Paide vs Trans Narva Prediction & Stats

Paide’s recent 2-game winning streak and a 2-1 victory over Flora Tallinn set a positive tone for their home fixture, while Trans Narva’s recent form - two straight defeats followed by a 0-2 loss to Tammeka - suggests they are struggling on the road. The model rates a home win as the clear favourite, giving Paide a 72% chance of triumph, a draw 18% and an away win 10%. The expected total goals hover at 3.3, with the most likely total being three goals at 22%. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0, with a 11.4% probability. Paide’s home form shows they average 3.0 goals scored and only 0.56 conceded against weaker opponents, whereas Trans Narva’s away form yields 0.62 goals scored and 2.25 conceded against stronger sides. Suggested picks include Away under 3.5 goals at 99%, Under 7.5 at 98.2%, Home +2 handicap at 96.9%, Under 6.5 at 95.2%, Away under 2.5 goals at 94.9%, Home over 0.5 goals at 91.2%, Home or Draw at 90.1% and Home +1 handicap also at 90.1%.