This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.03
1.60
0.93
1.40
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.75
1.50
1.25
1.50
0.25
1.50
vs Weaker (22)
1.77
0.86
1.73
0.73
1.82
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.1%
Under 1.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.2%
@ 2.20+2.7%
Under 2.5
54.8%
@ 1.63-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.9%
Under 3.5
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.7%
No
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.7%
1-1 ✓
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
Panathinaikos goals ↓
AEK Athens FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
5.7%
2.8%
0.8%
0.2%
1
13%
13%
4.7%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.5%
3.9%
1.1%
0.2%
3
6.3%
5.2%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
4
2.6%
2.2%
0.9%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Panathinaikos goals (down), columns = AEK Athens FC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.31
PAOK
1.78
Aris Thessalonikis
1.72
Panathinaikos
1.69
AEK Athens FC
1.56
Ionikos
1.36
OFI Crete
1.33
PAS Giannina
1.28
Asteras Tripolis
1.24
Volos NFC
1.21
Panetolikos
1.12
Atromitos
1.00
Lamia
0.79
Apollon
0.67
Panathinaikos is 0.14 points better than AEK Athens FC in terms of average points per game (1.69 vs 1.56).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.72
PAOK
1.61
AEK Athens FC
1.56
Panathinaikos
1.44
Volos NFC
1.42
Ionikos
1.33
OFI Crete
1.21
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Asteras Tripolis
1.00
Atromitos
1.00
Panetolikos
0.97
PAS Giannina
0.94
Lamia
0.73
Apollon
0.48
Panathinaikos is 0.11 goals worse than AEK Athens FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 1.56).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.72
Panathinaikos
0.72
Aris Thessalonikis
0.78
PAOK
0.92
Asteras Tripolis
1.12
AEK Athens FC
1.17
PAS Giannina
1.17
Ionikos
1.27
Lamia
1.33
OFI Crete
1.36
Volos NFC
1.45
Panetolikos
1.45
Atromitos
1.58
Apollon
1.73
Panathinaikos is 0.44 goals better than AEK Athens FC in terms of goals conceded per game (0.72 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Panathinaikos
For 5.7 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 21.3 · Total 37.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AEK Athens FC
For 6.8 · Against 4.2 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.8 · Against 14.3 · Total 31.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Panathinaikos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
7.6
8.9
5.8
5.8
5.9
34.1
34.3
33.9
vs Stronger (5)
6.8
7.3
6.0
7.2
7.0
7.5
32.2
32.3
32.0
vs Similar (16)
8.9
9.0
8.8
7.1
7.2
7.0
32.5
33.4
31.6
vs Weaker (29)
8.1
6.8
9.4
4.9
4.6
5.1
35.3
35.2
35.4
% over line
30%
24%
36%
82%
80%
84%
96%
100%
92%
% under line
70%
76%
64%
18%
20%
16%
4%
0%
8%
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.3
9.3
5.3
5.1
5.5
33.5
30.9
35.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
9.9
9.3
10.3
5.5
5.0
5.9
31.3
27.8
33.7
vs Weaker (35)
9.1
9.3
8.8
5.3
5.2
5.4
34.4
31.9
37.1
% over line
46%
42%
50%
76%
71%
81%
96%
92%
100%
% under line
54%
58%
50%
24%
29%
19%
4%
8%
0%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AEK Athens FC
9.3
PAOK
9.0
Volos NFC
8.9
PAS Giannina
8.7
OFI Crete
8.4
Lamia
8.3
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.3
Apollon
8.3
Aris Thessalonikis
8.3
Panathinaikos
8.2
Panetolikos
8.1
Atromitos
7.7
Ionikos
7.5
Asteras Tripolis
6.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panathinaikos
5.8
AEK Athens FC
5.3
Volos NFC
5.3
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
PAOK
5.0
Apollon
5.0
OFI Crete
5.0
Ionikos
5.0
Panetolikos
4.7
PAS Giannina
4.7
Asteras Tripolis
4.7
Atromitos
4.6
Lamia
4.3
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Apollon
36.6
Panetolikos
36.4
Lamia
36.0
Aris Thessalonikis
35.7
OFI Crete
35.7
Volos NFC
34.4
PAS Giannina
34.2
Panathinaikos
34.1
Ionikos
33.5
AEK Athens FC
33.5
Atromitos
32.7
Asteras Tripolis
31.7
PAOK
30.3
Olympiakos Piraeus
30.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.9%
Under 9.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.4%
Under 3.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
98.7%
Under 21.5
1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Panathinaikos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
0.94
0.44
0.50
0.57
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.38
1.00
0.25
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (19)
0.89
0.47
1.10
0.30
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.40
0.73
0.33
0.73
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.88
0.75
0.75
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (22)
0.86
0.23
0.73
0.18
1.00
0.27
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Panathinaikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.43
0.94
0.38
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.62
0.50
0.75
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (19)
1.00
0.37
1.20
0.20
0.78
0.56
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.63
0.87
0.60
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.62
0.50
0.75
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (22)
0.91
0.64
1.00
0.55
0.82
0.73
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Panathinaikos · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cyriel Dessers100%
Adriano Jagušić50%
Levi García33%
Elmin Rastoder25%
Iñaki Peña0%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Etienne Camara0%
Vicente Taborda0%
Andreas Tetteh0%
Georgios Katris0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
Santino Andino0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Georgios Katris67%
Santino Andino40%
Levi García33%
Andreas Tetteh33%
Elmin Rastoder25%
Sotiris Kontouris25%
Etienne Camara20%
Vicente Taborda20%
Iñaki Peña0%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Cyriel Dessers0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Adriano Jagušić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vicente Taborda40%
Stefan de Vrij20%
Santino Andino20%
Iñaki Peña0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Cyriel Dessers0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Levi García0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Elmin Rastoder0%
Etienne Camara0%
Andreas Tetteh0%
Georgios Katris0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
Adriano Jagušić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cyriel Dessers100%
Levi García67%
Anass Zaroury33%
Adriano Jagušić25%
Santino Andino20%
Iñaki Peña0%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Elmin Rastoder0%
Etienne Camara0%
Vicente Taborda0%
Andreas Tetteh0%
Georgios Katris0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
AEK Athens FC · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Barnabás Varga67%
Luka Jović33%
Răzvan Marin33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Lazaros Rota0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Zini0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Răzvan Marin33%
Aboubakary Koita33%
Stavros Pilios33%
Lazaros Rota33%
Zini33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Luka Jović0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lovro Majer33%
Răzvan Marin33%
Lazaros Rota33%
Filipe Relvas33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Luka Jović0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Zini0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Răzvan Marin67%
Luka Jović33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Lazaros Rota0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Zini0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
VN (25)
€10m
PG (36)
€4m
Panathinaikos's squad is €25m more valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€109m vs €85m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
AT (11)
€5m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
PG (12)
€1m
Panathinaikos's attack is €2m more valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€46m vs €44m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
PG (7)
€1m
Panathinaikos's midfield is €10m more valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€26m vs €16m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
PAN (11)
€3m
PG (17)
€2m
Panathinaikos's defence is €12m more valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€38m vs €26m).
Greece: Super League 1 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
Aris Thessalonikis
PAS Giannina
Ionikos
Asteras Tripolis
Volos NFC
Panetolikos
Atromitos
Lamia