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Pafos vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: 11/04/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 4-0
Pafos
Pafos
Vs
47%
27%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca
Cyprus: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pafos are tipped to take the win in a match that the model sees as a 47% home victory, 27% draw and 26% away win. The average goal count sits at 2.8, with the most likely total of two goals. The single scoreline the model favours is a 1-1 draw, carrying a 12.7% chance. Pafos, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. AEK Larnaca, on the road, average only 0.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded versus this tier. The suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 92.6%, Under 11.5 corners at 87.2%, Over 2.5 cards at 85.8%, Under 10.5 corners at 79.4%, Over 1.5 goals at 78.4%, Over 23.5 fouls at 73.1% and Over 3.5 cards at 70.7%. The model’s selections also flag Over 21.5 fouls at 84.7% and Over 21.5 fouls at 73.1% as misses. Pafos are coming off a 3-0 win over Karmiotissa, while AEK Larnaca are on a three-game winning streak, having beaten Apoel Nicosia 3-1.

Results analysis

Pafos’ 4-0 triumph over AEK Larnaca extended their recent win and proved the model’s pre-match favourite correct. The Pythia prediction had given a 47% chance of a home win, and the result matched that call. The model’s suggested picks were mixed: Over 19.5 fouls (92.6%) missed, Under 11.5 corners (87.2%) hit, Over 2.5 cards (85.8%) hit, Over 21.5 fouls (84.7%) missed, Under 10.5 corners (79.4%) hit, Over 1.5 (78.4%) hit, Over 23.5 fouls (73.1%) missed, and Over 3.5 cards (70.7%) missed. The final score of 4-0 confirmed the home win prediction and highlighted the model’s accurate assessment of the match outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pafos win✓ Hit
47.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca win✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PafosPafos

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W00D12L10W12L11D11D22D00D02LH·DOX21/01A·OMO29/01H·NEA03/02H·AEL08/02A·ANO20/02H·ARI24/02A·OLY07/03H·ARI12/03A·APO17/03A·OMO02/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.720.832.070.931.400.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.081.081.671.170.571.00
vs Weaker (16)2.250.622.380.752.120.50
Clean sheet %45% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W12L00D12L31W02L01L04L04L22DH·DNI16/02A·AEL19/02A·DNI23/02A·APO27/02H·ENO04/03H·WES09/03H·APO13/03A·WES16/03A·ARI20/03H·APO03/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.171.881.191.071.14
vs Stronger (5)1.002.401.332.330.502.50
vs Similar (13)1.081.151.621.000.201.40
vs Weaker (12)2.170.672.600.801.860.57
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.4%
Under 1.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.5%
Under 2.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.2%
Under 3.5
68.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
Pafos goals ↓
AEK Larnaca goals →
01234
07.1%5.8%4.1%1.6%0.5%
18.7%13%6.8%2.6%0.8%
28.1%9.5%5.6%2.2%0.6%
34.4%5.2%3.1%1.2%0.3%
41.8%2.1%1.3%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pafos goals (down), columns = AEK Larnaca goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aris
2.06
Apoel Nicosia
1.97
AEK Larnaca
1.83
Apollon Limassol
1.77
Pafos
1.75
Anorthosis
1.57
Nea Salamis
1.45
Omonia Nicosia
1.36
AEL
1.26
Karmiotissa
1.20
Doxa
0.97
Enosis
0.93
Akritas
0.85
Olympiakos
0.70
Pafos is 0.08 points worse than AEK Larnaca in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 1.83).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aris
1.81
Pafos
1.67
AEK Larnaca
1.53
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Apollon Limassol
1.34
Anorthosis
1.30
Nea Salamis
1.27
Omonia Nicosia
1.19
Enosis
1.00
Akritas
0.93
Karmiotissa
0.90
AEL
0.90
Doxa
0.80
Olympiakos
0.75
Pafos is 0.14 goals better than AEK Larnaca in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Apoel Nicosia
0.72
Aris
0.78
Pafos
0.83
AEL
1.03
AEK Larnaca
1.03
Apollon Limassol
1.06
Anorthosis
1.07
Omonia Nicosia
1.17
Enosis
1.30
Karmiotissa
1.35
Nea Salamis
1.38
Doxa
1.40
Olympiakos
1.55
Akritas
1.82
Pafos is 0.19 goals better than AEK Larnaca in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Omonia Nicosia
56%
AEK Larnaca
55%
Anorthosis
55%
Akritas
55%
Olympiakos
52%
Enosis
52%
Karmiotissa
50%
Apoel Nicosia
49%
Doxa
46%
AEL
45%
Pafos
45%
Aris
44%
Nea Salamis
40%
Pafos is 10.4 percentage points worse than AEK Larnaca in terms of average possession (45% vs 55%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

PafosPafos

For 5.2 · Against 3.2 · Total 8.4

🚩 Corners

1303476635253532634593713978829912A·OMOA·APOH·ARIA·OLYH·ARIA·ANOH·AELH·NEAH·DOXA·ENO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

801122332243412141262255673518A·OMOA·APOH·ARIA·OLYH·ARIA·ANOH·AELH·NEAH·DOXA·ENO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 14.6 · Total 25.3

⚠️ Fouls

3609109164181719121412181214167101661419252236263026232620A·OMOA·APOH·ARIA·OLYH·ARIA·ANOH·AELH·NEAH·DOXA·ENO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

For 6.3 · Against 2.9 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

14053532111214477257515388313141191268H·APOA·ARIA·WESH·APOH·WESH·ENOA·APOA·DNIA·AELH·DNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

902222114522153313124429226643H·APOA·ARIA·WESH·APOH·WESH·ENOA·APOA·DNIA·AELH·DNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 13.3 · Total 24.7

⚠️ Fouls

340131089611121361491613820121321141923171725202521323433H·APOA·ARIA·WESH·APOH·WESH·ENOA·APOA·DNIA·AELH·DNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PafosPafos

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (29)8.67.59.92.62.92.326.525.028.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (13)8.98.010.03.05.01.325.025.524.3
vs Weaker (16)8.47.09.82.31.43.227.824.531.0
% over line27%0%57%34%36%33%87%100%71%
% under line73%100%43%66%64%67%13%0%29%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (45)9.19.68.63.53.53.529.030.427.7
vs Stronger (10)9.611.47.84.65.04.227.530.824.2
vs Similar (21)7.87.48.43.33.92.729.531.426.2
vs Weaker (14)10.312.39.43.11.94.329.927.331.0
% over line39%50%29%58%52%64%81%93%69%
% under line61%50%71%42%48%36%19%7%31%
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Akritas
9.9
Anorthosis
9.7
Aris
9.5
AEL
9.4
Karmiotissa
9.3
Doxa
9.2
AEK Larnaca
9.1
Apollon Limassol
9.1
Nea Salamis
9.0
Enosis
8.9
Pafos
8.6
Omonia Nicosia
8.6
Olympiakos
8.4
Apoel Nicosia
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Nea Salamis
5.2
Enosis
5.1
Karmiotissa
5.1
Pafos
5.1
Apoel Nicosia
5.0
Apollon Limassol
5.0
AEK Larnaca
4.8
Aris
4.8
Anorthosis
4.8
Olympiakos
4.7
Doxa
4.5
AEL
4.4
Akritas
4.3
Omonia Nicosia
4.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Apoel Nicosia
29.7
AEK Larnaca
29.0
Nea Salamis
28.9
Enosis
28.8
Anorthosis
28.0
Olympiakos
27.9
Doxa
27.7
Aris
26.8
Pafos
26.5
Karmiotissa
26.4
AEL
25.6
Apollon Limassol
25.3
Omonia Nicosia
23.6
Akritas
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
31.1%
Under 9.5
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
70.7%
Under 3.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
84.7%
Under 21.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PafosPafos

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D11D00D12L01L11D12L00D00DH·DOX21/01A·OMO29/01H·NEA03/02H·AEL08/02A·ANO20/02H·ARI24/02A·OLY07/03H·ARI12/03A·APO17/03A·OMO02/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.790.450.860.640.730.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.380.460.500.830.290.14
vs Weaker (16)1.120.441.120.501.120.38
Clean sheet %69% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L00D00D20W02L01L01L01L12LH·DNI16/02A·AEL19/02A·DNI23/02A·APO27/02H·ENO04/03H·WES09/03H·APO13/03A·WES16/03A·ARI20/03H·APO03/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.600.810.690.500.50
vs Stronger (5)0.201.200.331.330.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.460.620.750.750.000.40
vs Weaker (12)1.080.331.200.201.000.43
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pafos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PafosPafos

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L10W00D10W00D10W00D02LH·DOX21/01A·OMO29/01H·NEA03/02H·AEL08/02A·ANO20/02H·ARI24/02A·OLY07/03H·ARI12/03A·APO17/03A·OMO02/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.381.210.290.670.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.690.621.170.330.290.86
vs Weaker (16)1.120.191.250.251.000.12
Clean sheet %72% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D12L11D00D00D03L03L10WH·DNI16/02A·AEL19/02A·DNI23/02A·APO27/02H·ENO04/03H·WES09/03H·APO13/03A·WES16/03A·ARI20/03H·APO03/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.571.060.500.570.64
vs Stronger (5)0.801.201.001.000.501.50
vs Similar (13)0.620.540.880.250.201.00
vs Weaker (12)1.080.331.400.600.860.14
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pafos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls92.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners87.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards85.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls84.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners79.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls73.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards70.7%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Pafos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Correia35%
Alexandre Brito33%
David Luiz25%
Anderson Silva24%
Jajá23%
Domingos Quina14%
Bruno13%
Ivan Šunjić9%
Mislav Oršić8%
Vlad Dragomir8%
Mons Bassouamina7%
Derrick Luckassen5%
Pêpê4%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Jay Gorter0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Lelê0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Šunjić36%
Alexandre Brito33%
Ken Sema21%
David Luiz20%
Jay Gorter20%
Bruno Langa20%
Jajá18%
Bruno17%
Axel Guessand17%
Domingos Quina14%
Lelê14%
Derrick Luckassen14%
Mislav Oršić12%
Vlad Dragomir12%
Pêpê12%
Nikolas Ioannou11%
David Goldar9%
Kostas Pileas6%
João Correia6%
Landry Dimata0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mislav Oršić33%
Wilmer Odefalk20%
Landry Dimata17%
David Luiz15%
Ken Sema11%
Jajá9%
Pêpê8%
Kostas Pileas6%
João Correia6%
Domingos Quina5%
Ivan Šunjić5%
Bruno4%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Lelê0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lelê14%
Mislav Oršić12%
Anderson Silva12%
João Correia12%
David Luiz10%
Jajá9%
Domingos Quina5%
Bruno4%
Ivan Šunjić0%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Pêpê0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Alexandre Brito0%
AEK Larnaca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ádám Gyurcsó33%
Rafael Lopes17%
Ivan Tričkovski12%
Victor Olatunji12%
Omri Altman11%
Ángel García11%
Oier10%
Mikel González0%
Roberto Rosales0%
Marin Jakoliš0%
Kypros Christoforou0%
Nikos Englezou0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Gus Ledes0%
Pere Pons0%
Nemanja Nikolics0%
Kenan Pirić0%
Imad Faraj0%
Hrvoje Miličević0%
Rafail Mamas0%
Ismael Casas0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ángel García44%
Pere Pons33%
Roberto Rosales30%
Imad Faraj20%
Rafail Mamas20%
Hrvoje Miličević18%
Kenan Pirić17%
Ivan Tričkovski12%
Kypros Christoforou12%
Victor Olatunji12%
Omri Altman11%
Oier10%
Nenad Tomović8%
Mikel González0%
Marin Jakoliš0%
Ádám Gyurcsó0%
Nikos Englezou0%
Rafael Lopes0%
Gus Ledes0%
Nemanja Nikolics0%
Ismael Casas0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Imad Faraj20%
Nikos Englezou14%
Roberto Rosales10%
Gus Ledes8%
Kenan Pirić8%
Mikel González0%
Ivan Tričkovski0%
Marin Jakoliš0%
Ádám Gyurcsó0%
Kypros Christoforou0%
Omri Altman0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Ángel García0%
Rafael Lopes0%
Oier0%
Pere Pons0%
Nemanja Nikolics0%
Victor Olatunji0%
Hrvoje Miličević0%
Rafail Mamas0%
Ismael Casas0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ádám Gyurcsó17%
Ivan Tričkovski12%
Victor Olatunji12%
Omri Altman11%
Gus Ledes8%
Mikel González0%
Roberto Rosales0%
Marin Jakoliš0%
Kypros Christoforou0%
Nikos Englezou0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Ángel García0%
Rafael Lopes0%
Oier0%
Pere Pons0%
Nemanja Nikolics0%
Kenan Pirić0%
Imad Faraj0%
Hrvoje Miličević0%
Rafail Mamas0%
Ismael Casas0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KAR (12)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
Pafos's squad is €13m more valuable than AEK Larnaca's (€28m vs €16m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Pafos's attack is €7m more valuable than AEK Larnaca's (€14m vs €7m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Pafos's midfield is €5m more valuable than AEK Larnaca's (€8m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OLY (8)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
Pafos and AEK Larnaca have a similar defence value (both €7m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
PAF wins
0
Draws
1
AL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Pafos vs AEK Larnaca · H/A from PAF
DateH/AGameScore
04/01/23AAEK Larnaca Vs PAF1-0
18/09/22HPAF Vs AEK Larnaca1-0

PafosPafos

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/23AOmonia Nicosia Vs PAF2-0
17/03/23AApoel Nicosia Vs PAF0-0
12/03/23HPAF Vs Aris2-2
07/03/23AOlympiakos Vs PAF1-1
24/02/23HPAF Vs Aris1-1
20/02/23AAnorthosis Vs PAF2-1
08/02/23HPAF Vs AEL1-0
03/02/23HPAF Vs Nea Salamis1-2
29/01/23AOmonia Nicosia Vs PAF0-0
21/01/23HPAF Vs Doxa3-1

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/04/23HAL Vs Apoel Nicosia2-2
20/03/23AAris Vs AL4-0
16/03/23AWest Ham Vs AL4-0
13/03/23HAL Vs Apollon Limassol0-1
09/03/23HAL Vs West Ham0-2
04/03/23HAL Vs Enosis3-1
27/02/23AApollon Limassol Vs AL2-1
23/02/23ADnipro-1 Vs AL0-0
19/02/23AAEL Vs AL2-1
16/02/23HAL Vs Dnipro-11-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Pafos
Pafos
Cyprus: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDDL1.79
HomeWLWDD2.00
AwayDLDDL1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%57%40%
AVG goals2.553.002.13
Over 1.5 %76%79%73%
Over 2.5 %48%64%33%
Over 3.5 %28%36%20%
Scored1.722.071.40
Conceded0.830.930.73
BTTS48%57%40%
Clean Sheet45%43%47%
Corners8.607.509.86
Cards5.075.125.00
AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca
Cyprus: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.76
HomeWWLLD2.04
AwayLDLLL1.45
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %51%61%41%
AVG goals2.602.832.36
Over 1.5 %71%70%73%
Over 2.5 %51%57%45%
Over 3.5 %27%30%23%
Scored1.491.831.14
Conceded1.111.001.23
BTTS49%52%45%
Clean Sheet36%39%32%
Corners9.099.568.65
Cards4.825.064.59

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArisAris3674
58%
2.1
6528+37
2.6
75%
56%
22%
9.2
37%
5.0
81%
26.0
85%
11
3351.80.8
44%
2Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia3671
56%
2.0
5226+26
2.2
67%
36%
17%
8.3
26%
5.2
81%
29.3
100%
15
8351.40.7
49%
3AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca3666
56%
1.8
5537+18
2.6
69%
47%
28%
8.7
31%
4.7
77%
27.9
77%
16
7271.51.0
55%
4PafosPafos3663
47%
1.8
6030+30
2.5
75%
47%
25%
8.9
32%
5.6
68%
25.9
77%
28
14871.70.8
45%
5AnorthosisAnorthosis4063
45%
1.6
5243+9
2.4
70%
38%
20%
9.2
42%
4.6
61%
27.5
84%
7
2131.31.1
55%
6Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol3562
54%
1.8
4737+10
2.4
69%
40%
20%
8.7
31%
5.4
73%
27.3
88%
15
7271.31.1
-
7Nea SalamisNea Salamis4058
42%
1.4
5155-4
2.6
72%
45%
22%
8.7
40%
4.7
77%
27.7
79%
5
2221.31.4
40%
8Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia3649
42%
1.4
4342+1
2.4
72%
44%
19%
8.7
35%
3.8
65%
23.7
58%
15
7351.21.2
56%
9AELAEL3949
33%
1.3
3540-5
1.9
56%
31%
10%
9.2
39%
4.0
57%
26.9
77%
9
4230.91.0
45%
10KarmiotissaKarmiotissa4048
32%
1.2
3654-18
2.2
70%
45%
15%
9.2
42%
4.7
77%
25.9
77%
3
0120.91.4
50%
11DoxaDoxa4039
25%
1.0
3256-24
2.2
65%
48%
15%
8.8
39%
4.8
71%
28.4
94%
0
0000.81.4
46%
12EnosisEnosis4037
25%
0.9
4052-12
2.3
65%
48%
15%
8.8
35%
5.0
77%
28.5
82%
1
0011.01.3
52%
13AkritasAkritas4034
22%
0.8
3773-36
2.8
72%
57%
30%
9.2
39%
4.1
75%
22.8
54%
1
0010.91.8
55%
14OlympiakosOlympiakos4028
12%
0.7
3062-32
2.3
68%
42%
20%
8.5
33%
4.6
73%
27.4
72%
4
1020.81.6
52%
Cyprus: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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