Panathinaikos are the clear favourite, with the model assigning a 70% chance to a home win, 20% to a draw and 10% to a Niki Volos victory. The prediction favours a 2-0 result, the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. The expected total is 2.9 goals, with the most probable total of 2 goals at 24%. Home form shows Panathinaikos scoring an average of 2.12 goals and conceding 1.0 at home against weaker opposition, while Niki Volos has been unbeaten in their last five away games, conceding very few goals. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls (99.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.4%), Over 21.5 fouls (99.2%), Under 7.5 (99.1%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.0%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.9%), Over 23.5 fouls (97.7%) and Under 6.5 (97.3%) with an edge of 6%. These figures underline the expected dominance of the home side and the low likelihood of a Niki Volos win.
Results analysis
Panathinaikos extended a two-game winning run at home, while Niki Volos came off a defeat, setting the stage for a tight cup clash. The model’s favourite was a Home win, with a 70% probability, and it proved correct as the final score was 1-0 in favour of Panathinaikos. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.4%, Under 7.5 at 99.1%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.6% and Under 6.5 at 97.3%. All picks were settled, with each hit confirming the model’s strong predictive performance.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Panathinaikos win✓ Hit
69.9%
Avg Implied 82.4% · @ 1.12
Edge
-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Dafabet
1.14
Unibet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Draw✗ Miss
20.1%
Avg Implied 12.2% · @ 7.53
Edge
+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
9.00
BetVictor
8.50
Dafabet
8.00
1xBet
8.00
Superbet
7.60
Niki Volos win✗ Miss
10.0%
Avg Implied 5.4% · @ 17.09
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
23.00
BetVictor
23.00
1xBet
21.00
Dafabet
20.00
10Bet
19.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Panathinaikos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.03
1.62
1.06
1.21
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (11)
0.91
1.36
1.33
1.00
0.40
1.80
vs Weaker (15)
2.07
0.80
2.12
1.00
2.00
0.57
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Niki Volos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niki Volos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
0.63
1.94
0.38
1.36
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.69
0.66
2.00
0.40
1.36
0.93
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.9%
@ 1.14-1.9%
Under 1.5
21.1%
@ 4.79+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
1xBet
5.20
Superbet
4.85
Betano
4.55
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.6%
@ 1.50-6.7%
Under 2.5
45.4%
@ 2.38+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Unibet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
Under
10Bet
2.55
Superbet
2.45
Betano
2.42
Betfair
2.40
1xBet
2.38
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.3%
@ 2.27-8.5%
Under 3.5
67.7%
@ 1.56+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.38
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.34
Marathonbet
2.31
Bet365
2.25
Under
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.59
BetVictor
1.58
Superbet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.7%
@ 2.66+10.9%
No
54.3%
@ 1.42-10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
3.00
BetVictor
2.88
1xBet
2.88
William Hil
2.75
Marathonbet
2.67
No
Unibet
1.52
Betfair
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.3%@ 5.07+4.6%
1-0 ✓
11.4%@ 6.71+4.9%
1-1
9.6%@ 15.05+6.7%
3-0
9.5%@ 5.54+1.6%
2-1
9.4%@ 10.63+5.3%
3-1
6.8%@ 11.50+3.0%
0-0
6.6%@ 15.04+3.7%
4-0
5.1%@ 7.61-0.6%
Panathinaikos goals ↓
Niki Volos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
3.2%
1.4%
0.3%
0.1%
1
11%
9.6%
3.1%
0.7%
0.1%
2
13%
9.4%
3.3%
0.8%
0.1%
3
9.5%
6.8%
2.4%
0.6%
0.1%
4
5.1%
3.6%
1.3%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Panathinaikos goals (down), columns = Niki Volos goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.40
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.40
Levadiakos
2.38
OFI
2.22
Aris Thessalonikis
2.17
Panathinaikos
2.14
PAOK
2.00
Volos NFC
1.67
Atromitos
1.60
Kifisia
1.29
Kallithea
1.20
Ellas Syros
1.20
Panetolikos
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.03
Zakynthos
1.03
Panthrakikos
1.03
Trikala
1.03
Iraklis 1908
1.00
Panionios
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Marko
0.80
Larisa
0.80
Asteras Tripolis
0.80
Apollon Pontou
0.71
Kalamata
0.00
Niki Volos
0.00
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.00
Panathinaikos is 2.14 points better than Niki Volos in terms of average points per game (2.14 vs 0.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
3.60
Volos NFC
2.33
PAOK
2.00
Levadiakos
1.88
Ellas Syros
1.80
Atromitos
1.60
OFI
1.56
Asteras Tripolis
1.40
Aris Thessalonikis
1.33
Panathinaikos
1.29
AEK Athens FC
1.20
Larisa
1.20
Panetolikos
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.10
Zakynthos
1.10
Panthrakikos
1.10
Trikala
1.10
Kalamata
1.00
Panionios
1.00
Niki Volos
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.00
Marko
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Kifisia
0.86
Kallithea
0.80
Apollon Pontou
0.76
Iraklis 1908
0.60
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.00
Panathinaikos is 0.29 goals better than Niki Volos in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
AEK Athens FC
0.40
OFI
0.67
Panathinaikos
0.71
Levadiakos
0.75
Aris Thessalonikis
0.83
Panionios
1.00
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.00
Kallithea
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.00
Kifisia
1.00
PAOK
1.11
Panetolikos
1.17
Atromitos
1.20
Asteras Tripolis
1.20
Volos NFC
1.33
Pyrgos 1968
1.45
Zakynthos
1.45
Panthrakikos
1.45
Trikala
1.45
Kalamata
2.00
Iraklis 1908
2.00
Niki Volos
2.00
Marko
2.00
Larisa
2.00
Apollon Pontou
2.10
Ellas Syros
2.60
Panathinaikos is 1.29 goals better than Niki Volos in terms of goals conceded per game (0.71 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Volos NFC
87%
Levadiakos
71%
Panserraikos
65%
Kifisia
63%
Kallithea
60%
Niki Volos
59%
Ellas Syros
59%
Panionios
56%
Kalamata
50%
Marko
50%
Larisa
50%
Iraklis 1908
44%
Nestos Chrisoupolis
41%
Panetolikos
41%
Anagennisi Karditsas
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Panathinaikos
For 5.4 · Against 6.2 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 13.7 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Niki Volos
For 1.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 17.0 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Panathinaikos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
9.1
7.9
4.7
5.1
4.3
28.2
27.6
28.9
vs Stronger (5)
6.0
7.0
5.3
4.8
5.5
4.3
28.4
27.5
29.0
vs Similar (20)
8.4
9.2
7.5
5.0
5.8
4.1
27.9
28.2
27.6
vs Weaker (25)
9.1
9.5
8.8
4.4
4.4
4.4
28.5
27.1
29.8
% over line
36%
50%
23%
72%
76%
68%
86%
86%
86%
% under line
64%
50%
77%
28%
24%
32%
14%
14%
14%
This opponent (Niki Volos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niki Volos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
4.0
4.0
-
0.0
0.1
0.0
27.0
27.0
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (46)
4.0
4.0
-
0.0
0.1
0.0
27.0
27.0
-
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
0%
0%
-
0%
0%
0%
100%
100%
-
% under line
100%
100%
-
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Panionios
10.4
Kallithea
9.7
Asteras Tripolis
9.4
Kifisia
9.2
Aris Thessalonikis
9.1
Atromitos
8.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.9
PAOK
8.8
OFI
8.8
AEK Athens FC
8.7
Larisa
8.6
Panetolikos
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.6
Levadiakos
8.6
Volos NFC
8.5
Panserraikos
8.5
Kalamata
8.3
Marko
7.0
Anagennisi Karditsas
6.0
Ellas Syros
5.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
5.0
Iraklis 1908
4.7
Niki Volos
4.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anagennisi Karditsas
8.0
Kifisia
6.6
Kalamata
6.3
Larisa
6.1
Panserraikos
6.0
Kallithea
5.9
Panionios
5.8
Levadiakos
5.6
Volos NFC
5.5
Panetolikos
5.5
Asteras Tripolis
5.5
AEK Athens FC
5.4
OFI
5.3
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Panathinaikos
5.1
Atromitos
4.9
Iraklis 1908
4.7
PAOK
4.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
Ellas Syros
4.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
4.0
Marko
3.0
Niki Volos
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Iraklis 1908
38.0
Kalamata
37.5
Anagennisi Karditsas
37.0
Marko
37.0
Ellas Syros
34.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
34.0
Kifisia
32.3
Larisa
32.0
Atromitos
30.8
Levadiakos
30.6
Volos NFC
30.5
Panionios
30.5
AEK Athens FC
29.3
OFI
28.8
Kallithea
28.8
Aris Thessalonikis
28.7
Panathinaikos
28.2
Asteras Tripolis
27.8
Panserraikos
27.2
Panetolikos
27.1
Niki Volos
27.0
PAOK
25.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
14.7%
@ 2.08-30.4%
Under 9.5
85.3%
@ 1.70+30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.13
Superbet
2.02
Bet365
1.95
Under
Bet365
1.85
Superbet
1.71
1xBet
1.63
Betano
1.62
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.8%
@ 1.52+2.4%
Under 3.5
36.2%
@ 2.42-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
Under
Betano
2.42
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
99.2%
Under 21.5
0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Panathinaikos or Draw✓ Hit
90.0%
Avg Implied 92.8% · @ 1.02
Edge
-2.8%
70%
20%
10%
covers Panathinaikos + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.03
Unibet
1.02
William Hil
1.02
Betfair
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Panathinaikos or Niki Volos✓ Hit
79.9%
Avg Implied 89.6% · @ 1.05
Edge
-9.6%
70%
20%
10%
covers Panathinaikos + Niki Volos
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Unibet
1.05
Draw or Niki Volos✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied 17.6% · @ 5.35
Edge
+12.4%
70%
20%
10%
covers Draw + Niki Volos
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
6.00
Betano
5.90
1xBet
5.85
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.4%
@ 1.03-2.5%
Under
11.6%
@ 10.35+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Under
1xBet
14.00
Superbet
9.90
Bet365
9.00
Betano
8.50
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
63.5%
@ 1.24-11.7%
Under
36.5%
@ 3.75+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Under
BetVictor
4.10
10Bet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.70
Superbet
3.60
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
36.6%
@ 1.77-15.6%
Under
63.4%
@ 1.93+15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.82
Marathonbet
1.81
Betano
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Under
1xBet
2.07
10Bet
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.93
Panathinaikos over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
17.2%
@ 2.90-14.7%
Under
82.8%
@ 1.36+14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.00
Betano
2.95
Superbet
2.95
BetVictor
2.88
10Bet
2.85
Under
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Niki Volos over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
50.7%
@ 2.50+13.8%
Under
49.3%
@ 1.46-13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.75
1xBet
2.70
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.53
Betano
2.50
Under
Unibet
1.56
Superbet
1.52
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Niki Volos over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
15.9%
@ 8.12+4.4%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.05-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.60
Bet365
8.50
BetVictor
8.50
Superbet
7.90
Betano
7.80
Under
1xBet
1.07
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
BetVictor
1.04
Niki Volos over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 24.00-96.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
31.00
Bet365
17.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 90.00-99.4%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
90.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Panathinaikos, so a minus line means Panathinaikos give that many goals of a start and Niki Volos receive them. At -1, Panathinaikos must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Panathinaikos win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Panathinaikos)Actual: Niki Volos
Panathinaikos -2
25.0%
@ 2.14-16.3%
Draw -2
21.4%
@ 3.67-2.6%
Niki Volos +2
53.6%
@ 2.54+18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.25
Unibet
2.25
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Away
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.75
Superbet
2.57
Marathonbet
2.46
Betfair
2.40
Handicap -1 (Panathinaikos)Actual: Draw
Panathinaikos -1
46.4%
@ 1.44-15.9%
Draw -1
23.5%
@ 4.23+2.4%
Niki Volos +1
30.1%
@ 5.41+13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.53
Superbet
1.45
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.36
Draw
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Superbet
4.20
Marathonbet
3.88
Away
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.15
Marathonbet
4.25
Handicap +1 (Panathinaikos)Actual: Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos +1
90.0%
@ 1.03-2.5%
Draw +1
7.1%
@ 17.00+1.5%
Niki Volos -1
2.9%
@ 51.00+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.03
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Away
Bet365
51.00
Handicap +2 (Panathinaikos)Actual: Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos +2
97.1%
Draw +2
2.3%
Niki Volos -2
0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Panathinaikos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.40
0.56
0.56
0.64
0.21
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (11)
0.27
0.45
0.33
0.50
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (15)
0.93
0.27
0.88
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Niki Volos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niki Volos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.20
0.94
0.12
0.79
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.86
0.21
0.93
0.13
0.79
0.29
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
74.3%
@ 1.23-0.9%
Under 0.5
25.7%
@ 3.74+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.26
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
Superbet
3.80
1xBet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.8%
@ 2.17-8.9%
Under 1.5
66.2%
@ 1.61+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.24
Pinnacle
2.23
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Under
Betano
1.70
William Hil
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Bet365
1.62
BetVictor
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.2%
@ 4.66-7.7%
Under 2.5
87.8%
@ 1.16+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.25
Betfair
5.20
William Hil
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.40
Under
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.16
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
62.9%
@ 1.31-7.9%
Under
37.1%
@ 3.17+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Under
10Bet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Betano
3.15
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
23.4%
@ 2.47-14.0%
Under
76.6%
@ 1.48+14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.60
10Bet
2.45
Betano
2.45
Superbet
2.45
1xBet
2.42
Under
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.43
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.4%
@ 5.53-9.4%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.11+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.70
Superbet
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Niki Volos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
32.3%
@ 4.62+12.2%
Under
67.7%
@ 1.16-12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.25
1xBet
4.60
Superbet
4.35
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
10Bet
1.12
Niki Volos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 17.75+1.7%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.01-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
23.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Niki Volos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 100.00-99.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
100.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Panathinaikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
1.06
0.50
0.57
0.79
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.91
1.00
0.50
0.20
1.40
vs Weaker (15)
1.13
0.53
1.25
0.50
1.00
0.57
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Niki Volos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Niki Volos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.43
1.00
0.25
0.57
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.83
0.45
1.07
0.27
0.57
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.4%
@ 1.15-0.1%
Under 0.5
18.6%
@ 5.04+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Under
10Bet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Superbet
4.90
Betano
4.55
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
51.2%
@ 1.74-2.1%
Under 1.5
48.8%
@ 1.99+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
William Hil
1.83
Marathonbet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Under
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.03
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.4%
@ 3.35-4.5%
Under 2.5
76.6%
@ 1.29+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.60
Betano
3.55
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.20
1xBet
3.00
Under
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.29
William Hil
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
67.0%
@ 1.21-10.0%
Under
33.0%
@ 4.04+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Under
10Bet
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Superbet
3.90
Betano
3.65
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
33.1%
@ 1.97-13.9%
Under
66.9%
@ 1.75+13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
1.90
10Bet
1.85
Under
10Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Superbet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.7%
@ 4.01-11.4%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.21+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
4.30
Superbet
4.20
1xBet
3.80
10Bet
3.75
Under
1xBet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Niki Volos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
34.4%
@ 3.65+9.1%
Under
65.6%
@ 1.24-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.85
1xBet
3.80
Superbet
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Under
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Niki Volos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.0%
@ 14.08+2.3%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.01-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Niki Volos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 75.00-97.6%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
75.00
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.9%
1.08
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
92.6%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
-
+9.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-2.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
90.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Unibet
1.02
William Hil
1.02
Betfair
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-2.8%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
90.0%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-2.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
88.4%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
88.3%
1.21
1xBet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.19
-
+11.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.8%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.16
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
84.1%
1.05
1xBet
1.07
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
BetVictor
1.04
-4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.7%
1.22
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
82.8%
1.36
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Superbet
1.35
+14.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.4%
1.15
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.12
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.3%
1.15
Betano
1.15
-
-
-
-
+0.0%
-
Home or Away
79.9%
1.05
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Unibet
1.05
-9.6%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.9%
1.14
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
10Bet
1.14
-1.9%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.6%
1.29
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.29
William Hil
1.25
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
76.6%
1.48
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.43
+14.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.3%
1.23
Marathonbet
1.26
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
-0.9%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
72.2%
1.37
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
-
+4.2%
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Panathinaikos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cyriel Dessers100%
Adriano Jagušić50%
Levi García33%
Elmin Rastoder25%
Iñaki Peña0%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Etienne Camara0%
Vicente Taborda0%
Andreas Tetteh0%
Georgios Katris0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
Santino Andino0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Georgios Katris67%
Santino Andino40%
Levi García33%
Andreas Tetteh33%
Elmin Rastoder25%
Sotiris Kontouris25%
Etienne Camara20%
Vicente Taborda20%
Iñaki Peña0%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Cyriel Dessers0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Adriano Jagušić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vicente Taborda40%
Stefan de Vrij20%
Santino Andino20%
Iñaki Peña0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Cyriel Dessers0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Levi García0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Elmin Rastoder0%
Etienne Camara0%
Andreas Tetteh0%
Georgios Katris0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
Adriano Jagušić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cyriel Dessers100%
Levi García67%
Anass Zaroury33%
Adriano Jagušić25%
Santino Andino20%
Iñaki Peña0%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Elmin Rastoder0%
Etienne Camara0%
Vicente Taborda0%
Andreas Tetteh0%
Georgios Katris0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
AP (16)
€2m
Panathinaikos's squad is €103m more valuable than Niki Volos's (€109m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
I1 (6)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Panathinaikos's attack is €44m more valuable than Niki Volos's (€46m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MAR (4)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
Panathinaikos's midfield is €24m more valuable than Niki Volos's (€26m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Panathinaikos's defence is €35m more valuable than Niki Volos's (€38m vs €3m).
Greece: Super League 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
Greece: Super League 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PAOK
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
OFI
Kifisia
Volos NFC
Iraklis 1908
Atromitos
Kalamata
Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos
Panserraikos
Ellas Syros
Panionios
Anagennisi Karditsas
Zakynthos
PAOK II
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Marko
Apollon Pontou
Kallithea
Asteras Tripolis II
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Larisa
Pyrgos 1968
Panthrakikos