This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nea Salamis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.67
0.69
1.88
1.86
1.43
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
2.14
0.33
2.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
1.60
1.65
1.00
1.56
2.09
1.73
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.8%
Under 1.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.6%
Under 2.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.2%
Under 3.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.3%
No
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
Pafos goals ↓
Nea Salamis goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
4.8%
3.6%
1.5%
0.5%
1
7.6%
12%
6.5%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.8%
9.6%
5.9%
2.4%
0.7%
3
4.7%
5.8%
3.6%
1.5%
0.5%
4
2.1%
2.6%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pafos goals (down), columns = Nea Salamis goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Pafos
2.28
Aris
2.08
AEK Larnaca
1.89
Omonia Nicosia
1.89
Anorthosis
1.58
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.28
AEL
1.18
Ethnikos Achna
1.18
Enosis
1.06
Omonia Aradippou
1.06
Karmiotissa
1.03
Nea Salamis
0.79
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.42
Pafos is 1.49 points better than Nea Salamis in terms of average points per game (2.28 vs 0.79).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
1.92
Pafos
1.86
Aris
1.83
Apoel Nicosia
1.64
AEK Larnaca
1.61
Anorthosis
1.52
Ethnikos Achna
1.33
AEL
1.15
Apollon Limassol
1.03
Omonia Aradippou
0.97
Enosis
0.94
Nea Salamis
0.94
Karmiotissa
0.91
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.70
Pafos is 0.92 goals better than Nea Salamis in terms of goals scored per game (1.86 vs 0.94).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Pafos
0.58
AEK Larnaca
0.83
Aris
0.86
Apoel Nicosia
1.00
Apollon Limassol
1.08
Omonia Nicosia
1.11
Anorthosis
1.27
Enosis
1.45
AEL
1.61
Ethnikos Achna
1.61
Karmiotissa
1.73
Omonia Aradippou
1.76
Nea Salamis
1.88
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.97
Pafos is 1.30 goals better than Nea Salamis in terms of goals conceded per game (0.58 vs 1.88).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Apoel Nicosia
58%
Ethnikos Achna
58%
Pafos
56%
AEK Larnaca
53%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Anorthosis
50%
Omonia Nicosia
49%
Omonia Aradippou
46%
Nea Salamis
46%
Aris
46%
Omonia 29is Maiou
45%
AEL
44%
Enosis
40%
Karmiotissa
39%
Pafos is 10.2 percentage points better than Nea Salamis in terms of average possession (56% vs 46%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Pafos
For 4.8 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.2
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.2
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 11.6 · Total 25.7
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nea Salamis
For 4.0 · Against 7.7 · Total 11.7
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 10.4 · Total 23.4
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pafos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
9.4
7.2
4.0
3.8
4.2
25.6
25.3
25.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (31)
8.7
9.3
7.8
3.7
3.9
3.5
26.9
26.5
27.5
vs Weaker (19)
8.1
9.5
6.8
4.4
3.6
5.3
23.9
23.1
24.6
% over line
35%
55%
12%
58%
54%
62%
78%
74%
82%
% under line
65%
45%
88%
42%
46%
38%
22%
26%
18%
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nea Salamis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.1
11.0
3.9
3.8
3.9
24.2
23.4
25.0
vs Stronger (11)
10.3
10.0
10.6
4.9
3.8
6.2
23.3
24.0
22.4
vs Similar (34)
9.7
8.3
10.9
3.6
3.9
3.3
24.3
23.2
25.4
vs Weaker (5)
11.5
11.0
12.0
3.4
3.5
3.3
25.5
22.5
28.5
% over line
54%
35%
71%
58%
54%
62%
68%
60%
76%
% under line
46%
65%
29%
42%
46%
38%
32%
40%
24%
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Omonia Nicosia
10.3
Nea Salamis
9.8
AEL
9.8
Apollon Limassol
9.6
Apoel Nicosia
9.5
AEK Larnaca
9.4
Aris
9.4
Karmiotissa
9.4
Enosis
8.8
Anorthosis
8.8
Pafos
8.4
Ethnikos Achna
8.3
Omonia Aradippou
6.0
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Omonia Aradippou
10.0
Aris
5.4
Apoel Nicosia
5.4
Anorthosis
5.3
Apollon Limassol
5.3
Ethnikos Achna
5.1
Pafos
5.1
Enosis
5.0
AEK Larnaca
5.0
Karmiotissa
4.8
Nea Salamis
4.7
Omonia Nicosia
4.6
AEL
4.6
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Apoel Nicosia
29.9
Anorthosis
29.3
Enosis
28.5
Omonia Aradippou
27.0
AEL
26.8
Karmiotissa
26.7
Ethnikos Achna
26.1
Aris
25.6
Pafos
25.5
AEK Larnaca
25.4
Apollon Limassol
25.3
Nea Salamis
24.9
Omonia Nicosia
23.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.2%
Under 9.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.1%
Under 3.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
76.6%
Under 21.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pafos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.80
0.47
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.76
0.50
0.40
0.36
1.09
vs Weaker (9)
1.11
0.44
1.40
0.60
0.75
0.25
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nea Salamis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.31
0.44
1.00
0.71
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.43
0.33
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.70
0.33
0.44
1.00
0.91
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pafos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pafos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
1.00
0.53
0.60
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.48
0.60
0.60
0.36
0.36
vs Weaker (9)
1.56
0.67
1.80
0.40
1.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nea Salamis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.10
0.38
1.44
0.86
0.71
vs Stronger (7)
0.00
1.71
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.95
0.67
1.11
1.09
0.82
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pafos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Pafos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
JoÃĢo Correia26%
Anderson Silva23%
David Goldar22%
Muamer TankoviÄ20%
Jairo da Silva19%
Mislav OrÅĄiÄ14%
JajÃĄ14%
Vlad Dragomir12%
LÃĐo Natel9%
Moustapha Name9%
Mateo Tanlongo8%
Jonathan Silva6%
Derrick Luckassen5%
Bruno4%
Ivan Å unjiÄ0%
Ken Sema0%
Ivica IvuÅĄiÄ0%
Zvonimir Å arlija0%
Marios Ilia0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Domingos Quina0%
Neofytos Michael0%
PÊpÊ0%
Mehdi Boukamir0%
Rafael Pontelo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Derrick Luckassen42%
Jonathan Silva33%
JoÃĢo Correia30%
Kostas Pileas30%
Mehdi Boukamir29%
Muamer TankoviÄ28%
Moustapha Name27%
Ivan Å unjiÄ25%
Zvonimir Å arlija22%
Domingos Quina21%
Bruno20%
PÊpÊ17%
Jairo da Silva15%
David Goldar13%
Vlad Dragomir12%
Ken Sema11%
LÃĐo Natel9%
JajÃĄ9%
Mateo Tanlongo8%
Anderson Silva4%
Mislav OrÅĄiÄ0%
Ivica IvuÅĄiÄ0%
Marios Ilia0%
Neofytos Michael0%
Rafael Pontelo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Muamer TankoviÄ20%
Jonathan Silva17%
Jairo da Silva15%
JajÃĄ14%
PÊpÊ12%
Anderson Silva12%
Ken Sema11%
Ivan Å unjiÄ8%
Mateo Tanlongo8%
Bruno8%
Vlad Dragomir8%
Domingos Quina5%
Mislav OrÅĄiÄ0%
Ivica IvuÅĄiÄ0%
Zvonimir Å arlija0%
LÃĐo Natel0%
Marios Ilia0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Moustapha Name0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michael0%
JoÃĢo Correia0%
David Goldar0%
Mehdi Boukamir0%
Rafael Pontelo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Muamer TankoviÄ32%
Mislav OrÅĄiÄ29%
JajÃĄ18%
Jairo da Silva15%
JoÃĢo Correia13%
Vlad Dragomir12%
Anderson Silva12%
David Goldar4%
Ivan Å unjiÄ4%
Ken Sema0%
Ivica IvuÅĄiÄ0%
Zvonimir Å arlija0%
LÃĐo Natel0%
Marios Ilia0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Domingos Quina0%
Moustapha Name0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Bruno0%
Neofytos Michael0%
PÊpÊ0%
Jonathan Silva0%
Mateo Tanlongo0%
Mehdi Boukamir0%
Rafael Pontelo0%
Nea Salamis
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andreas Frangos33%
Alexandros Michael25%
Apostolos Vellios20%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad TomoviÄ0%
Serge Leuko0%
Yassine Bahassa0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Victor Fernandez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konstantinos Sergiou67%
Serge Leuko67%
Danny Bejarano40%
Carlitos33%
Yassine Bahassa20%
Apostolos Vellios0%
Alexandros Michael0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Nenad TomoviÄ0%
Miguelito0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fiorin Durmishaj25%
Yassine Bahassa20%
Victor Fernandez20%
Apostolos Vellios0%
Alexandros Michael0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad TomoviÄ0%
Serge Leuko0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fiorin Durmishaj25%
Apostolos Vellios20%
Alexandros Michael0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad TomoviÄ0%
Serge Leuko0%
Yassine Bahassa0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OA (18)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
Pafos's squad is €24m more valuable than Nea Salamis's (€28m vs €5m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
ENO (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
Pafos's attack is €12m more valuable than Nea Salamis's (€14m vs €2m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
Pafos's midfield is €6m more valuable than Nea Salamis's (€8m vs €2m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
ENO (4)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
Pafos's defence is €5m more valuable than Nea Salamis's (€7m vs €2m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
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Aris
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
Anorthosis
Apollon Limassol
Ethnikos Achna
AEL
Enosis
Omonia Aradippou
Karmiotissa
Omonia 29is Maiou