Paide vs Tammeka Result & Analysis

Paide are tipped to take the win, with a 54% chance of triumph, a 29% chance of a draw and 18% for Tammeka. The match is expected to see about 2.3 goals, most likely a single-goal total of 2. The single most probable scoreline is 1-0, with a 14.5% chance. Paide, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 0.67 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Tammeka, on the road against a stronger opponent, averages 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s selection is Under 3.5 with an 80.8% probability. Paide’s recent form is a win-loss-win-draw-loss streak, ending with a victory over Flora Tallinn, whereas Tammeka’s last five are loss-win-win-win-win, after a defeat to Flora Tallinn. The predicted outcome is a home win, with the match likely to finish 1-0.

Paide’s win extends their recent run, coming off a victory over Flora Tallinn, while Tammeka, after a defeat, had a strong five-game streak. The final score was 6-3, a home win that matched the model’s favourite, which was correctly identified as a home win with a 54% probability. The model had expected a modest total of 2.3 goals, most likely 2, yet the match produced 9 goals, far exceeding the forecast. The only suggested pick was Under 3.5 goals at an 80.8% probability, which missed as the game went well over that line. All figures are presented exactly as supplied.