This opponent (Benevento) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Benevento
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
2.00
1.80
1.73
1.00
2.27
vs Stronger (17)
1.29
2.47
1.50
2.25
1.11
2.67
vs Similar (12)
1.58
1.50
2.33
1.33
0.83
1.67
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Palermo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.2%
Under 2.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.9%
Under 3.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.2%
No
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
9.3%
0-0 ✓
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
3-0
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
Palermo goals ↓
Benevento goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
4.6%
2.9%
1.0%
0.2%
1
9.3%
12%
5.4%
1.8%
0.5%
2
9.7%
9.9%
5.1%
1.7%
0.4%
3
6.1%
6.2%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.8%
2.9%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Palermo goals (down), columns = Benevento goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Brescia
1.86
Lecce
1.83
Palermo
1.75
Benevento
1.67
Pescara
1.53
Hellas Verona
1.44
Spezia
1.42
Cittadella
1.42
Perugia
1.39
Cremonese
1.36
Cosenza
1.28
Ascoli
1.19
Foggia
1.19
Crotone
1.19
Livorno
1.08
Salernitana
1.06
Venezia
1.06
Padova
0.86
Carpi
0.81
Palermo is 0.08 points better than Benevento in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Brescia
1.92
Lecce
1.83
Benevento
1.69
Palermo
1.58
Spezia
1.47
Pescara
1.39
Perugia
1.36
Hellas Verona
1.36
Cittadella
1.36
Foggia
1.22
Salernitana
1.14
Ascoli
1.11
Crotone
1.11
Carpi
1.08
Livorno
1.06
Cremonese
1.03
Padova
1.00
Venezia
0.97
Cosenza
0.94
Palermo is 0.11 goals worse than Benevento in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 1.69).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.92
Palermo
1.06
Cittadella
1.06
Brescia
1.17
Cosenza
1.17
Crotone
1.17
Lecce
1.25
Benevento
1.25
Pescara
1.28
Spezia
1.28
Hellas Verona
1.28
Venezia
1.28
Foggia
1.36
Perugia
1.36
Padova
1.36
Livorno
1.42
Ascoli
1.56
Salernitana
1.58
Carpi
1.86
Palermo is 0.19 goals better than Benevento in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Palermo
For 4.1 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 14.1 · Total 28.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Benevento
For 6.3 · Against 3.2 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.4 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 16.4 · Total 32.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Palermo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.7
9.5
4.3
4.9
3.8
29.1
27.9
30.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
11.0
11.0
11.0
4.1
5.1
3.2
28.9
28.2
29.5
vs Weaker (27)
8.4
8.7
8.2
4.5
4.8
4.2
29.3
27.7
30.9
% over line
48%
44%
52%
58%
68%
48%
92%
92%
92%
% under line
52%
56%
48%
42%
32%
52%
8%
8%
8%
This opponent (Benevento) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Benevento
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.8
9.3
4.5
4.5
4.5
27.5
27.3
27.7
vs Stronger (31)
9.8
9.9
9.8
4.4
4.2
4.6
26.2
25.6
26.8
vs Similar (18)
8.9
9.3
8.6
4.6
4.8
4.3
29.4
29.8
29.1
vs Weaker (1)
13.0
13.0
-
6.0
6.0
-
33.0
33.0
-
% over line
46%
50%
42%
68%
69%
67%
80%
81%
79%
% under line
54%
50%
58%
32%
31%
33%
20%
19%
21%
This opponent (Palermo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Livorno
12.1
Cremonese
10.8
Venezia
10.8
Foggia
10.7
Crotone
10.3
Cittadella
10.2
Brescia
10.2
Hellas Verona
10.2
Spezia
10.1
Padova
10.1
Pescara
10.0
Salernitana
9.9
Lecce
9.8
Cosenza
9.8
Palermo
9.6
Benevento
9.6
Carpi
9.3
Ascoli
9.1
Perugia
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Padova
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Livorno
5.2
Cittadella
5.0
Ascoli
4.9
Lecce
4.8
Brescia
4.7
Cremonese
4.7
Pescara
4.7
Salernitana
4.7
Perugia
4.7
Hellas Verona
4.5
Benevento
4.5
Venezia
4.4
Palermo
4.3
Spezia
4.2
Foggia
4.1
Crotone
4.0
Carpi
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cittadella
32.6
Brescia
32.2
Perugia
31.5
Ascoli
31.5
Salernitana
31.0
Carpi
30.9
Cremonese
30.7
Lecce
30.1
Cosenza
30.0
Venezia
30.0
Padova
29.9
Pescara
29.9
Spezia
29.7
Palermo
29.1
Foggia
28.6
Livorno
28.4
Benevento
27.5
Hellas Verona
26.1
Crotone
26.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
46.8%
Under 9.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.3%
Under 3.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.1%
Under 21.5
6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Palermo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.40
0.47
0.13
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.54
0.44
0.11
0.25
1.50
vs Weaker (17)
0.47
0.29
0.50
0.17
0.45
0.36
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Benevento) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Benevento
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.67
0.67
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (17)
0.59
0.82
0.50
0.75
0.67
0.89
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.67
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Palermo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Palermo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Palermo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Palermo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Palermo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.53
1.47
0.60
0.93
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.00
0.54
1.00
0.56
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (17)
1.35
0.53
2.17
0.67
0.91
0.45
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Benevento) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Benevento
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.27
1.13
1.07
0.47
1.47
vs Stronger (17)
0.71
1.65
1.00
1.50
0.44
1.78
vs Similar (12)
0.92
0.83
1.33
0.67
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Palermo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Palermo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Palermo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Palermo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Palermo · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dennis Johnsen67%
Joel Pohjanpalo33%
Tommaso Augello33%
Filippo Ranocchia33%
Dominic Vavassori33%
Hernani0%
Nahuel Estévez0%
Jacopo Segre0%
Pietro Ceccaroni0%
Gabriel Strefezza0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nahuel Estévez33%
Tommaso Augello33%
Jacopo Segre33%
Gabriel Strefezza33%
Joel Pohjanpalo0%
Hernani0%
Filippo Ranocchia0%
Pietro Ceccaroni0%
Dennis Johnsen0%
Dominic Vavassori0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dennis Johnsen67%
Joel Pohjanpalo33%
Hernani33%
Nahuel Estévez0%
Tommaso Augello0%
Jacopo Segre0%
Filippo Ranocchia0%
Pietro Ceccaroni0%
Gabriel Strefezza0%
Dominic Vavassori0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Filippo Ranocchia67%
Joel Pohjanpalo0%
Hernani0%
Nahuel Estévez0%
Tommaso Augello0%
Jacopo Segre0%
Pietro Ceccaroni0%
Gabriel Strefezza0%
Dennis Johnsen0%
Dominic Vavassori0%
Benevento · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Francesco Salvemini67%
Davide Lamesta33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Pietro Beruatto0%
Mattia Maita0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pietro Beruatto33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Francesco Salvemini0%
Mattia Maita0%
Davide Lamesta0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pietro Beruatto33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Francesco Salvemini0%
Mattia Maita0%
Davide Lamesta0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Davide Lamesta33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Francesco Salvemini0%
Pietro Beruatto0%
Mattia Maita0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (36)
€117m
LEC (31)
€72m
HV (34)
€57m
PAL (27)
€54m
CRE (30)
€49m
PAD (31)
€25m
BEN (30)
€12m
SPE (34)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
PES (27)
€8m
Palermo's squad is €42m more valuable than Benevento's (€54m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (9)
€39m
PAL (7)
€23m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
PAD (9)
€6m
ASC (11)
€5m
PES (10)
€4m
BEN (8)
€4m
SPE (10)
€3m
Palermo's attack is €19m more valuable than Benevento's (€23m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (11)
€31m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
PAL (7)
€12m
PAD (9)
€7m
SPE (11)
€4m
BEN (9)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
PES (6)
€1m
Palermo's midfield is €9m more valuable than Benevento's (€12m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (16)
€47m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PAL (13)
€19m
PAD (13)
€12m
BEN (13)
€5m
SPE (13)
€4m
PES (11)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
Palermo's defence is €14m more valuable than Benevento's (€19m vs €5m).
Italy: Serie B 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Brescia
Lecce
Pescara
Hellas Verona
Cittadella
Spezia
Perugia
Cremonese
Cosenza
Ascoli
Venezia
Salernitana
Padova