Panathinaikos are clear favorites, the model rating them 84% to win, 13% for a draw and 3% for a Levadiakos victory. The team’s home form shows they average 2.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded against weaker opponents, while Levadiakos, playing away against a stronger side, average zero goals scored and 3.25 conceded. The expected total is 3.0 goals, with the most likely single scoreline 2-0 at 17%. The model’s pick is a home win, reflecting Panathinaikos’ dominant home record and Levadiakos’ poor away performance. The suggested selections include a Home win at 83.6% and an Over 1.5 at 80%. The probabilities for the match outcome are 84%home win, 13% draw, and 3% away win. The recent form note that Panathinaikos are unbeaten in their last five, having won 2-0 over Levadiakos, further supports the model’s confidence.
Results analysis
Panathinaikos’ unbeaten run in the last five games was halted as the match finished 0-0, a draw that left the pre-match favourite - Home win - disappointed. The model had selected a Home win with an 83.6% probability, but the outcome was a draw, so the call was wrong. The model also picked Over 1.5 goals at 80% probability, which also missed. The final score of 0-0 matched the most likely score of 2-0 in the model’s distribution, yet no goals were scored. With a 84% chance of a home win, the result was a surprise, and the model’s selections both failed to hit.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Panathinaikos win✗ Miss
83.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
13.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Levadiakos win✗ Miss
3.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Panathinaikos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
0.77
2.07
0.67
1.07
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
3.00
-
-
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.79
0.58
2.33
0.67
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Levadiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levadiakos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.60
1.12
1.31
0.43
1.93
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
2.38
0.75
1.50
0.00
3.25
vs Similar (13)
1.08
1.38
1.43
1.29
0.67
1.50
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
1.22
1.00
1.20
0.50
1.25
Clean sheet %
20% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.0%
Under 1.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.8%
Under 2.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.4%
Under 3.5
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
30.8%
No
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
17.0%
3-0
14.6%
1-0
12.8%
4-0
9.3%
2-1
6.8%
1-1
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
0-0 ✓
5.7%
Panathinaikos goals ↓
Levadiakos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.7%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
1
13%
5.8%
1.0%
0.1%
0.0%
2
17%
6.8%
1.3%
0.2%
0.0%
3
15%
5.8%
1.1%
0.2%
0.0%
4
9.3%
3.7%
0.7%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Panathinaikos goals (down), columns = Levadiakos goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.23
PAOK
2.13
Panathinaikos
1.90
AEK Athens FC
1.77
Panionios
1.73
Xanthi FC
1.60
Platanias
1.40
Atromitos
1.30
PAS Giannina
1.20
Kerkyra
1.07
Panetolikos
1.03
Iraklis 1908
0.97
Larisa
0.93
Asteras Tripolis
0.93
Levadiakos
0.87
Veria
0.73
Panathinaikos is 1.03 points better than Levadiakos in terms of average points per game (1.90 vs 0.87).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.90
AEK Athens FC
1.80
PAOK
1.73
Panathinaikos
1.50
Panionios
1.17
Xanthi FC
1.13
Platanias
1.13
Asteras Tripolis
1.13
PAS Giannina
1.00
Panetolikos
0.97
Atromitos
0.97
Iraklis 1908
0.93
Levadiakos
0.90
Larisa
0.77
Veria
0.77
Kerkyra
0.73
Panathinaikos is 0.60 goals better than Levadiakos in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 0.90).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.53
PAOK
0.63
Panathinaikos
0.63
Panionios
0.77
AEK Athens FC
0.77
Xanthi FC
0.83
PAS Giannina
1.23
Atromitos
1.27
Platanias
1.27
Iraklis 1908
1.30
Panetolikos
1.33
Larisa
1.40
Kerkyra
1.43
Asteras Tripolis
1.63
Levadiakos
1.63
Veria
1.87
Panathinaikos is 1.00 goals better than Levadiakos in terms of goals conceded per game (0.63 vs 1.63).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Panathinaikos
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Levadiakos
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Panathinaikos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (47)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (38)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Levadiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levadiakos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (47)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (13)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (14)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Not collected for this league yet.
🟨 Total Cards
Not collected for this league yet.
⚠️ Total Fouls
Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Panathinaikos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.27
0.87
0.20
0.53
0.33
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
-
-
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (24)
0.79
0.17
1.00
0.25
0.58
0.08
Clean sheet %
80% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Levadiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levadiakos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.60
0.38
0.56
0.21
0.64
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (13)
0.31
0.54
0.29
0.57
0.33
0.50
vs Weaker (9)
0.33
0.78
0.40
0.60
0.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levadiakos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levadiakos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levadiakos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Panathinaikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.50
1.20
0.47
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.75
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.00
0.42
1.33
0.42
0.67
0.42
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Levadiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levadiakos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.00
0.75
0.75
0.21
1.29
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
1.88
0.25
1.00
0.00
2.75
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.85
1.14
0.71
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (9)
0.44
0.44
0.60
0.60
0.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levadiakos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levadiakos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levadiakos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home win
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Panathinaikos · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cyriel Dessers100%
Adriano Jagušić50%
Levi García33%
Elmin Rastoder25%
Iñaki Peña0%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Etienne Camara0%
Vicente Taborda0%
Andreas Tetteh0%
Georgios Katris0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
Santino Andino0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Georgios Katris67%
Santino Andino40%
Levi García33%
Andreas Tetteh33%
Elmin Rastoder25%
Sotiris Kontouris25%
Etienne Camara20%
Vicente Taborda20%
Iñaki Peña0%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Cyriel Dessers0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Adriano Jagušić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vicente Taborda40%
Stefan de Vrij20%
Santino Andino20%
Iñaki Peña0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Cyriel Dessers0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Levi García0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Elmin Rastoder0%
Etienne Camara0%
Andreas Tetteh0%
Georgios Katris0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
Adriano Jagušić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cyriel Dessers100%
Levi García67%
Anass Zaroury33%
Adriano Jagušić25%
Santino Andino20%
Iñaki Peña0%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Elmin Rastoder0%
Etienne Camara0%
Vicente Taborda0%
Andreas Tetteh0%
Georgios Katris0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
Levadiakos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fabricio Pedrozo37%
Alen Ožbolt33%
Benjamin Verbič25%
Sebastián Palacios21%
Stipe Jurić20%
Giannis Kosti19%
Ognjen Ožegović18%
Hisham Layous18%
Panagiotis Symelidis14%
Guillermo Balzi12%
Giorgos Nikas9%
Panagiotis Liagas8%
Konstantinos Goumas8%
Marios Vichos6%
Georgios Manthatis5%
Triantafyllos Tsapras3%
Hörður Magnússon0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Enis Çokaj0%
Joel Abu Hanna0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Giannis Tsivelekidis0%
Lucas Anacker0%
Lamarana Jallow0%
Taxiarchis Filon0%
Georgios Katris0%
Christos Papadopoulos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christos Papadopoulos40%
Giannis Kosti27%
Enis Çokaj26%
Panagiotis Symelidis24%
Konstantinos Goumas23%
Benjamin Verbič20%
Georgios Kornezos20%
Guillermo Balzi19%
Lamarana Jallow18%
Sebastián Palacios17%
Alen Ožbolt17%
Fabricio Pedrozo17%
Joel Abu Hanna15%
Panagiotis Liagas12%
Hörður Magnússon11%
Giannis Tsivelekidis11%
Georgios Manthatis11%
Taxiarchis Filon9%
Yury Lodygin7%
Triantafyllos Tsapras6%
Marios Vichos3%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Ognjen Ožegović0%
Stipe Jurić0%
Hisham Layous0%
Lucas Anacker0%
Georgios Katris0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Triantafyllos Tsapras32%
Sebastián Palacios24%
Guillermo Balzi23%
Alen Ožbolt17%
Giannis Tsivelekidis11%
Georgios Manthatis11%
Hisham Layous9%
Konstantinos Goumas8%
Benjamin Verbič5%
Panagiotis Symelidis5%
Panagiotis Liagas4%
Enis Çokaj3%
Marios Vichos3%
Hörður Magnússon0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Giannis Kosti0%
Joel Abu Hanna0%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Ognjen Ožegović0%
Fabricio Pedrozo0%
Stipe Jurić0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Lucas Anacker0%
Lamarana Jallow0%
Taxiarchis Filon0%
Georgios Katris0%
Christos Papadopoulos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alen Ožbolt21%
Sebastián Palacios10%
Fabricio Pedrozo10%
Giannis Kosti8%
Benjamin Verbič5%
Hisham Layous5%
Panagiotis Liagas4%
Guillermo Balzi4%
Hörður Magnússon0%
Yury Lodygin0%
Enis Çokaj0%
Joel Abu Hanna0%
Georgios Manthatis0%
Giorgos Nikas0%
Marios Vichos0%
Panagiotis Symelidis0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Ognjen Ožegović0%
Stipe Jurić0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Giannis Tsivelekidis0%
Lucas Anacker0%
Triantafyllos Tsapras0%
Lamarana Jallow0%
Konstantinos Goumas0%
Taxiarchis Filon0%
Georgios Katris0%
Christos Papadopoulos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
I1 (25)
€9m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
PG (36)
€4m
Panathinaikos's squad is €93m more valuable than Levadiakos's (€109m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
PAN (11)
€7m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
ATR (7)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
PG (12)
€1m
Panathinaikos's attack is €41m more valuable than Levadiakos's (€46m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
LEV (4)
€5m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
LAR (3)
€1m
PG (7)
€1m
PAN (1)
€0m
Panathinaikos's midfield is €20m more valuable than Levadiakos's (€26m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
LEV (9)
€5m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
PG (17)
€2m
Panathinaikos's defence is €33m more valuable than Levadiakos's (€38m vs €5m).
Greece: Super League 1 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
AEK Athens FC
Panionios
Xanthi FC
Atromitos
PAS Giannina
Panetolikos
Iraklis 1908
Asteras Tripolis
Larisa
Veria