/26	H	PAE Vs Omonia 29is Maiou	3-3
21/03/26	A	Doxa Vs PAE	0-0
18/03/26	A	MEAP Nisou Vs PAE	1-2
13/03/26	H	PAE Vs Nea Salamis	0-0
08/03/26	A	ASIL Lysi Vs PAE	1-3
28/02/26	A	Karmiotissa Vs PAE	2-1
21/02/26	H	PAE Vs Ayia Napa	0-0
15/02/26	A	Omonia 29is Maiou Vs PAE	2-0
07/02/26	H	PAE Vs Doxa	1-2

Karmiotissa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
19/04/26	H	KAR Vs Nea Salamis	1-0
04/04/26	A	ASIL Lysi Vs KAR	2-6
21/03/26	H	KAR Vs MEAP Nisou	1-0
18/03/26	H	KAR Vs Ayia Napa	3-0
14/03/26	A	Omonia 29is Maiou Vs KAR	2-2
07/03/26	H	KAR Vs Doxa	2-2
28/02/26	H	KAR Vs PAEEK	2-1
21/02/26	A	Nea Salamis Vs KAR	1-0
13/02/26	H	KAR Vs ASIL Lysi	5-0
07/02/26	A	MEAP Nisou Vs KAR	1-3

📊 9. Overall Statistics

PAEEK

Cyprus: 2. Division

Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DWDDL	1.34
Home	WLDDD	1.75
Away	LWWDL	0.96

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	34%	46%	23%
AVG goals	2.46	2.42	2.50
Over 1.5 %	72%	67%	77%
Over 2.5 %	50%	50%	50%
Over 3.5 %	24%	29%	19%
Scored	1.28	1.54	1.04
Conceded	1.18	0.88	1.46
BTTS	48%	46%	50%
Clean Sheet	40%	46%	35%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Karmiotissa

Cyprus: 2. Division

Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DWWWW	1.60
Home	WDWWW	2.08
Away	WWLDW	1.12

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	46%	64%	28%
AVG goals	2.60	2.48	2.72
Over 1.5 %	76%	80%	72%
Over 2.5 %	54%	48%	60%
Over 3.5 %	24%	16%	32%
Scored	1.44	1.68	1.20
Conceded	1.16	0.80	1.52
BTTS	44%	36%	52%
Clean Sheet	34%	48%	20%
Corners	9.50	2.00	12.00
Cards	4.50	5.00	4.33

🏆 10. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Nea Salamis	29	76	83%	2.6	56	15	+41	2.4	69%	45%	21%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	0	0	0	1.9	0.5	-
2	Karmiotissa	29	56	55%	1.9	54	26	+28	2.8	72%	55%	34%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	0	0	1.9	0.9	-
3	Omonia 29is Maiou	29	53	48%	1.8	60	33	+27	3.2	79%	59%	41%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	0	0	2.1	1.1	-
4	PAEEK	29	46	41%	1.6	42	31	+11	2.5	72%	48%	24%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	1.1	-
5	Halkanoras	29	45	45%	1.6	47	37	+10	2.9	72%	62%	34%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	1.3	-
6	Doxa	29	42	41%	1.4	34	35	-1	2.4	79%	41%	14%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	1.2	-
7	Ayia Napa	29	41	38%	1.4	42	43	-1	2.9	83%	45%	21%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	1.5	-
8	Digenis Morphou	29	39	38%	1.3	45	38	+7	2.9	86%	55%	28%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	1.3	-
9	Spartakos Kitiou	29	39	34%	1.3	42	36	+6	2.7	83%	45%	31%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	1.2	-
10	APEA	29	39	38%	1.3	38	38	+0	2.6	76%	52%	24%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.3	1.3	-
11	Iraklis Yerolakkou	29	37	28%	1.3	27	30	-3	2.0	62%	31%	10%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.9	1.0	-
12	ASIL Lysi	29	31	28%	1.1	32	50	-18	2.8	69%	48%	28%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.1	1.7	-
13	Ethnikos Latsion	29	30	28%	1.0	28	46	-18	2.6	79%	41%	21%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	1.6	-
14	MEAP Nisou	29	29	28%	1.0	31	50	-19	2.8	76%	48%	28%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.1	1.7	-
15	AE Zakakiou	29	26	21%	0.9	32	52	-20	2.9	79%	48%	31%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.1	1.8	-
16	Ahironas / Onisilos	29	8	3%	0.3	18	68	-50	3.0	83%	55%	31%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.6	2.3	-

Cyprus: 2. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

← all matches

PAEEK vs Karmiotissa Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PAEEK

Karmiotissa

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

PAEEK

Karmiotissa

📊 9. Overall Statistics

🏆 10. League Table

A Pro feature