This opponent (Akritas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akritas
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.17
1.60
1.07
1.07
1.27
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
2.60
0.33
2.33
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (21)
1.48
0.90
1.80
0.80
1.18
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.75
2.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.8%
Under 1.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.5%
Under 2.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.8%
Under 3.5
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.7%
No
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.5%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.7%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.0%
Pafos goals ↓
Akritas goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.7%
5.0%
2.4%
0.6%
0.1%
1
12%
12%
4.3%
1.1%
0.2%
2
12%
9.6%
3.8%
1.0%
0.2%
3
7.2%
5.7%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
4
3.2%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pafos goals (down), columns = Akritas goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.42
AEK Larnaca
1.92
Apollon Limassol
1.86
Pafos
1.72
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Aris
1.42
Anorthosis
1.36
AEL
1.33
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.21
Krasava Ypsonas
1.21
Akritas
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.00
Enosis
0.15
Pafos is 0.66 points better than Akritas in terms of average points per game (1.72 vs 1.06).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.44
Pafos
1.83
AEK Larnaca
1.72
Aris
1.69
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.44
AEL
1.24
Krasava Ypsonas
1.09
Anorthosis
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.03
Olympiakos
0.97
Akritas
0.94
Omonia Aradippou
0.94
Enosis
0.33
Pafos is 0.89 goals better than Akritas in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 0.94).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.92
Pafos
1.06
Apollon Limassol
1.14
Anorthosis
1.21
Apoel Nicosia
1.25
Aris
1.25
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.33
Krasava Ypsonas
1.33
AEL
1.39
Ethnikos Achna
1.61
Akritas
1.76
Enosis
2.42
Pafos is 0.70 goals better than Akritas in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.76).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Pafos
55%
Olympiakos
54%
Apoel Nicosia
54%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Aris
52%
Omonia Nicosia
51%
Anorthosis
50%
AEK Larnaca
49%
AEL
49%
Ethnikos Achna
48%
Krasava Ypsonas
47%
Akritas
44%
Omonia Aradippou
43%
Enosis
41%
Pafos is 10.8 percentage points better than Akritas in terms of average possession (55% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Pafos
For 3.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 10.9 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Akritas
For 2.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 6.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 15.0 · Total 27.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pafos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.4
10.1
2.4
2.3
2.4
26.3
25.5
27.5
vs Stronger (6)
8.8
6.8
13.0
4.0
3.8
4.5
26.2
25.5
27.5
vs Similar (30)
8.9
8.2
9.7
2.3
2.0
2.5
25.8
24.7
26.8
vs Weaker (14)
9.8
10.5
8.5
1.9
2.1
1.5
27.7
26.8
29.5
% over line
25%
14%
40%
30%
28%
32%
83%
79%
90%
% under line
75%
86%
60%
70%
72%
68%
17%
21%
10%
This opponent (Akritas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akritas
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
6.7
4.0
8.0
0.3
0.3
0.4
27.7
30.0
26.5
vs Stronger (5)
7.0
4.0
10.0
2.6
2.3
3.0
29.0
30.0
28.0
vs Similar (38)
6.0
-
6.0
0.1
0.0
0.2
25.0
-
25.0
vs Weaker (7)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
33%
0%
50%
6%
4%
8%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
67%
100%
50%
94%
96%
92%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Omonia Nicosia
10.9
AEL
10.0
AEK Larnaca
9.5
Aris
9.4
Apoel Nicosia
9.4
Apollon Limassol
9.2
Anorthosis
9.1
Akritas
9.0
Enosis
8.9
Pafos
8.8
Olympiakos
8.5
Omonia Aradippou
8.5
Ethnikos Achna
8.4
Krasava Ypsonas
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Omonia Aradippou
6.0
Aris
5.6
Anorthosis
5.2
Apoel Nicosia
5.1
AEK Larnaca
5.1
Apollon Limassol
5.1
Pafos
5.1
Enosis
4.9
Ethnikos Achna
4.9
Omonia Nicosia
4.7
Olympiakos
4.6
AEL
4.6
Akritas
4.3
Krasava Ypsonas
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Krasava Ypsonas
31.0
Apoel Nicosia
29.5
Anorthosis
29.2
Enosis
28.4
Olympiakos
27.4
AEL
27.1
Ethnikos Achna
26.5
AEK Larnaca
26.4
Aris
26.2
Pafos
26.1
Omonia Aradippou
25.8
Apollon Limassol
25.4
Omonia Nicosia
24.8
Akritas
23.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
39.4%
Under 9.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.9%
Under 3.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
85.4%
Under 21.5
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pafos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.37
0.81
0.44
0.79
0.29
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.29
0.88
0.12
0.78
0.44
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Akritas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akritas
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.57
0.67
0.53
0.27
0.60
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.60
0.33
1.33
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.43
0.80
0.40
0.27
0.45
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pafos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pafos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.53
0.94
0.38
0.57
0.71
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.53
0.75
0.38
0.44
0.67
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.57
1.50
0.25
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Akritas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akritas
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.60
0.93
0.53
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.95
0.48
1.00
0.40
0.91
0.55
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.75
2.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pafos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akritas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Pafos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Correia35%
Alexandre Brito33%
David Luiz25%
Anderson Silva24%
Jajá23%
Domingos Quina14%
Bruno13%
Ivan Šunjić9%
Mislav Oršić8%
Vlad Dragomir8%
Mons Bassouamina7%
Derrick Luckassen5%
Pêpê4%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Jay Gorter0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Lelê0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Šunjić36%
Alexandre Brito33%
Ken Sema21%
David Luiz20%
Jay Gorter20%
Bruno Langa20%
Jajá18%
Bruno17%
Axel Guessand17%
Domingos Quina14%
Lelê14%
Derrick Luckassen14%
Mislav Oršić12%
Vlad Dragomir12%
Pêpê12%
Nikolas Ioannou11%
David Goldar9%
Kostas Pileas6%
João Correia6%
Landry Dimata0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mislav Oršić33%
Wilmer Odefalk20%
Landry Dimata17%
David Luiz15%
Ken Sema11%
Jajá9%
Pêpê8%
Kostas Pileas6%
João Correia6%
Domingos Quina5%
Ivan Šunjić5%
Bruno4%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Lelê0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lelê14%
Mislav Oršić12%
Anderson Silva12%
João Correia12%
David Luiz10%
Jajá9%
Domingos Quina5%
Bruno4%
Ivan Šunjić0%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Pêpê0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Akritas
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
José Romo25%
Ioannis Chatzivasilis22%
Stefanos Miller22%
Alberto Fernández10%
Nearchos Zinonos9%
Thomas Ioannou0%
Pavel Zabelin0%
Christos Hadjipaschalis0%
Kyriakos Antoniou0%
Anthony Limbombe Ekango0%
Emanuel Taffertshofer0%
Braydon Manu0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Benito0%
Chris Kablan0%
Izuchukwu Jude Anthony0%
Benson Anang0%
Kleton Perntreou0%
Adrián Riera0%
Yair Castro0%
Carlitos0%
Thierno Barry0%
Giorgos Vasiliou0%
Andreas Athanasiou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chris Kablan67%
Alberto Fernández50%
Adrián Riera50%
Pavel Zabelin33%
Carlitos33%
Emanuel Taffertshofer29%
Nearchos Zinonos27%
Izuchukwu Jude Anthony25%
Giorgos Vasiliou22%
Ioannis Chatzivasilis11%
Stefanos Miller11%
Thomas Ioannou10%
Kyriakos Antoniou10%
Yair Castro9%
Christos Hadjipaschalis0%
Anthony Limbombe Ekango0%
Braydon Manu0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Benito0%
Benson Anang0%
José Romo0%
Kleton Perntreou0%
Thierno Barry0%
Andreas Athanasiou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Braydon Manu20%
Anthony Limbombe Ekango17%
Carlitos17%
Alberto Fernández10%
Thomas Ioannou0%
Pavel Zabelin0%
Christos Hadjipaschalis0%
Kyriakos Antoniou0%
Ioannis Chatzivasilis0%
Emanuel Taffertshofer0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Benito0%
Chris Kablan0%
Izuchukwu Jude Anthony0%
Benson Anang0%
José Romo0%
Kleton Perntreou0%
Adrián Riera0%
Yair Castro0%
Thierno Barry0%
Stefanos Miller0%
Nearchos Zinonos0%
Giorgos Vasiliou0%
Andreas Athanasiou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yair Castro9%
Nearchos Zinonos9%
Thomas Ioannou0%
Pavel Zabelin0%
Christos Hadjipaschalis0%
Kyriakos Antoniou0%
Ioannis Chatzivasilis0%
Anthony Limbombe Ekango0%
Emanuel Taffertshofer0%
Braydon Manu0%
Emanuel Vignato0%
Benito0%
Chris Kablan0%
Izuchukwu Jude Anthony0%
Benson Anang0%
José Romo0%
Kleton Perntreou0%
Alberto Fernández0%
Adrián Riera0%
Carlitos0%
Thierno Barry0%
Stefanos Miller0%
Giorgos Vasiliou0%
Andreas Athanasiou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
Pafos's squad is €28m more valuable than Akritas's (€28m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
Pafos's attack is €14m more valuable than Akritas's (€14m vs €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
Pafos's midfield is €8m more valuable than Akritas's (€8m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
Pafos's defence is €6m more valuable than Akritas's (€7m vs €1m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
Anorthosis
AEL
Omonia Aradippou
Krasava Ypsonas
Olympiakos
Ethnikos Achna
Enosis