Panetolikos vs Aris Thessalonikis Result & Analysis

The contest between Panetolikos and Aris Thessalonikis is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win at 39%. A draw sits at 28% and an away win at 33%. The average number of goals expected is 2.8, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 25%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.2% chance. Panetolikos, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 0.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded, while Aris Thessalonikis, on the road against a weaker opponent, averages 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded. Suggested selections include Over 2.5 cards at 92.6%, Under 11.5 corners at 90.5%, Under 10.5 corners at 83.9%, Over 3.5 cards at 82.6%, Over 1.5 goals at 77.5%, and Under 9.5 corners at 74.6%. The match remains a tight contest, with each side capable of turning the tide.

The pre-match favourite, Panetolikos, failed to deliver as the model had predicted a home win with a 39% probability, a call that proved wrong. The match finished 1-2 in favour of Aris Thessalonikis, extending their five-game winning streak. The model’s selection for the total goals, 2.8, was close to the actual two-goal tally, but the most likely scoreline of 1-1 did not materialise. All of the model’s suggested picks were correct: Over 2.5 cards hit at 92.6%, Under 11.5 corners at 90.5%, Under 10.5 corners at 83.9%, Over 3.5 cards at 82.6%, Over 1.5 at 77.5%, and Under 9.5 corners at 74.6%. The upset underscored the volatility of the league.