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Paide vs Nõmme United Result & Analysis

Date: 10/03/2024
Time: 10:30
Final 3-1
Paide
Paide
vs
Nõmme United
Nõmme United
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paide win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nõmme United win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PaidePaide

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W12L21W40W10W12L33D31W22D30WH·VAP23/09A·TAL27/09A·TAM30/09H·LAA08/10H·KUR22/10A·FLO28/10A·KAL31/10A·TRA04/11H·FC 11/11A·VAP03/03
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.871.540.851.470.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.731.090.800.800.671.33
vs Weaker (19)1.950.742.000.881.910.64
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Nõmme United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nõmme UnitedNõmme United

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-881W00D50W21W30W22D30W32W70W02LA·PAI22/09H·VII28/09A·LEG02/10H·JK 08/10H·K-J22/10A·FC 29/10A·FCI02/11H·FLO06/11A·ELV12/11A·FLO01/03← Esiliiga AMeistriliiga →
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
3.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.200.772.730.803.670.73
vs Stronger (4)0.750.751.000.500.501.00
vs Similar (26)3.580.773.000.854.150.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.42
Paide
2.00
Kalju Nomme
2.00
Flora Tallinn
1.94
Trans Narva
1.17
Tammeka
1.17
Viimsi
1.00
Vaprus
0.97
Kuressaare
0.94
Tallinna Kalev
0.87
Nõmme United
0.42
Paide is 1.58 points better than Nõmme United in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.42).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.28
Kalju Nomme
2.19
Paide
2.06
Flora Tallinn
1.92
Trans Narva
1.33
Tammeka
1.31
Kuressaare
1.28
Tallinna Kalev
1.00
Vaprus
0.97
Nõmme United
0.61
Viimsi
0.50
Paide is 1.44 goals better than Nõmme United in terms of goals scored per game (2.06 vs 0.61).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Viimsi
0.50
FC Levadia Tallinn
0.53
Paide
1.08
Flora Tallinn
1.19
Kalju Nomme
1.22
Tammeka
1.50
Vaprus
1.58
Trans Narva
1.75
Kuressaare
1.86
Tallinna Kalev
1.97
Nõmme United
2.19
Paide is 1.11 goals better than Nõmme United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 2.19).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PaidePaide

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L20W20W00D10W23L20W20W00DH·VAP23/09A·TAL27/09A·TAM30/09H·LAA08/10H·KUR22/10A·FLO28/10A·KAL31/10A·TRA04/11H·FC 11/11A·VAP03/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.330.920.310.710.35
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.550.450.600.000.500.83
vs Weaker (19)0.950.261.120.500.820.09
Clean sheet %83% (+56pp vs league)
This opponent (Nõmme United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nõmme UnitedNõmme United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W00D30W10W20W11D00D20W40W02LA·PAI22/09H·VII28/09A·LEG02/10H·JK 08/10H·K-J22/10A·FC 29/10A·FCI02/11H·FLO06/11A·ELV12/11A·FLO01/03← Esiliiga AMeistriliiga →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.370.930.271.530.47
vs Stronger (4)0.250.500.500.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)1.380.351.000.311.770.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %77% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Paide over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nõmme United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nõmme United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nõmme United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PaidePaide

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D01L20W10W02L10W11D02L30WH·VAP23/09A·TAL27/09A·TAM30/09H·LAA08/10H·KUR22/10A·FLO28/10A·KAL31/10A·TRA04/11H·FC 11/11A·VAP03/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.620.540.760.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.180.640.200.800.170.50
vs Weaker (19)1.000.470.880.381.090.55
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Nõmme United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nõmme UnitedNõmme United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W00D20W11D10W11D30W12L30W00DA·PAI22/09H·VII28/09A·LEG02/10H·JK 08/10H·K-J22/10A·FC 29/10A·FCI02/11H·FLO06/11A·ELV12/11A·FLO01/03← Esiliiga AMeistriliiga →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.970.401.800.532.130.27
vs Stronger (4)0.500.250.500.500.500.00
vs Similar (26)2.190.422.000.542.380.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Paide) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Paide over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paide over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nõmme United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nõmme United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nõmme United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

No selections above 70% probability for this match.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
NU (26)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
Paide's squad is €2m more valuable than Nõmme United's (€4m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
NU (8)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Paide's attack is €1m more valuable than Nõmme United's (€2m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
NU (7)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
Paide and Nõmme United have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
NU (11)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Paide and Nõmme United have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
PAI wins
0
Draws
0
NU wins

Head-to-head

Paide vs Nõmme United · H/A from PAI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

PaidePaide

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/03/24AVaprus Vs PAI0-3
11/11/23HPAI Vs FC Levadia Tallinn2-2
04/11/23ATrans Narva Vs PAI1-3
31/10/23AKalju Nomme Vs PAI3-3
28/10/23AFlora Tallinn Vs PAI2-1
22/10/23HPAI Vs Kuressaare1-0
08/10/23HPAI Vs Laagri4-0
30/09/23ATammeka Vs PAI1-2
27/09/23ATallinna Kalev Vs PAI2-1
23/09/23HPAI Vs Vaprus3-0

Nõmme UnitedNõmme United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/24AFlora Tallinn Vs NU2-0
12/11/23AElva Vs NU0-7
06/11/23HNU Vs Flora II3-2
02/11/23AFCI Levadia II Vs NU0-3
29/10/23AFC Tallinn Vs NU2-2
22/10/23HNU Vs K-Järve JK Järve3-0
08/10/23HNU Vs JK Tabasalu2-1
02/10/23ALegion Vs NU0-5
28/09/23HNU Vs Viimsi0-0
22/09/23APaide II Vs NU1-8

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Paide
Paide
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDW1.56
HomeWWWWD1.57
AwayWLDWW1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%43%37%
AVG goals2.502.572.44
Over 1.5 %66%61%70%
Over 2.5 %44%39%48%
Over 3.5 %22%22%22%
Scored1.561.701.44
Conceded0.940.871.00
BTTS48%35%59%
Clean Sheet38%48%30%
Corners9.009.00-
Cards10.0010.00-
Nõmme United
Nõmme United
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWL2.36
HomeWDWWW2.33
AwayWDWWL2.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %74%71%77%
AVG goals3.903.624.15
Over 1.5 %92%92%92%
Over 2.5 %72%71%73%
Over 3.5 %54%50%58%
Scored2.982.673.27
Conceded0.920.960.88
BTTS48%58%38%
Clean Sheet44%38%50%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3687
75%
2.4
8219+63
2.8
75%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.30.5
-
2Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3672
58%
2.0
7944+35
3.4
92%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.21.2
-
3PaidePaide3672
64%
2.0
7439+35
3.1
81%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.11.1
-
4Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3670
58%
1.9
6943+26
3.1
78%
64%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.2
-
5TammekaTammeka3642
31%
1.2
4754-7
2.8
81%
61%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.5
-
6Trans NarvaTrans Narva3642
28%
1.2
4863-15
3.1
78%
58%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.31.8
-
7VaprusVaprus3635
25%
1.0
3557-22
2.6
69%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.6
-
8KuressaareKuressaare3634
22%
0.9
4667-21
3.1
81%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.31.9
-
9Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3833
21%
0.9
3875-37
3.0
84%
55%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
10Nõmme UnitedNõmme United3615
6%
0.4
2279-57
2.8
86%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.62.2
-
11ViimsiViimsi22
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.50.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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