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PAEEK vs Xylotympou Result & Analysis

Date: 28/10/2023
Time: 12:00
Final 1-1
PAEEK
PAEEK
Vs
44%
24%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Xylotympou
Xylotympou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAEEK win✗ Miss
43.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Xylotympou win✗ Miss
32.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PAEEKPAEEK

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D00D30W12L02L02L23L20W12LA·ERM10/03H·KRA18/03A·XYL02/04H·AYI09/04A·ANA22/04A·PEY16/09H·ASI24/09A·AYI30/09H·ENA07/10A·ENO21/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.201.431.001.251.38
vs Stronger (22)1.231.001.300.801.171.17
vs Similar (4)1.251.502.002.000.501.00
vs Weaker (4)2.002.001.501.002.503.00
Clean sheet %33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Xylotympou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

XylotympouXylotympou

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-831W00D31W10W80W20W26L11D33D10WH·ANA12/03H·PAE02/04A·ERM09/04H·KRA22/04A·OLY29/04H·DIG16/09A·ERM23/09H·AKR01/10A·KRA08/10H·AHI21/10
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.431.531.071.871.80
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (20)1.451.651.451.091.442.33
vs Weaker (9)2.221.111.671.332.501.00
Clean sheet %20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.5%
Under 1.5
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
66.5%
Under 2.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.7%
Under 3.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.8%
No
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
1-0
5.1%
3-2
4.3%
PAEEK goals ↓
Xylotympou goals →
01234
04.2%4.2%4.0%2.1%0.8%
15.1%10%7.5%3.9%1.5%
25.6%8.8%6.9%3.6%1.4%
33.4%5.4%4.3%2.2%0.9%
41.6%2.5%2.0%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PAEEK goals (down), columns = Xylotympou goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Omonia Aradippou
2.10
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.00
Olympiakos
1.86
Enosis
1.86
Digenis Morphou
1.76
PAEEK
1.59
Krasava Ypsonas
1.52
ASIL Lysi
1.48
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.24
Akritas
1.21
MEAP Nisou
1.14
Peyia
1.10
Ayia Napa
1.03
ENAD
0.90
Ermis
0.69
Xylotympou
0.69
PAEEK is 0.90 points better than Xylotympou in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 0.69).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PAEEK
1.62
Omonia Aradippou
1.59
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.59
Enosis
1.52
Olympiakos
1.48
Digenis Morphou
1.41
Krasava Ypsonas
1.34
ASIL Lysi
1.24
Akritas
1.21
Ayia Napa
1.21
Peyia
1.14
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.10
ENAD
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.00
Ermis
0.97
Xylotympou
0.97
PAEEK is 0.66 goals better than Xylotympou in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Aradippou
0.66
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.72
Olympiakos
0.72
Digenis Morphou
1.00
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.10
Akritas
1.14
Enosis
1.14
PAEEK
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.24
Krasava Ypsonas
1.24
MEAP Nisou
1.31
ENAD
1.41
Peyia
1.52
Ayia Napa
1.79
Xylotympou
1.90
Ermis
2.41
PAEEK is 0.72 goals better than Xylotympou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.90).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PAEEKPAEEK

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D20W00D00D00D12L00D11DA·ERM10/03H·KRA18/03A·XYL02/04H·AYI09/04A·ANA22/04A·PEY16/09H·ASI24/09A·AYI30/09H·ENA07/10A·ENO21/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.500.430.290.380.69
vs Stronger (22)0.360.270.400.100.330.42
vs Similar (4)0.251.000.001.500.500.50
vs Weaker (4)0.751.251.000.000.502.50
Clean sheet %73% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Xylotympou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

XylotympouXylotympou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D00D00D20W00D04L10W11D00DH·ANA12/03H·PAE02/04A·ERM09/04H·KRA22/04A·OLY29/04H·DIG16/09A·ERM23/09H·AKR01/10A·KRA08/10H·AHI21/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.800.730.470.601.13
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (21)0.570.950.750.580.331.44
vs Weaker (8)1.000.501.000.001.000.67
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PAEEK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Xylotympou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Xylotympou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Xylotympou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PAEEKPAEEK

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D10W12L02L02L11D20W01LA·ERM10/03H·KRA18/03A·XYL02/04H·AYI09/04A·ANA22/04A·PEY16/09H·ASI24/09A·AYI30/09H·ENA07/10A·ENO21/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.701.000.710.880.69
vs Stronger (22)0.860.730.900.700.830.75
vs Similar (4)1.000.502.000.500.000.50
vs Weaker (4)1.250.750.501.002.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Xylotympou) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

XylotympouXylotympou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W00D31W10W60W20W22D01L22D10WH·ANA12/03H·PAE02/04A·ERM09/04H·KRA22/04A·OLY29/04H·DIG16/09A·ERM23/09H·AKR01/10A·KRA08/10H·AHI21/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.670.730.671.270.67
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (21)0.900.760.750.671.110.89
vs Weaker (8)1.120.500.001.001.500.33
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (PAEEK) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PAEEK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Xylotympou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Xylotympou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Xylotympou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
O2M (10)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
ENO (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
PAE (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
PAE wins
3
Draws
0
XYL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

PAEEK vs Xylotympou · H/A from PAE
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/23AXylotympou Vs PAE0-0
04/02/23HPAE Vs Xylotympou0-0
10/12/22HPAE Vs Xylotympou1-1

PAEEKPAEEK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/23AEnosis Vs PAE2-1
07/10/23HPAE Vs ENAD2-0
30/09/23AAyia Napa Vs PAE3-2
24/09/23HPAE Vs ASIL Lysi0-2
16/09/23APeyia Vs PAE2-0
22/04/23AAnagennisi Deryneia Vs PAE2-1
09/04/23HPAE Vs Ayia Napa3-0
02/04/23AXylotympou Vs PAE0-0
18/03/23HPAE Vs Krasava Ypsonas1-1
10/03/23AErmis Vs PAE0-1

XylotympouXylotympou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/23HXYL Vs Ahironas / Onisilos1-0
08/10/23AKrasava Ypsonas Vs XYL3-3
01/10/23HXYL Vs Akritas1-1
23/09/23AErmis Vs XYL6-2
16/09/23HXYL Vs Digenis Morphou2-0
29/04/23AOlympiada Lympion Vs XYL0-8
22/04/23HXYL Vs Krasava Ypsonas1-0
09/04/23AErmis Vs XYL1-3
02/04/23HXYL Vs PAEEK0-0
12/03/23HXYL Vs Anagennisi Deryneia3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

PAEEK
PAEEK
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.31
HomeWDWLW1.47
AwayDLLLL1.18
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%29%
AVG goals2.472.402.53
Over 1.5 %69%73%65%
Over 2.5 %44%33%53%
Over 3.5 %25%20%29%
Scored1.251.331.18
Conceded1.221.071.35
BTTS47%33%59%
Clean Sheet31%40%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Xylotympou
Xylotympou
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDW1.47
HomeDWWDW1.81
AwayLWWLD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%50%31%
AVG goals3.252.753.75
Over 1.5 %75%75%75%
Over 2.5 %53%44%62%
Over 3.5 %41%31%50%
Scored1.721.561.88
Conceded1.531.191.88
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet19%25%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou2961
62%
2.1
4619+27
2.2
66%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.60.7
-
2Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2958
59%
2.0
4621+25
2.3
76%
38%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0021.60.7
-
3OlympiakosOlympiakos2954
55%
1.9
4321+22
2.2
66%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1021.50.7
-
4EnosisEnosis2954
55%
1.9
4433+11
2.7
79%
59%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.1
-
5Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2951
52%
1.8
4129+12
2.4
66%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
6PAEEKPAEEK2946
45%
1.6
4734+13
2.8
83%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
7Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas2944
41%
1.5
3936+3
2.6
76%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.31.2
-
8ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2943
41%
1.5
3636+0
2.5
79%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
9Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos2936
28%
1.2
3232+0
2.2
69%
48%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
10AkritasAkritas2935
34%
1.2
3533+2
2.3
76%
48%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.1
-
11MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2933
28%
1.1
2938-9
2.3
66%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
12PeyiaPeyia2932
31%
1.1
3344-11
2.7
79%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
13Ayia NapaAyia Napa2930
28%
1.0
3552-17
3.0
79%
59%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
14ENADENAD2926
24%
0.9
3241-9
2.5
69%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
15XylotympouXylotympou2920
14%
0.7
2855-27
2.9
72%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.9
-
16ErmisErmis2920
21%
0.7
2870-42
3.4
86%
69%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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