Panathinaikos are the clear favorites, with a 42% chance of victory, a 27% chance of a draw and a 31% chance of PAOK winning. The model predicts a 2.9-goal average, most likely a 2-goal total, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%. Home side Panathinaikos, playing at home against a similarly strong opponent, average 1.33 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. PAOK, on the road against a similar team, average 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 99%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.2% with a 6% edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.9%, Under 6.5 goals at 97.1%, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.5% with a 3% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.3% with a 3% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.9% with a 4% edge, and Over 19.5 fouls at 94.7%.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Panathinaikos win
43.7%
Avg Implied 40.7% · @ 2.30
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.33
Betano
2.32
Marathonbet
2.31
Unibet
2.30
Betfair
2.25
Draw
26.7%
Avg Implied 29.1% · @ 3.22
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.25
Betano
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Unibet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
PAOK win
29.7%
Avg Implied 30.2% · @ 3.10
Edge
-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.20
Betfair
3.10
1xBet
3.07
Marathonbet
3.06
Unibet
3.05
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Panathinaikos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.00
1.62
1.00
1.21
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (11)
0.91
1.36
1.33
1.00
0.40
1.80
vs Weaker (16)
2.00
0.75
2.00
0.89
2.00
0.57
Clean sheet %
33% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PAOK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.10
1.67
0.60
1.40
1.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.21
1.32
1.11
0.67
1.30
1.90
vs Weaker (11)
2.09
0.73
2.50
0.50
1.60
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.8%
@ 1.35+11.6%
Under 1.5
20.2%
@ 2.90-11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Under
Betano
3.00
Unibet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.83
1xBet
2.83
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.6%
@ 2.17+12.2%
Under 2.5
44.4%
@ 1.66-12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.18
Unibet
2.10
Under
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
Unibet
1.63
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
33.2%
@ 3.88+9.5%
Under 3.5
66.8%
@ 1.21-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.95
Unibet
3.95
Marathonbet
3.82
1xBet
3.82
Under
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Both teams to score
Yes
59.3%
@ 1.86+9.5%
No
40.7%
@ 1.84-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Unibet
1.83
No
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Unibet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.83
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%@ 5.84+5.1%
2-1
9.2%@ 8.70+4.2%
1-0
7.7%@ 6.56+1.0%
1-2
7.4%@ 10.40+3.2%
2-0
7.1%@ 9.85+2.7%
0-0
6.6%@ 7.72+0.9%
2-2
6.0%@ 14.15+2.9%
0-1
5.9%@ 7.75+0.3%
Panathinaikos goals ↓
PAOK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
5.9%
4.6%
2.0%
0.6%
1
7.7%
13%
7.4%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.1%
9.2%
6.0%
2.6%
0.8%
3
3.8%
4.9%
3.2%
1.4%
0.4%
4
1.5%
2.0%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Panathinaikos goals (down), columns = PAOK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.29
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.12
PAOK
2.06
Panathinaikos
1.71
Levadiakos
1.61
Aris Thessalonikis
1.44
Atromitos
1.29
Iraklis 1908
1.22
OFI
1.22
Kifisia
1.18
Kalamata
1.03
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Panathinaikos is 0.35 points worse than PAOK in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 2.06).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Levadiakos
2.00
PAOK
1.88
AEK Athens FC
1.76
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.68
Panathinaikos
1.56
Atromitos
1.39
OFI
1.34
Kifisia
1.18
Iraklis 1908
1.17
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Kalamata
0.99
Panathinaikos is 0.32 goals worse than PAOK in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.50
AEK Athens FC
0.62
PAOK
0.76
Panathinaikos
1.00
Aris Thessalonikis
1.06
Atromitos
1.18
Asteras Tripolis
1.39
Kifisia
1.42
Panetolikos
1.42
Iraklis 1908
1.48
Levadiakos
1.50
Volos NFC
1.67
OFI
1.72
Kalamata
1.75
Panathinaikos is 0.24 goals worse than PAOK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.76).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Olympiakos Piraeus
60%
PAOK
60%
AEK Athens FC
57%
Levadiakos
56%
Atromitos
53%
Panathinaikos
53%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Kifisia
48%
Volos NFC
46%
Panetolikos
46%
OFI
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Panathinaikos is 7.0 percentage points worse than PAOK in terms of average possession (53% vs 60%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Panathinaikos
For 5.4 · Against 6.2 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 13.7 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
PAOK
For 4.4 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 13.7 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Panathinaikos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
9.1
8.0
4.6
4.9
4.2
28.3
27.6
29.0
vs Stronger (4)
6.2
7.0
5.5
4.5
5.5
3.5
28.8
27.5
30.0
vs Similar (20)
8.4
9.2
7.5
5.0
5.8
4.1
27.9
28.2
27.6
vs Weaker (26)
9.1
9.5
8.8
4.2
4.1
4.4
28.5
27.1
29.8
% over line
37%
50%
24%
70%
73%
67%
86%
86%
86%
% under line
63%
50%
76%
30%
27%
33%
14%
14%
14%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PAOK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.0
8.7
3.1
3.0
3.3
24.8
24.1
25.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
9.6
10.0
9.1
3.6
3.9
3.3
24.1
24.0
24.2
vs Weaker (24)
8.1
7.8
8.3
2.5
2.1
3.2
25.6
24.1
27.0
% over line
37%
45%
28%
50%
44%
57%
66%
70%
61%
% under line
63%
55%
72%
50%
56%
43%
34%
30%
39%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Asteras Tripolis
9.4
Kifisia
9.2
Aris Thessalonikis
9.1
Atromitos
8.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.9
PAOK
8.8
OFI
8.8
AEK Athens FC
8.7
Panetolikos
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.6
Levadiakos
8.6
Volos NFC
8.5
Kalamata
8.3
Iraklis 1908
4.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kifisia
6.6
Kalamata
6.3
Levadiakos
5.6
Volos NFC
5.6
Panetolikos
5.5
Asteras Tripolis
5.5
AEK Athens FC
5.4
OFI
5.3
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Panathinaikos
5.1
Atromitos
4.9
Iraklis 1908
4.7
PAOK
4.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Iraklis 1908
38.0
Kalamata
37.5
Kifisia
32.3
Atromitos
30.8
Levadiakos
30.6
Volos NFC
30.5
AEK Athens FC
29.3
OFI
28.8
Aris Thessalonikis
28.7
Panathinaikos
28.2
Asteras Tripolis
27.8
Panetolikos
27.1
PAOK
25.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
40.6%
@ 2.14-1.4%
Under 9.5
59.4%
@ 1.55+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.14
Under
Unibet
1.55
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
75.3%
Under 3.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
90.3%
Under 21.5
9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Panathinaikos or Draw
70.3%
Avg Implied 69.7% · @ 1.34
Edge
+0.7%
44%
27%
30%
covers Panathinaikos + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.37
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Panathinaikos or PAOK
73.3%
Avg Implied 71.5% · @ 1.31
Edge
+1.9%
44%
27%
30%
covers Panathinaikos + PAOK
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.32
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Draw or PAOK
56.3%
Avg Implied 58.9% · @ 1.59
Edge
-2.6%
44%
27%
30%
covers Draw + PAOK
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.65
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Unibet
1.54
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5
Over
80.1%
@ 1.29+8.5%
Under
19.9%
@ 3.23-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Unibet
1.25
Under
Marathonbet
3.26
1xBet
3.26
Unibet
3.25
Betano
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5
Over
47.9%
@ 2.43+9.7%
Under
52.1%
@ 1.51-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.50
1xBet
2.46
Marathonbet
2.46
Betano
2.40
Unibet
2.35
Under
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.48
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5
Over
22.0%
@ 5.58+5.4%
Under
78.0%
@ 1.11-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.75
1xBet
5.75
Unibet
5.30
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Panathinaikos over/under 3.5
Over
8.1%
@ 9.75-1.5%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.03+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
PAOK over/under 0.5
Over
72.7%
@ 1.40+7.0%
Under
27.3%
@ 2.69-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Under
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.68
1xBet
2.68
Betano
2.67
Unibet
2.65
PAOK over/under 1.5
Over
37.2%
@ 3.04+6.7%
Under
62.8%
@ 1.33-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.20
1xBet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.05
Betano
3.00
Unibet
2.90
Under
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Unibet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
PAOK over/under 2.5
Over
14.2%
@ 7.70+2.2%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.05-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.90
1xBet
7.90
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
PAOK over/under 3.5
Over
4.3%
@ 12.00-3.6%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.02+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Panathinaikos, so a minus line means Panathinaikos give that many goals of a start and PAOK receive them. At -1, Panathinaikos must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Panathinaikos win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Panathinaikos)
Panathinaikos -2
9.5%
@ 9.25+0.1%
Draw -2
13.5%
@ 5.88-1.2%
PAOK +2
77.0%
@ 1.14+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
11.00
Unibet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Unibet
6.00
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Handicap -1 (Panathinaikos)
Panathinaikos -1
23.0%
@ 4.50+3.3%
Draw -1
20.7%
@ 3.70-3.3%
PAOK +1
56.3%
@ 1.57-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Draw
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Unibet
3.60
Away
Unibet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Handicap +1 (Panathinaikos)
Panathinaikos +1
70.3%
@ 1.34+3.8%
Draw +1
16.4%
@ 4.45-3.6%
PAOK -1
13.3%
@ 6.62-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Draw
Marathonbet
4.55
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.30
Away
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.60
Unibet
6.25
Handicap +2 (Panathinaikos)
Panathinaikos +2
86.7%
@ 1.10+5.7%
Draw +2
8.7%
@ 7.33-3.5%
PAOK -2
4.5%
@ 13.22-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.07
Draw
Betfair
10.00
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Betfair
20.00
Marathonbet
6.45
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Panathinaikos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.40
0.56
0.56
0.64
0.21
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (11)
0.27
0.45
0.33
0.50
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (16)
0.88
0.25
0.78
0.44
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PAOK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.40
0.73
0.40
0.67
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.42
0.47
0.22
0.44
0.60
0.50
vs Weaker (11)
1.18
0.27
1.50
0.33
0.80
0.20
Clean sheet %
63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.6%
@ 1.46+11.8%
Under 0.5
24.4%
@ 2.56-11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Under
Betfair
2.60
1xBet
2.56
Marathonbet
2.56
Betano
2.55
Unibet
2.55
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.6%
@ 3.23+10.7%
Under 1.5
60.4%
@ 1.31-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.30
Betano
3.30
1xBet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.15
Under
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Betfair
1.29
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.8%
@ 7.92+3.1%
Under 2.5
85.2%
@ 1.04-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Marathonbet
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.08
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 HT
Over
50.3%
@ 2.08+5.9%
Under
49.7%
@ 1.67-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
Unibet
2.02
Under
1xBet
1.67
Unibet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.6%
@ 6.60-0.5%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.08+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.10
1xBet
6.50
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.1%
@ 12.00-5.7%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.02+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
PAOK over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.3%
@ 2.35+10.0%
Under
50.7%
@ 1.52-10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
Marathonbet
2.35
Unibet
2.33
1xBet
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.51
Unibet
1.50
Betano
1.50
PAOK over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.1%
@ 8.40+3.1%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.04-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.00
1xBet
8.50
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
PAOK over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Panathinaikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
1.06
0.44
0.57
0.79
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.91
1.00
0.50
0.20
1.40
vs Weaker (16)
1.12
0.50
1.22
0.44
1.00
0.57
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PAOK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
0.93
0.20
0.73
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.84
0.89
0.22
0.70
1.40
vs Weaker (11)
0.91
0.45
1.00
0.17
0.80
0.80
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.8%
@ 1.28+9.0%
Under 0.5
18.2%
@ 3.42-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Under
Betano
3.45
1xBet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
52.4%
@ 2.31+12.4%
Under 1.5
47.6%
@ 1.55-12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.33
1xBet
2.33
Betano
2.32
Unibet
2.28
Under
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.53
Unibet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
22.1%
@ 5.13+4.2%
Under 2.5
77.9%
@ 1.12-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.20
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Panathinaikos over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.3%
@ 1.77+1.1%
Under
46.7%
@ 1.94-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Under
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Panathinaikos over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.4%
@ 4.83-0.8%
Under
81.6%
@ 1.15+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Betano
4.50
Under
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Panathinaikos over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.5%
@ 10.00-4.9%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.03+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
PAOK over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.3%
@ 1.99+9.8%
Under
43.7%
@ 1.73-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Under
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.72
PAOK over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.4%
@ 6.10+4.2%
Under
80.6%
@ 1.09-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.35
1xBet
6.35
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
PAOK over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.1%
@ 11.75-3.9%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.02+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.7%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.9%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.9%
Away under 3.5 goals
95.7%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.6%
Over 19.5 fouls
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.5%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+4.9%
Under 5.5
92.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-1.1%
Home under 3.5 goals
91.9%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+1.5%
Over 21.5 fouls
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
86.7%
1.10
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.07
-
-
-
+5.7%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.4%
1.08
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-
+0.5%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
85.9%
1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
-3.1%
Away under 2.5 goals
85.8%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-2.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.2%
1.04
Betano
1.08
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-3.1%
Under 4.5
83.0%
1.05
Betano
1.09
Unibet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-5.2%
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.8%
1.28
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
-
-
+9.0%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.6%
1.15
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
+0.8%
Over 23.5 fouls
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
80.8%
1.17
Unibet
1.17
-
-
-
-
+4.6%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.6%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
-
-4.2%
Home over 0.5 goals
80.1%
1.29
Betano
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Unibet
1.25
+8.5%
Over 1.5
79.8%
1.35
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
-
+11.6%
Home under 2.5 goals
78.0%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Unibet
1.08
-5.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.9%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
-4.2%
Away +2 handicap
77.0%
1.14
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
+1.1%
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.6%
1.46
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.43
+11.8%
Over 3.5 cards
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.3%
1.31
Marathonbet
1.32
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.29
+1.9%
Away over 0.5 goals
72.7%
1.40
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Unibet
1.38
+7.0%
Under 10.5 corners
71.2%
1.32
Unibet
1.32
-
-
-
-
+3.2%
Home or Draw
70.3%
1.34
Betano
1.37
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Unibet
1.32
+0.7%
Home +1 handicap
70.3%
1.34
Marathonbet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
-
-
+3.8%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Panathinaikos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cyriel Dessers100%
Adriano Jagušić50%
Levi García33%
Elmin Rastoder25%
Iñaki Peña0%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Etienne Camara0%
Vicente Taborda0%
Andreas Tetteh0%
Georgios Katris0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
Santino Andino0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Georgios Katris67%
Santino Andino40%
Levi García33%
Andreas Tetteh33%
Elmin Rastoder25%
Sotiris Kontouris25%
Etienne Camara20%
Vicente Taborda20%
Iñaki Peña0%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Cyriel Dessers0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Adriano Jagušić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vicente Taborda40%
Stefan de Vrij20%
Santino Andino20%
Iñaki Peña0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Cyriel Dessers0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Levi García0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Anass Zaroury0%
Elmin Rastoder0%
Etienne Camara0%
Andreas Tetteh0%
Georgios Katris0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
Adriano Jagušić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cyriel Dessers100%
Levi García67%
Anass Zaroury33%
Adriano Jagušić25%
Santino Andino20%
Iñaki Peña0%
Stefan de Vrij0%
Rick Van Drongelen0%
Georgios Kyriakopoulos0%
Adam Gnezda Čerin0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Pedro Chirivella0%
Elmin Rastoder0%
Etienne Camara0%
Vicente Taborda0%
Andreas Tetteh0%
Georgios Katris0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
PAOK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rahman Baba33%
Anestis Mythou33%
Cherif Ndiaye0%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Baptiste Santamaria0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Greg Taylor0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Dimitrios Chatsidis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Greg Taylor33%
Cherif Ndiaye0%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Baptiste Santamaria0%
Rahman Baba0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Anestis Mythou0%
Dimitrios Chatsidis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cherif Ndiaye0%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Baptiste Santamaria0%
Rahman Baba0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Greg Taylor0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Anestis Mythou0%
Dimitrios Chatsidis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cherif Ndiaye33%
Baptiste Santamaria33%
Dimitrios Chatsidis33%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Rahman Baba0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Greg Taylor0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Anestis Mythou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
Panathinaikos's squad is €28m more valuable than PAOK's (€109m vs €82m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
Panathinaikos's attack is €16m more valuable than PAOK's (€46m vs €30m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
Panathinaikos's midfield is €2m less valuable than PAOK's (€26m vs €28m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
Panathinaikos's defence is €14m more valuable than PAOK's (€38m vs €24m).
Greece: Super League 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
OFI
Kifisia
Volos NFC
Iraklis 1908
Atromitos
Kalamata
Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos