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Paide vs Flora Tallinn Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2022
Time: 14:15
Final 1-2
Paide
Paide
Vs
31%
25%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Paide win✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn win✓ Hit
44.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

PaidePaide

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-732W01L00D00D30W02L03L00D42W72WA·DIN07/07H·DIN14/07A·ARA21/07H·ARA28/07H·TAM31/07H·AND04/08A·AND11/08H·KUR14/08H·VAP17/08A·TAL20/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.101.102.401.071.791.14
vs Stronger (2)0.002.500.002.000.003.00
vs Similar (10)0.601.100.601.400.600.80
vs Weaker (17)3.240.943.670.782.751.12
Clean sheet %31% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-761W10W10W23L20W70W32W10W11D31WH·VAP29/06A·LEG02/07H·SJK07/07A·SJK14/07H·TAL17/07A·LEG22/07A·KUR31/07A·TAM05/08H·TRA13/08H·VAP20/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.650.622.620.462.690.77
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.500.501.330.001.671.00
vs Weaker (20)3.000.653.000.603.000.70
Clean sheet %58% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.5%
Under 1.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.7%
Under 2.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.7%
Under 3.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.2%
No
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
1-2 ✓
9.0%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.0%
0-1
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
0-0
4.6%
Paide goals ↓
Flora Tallinn goals →
01234
04.6%5.6%6.0%3.7%1.7%
14.4%11%9.0%5.5%2.5%
24.0%7.3%6.7%4.1%1.9%
32.0%3.7%3.4%2.1%0.9%
40.7%1.4%1.3%0.8%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Paide goals (down), columns = Flora Tallinn goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Flora Tallinn
2.69
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.19
Paide
1.81
Kalju Nomme
1.81
Elva
1.50
Kuressaare
1.39
Tammeka
1.08
Trans Narva
1.06
Tallinna Kalev
0.97
Legion
0.76
Vaprus
0.31
Paide is 0.89 points worse than Flora Tallinn in terms of average points per game (1.81 vs 2.69).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Flora Tallinn
2.61
Paide
2.33
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.06
Kalju Nomme
1.64
Kuressaare
1.36
Trans Narva
1.19
Tallinna Kalev
1.17
Tammeka
1.06
Legion
0.97
Vaprus
0.89
Elva
0.50
Paide is 0.28 goals worse than Flora Tallinn in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 2.61).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Flora Tallinn
0.58
FC Levadia Tallinn
0.69
Kalju Nomme
0.83
Paide
1.03
Kuressaare
1.42
Elva
1.50
Tammeka
1.58
Trans Narva
1.61
Legion
2.18
Tallinna Kalev
2.56
Vaprus
2.67
Paide is 0.44 goals worse than Flora Tallinn in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 0.58).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PaidePaide

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L00D00D00D20W02L00D00D21W50WA·DIN07/07H·DIN14/07A·ARA21/07H·ARA28/07H·TAM31/07H·AND04/08A·AND11/08H·KUR14/08H·VAP17/08A·TAL20/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.591.070.600.790.57
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (10)0.100.600.200.600.000.60
vs Weaker (17)1.530.531.670.441.380.62
Clean sheet %52% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W00D10W10W10W40W10W10W11D11DH·VAP29/06A·LEG02/07H·SJK07/07A·SJK14/07H·TAL17/07A·LEG22/07A·KUR31/07A·TAM05/08H·TRA13/08H·VAP20/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.420.311.540.381.310.23
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.830.171.000.000.670.33
vs Weaker (20)1.600.351.700.501.500.20
Clean sheet %73% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Paide over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PaidePaide

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W01L00D00D10W00D03L00D21W22DA·DIN07/07H·DIN14/07A·ARA21/07H·ARA28/07H·TAM31/07H·AND04/08A·AND11/08H·KUR14/08H·VAP17/08A·TAL20/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.521.330.471.000.57
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.000.000.003.00
vs Similar (10)0.500.500.400.800.600.20
vs Weaker (17)1.710.412.000.331.380.50
Clean sheet %59% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W10W00D13L10W30W22D00D00D20WH·VAP29/06A·LEG02/07H·SJK07/07A·SJK14/07H·TAL17/07A·LEG22/07A·KUR31/07A·TAM05/08H·TRA13/08H·VAP20/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.311.080.081.380.54
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.670.330.330.001.000.67
vs Weaker (20)1.400.301.300.101.500.50
Clean sheet %81% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Paide over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards81.4%--------
Under 5.5 cards72.1%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
Paide and Flora Tallinn have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Paide and Flora Tallinn have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
Paide and Flora Tallinn have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Paide and Flora Tallinn have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
PAI wins
1
Draws
1
FT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Paide vs Flora Tallinn · H/A from PAI
DateH/AGameScore
08/05/22AFlora Tallinn Vs PAI0-0
13/03/22HPAI Vs Flora Tallinn1-2

PaidePaide

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/22ATallinna Kalev Vs PAI2-7
17/08/22HPAI Vs Vaprus4-2
14/08/22HPAI Vs Kuressaare0-0
11/08/22AAnderlecht Vs PAI3-0
04/08/22HPAI Vs Anderlecht0-2
31/07/22HPAI Vs Tammeka3-0
28/07/22HPAI Vs Ararat-Armenia0-0
21/07/22AArarat-Armenia Vs PAI0-0
14/07/22HPAI Vs Dinamo Tbilisi0-1
07/07/22ADinamo Tbilisi Vs PAI2-3

Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/22HFT Vs Vaprus3-1
13/08/22HFT Vs Trans Narva1-1
05/08/22ATammeka Vs FT0-1
31/07/22AKuressaare Vs FT2-3
22/07/22ALegion Vs FT0-7
17/07/22HFT Vs Tallinna Kalev2-0
14/07/22ASJK Vs FT3-2
07/07/22HFT Vs SJK1-0
02/07/22ALegion Vs FT0-1
29/06/22HFT Vs Vaprus6-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Paide
Paide
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWW1.66
HomeDWLDW1.60
AwayDWDLW1.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%47%50%
AVG goals3.213.472.93
Over 1.5 %72%73%71%
Over 2.5 %62%60%64%
Over 3.5 %34%40%29%
Scored2.102.401.79
Conceded1.101.071.14
BTTS48%40%57%
Clean Sheet31%40%21%
Corners7.678.337.00
Cards5.336.004.00
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW2.65
HomeWWWDW2.69
AwayWLWWW2.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %85%85%85%
AVG goals3.273.083.46
Over 1.5 %81%77%85%
Over 2.5 %54%38%69%
Over 3.5 %38%38%38%
Scored2.652.622.69
Conceded0.620.460.77
BTTS42%38%46%
Clean Sheet58%62%54%
Corners12.508.0017.00
Cards6.507.006.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3697
86%
2.7
9421+73
3.2
81%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.60.6
-
2FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3679
67%
2.2
7425+49
2.8
69%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.10.7
-
3PaidePaide3665
53%
1.8
8437+47
3.4
78%
64%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.31.0
-
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3665
53%
1.8
5930+29
2.5
75%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.60.8
-
5KuressaareKuressaare3650
36%
1.4
4951-2
2.8
72%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.41.4
-
6TammekaTammeka3639
28%
1.1
3857-19
2.6
75%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.6
-
7Trans NarvaTrans Narva3638
28%
1.1
4358-15
2.8
72%
44%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.6
-
8Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3635
28%
1.0
4292-50
3.7
86%
67%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
9LegionLegion3829
18%
0.8
3783-46
3.2
82%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
10VaprusVaprus3611
8%
0.3
3296-64
3.6
75%
64%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.92.7
-
11ElvaElva23
50%
1.5
13-2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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