Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos Result & Analysis

Panathinaikos are the clear favourites, the model giving them a 68% chance of victory and a 24% chance of a draw versus the 7% chance that Panetolikos will win. The prediction favours a 1-0 win for the home side, the most likely scoreline with a 20.9% probability. The expected total of goals is two, with a 28% chance that exactly two goals will be scored. Panathinaikos, playing at home against a weaker opponent, average two goals scored and only 0.17 conceded, while Panetolikos, away against a stronger side, average no goals scored and 2.33 conceded. The model’s suggested picks are: Over 2.5 cards 96.5% (miss), Over 3.5 cards 90.5% (miss), Under 3.5 cards 85.3% (hit), Over 4.5 cards 80.5% (miss), Under 11.5 corners 79.4% (hit), BTTS No 73.8% (hit). The home win probability is 68%, the draw 24%, and the away win 7%.

Panathinaikos and Panetolikos finished level 0-0, a shock draw that left the pre-match favourite - a home win - on the wrong side of the scoreline. The model had given the home side a 68% chance to triumph, yet the result was a draw, so the model’s call was incorrect. The model’s other selections were mixed: Over 2.5 cards (96.5%) missed, Over 3.5 cards (90.5%) missed, Under 3.5 cards (85.3%) hit, Over 4.5 cards (80.5%) missed, Under 11.5 corners (79.4%) hit, and BTTS No (73.8%) hit. Panathinaikos, unbeaten in their last five, could not convert their form into a win, while Panetolikos, on a two-game winning streak, failed to secure a victory.