Panathinaikos vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Panathinaikos are tipped to win, with a 53 % chance of a home victory, 28 % for a draw and 19 % for PAOK. The match is expected to see 2.4 goals, most likely a 2-goal total at 27 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13 % probability. Panathinaikos, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, average 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while PAOK, away against a similar side, average 2.14 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls (99.8 %), Under 7.5 (99.6 % hit), Over 21.5 fouls (99.3 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.9 % hit), Under 6.5 (98.8 % hit), Over 23.5 fouls (98.1 %), Under 5.5 (96.2 % hit) and Under 11.5 corners (96.0 %). The home side has not lost in their last five, while PAOK comes off a win.

The upset came early as PAOK snatched a 1-0 win, overturning the model’s home-win prediction that carried a 53% chance. The final score of 0-1 confirmed the away victory, a result the model had not favoured. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was wrong. All of the model’s other selections proved accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit, as did Away under 3.5 goals, Under 6.5 and Under 5.5, each with probabilities of 99.6%, 98.9%, 98.8% and 96.2% respectively. The match ended with PAOK’s solitary goal, leaving the model’s predictions largely off the mark for the winner but correct on total-goals expectations.