Pafos enter the match on a positive streak, having won their last game 3-0 against Karmiotissa, and the model rates a home win as the clear favourite. Their home form shows an impressive average of 2.75 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded against weaker opponents, while Olympiakos, playing away, averages just 1 goal scored and 2.5 conceded against stronger teams. This disparity explains the 68% chance of a Pafos victory, a 21% draw probability and a 11% chance of an Olympiakos win. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a modestly high scoring affair, with the most likely scoreline being 2-0 for the home side at a 13.5% probability. The model’s selections echo this confidence: the Home win, Away under 2.5 HT goals, Away under 3.5 goals, Under 7.5, Away under 2.5 2H goals, Under 6.5 (edge 6%), Home +2 handicap (edge 3%), Away under 2.5 goals (edge 6%), and Home under 2.5 HT goals (edge 5%) all carry probabilities above 94%. These picks underline the expectation that Pafos will dominate the match and keep the scoreline within a narrow range.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Pafos win
68.3%
Avg Implied 65.8% · @ 1.39
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.45
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Dafabet
1.39
Draw
21.2%
Avg Implied 20.5% · @ 4.45
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.73
Dafabet
4.60
Betfair
4.60
1xBet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Olympiakos win
10.6%
Avg Implied 13.7% · @ 6.69
Edge
-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
7.51
Betano
7.10
1xBet
7.03
Betfair
7.00
Dafabet
7.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Pafos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.23
2.20
1.07
1.27
1.40
vs Stronger (4)
1.75
1.50
3.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
1.50
1.50
1.67
1.11
1.29
2.00
vs Weaker (10)
2.10
0.70
2.75
0.50
1.67
0.83
Clean sheet %
33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.37
1.00
1.40
1.13
1.33
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
2.11
0.60
1.80
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (21)
1.19
1.05
1.20
1.20
1.18
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.0%
@ 1.20-0.2%
Under 1.5
23.0%
@ 4.06+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betano
3.95
1xBet
3.90
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.9%
@ 1.67-4.5%
Under 2.5
48.1%
@ 2.16+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.24
Bet365
2.15
1xBet
2.12
Betano
2.12
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.7%
@ 2.62-5.7%
Under 3.5
70.3%
@ 1.44+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.65
Pinnacle
2.63
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.56
Under
Pinnacle
1.45
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.40
Both teams to score
Yes
44.6%
@ 1.91-4.0%
No
55.4%
@ 1.80+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
2.10
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.87
William Hil
1.85
Bet365
1.83
No
William Hil
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.82
Betfair
1.67
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.5%@ 6.53+6.7%
1-0
12.2%@ 6.60+5.5%
1-1
10.0%@ 8.00+4.5%
2-1
9.4%@ 7.48+3.4%
3-0
9.3%@ 9.09+4.3%
0-0
7.3%@ 12.26+3.7%
3-1
6.4%@ 10.52+2.2%
4-0
4.8%@ 15.71+1.9%
Pafos goals ↓
Olympiakos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.3%
3.5%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
1
12%
10%
3.2%
0.7%
0.1%
2
14%
9.4%
3.3%
0.8%
0.1%
3
9.3%
6.4%
2.2%
0.5%
0.1%
4
4.8%
3.3%
1.1%
0.3%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pafos goals (down), columns = Olympiakos goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.42
AEK Larnaca
1.92
Apollon Limassol
1.86
Pafos
1.72
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Aris
1.42
Anorthosis
1.36
AEL
1.33
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Nea Salamis
1.21
Krasava Ypsonas
1.21
Olympiakos
1.21
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.10
Karmiotissa
1.00
Pafos is 0.51 points better than Olympiakos in terms of average points per game (1.72 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.44
Pafos
1.83
AEK Larnaca
1.72
Aris
1.69
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.44
AEL
1.24
Nea Salamis
1.14
Krasava Ypsonas
1.09
Anorthosis
1.06
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.03
Olympiakos
0.97
Omonia Aradippou
0.94
Karmiotissa
0.94
Pafos is 0.86 goals better than Olympiakos in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.92
Pafos
1.06
Apollon Limassol
1.14
Anorthosis
1.21
Aris
1.25
Apoel Nicosia
1.25
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Krasava Ypsonas
1.33
Olympiakos
1.33
AEL
1.39
Nea Salamis
1.52
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.68
Karmiotissa
1.85
Pafos is 0.28 goals better than Olympiakos in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Pafos
55%
Olympiakos
54%
Apoel Nicosia
54%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Aris
52%
Omonia Nicosia
51%
Anorthosis
50%
AEK Larnaca
49%
AEL
49%
Krasava Ypsonas
47%
Omonia Aradippou
43%
Pafos is 0.9 percentage points better than Olympiakos in terms of average possession (55% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Pafos
For 4.6 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 12.7 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Olympiakos
For 3.0 · Against 3.8 · Total 6.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.4 · Against 14.0 · Total 29.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pafos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
8.9
10.8
2.7
2.7
2.8
25.1
25.2
24.9
vs Stronger (9)
10.9
7.8
14.0
3.6
2.6
4.8
22.6
23.8
21.5
vs Similar (22)
9.9
9.7
10.2
2.6
2.7
2.5
25.7
25.7
25.8
vs Weaker (19)
8.8
9.0
8.5
2.5
2.8
2.2
26.4
25.7
27.5
% over line
48%
44%
54%
40%
40%
40%
68%
69%
67%
% under line
52%
56%
46%
60%
60%
60%
32%
31%
33%
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
6.8
4.0
7.7
0.6
0.1
1.1
29.4
31.0
28.8
vs Stronger (10)
6.7
3.0
8.5
0.8
0.4
1.2
26.0
27.0
25.5
vs Similar (38)
6.8
5.0
7.2
0.6
0.1
1.1
31.4
35.0
30.5
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
12%
0%
17%
6%
0%
12%
88%
100%
83%
% under line
88%
100%
83%
94%
100%
88%
12%
0%
17%
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
10.6
Nea Salamis
10.2
Omonia Nicosia
10.0
Krasava Ypsonas
9.9
Apoel Nicosia
9.8
Aris
9.7
Pafos
9.6
AEL
9.3
Karmiotissa
9.3
AEK Larnaca
9.2
Apollon Limassol
9.2
Anorthosis
8.7
Olympiakos
8.2
Omonia Aradippou
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aris
5.7
Anorthosis
5.3
Omonia 29is Maiou
5.3
Omonia Aradippou
5.2
Apoel Nicosia
5.1
AEK Larnaca
5.1
Pafos
4.9
Apollon Limassol
4.9
AEL
4.8
Nea Salamis
4.7
Karmiotissa
4.6
Omonia Nicosia
4.6
Olympiakos
4.4
Krasava Ypsonas
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Anorthosis
29.5
Omonia Aradippou
28.9
Olympiakos
27.8
AEL
27.6
Apoel Nicosia
27.2
Karmiotissa
27.0
Aris
26.2
Pafos
26.1
AEK Larnaca
26.0
Omonia 29is Maiou
25.1
Nea Salamis
25.0
Omonia Nicosia
24.9
Krasava Ypsonas
24.3
Apollon Limassol
24.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
36.3%
Under 9.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.8%
Under 3.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
86.6%
Under 21.5
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Pafos or Draw
89.4%
Avg Implied 86.1% · @ 1.08
Edge
+3.3%
68%
21%
11%
covers Pafos + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Pafos or Olympiakos
78.8%
Avg Implied 80.1% · @ 1.17
Edge
-1.2%
68%
21%
11%
covers Pafos + Olympiakos
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Draw or Olympiakos
31.7%
Avg Implied 33.8% · @ 2.76
Edge
-2.1%
68%
21%
11%
covers Draw + Olympiakos
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.95
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.79
William Hil
2.75
Bet365
2.62
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Pafos over/under 0.5
Over
87.2%
@ 1.08+1.1%
Under
12.8%
@ 6.72-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Under
1xBet
7.90
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.00
Betano
6.00
Pafos over/under 1.5
Over
60.9%
@ 1.49-1.7%
Under
39.1%
@ 2.50+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
1xBet
1.48
Betfair
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.57
Betano
2.45
1xBet
2.45
Bet365
2.38
Pafos over/under 2.5
Over
33.9%
@ 2.56-2.6%
Under
66.1%
@ 1.47+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.54
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.50
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Pafos over/under 3.5
Over
15.3%
@ 4.84-3.9%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.15+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.70
Betano
4.65
Under
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Olympiakos over/under 0.5
Over
50.1%
@ 1.68-5.5%
Under
49.9%
@ 2.10+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.62
Under
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
2.15
Betfair
2.10
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.02
Olympiakos over/under 1.5
Over
15.4%
@ 4.22-6.6%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.20+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Betano
4.25
1xBet
4.15
Bet365
4.00
Under
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Olympiakos over/under 2.5
Over
3.4%
@ 10.15-5.9%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.03+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.70
Betano
9.75
Bet365
9.00
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.03
Olympiakos over/under 3.5
Over
0.6%
@ 17.00-99.4%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Pafos, so a minus line means Pafos give that many goals of a start and Olympiakos receive them. At -1, Pafos must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Pafos win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Pafos)
Pafos -2
23.0%
@ 3.75-1.0%
Draw -2
21.2%
@ 4.33+0.5%
Olympiakos +2
55.8%
@ 1.62+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.75
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Away
Bet365
1.62
Handicap -1 (Pafos)
Pafos -1
44.2%
@ 2.15+2.3%
Draw -1
24.1%
@ 3.62-0.7%
Olympiakos +1
31.7%
@ 2.71-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.10
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.50
Away
Betfair
2.80
Bet365
2.62
Handicap +1 (Pafos)
Pafos +1
89.4%
@ 1.12+9.0%
Draw +1
7.5%
@ 7.50-4.5%
Olympiakos -1
3.0%
@ 12.00-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Away
Bet365
12.00
Handicap +2 (Pafos)
Pafos +2
97.0%
@ 1.03+4.8%
Draw +2
2.4%
@ 19.00-2.6%
Olympiakos -2
0.6%
@ 34.00-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.03
Draw
Bet365
19.00
Away
Bet365
34.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pafos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.47
1.07
0.33
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.25
1.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.69
0.78
0.33
0.43
1.14
vs Weaker (10)
0.90
0.20
1.50
0.25
0.50
0.17
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.57
0.40
0.47
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
1.00
0.20
1.00
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.38
0.50
0.20
0.64
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.8%
@ 1.31+2.3%
Under 0.5
26.2%
@ 3.27-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.40
Betfair
3.25
1xBet
3.22
Betano
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.1%
@ 2.43-0.4%
Under 1.5
61.9%
@ 1.52+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.43
1xBet
2.41
Bet365
2.38
Under
William Hil
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.1%
@ 5.52-1.7%
Under 2.5
84.9%
@ 1.12+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Betano
5.50
1xBet
5.10
Under
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pafos over/under 0.5 HT
Over
63.2%
@ 1.53+2.2%
Under
36.8%
@ 2.39-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.51
1xBet
1.51
Under
Pinnacle
2.49
1xBet
2.38
Betano
2.30
Pafos over/under 1.5 HT
Over
25.9%
@ 3.50-0.6%
Under
74.1%
@ 1.26+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.60
1xBet
3.40
Under
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Pafos over/under 2.5 HT
Over
6.2%
@ 8.93-4.1%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.03+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.60
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Olympiakos over/under 0.5 HT
Over
31.1%
@ 2.95-0.3%
Under
68.9%
@ 1.35+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.00
1xBet
2.90
Under
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Olympiakos over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.6%
@ 10.72-2.2%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.03+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.70
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Olympiakos over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pafos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.77
1.13
0.73
0.87
0.80
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.25
2.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.88
0.81
0.89
0.78
0.86
0.86
vs Weaker (10)
1.20
0.50
1.25
0.25
1.17
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.80
0.60
0.93
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.11
0.40
0.80
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.67
0.70
1.00
0.55
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.0%
@ 1.19+2.2%
Under 0.5
19.0%
@ 4.39-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Under
1xBet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.45
William Hil
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.7%
@ 1.90-0.3%
Under 1.5
51.3%
@ 1.82+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.95
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.88
Bet365
1.83
Under
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.81
William Hil
1.75
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.0%
@ 3.71-4.2%
Under 2.5
79.0%
@ 1.25+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.60
1xBet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pafos over/under 0.5 2H
Over
67.3%
@ 1.35-1.2%
Under
32.7%
@ 2.95+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Under
Betano
3.00
1xBet
2.90
Pafos over/under 1.5 2H
Over
30.6%
@ 2.58-5.3%
Under
69.4%
@ 1.45+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.60
Betano
2.57
Under
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.43
Pafos over/under 2.5 2H
Over
11.5%
@ 6.05-3.8%
Under
88.5%
@ 1.09+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.40
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.07
Olympiakos over/under 0.5 2H
Over
36.4%
@ 2.46-1.3%
Under
63.6%
@ 1.49+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.47
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Olympiakos over/under 1.5 2H
Over
6.4%
@ 8.50-4.5%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.04+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.40
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.02
Olympiakos over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 3.5 goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+5.7%
Home +2 handicap
97.0%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+4.8%
Away under 2.5 goals
96.6%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
+5.9%
Under 5.5
93.9%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+5.5%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.8%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.1%
Over 19.5 fouls
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
93.6%
1.04
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.5%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.4%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+2.2%
Home or Draw
89.4%
1.08
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
+3.3%
Home +1 handicap
89.4%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+9.0%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
88.5%
1.09
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-
+3.8%
Home over 0.5 goals
87.2%
1.08
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.05
-
+1.1%
Over 21.5 fouls
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
85.5%
1.16
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.13
-
-
+5.8%
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.9%
1.12
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
+1.7%
Home under 3.5 goals
84.7%
1.15
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
+3.9%
Over 2.5 cards
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
84.6%
1.20
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Betfair
1.17
-
+6.6%
Under 11.5 corners
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.0%
1.19
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.16
-
+2.2%
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.0%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
-
+4.2%
Home or Away
78.8%
1.17
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
-1.2%
Over 1.5
77.0%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.18
-
-
-0.2%
Over 23.5 fouls
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
74.1%
1.26
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.26
-
-
-
+0.6%
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.8%
1.31
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.29
+2.3%
Under 3.5
70.3%
1.44
Pinnacle
1.45
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.40
-
+5.7%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Pafos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Correia35%
Alexandre Brito33%
David Luiz25%
Anderson Silva24%
Jajá23%
Domingos Quina14%
Bruno13%
Ivan Šunjić9%
Mislav Oršić8%
Vlad Dragomir8%
Mons Bassouamina7%
Derrick Luckassen5%
Pêpê4%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Jay Gorter0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Lelê0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Šunjić36%
Alexandre Brito33%
Ken Sema21%
David Luiz20%
Jay Gorter20%
Bruno Langa20%
Jajá18%
Bruno17%
Axel Guessand17%
Domingos Quina14%
Lelê14%
Derrick Luckassen14%
Mislav Oršić12%
Vlad Dragomir12%
Pêpê12%
Nikolas Ioannou11%
David Goldar9%
Kostas Pileas6%
João Correia6%
Landry Dimata0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mislav Oršić33%
Wilmer Odefalk20%
Landry Dimata17%
David Luiz15%
Ken Sema11%
Jajá9%
Pêpê8%
Kostas Pileas6%
João Correia6%
Domingos Quina5%
Ivan Šunjić5%
Bruno4%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Lelê0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lelê14%
Mislav Oršić12%
Anderson Silva12%
João Correia12%
David Luiz10%
Jajá9%
Domingos Quina5%
Bruno4%
Ivan Šunjić0%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Pêpê0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Olympiakos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Kovalenko33%
Admir Bajrović25%
Jean Felipe17%
João Tavares17%
Leonidas Konomis14%
Iasonas Pikis12%
João Mário0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Stefanos Charalampous0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Orhan Dzepar0%
Henrique Gomes0%
Mauricio0%
Vladimir Bradonjić0%
Vieirinha0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Christos Talichmanidis0%
Geron Tocka0%
Richie Omorowa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Henrique Gomes33%
Orhan Dzepar29%
João Mário25%
Stefanos Charalampous14%
Mauricio14%
Vieirinha14%
Leonidas Konomis14%
Iasonas Pikis12%
Vladimir Bradonjić12%
Christos Talichmanidis12%
Viktor Kovalenko0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Admir Bajrović0%
Jean Felipe0%
João Tavares0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Geron Tocka0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Mário25%
Geron Tocka20%
Jean Felipe17%
Vladimir Bradonjić12%
Viktor Kovalenko0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Iasonas Pikis0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Stefanos Charalampous0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Admir Bajrović0%
Orhan Dzepar0%
Henrique Gomes0%
João Tavares0%
Mauricio0%
Vieirinha0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Christos Talichmanidis0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Leonidas Konomis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Kovalenko0%
João Mário0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Iasonas Pikis0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Stefanos Charalampous0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Admir Bajrović0%
Orhan Dzepar0%
Jean Felipe0%
Henrique Gomes0%
João Tavares0%
Mauricio0%
Vladimir Bradonjić0%
Vieirinha0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Christos Talichmanidis0%
Geron Tocka0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Leonidas Konomis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
Pafos's squad is €25m more valuable than Olympiakos's (€28m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
KY (8)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
Pafos's attack is €12m more valuable than Olympiakos's (€14m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
Pafos's midfield is €7m more valuable than Olympiakos's (€8m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
Pafos's defence is €5m more valuable than Olympiakos's (€7m vs €2m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Omonia 29is Maiou
AEK Larnaca
AEL
Nea Salamis
Apollon Limassol
Aris
Omonia Aradippou
Omonia Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
Anorthosis
Karmiotissa
Krasava Ypsonas