Panetolikos vs Aris Thessalonikis Result & Analysis

Aris Thessalonikis is the clear favourite, with a 49% chance of victory against Panetolikos, who sit at 25% and a draw at 26%. The model expects 2.9 goals on average, but the most likely total is 2, a 24% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 12.3% chance. Panetolikos, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.67 goals scored and 2.33 conceded, while Aris, away from a weaker opponent, averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls (97.8%), Over 21.5 fouls (94.6%), Over 2.5 cards (91.2%), Over 23.5 fouls (88.6%), Under 11.5 corners (82.4%), Over 3.5 cards (79.9%), Over 1.5 (79.4%) and Over 25.5 fouls (79.3%). The home side’s win probability is 25%, the draw 26%, and the away side 49%.

The model’s prediction proved accurate as Aris Thessalonikis secured a 0-4 away win, extending their five-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Away win, was assigned a 49% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The final score of 0-4 matched the actual result, confirming the favoured outcome. Every suggested pick hit: Over 19.5 fouls at 97.8%, Over 21.5 fouls at 94.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 91.2%, Over 23.5 fouls at 88.6%, Under 11.5 corners at 82.4%, Over 3.5 cards at 79.9%, Over 1.5 at 79.4%, and Over 25.5 fouls at 79.3%. The model’s selections performed consistently, delivering a clean sweep of hits.