This opponent (Salernitana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Salernitana
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.30
1.27
1.20
1.20
1.40
vs Stronger (11)
1.36
1.18
1.29
1.14
1.50
1.25
vs Similar (19)
1.16
1.37
1.25
1.25
1.09
1.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Palermo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.8%
Under 1.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.2%
Under 2.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.5%
Under 3.5
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.3%
No
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.7%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.9%
Palermo goals ↓
Salernitana goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.2%
5.9%
2.2%
0.6%
1
10%
14%
7.3%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.3%
8.2%
4.6%
1.7%
0.5%
3
3.0%
3.4%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.9%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Palermo goals (down), columns = Salernitana goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Empoli
2.02
Frosinone
1.71
Parma
1.71
Palermo
1.69
Bari
1.60
Venezia
1.60
Cittadella
1.57
Perugia
1.43
Foggia
1.38
Spezia
1.26
Carpi
1.24
Salernitana
1.21
Cesena
1.19
Cremonese
1.14
Pescara
1.14
Avellino
1.14
Brescia
1.14
Ascoli
1.10
Virtus Entella
1.05
Novara
1.05
Pro Vercelli
0.95
Ternana
0.88
Palermo is 0.48 points better than Salernitana in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Empoli
2.10
Perugia
1.60
Foggia
1.57
Frosinone
1.55
Ternana
1.48
Cittadella
1.45
Bari
1.40
Palermo
1.40
Parma
1.36
Venezia
1.33
Cesena
1.31
Salernitana
1.21
Pescara
1.19
Avellino
1.17
Cremonese
1.14
Pro Vercelli
1.12
Spezia
1.10
Novara
1.00
Brescia
0.98
Virtus Entella
0.98
Ascoli
0.95
Carpi
0.76
Palermo is 0.19 goals better than Salernitana in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Parma
0.88
Palermo
0.93
Venezia
1.00
Spezia
1.07
Carpi
1.10
Cremonese
1.12
Frosinone
1.12
Bari
1.14
Cittadella
1.14
Empoli
1.17
Brescia
1.24
Novara
1.24
Virtus Entella
1.29
Perugia
1.38
Salernitana
1.38
Ascoli
1.43
Avellino
1.43
Cesena
1.45
Pescara
1.52
Foggia
1.62
Pro Vercelli
1.67
Ternana
1.83
Palermo is 0.45 goals better than Salernitana in terms of goals conceded per game (0.93 vs 1.38).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Palermo
For 5.0 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 15.5 · Total 29.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Salernitana
For 4.1 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.6 · Against 16.2 · Total 32.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Palermo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.2
9.7
4.5
5.2
3.8
29.4
29.8
29.0
vs Stronger (14)
10.9
10.7
11.1
4.3
5.3
3.3
26.4
28.0
24.9
vs Similar (23)
10.0
10.3
9.8
4.7
5.3
4.2
30.6
30.1
31.0
vs Weaker (13)
8.8
9.6
7.4
4.5
5.1
3.4
30.5
30.9
29.8
% over line
56%
48%
64%
64%
84%
44%
94%
96%
92%
% under line
44%
52%
36%
36%
16%
56%
6%
4%
8%
This opponent (Salernitana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Salernitana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
8.6
10.6
1.8
1.8
1.9
31.8
32.7
30.8
vs Stronger (16)
9.0
8.8
9.3
2.5
2.3
2.7
32.5
35.2
28.0
vs Similar (34)
10.0
8.4
11.1
1.5
1.4
1.6
31.2
30.2
32.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
40%
60%
26%
28%
24%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
60%
40%
74%
72%
76%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Palermo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Venezia
11.4
Cittadella
11.0
Frosinone
10.9
Brescia
10.9
Cremonese
10.8
Virtus Entella
10.8
Foggia
10.8
Ternana
10.5
Spezia
10.4
Carpi
10.4
Perugia
10.3
Pescara
10.3
Bari
10.2
Empoli
10.0
Palermo
9.9
Novara
9.8
Cesena
9.8
Salernitana
9.6
Pro Vercelli
9.6
Avellino
9.6
Parma
9.5
Ascoli
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Frosinone
5.1
Avellino
5.0
Parma
4.9
Empoli
4.8
Cremonese
4.8
Ascoli
4.8
Carpi
4.8
Perugia
4.8
Pro Vercelli
4.7
Novara
4.7
Spezia
4.6
Brescia
4.6
Cittadella
4.6
Salernitana
4.5
Bari
4.5
Palermo
4.5
Pescara
4.5
Cesena
4.3
Virtus Entella
4.2
Venezia
4.2
Foggia
3.8
Ternana
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Avellino
34.5
Virtus Entella
34.0
Frosinone
33.1
Perugia
32.5
Carpi
32.3
Salernitana
31.8
Brescia
31.7
Cremonese
31.7
Cittadella
31.6
Novara
31.5
Ascoli
30.5
Cesena
29.9
Empoli
29.8
Pescara
29.7
Parma
29.6
Palermo
29.4
Bari
29.1
Ternana
29.1
Spezia
28.8
Pro Vercelli
28.7
Foggia
27.1
Venezia
26.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.6%
Under 9.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.1%
Under 3.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.2%
Under 21.5
3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Palermo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.67
0.20
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
2.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.40
0.86
0.14
0.75
0.62
vs Weaker (11)
0.45
0.27
0.50
0.33
0.40
0.20
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Salernitana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Salernitana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.67
0.53
0.60
0.33
0.73
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
0.82
1.00
0.71
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.26
0.58
0.12
0.50
0.36
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Palermo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Palermo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Palermo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Palermo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Palermo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.53
0.73
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.87
0.57
1.00
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (11)
0.55
0.55
0.50
0.67
0.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Salernitana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Salernitana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.63
0.73
0.60
0.87
0.67
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
0.36
0.29
0.43
1.25
0.25
vs Similar (19)
0.89
0.79
1.12
0.75
0.73
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Palermo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Palermo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Palermo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Palermo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Salernitana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Palermo · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dennis Johnsen67%
Joel Pohjanpalo33%
Tommaso Augello33%
Filippo Ranocchia33%
Dominic Vavassori33%
Hernani0%
Nahuel Estévez0%
Jacopo Segre0%
Pietro Ceccaroni0%
Gabriel Strefezza0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nahuel Estévez33%
Tommaso Augello33%
Jacopo Segre33%
Gabriel Strefezza33%
Joel Pohjanpalo0%
Hernani0%
Filippo Ranocchia0%
Pietro Ceccaroni0%
Dennis Johnsen0%
Dominic Vavassori0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dennis Johnsen67%
Joel Pohjanpalo33%
Hernani33%
Nahuel Estévez0%
Tommaso Augello0%
Jacopo Segre0%
Filippo Ranocchia0%
Pietro Ceccaroni0%
Gabriel Strefezza0%
Dominic Vavassori0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Filippo Ranocchia67%
Joel Pohjanpalo0%
Hernani0%
Nahuel Estévez0%
Tommaso Augello0%
Jacopo Segre0%
Pietro Ceccaroni0%
Gabriel Strefezza0%
Dennis Johnsen0%
Dominic Vavassori0%
Salernitana · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Flavius Daniliuc25%
Simy23%
Diego Valencia20%
Roberto Soriano12%
Jayden Braaf11%
Alberto Cerri11%
Franco Tongya10%
Gian Marco Ferrari9%
Daniele Verde8%
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde8%
Szymon Włodarczyk8%
Antonio Raimondo8%
Yayah Kallon8%
Lorenzo Amatucci8%
Paolo Ghiglione7%
Tommaso Corazza7%
Andrés Tello5%
Ajdin Hrustić4%
Petar Stojanović0%
Dylan Bronn0%
Domagoj Bradarić0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Paweł Jaroszyński0%
Nicola Dalmonte0%
Giulio Maggiore0%
Luigi Sepe0%
Ernesto Torregrossa0%
Vincenzo Fiorillo0%
Stefano Girelli0%
Fabrizio Caligara0%
Luka Lochoshvili0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Davide Gentile0%
Andres Șfaiț0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Lilian Njoh0%
Fabio Ruggeri0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Andrés Tello42%
Petar Stojanović34%
Tijs Velthuis30%
Ajdin Hrustić26%
Ernesto Torregrossa25%
Stefano Girelli25%
Fabrizio Caligara25%
Flavius Daniliuc25%
Fabio Ruggeri22%
Dylan Bronn20%
Nicola Dalmonte20%
Jayden Braaf17%
Alberto Cerri16%
Luka Lochoshvili16%
Paweł Jaroszyński15%
Szymon Włodarczyk15%
Yayah Kallon15%
Paolo Ghiglione15%
Giulio Maggiore14%
Lorenzo Amatucci13%
Roberto Soriano12%
Gian Marco Ferrari11%
Franco Tongya10%
Federico Zuccon9%
Antonio Raimondo8%
Lilian Njoh7%
Tommaso Corazza7%
Oliver Christensen6%
Simy4%
Daniele Verde3%
Diego Valencia0%
Domagoj Bradarić0%
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde0%
Luigi Sepe0%
Vincenzo Fiorillo0%
Davide Gentile0%
Andres Șfaiț0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Flavius Daniliuc25%
Tommaso Corazza21%
Daniele Verde8%
Simy8%
Szymon Włodarczyk8%
Paolo Ghiglione7%
Ajdin Hrustić4%
Fabio Ruggeri4%
Dylan Bronn4%
Lilian Njoh4%
Gian Marco Ferrari3%
Lorenzo Amatucci3%
Petar Stojanović0%
Diego Valencia0%
Domagoj Bradarić0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde0%
Roberto Soriano0%
Alberto Cerri0%
Andrés Tello0%
Paweł Jaroszyński0%
Nicola Dalmonte0%
Giulio Maggiore0%
Luigi Sepe0%
Ernesto Torregrossa0%
Vincenzo Fiorillo0%
Stefano Girelli0%
Fabrizio Caligara0%
Luka Lochoshvili0%
Jayden Braaf0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Franco Tongya0%
Davide Gentile0%
Antonio Raimondo0%
Yayah Kallon0%
Andres Șfaiț0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alberto Cerri37%
Jayden Braaf17%
Daniele Verde14%
Dylan Bronn12%
Szymon Włodarczyk8%
Tommaso Corazza7%
Paolo Ghiglione4%
Petar Stojanović0%
Diego Valencia0%
Domagoj Bradarić0%
Oliver Christensen0%
Jeff Reine-Adélaïde0%
Roberto Soriano0%
Gian Marco Ferrari0%
Andrés Tello0%
Paweł Jaroszyński0%
Nicola Dalmonte0%
Giulio Maggiore0%
Simy0%
Luigi Sepe0%
Ernesto Torregrossa0%
Vincenzo Fiorillo0%
Stefano Girelli0%
Ajdin Hrustić0%
Fabrizio Caligara0%
Luka Lochoshvili0%
Flavius Daniliuc0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Franco Tongya0%
Davide Gentile0%
Antonio Raimondo0%
Yayah Kallon0%
Andres Șfaiț0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Lorenzo Amatucci0%
Lilian Njoh0%
Fabio Ruggeri0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Empoli
Parma
Frosinone
Venezia
Bari
Cittadella
Perugia
Spezia
Cesena
Cremonese
Avellino
Brescia
Pescara
Ascoli
Virtus Entella
Ternana