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Pafos vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: 22/12/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 0-1
Pafos
Pafos
Vs
41%
31%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca
Cyprus: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pafos and AEK Larnaca face a finely balanced contest, with the model favouring a home win at 41%. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.5% chance. Pafos, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.27 goals scored and 0.91 conceded, while AEK Larnaca on the road averages 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. The draw probability sits at 31%, the away win at 28%.

The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 91.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 86.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 82.2%, Under 3.5 at 80.6% (hit), Under 11.5 corners at 75.1%, and Over 3.5 cards at 72.1%. Each pick is listed with its exact percentage. Both sides are coming off recent form that suggests a competitive match, yet the slight edge for Pafos remains.

Results analysis

The upset came early as AEK Larnaca seized a 0-1 victory over Pafos, ending the home side’s recent win streak and extending the away team’s three-game winning run. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 41% probability, but the model’s call was wrong. The model’s selection of Under 3.5 goals hit, with an 80.6% probability, and the most likely scoreline of 1-1 was missed. The final score of 0-1 confirmed the away win, contradicting the model’s expectation of a home triumph. The match delivered a clear reversal of the predicted outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pafos win✗ Miss
40.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca win✓ Hit
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PafosPafos

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W10W10W21W23L01L20W20W20W22DH·OMO03/11H·FC 07/11A·APO10/11H·APO23/11A·FIO28/11H·OMO02/12A·ETH08/12H·CEL12/12A·NEA16/12A·FC 19/12
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.800.971.930.731.671.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.331.191.270.911.401.50
vs Weaker (9)2.890.443.750.252.200.60
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W10W10W11D20W00D20W51W10W40WA·NEA27/09A·APO06/10H·ANO20/10A·AEL27/10H·ARI03/11A·ENO09/11H·KAR25/11A·OMO01/12H·OMO06/12H·APO15/12
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.831.470.801.470.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.230.821.420.831.000.80
vs Weaker (8)2.120.881.670.672.401.00
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.4%
Under 1.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.5%
Under 2.5
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.4%
Under 3.5
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.7%
No
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
11.7%
0-1 ✓
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.3%
Pafos goals ↓
AEK Larnaca goals →
01234
012%9.1%5.3%1.8%0.4%
112%14%6.6%2.2%0.6%
28.2%8.3%4.2%1.4%0.4%
33.5%3.5%1.7%0.6%0.1%
41.1%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pafos goals (down), columns = AEK Larnaca goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Pafos
2.28
Aris
2.08
AEK Larnaca
1.89
Omonia Nicosia
1.89
Anorthosis
1.58
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.28
AEL
1.18
Ethnikos Achna
1.18
Enosis
1.06
Omonia Aradippou
1.06
Karmiotissa
1.03
Nea Salamis
0.79
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.42
Pafos is 0.39 points better than AEK Larnaca in terms of average points per game (2.28 vs 1.89).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
1.92
Pafos
1.86
Aris
1.83
Apoel Nicosia
1.64
AEK Larnaca
1.61
Anorthosis
1.52
Ethnikos Achna
1.33
AEL
1.15
Apollon Limassol
1.03
Omonia Aradippou
0.97
Enosis
0.94
Nea Salamis
0.94
Karmiotissa
0.91
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.70
Pafos is 0.25 goals better than AEK Larnaca in terms of goals scored per game (1.86 vs 1.61).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Pafos
0.58
AEK Larnaca
0.83
Aris
0.86
Apoel Nicosia
1.00
Apollon Limassol
1.08
Omonia Nicosia
1.11
Anorthosis
1.27
Enosis
1.45
AEL
1.61
Ethnikos Achna
1.61
Karmiotissa
1.73
Omonia Aradippou
1.76
Nea Salamis
1.88
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.97
Pafos is 0.25 goals better than AEK Larnaca in terms of goals conceded per game (0.58 vs 0.83).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Apoel Nicosia
58%
Ethnikos Achna
58%
Pafos
56%
AEK Larnaca
53%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Anorthosis
50%
Omonia Nicosia
49%
Omonia Aradippou
46%
Nea Salamis
46%
Aris
46%
Omonia 29is Maiou
45%
AEL
44%
Enosis
40%
Karmiotissa
39%
Pafos is 3.0 percentage points better than AEK Larnaca in terms of average possession (56% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

PafosPafos

For 6.0 · Against 3.3 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

1404234935473631225463356712910914998A·FC H·CELH·OMOA·FIOH·APOA·APOH·FC H·OMOH·1. H·KAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

904541614334123411439577352727A·FC H·CELH·OMOA·FIOH·APOA·APOH·FC H·OMOH·1. H·KAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 12.1 · Total 26.2

⚠️ Fouls

33071591515121811151418911616101513171622242729292717262833A·FC H·CELH·OMOA·FIOH·APOA·APOH·FC H·OMOH·1. H·KAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

For 4.7 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

13072334253465447585757771181213H·PAFA·ARIA·OMOH·ARIA·PAFH·ANOA·AELH·APOA·APO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

8024154115442123411665683272H·PAFA·ARIA·OMOH·ARIA·PAFH·ANOA·AELH·APOA·APO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 17.4 · Total 28.9

⚠️ Fouls

340922722141112221321141613108201313312925343430232826H·PAFA·ARIA·OMOH·ARIA·PAFH·ANOA·AELH·APOA·APO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PafosPafos

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.29.36.53.43.43.425.926.025.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (32)8.69.76.93.53.53.526.526.326.9
vs Weaker (18)7.28.46.03.23.23.124.725.224.2
% over line26%44%0%50%48%52%84%83%85%
% under line74%56%100%50%52%48%16%17%15%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.59.13.03.12.926.728.225.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (30)8.68.58.83.02.93.130.131.628.6
vs Weaker (20)10.210.89.63.13.62.722.423.721.3
% over line45%43%47%48%48%48%86%93%80%
% under line55%57%53%52%52%52%14%7%20%
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Omonia Nicosia
10.9
Nea Salamis
10.1
AEL
9.8
Omonia Aradippou
9.8
Apollon Limassol
9.6
Omonia 29is Maiou
9.5
AEK Larnaca
9.4
Apoel Nicosia
9.4
Karmiotissa
9.3
Aris
9.3
Enosis
9.1
Anorthosis
8.9
Pafos
8.5
Ethnikos Achna
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
7.5
Omonia Aradippou
7.5
Apoel Nicosia
5.6
Aris
5.4
Pafos
5.3
Anorthosis
5.3
Apollon Limassol
5.2
Ethnikos Achna
5.1
Enosis
5.0
AEK Larnaca
5.0
Karmiotissa
4.8
Nea Salamis
4.6
AEL
4.6
Omonia Nicosia
4.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Apoel Nicosia
29.2
Anorthosis
28.7
Enosis
28.5
Omonia 29is Maiou
27.5
Karmiotissa
26.8
AEL
26.7
Ethnikos Achna
26.1
Pafos
25.9
Aris
25.8
AEK Larnaca
25.4
Apollon Limassol
25.3
Omonia Aradippou
25.2
Nea Salamis
25.1
Omonia Nicosia
24.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.9%
Under 9.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
72.1%
Under 3.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
82.2%
Under 21.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PafosPafos

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D00D00D01L00D20W00D10W12LH·OMO03/11H·FC 07/11A·APO10/11H·APO23/11A·FIO28/11H·OMO02/12A·ETH08/12H·CEL12/12A·NEA16/12A·FC 19/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.570.930.270.670.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.570.670.550.360.601.00
vs Weaker (9)1.330.332.000.000.800.60
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W11D10W00D10W30W00D20WA·NEA27/09A·APO06/10H·ANO20/10A·AEL27/10H·ARI03/11A·ENO09/11H·KAR25/11A·OMO01/12H·OMO06/12H·APO15/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.400.800.400.530.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.590.450.920.420.200.50
vs Weaker (8)0.880.250.330.331.200.20
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pafos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PafosPafos

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W21W22D01L00D20W10W10WH·OMO03/11H·FC 07/11A·APO10/11H·APO23/11A·FIO28/11H·OMO02/12A·ETH08/12H·CEL12/12A·NEA16/12A·FC 19/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.401.000.471.000.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.760.520.730.550.800.50
vs Weaker (9)1.560.111.750.251.400.00
Clean sheet %77% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W00D00D10W00D10W21W10W20WA·NEA27/09A·APO06/10H·ANO20/10A·AEL27/10H·ARI03/11A·ENO09/11H·KAR25/11A·OMO01/12H·OMO06/12H·APO15/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.430.670.400.930.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.640.360.500.420.800.30
vs Weaker (8)1.250.621.330.331.200.80
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pafos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls91.1%--------
Over 2.5 cards86.7%--------
Over 21.5 fouls82.2%--------
Under 3.580.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.1%--------
Over 3.5 cards72.1%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Pafos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Correia26%
Anderson Silva23%
David Goldar22%
Muamer Tanković20%
Jairo da Silva19%
Mislav Oršić14%
Jajá14%
Vlad Dragomir12%
Léo Natel9%
Moustapha Name9%
Mateo Tanlongo8%
Jonathan Silva6%
Derrick Luckassen5%
Bruno4%
Ivan Šunjić0%
Ken Sema0%
Ivica Ivušić0%
Zvonimir Šarlija0%
Marios Ilia0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Domingos Quina0%
Neofytos Michael0%
Pêpê0%
Mehdi Boukamir0%
Rafael Pontelo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Derrick Luckassen42%
Jonathan Silva33%
João Correia30%
Kostas Pileas30%
Mehdi Boukamir29%
Muamer Tanković28%
Moustapha Name27%
Ivan Šunjić25%
Zvonimir Šarlija22%
Domingos Quina21%
Bruno20%
Pêpê17%
Jairo da Silva15%
David Goldar13%
Vlad Dragomir12%
Ken Sema11%
Léo Natel9%
Jajá9%
Mateo Tanlongo8%
Anderson Silva4%
Mislav Oršić0%
Ivica Ivušić0%
Marios Ilia0%
Neofytos Michael0%
Rafael Pontelo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Muamer Tanković20%
Jonathan Silva17%
Jairo da Silva15%
Jajá14%
Pêpê12%
Anderson Silva12%
Ken Sema11%
Ivan Šunjić8%
Mateo Tanlongo8%
Bruno8%
Vlad Dragomir8%
Domingos Quina5%
Mislav Oršić0%
Ivica Ivušić0%
Zvonimir Šarlija0%
Léo Natel0%
Marios Ilia0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Moustapha Name0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michael0%
João Correia0%
David Goldar0%
Mehdi Boukamir0%
Rafael Pontelo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Muamer Tanković32%
Mislav Oršić29%
Jajá18%
Jairo da Silva15%
João Correia13%
Vlad Dragomir12%
Anderson Silva12%
David Goldar4%
Ivan Šunjić4%
Ken Sema0%
Ivica Ivušić0%
Zvonimir Šarlija0%
Léo Natel0%
Marios Ilia0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Domingos Quina0%
Moustapha Name0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Bruno0%
Neofytos Michael0%
Pêpê0%
Jonathan Silva0%
Mateo Tanlongo0%
Mehdi Boukamir0%
Rafael Pontelo0%
AEK Larnaca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Enzo Cabrera67%
Aitor Cantalapiedra50%
Valentin Roberge0%
Fran Sol0%
Giorgos Athanasiadis0%
Marcus Rohdén0%
Karol Angielski0%
Gus Ledes0%
Pere Pons0%
Jorge Miramón0%
Godswill Ekpolo0%
Yerson Chacón0%
Imad Faraj0%
Hrvoje Miličević0%
Jeremie Gnali0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enzo Cabrera33%
Karol Angielski33%
Yerson Chacón33%
Aitor Cantalapiedra25%
Pere Pons25%
Valentin Roberge0%
Fran Sol0%
Giorgos Athanasiadis0%
Marcus Rohdén0%
Gus Ledes0%
Jorge Miramón0%
Godswill Ekpolo0%
Imad Faraj0%
Hrvoje Miličević0%
Jeremie Gnali0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yerson Chacón33%
Jeremie Gnali33%
Valentin Roberge0%
Fran Sol0%
Enzo Cabrera0%
Giorgos Athanasiadis0%
Marcus Rohdén0%
Aitor Cantalapiedra0%
Karol Angielski0%
Gus Ledes0%
Pere Pons0%
Jorge Miramón0%
Godswill Ekpolo0%
Imad Faraj0%
Hrvoje Miličević0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Enzo Cabrera33%
Yerson Chacón33%
Valentin Roberge0%
Fran Sol0%
Giorgos Athanasiadis0%
Marcus Rohdén0%
Aitor Cantalapiedra0%
Karol Angielski0%
Gus Ledes0%
Pere Pons0%
Jorge Miramón0%
Godswill Ekpolo0%
Imad Faraj0%
Hrvoje Miličević0%
Jeremie Gnali0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OA (18)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
Pafos's squad is €13m more valuable than AEK Larnaca's (€28m vs €16m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
ENO (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
Pafos's attack is €7m more valuable than AEK Larnaca's (€14m vs €7m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
Pafos's midfield is €5m more valuable than AEK Larnaca's (€8m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
ENO (4)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
Pafos and AEK Larnaca have a similar defence value (both €7m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
PAF wins
2
Draws
4
AL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Pafos vs AEK Larnaca · H/A from PAF
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/24AAEK Larnaca Vs PAF0-2
06/04/24AAEK Larnaca Vs PAF3-0
25/02/24HPAF Vs AEK Larnaca0-1
22/01/24AAEK Larnaca Vs PAF1-0
07/10/23HPAF Vs AEK Larnaca0-0
21/05/23AAEK Larnaca Vs PAF1-1
11/04/23HPAF Vs AEK Larnaca4-0
04/01/23AAEK Larnaca Vs PAF1-0

PafosPafos

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/12/24AFC Lugano Vs PAF2-2
16/12/24ANea Salamis Vs PAF0-2
12/12/24HPAF Vs Celje2-0
08/12/24AEthnikos Achna Vs PAF0-2
02/12/24HPAF Vs Omonia Nicosia0-1
28/11/24AFiorentina Vs PAF3-2
23/11/24HPAF Vs Apoel Nicosia2-1
10/11/24AApollon Limassol Vs PAF0-1
07/11/24HPAF Vs FC Astana1-0
03/11/24HPAF Vs Omonia Aradippou4-0

AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/12/24HAL Vs Apollon Limassol4-0
06/12/24HAL Vs Omonia Aradippou1-0
01/12/24AOmonia 29is Maiou Vs AL1-5
25/11/24HAL Vs Karmiotissa2-0
09/11/24AEnosis Vs AL0-0
03/11/24HAL Vs Aris2-0
27/10/24AAEL Vs AL1-1
20/10/24HAL Vs Anorthosis1-0
06/10/24AApoel Nicosia Vs AL0-1
27/09/24ANea Salamis Vs AL1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Pafos
Pafos
Cyprus: 1. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.78
HomeWWWLW1.96
AwayWLWWD1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%60%48%
AVG goals2.682.602.76
Over 1.5 %70%60%80%
Over 2.5 %50%40%60%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.661.801.52
Conceded1.020.801.24
BTTS44%32%56%
Clean Sheet34%48%20%
Corners8.169.336.54
Cards5.314.786.00
AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca
Cyprus: 1. Division
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW2.04
HomeWWWWW2.08
AwayWWDDW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%64%56%
AVG goals2.282.562.00
Over 1.5 %66%84%48%
Over 2.5 %42%48%36%
Over 3.5 %20%16%24%
Scored1.521.721.32
Conceded0.760.840.68
BTTS38%40%36%
Clean Sheet52%48%56%
Corners9.319.509.13
Cards5.215.574.87

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PafosPafos3682
72%
2.3
6721+46
2.4
78%
44%
25%
9.3
31%
5.7
75%
28.5
100%
28
14871.90.6
56%
2ArisAris3675
61%
2.1
6631+35
2.7
81%
58%
19%
9.5
50%
5.7
100%
27.8
83%
11
3351.80.9
46%
3Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia3668
56%
1.9
6940+29
3.0
81%
58%
33%
13.0
75%
5.0
75%
26.0
75%
15
7351.91.1
49%
4AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca3668
53%
1.9
5830+28
2.4
78%
39%
22%
8.8
50%
4.5
100%
29.8
75%
16
7271.60.8
53%
5Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia3653
39%
1.5
5936+23
2.6
78%
58%
28%
9.3
47%
4.2
73%
27.7
87%
15
8351.61.0
58%
6AnorthosisAnorthosis3352
45%
1.6
5042+8
2.8
79%
58%
33%
10.3
58%
4.3
58%
27.1
92%
7
2131.51.3
50%
7Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol3646
33%
1.3
3739-2
2.1
64%
39%
17%
7.7
22%
4.9
78%
25.7
78%
15
7271.01.1
53%
8Ethnikos AchnaEthnikos Achna3339
27%
1.2
4453-9
2.9
76%
61%
39%
7.3
0%
3.3
33%
33.7
100%
0
0001.31.6
58%
9AELAEL3339
33%
1.2
3853-15
2.8
76%
58%
36%
10.2
75%
3.5
50%
27.8
100%
9
4231.21.6
44%
10EnosisEnosis3335
30%
1.1
3148-17
2.4
73%
39%
21%
9.1
44%
4.8
56%
27.9
100%
1
0010.91.5
40%
11Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou3335
30%
1.1
3258-26
2.7
70%
48%
30%
8.4
29%
6.0
86%
26.4
86%
5
1121.01.8
46%
12KarmiotissaKarmiotissa3334
27%
1.0
3057-27
2.6
82%
52%
21%
9.2
60%
5.0
60%
28.8
80%
3
0120.91.7
39%
13Nea SalamisNea Salamis3326
18%
0.8
3162-31
2.8
79%
55%
39%
14.0
100%
5.4
100%
28.0
80%
5
2220.91.9
46%
14Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou3314
9%
0.4
2365-42
2.7
76%
52%
21%
10.6
57%
5.3
86%
25.1
86%
3
0020.72.0
45%
Cyprus: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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