This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nea Salamis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.14
1.27
1.27
0.90
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.71
0.80
2.20
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (12)
1.33
1.00
1.80
0.60
1.00
1.29
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
29% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.8%
Under 2.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.1%
Under 3.5
73.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.7%
3-0
5.9%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
Pafos goals ↓
Nea Salamis goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.7%
5.7%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
1
11%
13%
5.2%
1.6%
0.4%
2
11%
9.6%
4.4%
1.3%
0.3%
3
5.9%
5.4%
2.4%
0.7%
0.2%
4
2.5%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pafos goals (down), columns = Nea Salamis goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Aris
2.06
Apoel Nicosia
1.97
AEK Larnaca
1.83
Apollon Limassol
1.77
Pafos
1.75
Anorthosis
1.57
Nea Salamis
1.45
Omonia Nicosia
1.36
AEL
1.26
Karmiotissa
1.20
Doxa
0.97
Enosis
0.93
Akritas
0.85
Olympiakos
0.70
Pafos is 0.30 points better than Nea Salamis in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 1.45).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Aris
1.81
Pafos
1.67
AEK Larnaca
1.53
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Apollon Limassol
1.34
Anorthosis
1.30
Nea Salamis
1.27
Omonia Nicosia
1.19
Enosis
1.00
Akritas
0.93
Karmiotissa
0.90
AEL
0.90
Doxa
0.80
Olympiakos
0.75
Pafos is 0.39 goals better than Nea Salamis in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.27).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Apoel Nicosia
0.72
Aris
0.78
Pafos
0.83
AEL
1.03
AEK Larnaca
1.03
Apollon Limassol
1.06
Anorthosis
1.07
Omonia Nicosia
1.17
Enosis
1.30
Karmiotissa
1.35
Nea Salamis
1.38
Doxa
1.40
Olympiakos
1.55
Akritas
1.82
Pafos is 0.54 goals better than Nea Salamis in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.38).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Omonia Nicosia
56%
AEK Larnaca
55%
Anorthosis
55%
Akritas
55%
Olympiakos
52%
Enosis
52%
Karmiotissa
50%
Apoel Nicosia
49%
Doxa
46%
AEL
45%
Pafos
45%
Aris
44%
Nea Salamis
40%
Pafos is 4.7 percentage points better than Nea Salamis in terms of average possession (45% vs 40%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Pafos
For 5.3 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.4
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.9
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 15.9 · Total 27.1
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nea Salamis
For 3.5 · Against 5.9 · Total 9.4
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.7
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 16.5 · Total 30.0
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pafos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (21)
9.4
8.0
11.3
2.0
2.2
1.7
27.1
25.8
29.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
8.3
7.5
10.0
2.7
4.8
1.0
27.7
27.0
29.0
vs Weaker (12)
10.2
8.5
12.0
1.4
0.5
2.3
26.8
24.5
29.0
% over line
43%
0%
100%
24%
20%
27%
86%
100%
67%
% under line
57%
100%
0%
76%
80%
73%
14%
0%
33%
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nea Salamis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (21)
9.4
10.1
8.4
3.3
3.9
2.7
30.0
32.1
27.0
vs Stronger (7)
9.2
9.2
-
3.3
4.6
0.0
28.2
28.2
-
vs Similar (12)
9.7
11.3
8.5
3.5
4.0
3.1
31.4
37.3
27.0
vs Weaker (2)
8.0
-
8.0
2.5
0.0
5.0
27.0
-
27.0
% over line
50%
57%
40%
52%
64%
40%
83%
86%
80%
% under line
50%
43%
60%
48%
36%
60%
17%
14%
20%
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Akritas
10.8
Aris
10.0
Anorthosis
9.8
Enosis
9.7
AEL
9.6
Pafos
9.4
Nea Salamis
9.4
Doxa
9.2
Apollon Limassol
8.9
Karmiotissa
8.9
AEK Larnaca
8.8
Omonia Nicosia
8.3
Olympiakos
7.9
Apoel Nicosia
7.7
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Pafos
5.9
Nea Salamis
5.8
Apoel Nicosia
5.5
Anorthosis
5.2
AEK Larnaca
5.1
AEL
4.9
Aris
4.7
Enosis
4.6
Apollon Limassol
4.5
Olympiakos
4.4
Karmiotissa
4.3
Akritas
4.2
Omonia Nicosia
4.1
Doxa
3.8
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
AEK Larnaca
30.9
Apoel Nicosia
30.7
Nea Salamis
30.0
Aris
28.9
Enosis
27.9
Doxa
27.6
Anorthosis
27.5
Pafos
27.1
AEL
26.4
Karmiotissa
26.3
Olympiakos
25.9
Apollon Limassol
24.8
Omonia Nicosia
23.9
Akritas
23.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
34.6%
Under 9.5
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
78.5%
Under 3.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.7%
Under 21.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pafos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.29
1.00
0.50
0.82
0.09
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.40
0.20
vs Weaker (12)
1.25
0.25
1.33
0.50
1.17
0.00
Clean sheet %
81% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nea Salamis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.38
0.67
0.45
0.82
0.30
0.50
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
1.14
0.20
1.40
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (12)
0.58
0.50
0.80
0.40
0.43
0.57
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
52% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pafos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pafos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.14
0.38
1.40
0.30
0.91
0.45
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.67
1.25
0.50
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (12)
1.42
0.17
1.50
0.17
1.33
0.17
Clean sheet %
71% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nea Salamis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.71
0.48
0.82
0.45
0.60
0.50
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.57
0.60
0.80
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.20
0.57
0.71
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pafos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 10.5 corners
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Pafos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
JoÃĢo Correia35%
Alexandre Brito33%
David Luiz25%
Anderson Silva24%
JajÃĄ23%
Domingos Quina14%
Bruno13%
Ivan Å unjiÄ9%
Mislav OrÅĄiÄ8%
Vlad Dragomir8%
Mons Bassouamina7%
Derrick Luckassen5%
PÊpÊ4%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Jay Gorter0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen MimoviÄ0%
LelÊ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Å unjiÄ36%
Alexandre Brito33%
Ken Sema21%
David Luiz20%
Jay Gorter20%
Bruno Langa20%
JajÃĄ18%
Bruno17%
Axel Guessand17%
Domingos Quina14%
LelÊ14%
Derrick Luckassen14%
Mislav OrÅĄiÄ12%
Vlad Dragomir12%
PÊpÊ12%
Nikolas Ioannou11%
David Goldar9%
Kostas Pileas6%
JoÃĢo Correia6%
Landry Dimata0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Ognjen MimoviÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mislav OrÅĄiÄ33%
Wilmer Odefalk20%
Landry Dimata17%
David Luiz15%
Ken Sema11%
JajÃĄ9%
PÊpÊ8%
Kostas Pileas6%
JoÃĢo Correia6%
Domingos Quina5%
Ivan Å unjiÄ5%
Bruno4%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen MimoviÄ0%
LelÊ0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
LelÊ14%
Mislav OrÅĄiÄ12%
Anderson Silva12%
JoÃĢo Correia12%
David Luiz10%
JajÃĄ9%
Domingos Quina5%
Bruno4%
Ivan Å unjiÄ0%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
PÊpÊ0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen MimoviÄ0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Nea Salamis · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andreas Frangos33%
Alexandros Michael25%
Apostolos Vellios20%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad TomoviÄ0%
Serge Leuko0%
Yassine Bahassa0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Victor Fernandez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konstantinos Sergiou67%
Serge Leuko67%
Danny Bejarano40%
Carlitos33%
Yassine Bahassa20%
Apostolos Vellios0%
Alexandros Michael0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Nenad TomoviÄ0%
Miguelito0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fiorin Durmishaj25%
Yassine Bahassa20%
Victor Fernandez20%
Apostolos Vellios0%
Alexandros Michael0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad TomoviÄ0%
Serge Leuko0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fiorin Durmishaj25%
Apostolos Vellios20%
Alexandros Michael0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad TomoviÄ0%
Serge Leuko0%
Yassine Bahassa0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KAR (12)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
Pafos's squad is €24m more valuable than Nea Salamis's (€28m vs €5m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Pafos's attack is €12m more valuable than Nea Salamis's (€14m vs €2m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Pafos's midfield is €6m more valuable than Nea Salamis's (€8m vs €2m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OLY (8)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
Pafos's defence is €5m more valuable than Nea Salamis's (€7m vs €2m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
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Aris
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Anorthosis
Apollon Limassol
Omonia Nicosia
AEL
Karmiotissa
Doxa
Enosis
Akritas
Olympiakos