This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apollon Limassol
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.92
0.96
1.15
0.77
0.69
1.15
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
1.25
1.00
0.50
1.50
2.00
vs Similar (16)
0.75
1.19
1.12
1.12
0.38
1.25
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.17
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
42% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.2%
Under 1.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.2%
Under 2.5
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
18.4%
Under 3.5
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.4%
No
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.0%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
12.1%
2-0
12.0%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.4%
Pafos goals ↓
Apollon Limassol goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
6.8%
2.9%
0.7%
0.1%
1
15%
13%
4.3%
1.1%
0.2%
2
12%
8.8%
3.2%
0.8%
0.1%
3
6.0%
4.4%
1.6%
0.4%
0.1%
4
2.2%
1.6%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pafos goals (down), columns = Apollon Limassol goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Aris
2.06
Apoel Nicosia
1.97
AEK Larnaca
1.83
Apollon Limassol
1.77
Pafos
1.75
Anorthosis
1.57
Nea Salamis
1.45
Omonia Nicosia
1.36
AEL
1.26
Karmiotissa
1.20
Doxa
0.97
Enosis
0.93
Akritas
0.85
Olympiakos
0.70
Pafos is 0.02 points worse than Apollon Limassol in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 1.77).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Aris
1.81
Pafos
1.67
AEK Larnaca
1.53
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Apollon Limassol
1.34
Anorthosis
1.30
Nea Salamis
1.27
Omonia Nicosia
1.19
Enosis
1.00
Akritas
0.93
Karmiotissa
0.90
AEL
0.90
Doxa
0.80
Olympiakos
0.75
Pafos is 0.32 goals better than Apollon Limassol in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.34).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Apoel Nicosia
0.72
Aris
0.78
Pafos
0.83
AEL
1.03
AEK Larnaca
1.03
Apollon Limassol
1.06
Anorthosis
1.07
Omonia Nicosia
1.17
Enosis
1.30
Karmiotissa
1.35
Nea Salamis
1.38
Doxa
1.40
Olympiakos
1.55
Akritas
1.82
Pafos is 0.22 goals better than Apollon Limassol in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.06).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Omonia Nicosia
56%
AEK Larnaca
55%
Anorthosis
55%
Akritas
55%
Olympiakos
52%
Enosis
52%
Karmiotissa
50%
Apoel Nicosia
49%
Doxa
46%
AEL
45%
Pafos
45%
Aris
44%
Nea Salamis
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Pafos
For 5.2 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.0
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.2
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 17.2 · Total 28.8
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Apollon Limassol
For 5.0 · Against 3.1 · Total 8.1
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.4
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 14.0 · Total 26.9
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pafos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (17)
9.0
7.0
11.0
1.2
1.2
1.2
28.8
24.0
33.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
8.0
6.0
10.0
1.9
2.7
1.2
27.0
25.0
29.0
vs Weaker (10)
10.0
8.0
12.0
0.8
0.4
1.2
30.5
23.0
38.0
% over line
50%
0%
100%
18%
12%
22%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
100%
0%
82%
88%
78%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apollon Limassol
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (27)
8.8
9.1
8.5
2.2
2.1
2.3
24.6
25.7
23.9
vs Stronger (4)
10.5
8.0
13.0
1.8
2.0
1.5
17.5
20.0
15.0
vs Similar (17)
7.4
8.8
6.4
2.2
2.3
2.1
24.8
25.7
24.2
vs Weaker (6)
11.0
10.5
11.5
2.3
1.3
3.3
28.0
28.5
27.5
% over line
40%
43%
38%
30%
29%
31%
64%
67%
62%
% under line
60%
57%
62%
70%
71%
69%
36%
33%
38%
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Akritas
11.4
Aris
9.8
Enosis
9.8
Karmiotissa
9.8
Nea Salamis
9.7
Anorthosis
9.6
AEK Larnaca
9.2
Pafos
9.0
AEL
9.0
Apollon Limassol
8.8
Omonia Nicosia
8.5
Doxa
8.4
Apoel Nicosia
8.2
Olympiakos
8.0
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nea Salamis
6.1
Pafos
5.2
Apoel Nicosia
5.2
AEK Larnaca
5.2
Olympiakos
5.0
Anorthosis
5.0
Karmiotissa
4.9
AEL
4.8
Aris
4.7
Enosis
4.2
Akritas
4.1
Omonia Nicosia
4.0
Apollon Limassol
3.9
Doxa
3.8
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Nea Salamis
31.2
Apoel Nicosia
30.0
AEK Larnaca
29.9
AEL
29.4
Pafos
28.8
Olympiakos
28.2
Doxa
28.1
Karmiotissa
28.0
Aris
27.2
Enosis
27.1
Anorthosis
26.2
Apollon Limassol
24.6
Omonia Nicosia
23.5
Akritas
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
34.1%
Under 9.5
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.9%
Under 3.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.2%
Under 21.5
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pafos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.88
0.29
0.88
0.50
0.89
0.11
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.43
0.43
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.25
vs Weaker (10)
1.20
0.20
1.20
0.40
1.20
0.00
Clean sheet %
82% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apollon Limassol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.46
0.50
0.77
0.46
0.15
0.54
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.31
0.56
0.50
0.62
0.12
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.17
1.33
0.00
0.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
58% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pafos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pafos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.24
0.35
1.50
0.12
1.00
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.86
0.57
1.33
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (10)
1.50
0.20
1.60
0.20
1.40
0.20
Clean sheet %
71% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apollon Limassol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.46
0.46
0.38
0.31
0.54
0.62
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.62
0.62
0.50
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pafos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 2.5 cards
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 10.5 corners
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Pafos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
JoÃĢo Correia35%
Alexandre Brito33%
David Luiz25%
Anderson Silva24%
JajÃĄ23%
Domingos Quina14%
Bruno13%
Ivan Å unjiÄ9%
Mislav OrÅĄiÄ8%
Vlad Dragomir8%
Mons Bassouamina7%
Derrick Luckassen5%
PÊpÊ4%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Jay Gorter0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen MimoviÄ0%
LelÊ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Å unjiÄ36%
Alexandre Brito33%
Ken Sema21%
David Luiz20%
Jay Gorter20%
Bruno Langa20%
JajÃĄ18%
Bruno17%
Axel Guessand17%
Domingos Quina14%
LelÊ14%
Derrick Luckassen14%
Mislav OrÅĄiÄ12%
Vlad Dragomir12%
PÊpÊ12%
Nikolas Ioannou11%
David Goldar9%
Kostas Pileas6%
JoÃĢo Correia6%
Landry Dimata0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Ognjen MimoviÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mislav OrÅĄiÄ33%
Wilmer Odefalk20%
Landry Dimata17%
David Luiz15%
Ken Sema11%
JajÃĄ9%
PÊpÊ8%
Kostas Pileas6%
JoÃĢo Correia6%
Domingos Quina5%
Ivan Å unjiÄ5%
Bruno4%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen MimoviÄ0%
LelÊ0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
LelÊ14%
Mislav OrÅĄiÄ12%
Anderson Silva12%
JoÃĢo Correia12%
David Luiz10%
JajÃĄ9%
Domingos Quina5%
Bruno4%
Ivan Å unjiÄ0%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
PÊpÊ0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen MimoviÄ0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Apollon Limassol
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Valentin Roberge50%
Ioannis Pittas17%
Patrick Joosten17%
Euclides Cabral17%
VukaÅĄin JovanoviÄ0%
Chambos Kyriakou0%
Danilo Spoljaric0%
Ezekiel Henty0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Israel Coll0%
Haitam Aleesami0%
Amine Khammas0%
Hervin Ongenda0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Aleksandar JovanoviÄ0%
Nicolas Diguiny0%
Bagaliy Dabo0%
Ido Shahar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Haitam Aleesami50%
VukaÅĄin JovanoviÄ33%
Nicolas Diguiny25%
Bagaliy Dabo25%
Chambos Kyriakou20%
Aleksandar JovanoviÄ20%
Ioannis Pittas17%
Israel Coll17%
Euclides Cabral17%
Valentin Roberge0%
Danilo Spoljaric0%
Ezekiel Henty0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Amine Khammas0%
Patrick Joosten0%
Hervin Ongenda0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Ido Shahar0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Chambos Kyriakou20%
Ido Shahar20%
Ioannis Pittas17%
Patrick Joosten17%
VukaÅĄin JovanoviÄ0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Danilo Spoljaric0%
Ezekiel Henty0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Israel Coll0%
Haitam Aleesami0%
Amine Khammas0%
Hervin Ongenda0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Aleksandar JovanoviÄ0%
Euclides Cabral0%
Nicolas Diguiny0%
Bagaliy Dabo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hervin Ongenda25%
VukaÅĄin JovanoviÄ0%
Chambos Kyriakou0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Danilo Spoljaric0%
Ezekiel Henty0%
Bassel Jradi0%
Ioannis Pittas0%
Israel Coll0%
Haitam Aleesami0%
Amine Khammas0%
Patrick Joosten0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Aleksandar JovanoviÄ0%
Euclides Cabral0%
Nicolas Diguiny0%
Bagaliy Dabo0%
Ido Shahar0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KAR (12)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
Pafos's squad is €13m more valuable than Apollon Limassol's (€28m vs €15m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Pafos's attack is €7m more valuable than Apollon Limassol's (€14m vs €7m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Pafos's midfield is €5m more valuable than Apollon Limassol's (€8m vs €2m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OLY (8)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
Pafos and Apollon Limassol have a similar defence value (both €7m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
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Aris
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Anorthosis
Nea Salamis
Omonia Nicosia
AEL
Karmiotissa
Doxa
Enosis
Akritas
Olympiakos