This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OC
OFI Crete
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.57
1.56
1.19
0.79
2.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.75
1.83
1.00
1.50
0.50
2.17
vs Similar (18)
1.50
1.39
1.90
1.00
1.00
1.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.9%
Under 1.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.1%
@ 1.83+13.4%
Under 2.5
35.9%
@ 1.88-13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.0%
Under 3.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.0%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.7%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
6.5%
4-1 ✓
4.9%
Panathinaikos goals ↓
OFI Crete goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.4%
2.1%
1.0%
0.3%
0.0%
1
8.7%
7.8%
2.7%
0.7%
0.1%
2
12%
9.0%
3.4%
0.9%
0.2%
3
10%
7.7%
2.9%
0.7%
0.1%
4
6.5%
4.9%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Panathinaikos goals (down), columns = OFI Crete goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.29
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.12
PAOK
2.06
Panathinaikos
1.71
Levadiakos
1.61
Aris Thessalonikis
1.44
Atromitos
1.29
OFI Crete
1.22
OFI
1.22
Kifisia
1.18
Volos NFC
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Larisa
0.79
Panserraikos
0.76
Panathinaikos is 0.49 points better than OFI Crete in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 1.22).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Levadiakos
2.00
PAOK
1.88
AEK Athens FC
1.76
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.68
Panathinaikos
1.56
Atromitos
1.39
OFI Crete
1.34
OFI
1.34
Kifisia
1.18
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Volos NFC
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Larisa
0.92
Panserraikos
0.66
Panathinaikos is 0.22 goals better than OFI Crete in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.34).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.50
AEK Athens FC
0.62
PAOK
0.76
Panathinaikos
1.00
Aris Thessalonikis
1.06
Atromitos
1.18
Asteras Tripolis
1.39
Kifisia
1.42
Panetolikos
1.42
Levadiakos
1.50
Larisa
1.61
Volos NFC
1.67
OFI Crete
1.72
OFI
1.72
Panserraikos
2.03
Panathinaikos is 0.72 goals better than OFI Crete in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.72).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Olympiakos Piraeus
60%
PAOK
60%
AEK Athens FC
57%
Levadiakos
56%
Atromitos
53%
Panathinaikos
53%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Kifisia
48%
Volos NFC
46%
Larisa
46%
Panetolikos
46%
OFI
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Panserraikos
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Panathinaikos
For 4.1 · Against 3.0 · Total 7.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 17.0 · Total 31.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OC
OFI Crete
For 3.0 · Against 5.9 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 15.9 · Total 30.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Panathinaikos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
9.3
7.9
4.8
4.8
4.8
28.9
28.8
29.0
vs Stronger (5)
7.8
9.3
5.5
5.6
6.0
5.0
27.8
27.7
28.0
vs Similar (25)
8.6
8.8
8.5
4.8
5.0
4.7
27.7
27.7
27.7
vs Weaker (20)
8.8
9.9
7.8
4.5
4.1
4.8
30.7
30.5
30.9
% over line
39%
50%
29%
68%
64%
72%
88%
90%
86%
% under line
61%
50%
71%
32%
36%
28%
12%
10%
14%
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OC
OFI Crete
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.2
9.6
5.7
6.0
5.4
29.8
30.5
29.0
vs Stronger (19)
9.1
8.7
9.4
5.4
6.0
4.7
29.7
31.8
27.3
vs Similar (31)
9.6
9.4
9.7
5.9
6.0
5.9
29.8
29.6
30.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
27%
54%
84%
88%
79%
92%
96%
88%
% under line
60%
73%
46%
16%
12%
21%
8%
4%
12%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kifisia
9.8
OFI
9.4
Asteras Tripolis
9.4
OFI Crete
9.4
Aris Thessalonikis
9.1
Levadiakos
9.1
Olympiakos Piraeus
9.1
Panserraikos
8.9
Panetolikos
8.7
Panathinaikos
8.7
Volos NFC
8.7
PAOK
8.6
Atromitos
8.5
Larisa
8.4
AEK Athens FC
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kifisia
6.8
Panserraikos
6.2
Larisa
6.1
Volos NFC
6.0
AEK Athens FC
5.8
OFI
5.7
Asteras Tripolis
5.7
OFI Crete
5.7
Aris Thessalonikis
5.5
Panathinaikos
5.5
Levadiakos
5.4
Atromitos
5.3
Panetolikos
5.2
PAOK
4.8
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Larisa
34.6
Kifisia
32.1
Volos NFC
31.6
Atromitos
30.4
OFI Crete
29.8
Panathinaikos
29.4
OFI
29.3
Levadiakos
29.0
AEK Athens FC
28.6
Aris Thessalonikis
28.3
Asteras Tripolis
27.7
Panserraikos
27.0
Panetolikos
26.5
PAOK
25.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
24.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.3%
Under 9.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
81.8%
Under 3.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
94.5%
Under 21.5
5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Panathinaikos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.37
0.87
0.33
0.47
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.43
0.75
0.50
0.17
0.33
vs Weaker (14)
0.86
0.36
1.17
0.17
0.62
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OC
OFI Crete
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.94
0.44
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.92
0.33
0.67
0.50
1.17
vs Similar (18)
0.94
0.44
1.30
0.30
0.50
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Panathinaikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.53
0.93
0.47
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
0.71
0.93
1.00
0.62
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (14)
0.93
0.14
0.83
0.17
1.00
0.12
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI Crete) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OC
OFI Crete
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.93
0.62
0.75
0.29
1.14
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
0.92
0.67
0.83
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.94
0.60
0.70
0.50
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFI Crete over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home win
75.5%
1.38
-
-
-
-
-
+9.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Panathinaikos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andreas Tetteh37%
Cyriel Dessers33%
Vicente Taborda26%
Tin Jedvaj21%
Karol Świderski21%
Alexander Jeremejeff20%
Filip Đuričić16%
Anass Zaroury15%
Tasos Bakasetas15%
Javier Hernández14%
Sotiris Kontouris10%
Tetê10%
Davide Calabria9%
Santino Andino6%
Adam Gnezda Čerin6%
Renato Sanches5%
Miloš Pantović4%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos3%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Sverrir Ingi Ingason0%
Filip Mladenović0%
Ahmed Touba0%
Daniel Mancini0%
Konstantinos Kotsaris0%
Giannis Kotsiras0%
Alban Lafont0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Erik Palmer-Brown0%
Manolis Siopis0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Georgios Katris0%
Pavlos Pantelidis0%
Adriano Jagušić0%
Giannis Bokos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cyriel Dessers33%
Sotiris Kontouris30%
Tasos Bakasetas26%
Santino Andino24%
Filip Đuričić23%
Javier Hernández21%
Ahmed Touba21%
Davide Calabria20%
Sverrir Ingi Ingason20%
Alexander Jeremejeff20%
Pedro Chirivella20%
Manolis Siopis19%
Karol Świderski18%
Filip Mladenović18%
Tin Jedvaj16%
Giannis Kotsiras16%
Andreas Tetteh16%
Erik Palmer-Brown15%
Tetê14%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos14%
Pavlos Pantelidis12%
Renato Sanches10%
Vicente Taborda9%
Anass Zaroury8%
Alban Lafont6%
Adam Gnezda Čerin3%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Daniel Mancini0%
Konstantinos Kotsaris0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Miloš Pantović0%
Georgios Katris0%
Adriano Jagušić0%
Giannis Bokos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tetê19%
Tasos Bakasetas15%
Davide Calabria14%
Facundo Pellistri14%
Vicente Taborda13%
Pavlos Pantelidis12%
Andreas Tetteh11%
Filip Mladenović9%
Anass Zaroury8%
Miloš Pantović7%
Santino Andino6%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos6%
Giannis Kotsiras5%
Renato Sanches5%
Pedro Chirivella3%
Filip Đuričić3%
Adam Gnezda Čerin3%
Karol Świderski3%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Tin Jedvaj0%
Sverrir Ingi Ingason0%
Ahmed Touba0%
Daniel Mancini0%
Konstantinos Kotsaris0%
Alban Lafont0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Cyriel Dessers0%
Erik Palmer-Brown0%
Javier Hernández0%
Alexander Jeremejeff0%
Manolis Siopis0%
Georgios Katris0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
Adriano Jagušić0%
Giannis Bokos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andreas Tetteh42%
Tetê33%
Cyriel Dessers17%
Karol Świderski16%
Tasos Bakasetas15%
Pavlos Pantelidis12%
Tin Jedvaj11%
Filip Đuričić6%
Adam Gnezda Čerin6%
Anass Zaroury5%
Vicente Taborda4%
Ahmed Touba3%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Renato Sanches0%
Davide Calabria0%
Sverrir Ingi Ingason0%
Filip Mladenović0%
Daniel Mancini0%
Konstantinos Kotsaris0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Giannis Kotsiras0%
Alban Lafont0%
Bartłomiej Drągowski0%
Erik Palmer-Brown0%
Javier Hernández0%
Alexander Jeremejeff0%
Manolis Siopis0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Miloš Pantović0%
Georgios Katris0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
Santino Andino0%
Adriano Jagušić0%
Giannis Bokos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Greece: Super League 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
Levadiakos
Aris Thessalonikis
Atromitos
Kifisia
OFI
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
Volos NFC
Larisa
Panserraikos