Panetolikos enter the match after a win, but their 1.5 goals scored and conceded at home against similar opposition suggest a tight game. Kalamata, who just lost to Aris Thessaloniki, have been prolific on the road, averaging 2.0 goals scored and only 0.78 conceded against comparable teams. The model’s strongest edge lies in the away win pick, with a 44 % probability, outpacing the 31 % draw and 25 % home win odds. The expected total is 2.2 goals, centring on a 2-goal match. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.3 % chance. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.8 %, Under 6.5 at 99.2 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2 % with a 7 % edge, Home under 3.5 goals at 98.6 % with a 9 % edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.5 % with a 7 % edge, Under 5.5 at 97.5 % with a 5 % edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.8 % with a 3 % edge, and Over 19.5 fouls at 95.3 %.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Panetolikos overturned the model’s favourite, the away win, to secure a 2-0 home victory. The pre-match pick had a 44% probability, but the result proved the model’s call wrong. The final score of 2-0 confirmed a home win, extending Panetolikos’ two-game winning run. The model’s other selections all hit: Under 7.5 at 99.8%, Under 6.5 at 99.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8%, Home under 3.5 goals at 98.6%, Under 5.5 at 97.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.8% and Away under 3.5 goals at 95.7%. The expected total of 2.2 goals and the most likely score of 1-1 were not reached, but the low-scoring affair matched the model’s heavy lean toward under-goals markets.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Panetolikos win✓ Hit
24.8%
Avg Implied 40.6% · @ 2.29
Edge
-15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.38
Superbet
2.35
Betano
2.32
Unibet
2.32
Dafabet
2.31
Draw✗ Miss
31.0%
Avg Implied 30.4% · @ 3.07
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
3.18
1xBet
3.16
Betano
3.15
Dafabet
3.15
Betfair
3.10
Kalamata win✗ Miss
44.2%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.22
Edge
+15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.42
Bet365
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
Superbet
3.30
Betano
3.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Panetolikos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.40
1.00
1.71
0.81
1.12
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.60
0.33
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.25
1.30
1.50
1.50
1.08
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalamata) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kalamata
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.20
0.70
2.24
0.76
2.15
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.86
0.77
1.77
0.77
2.00
0.78
vs Weaker (8)
3.12
0.50
3.75
0.75
2.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.0%
@ 1.43+0.6%
Under 1.5
34.0%
@ 2.70-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Unibet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.43
Under
Pinnacle
2.91
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.77
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.70
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.9%
@ 2.37-2.0%
Under 2.5
62.1%
@ 1.57+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.45
Betano
2.40
Pinnacle
2.38
Betfair
2.38
Unibet
2.38
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.57
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.2%
@ 4.40-3.1%
Under 3.5
81.8%
@ 1.19+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.65
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Pinnacle
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Under
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.7%
@ 1.99-2.0%
No
55.3%
@ 1.74+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.05
Unibet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
1xBet
1.98
No
Betfair
1.80
Betano
1.78
William Hil
1.75
Bet365
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%@ 5.71+6.5%
0-1
13.0%@ 7.26+6.9%
0-0
12.3%@ 6.81+5.8%
0-2
9.3%@ 13.94+6.1%
1-0
8.7%@ 6.04+1.4%
1-2
8.4%@ 11.01+4.4%
2-1
5.9%@ 8.86+0.9%
2-0 ✓
4.6%@ 9.59-0.1%
Panetolikos goals ↓
Kalamata goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
13%
9.3%
4.0%
1.3%
1
8.7%
14%
8.4%
3.6%
1.2%
2
4.6%
5.9%
3.8%
1.7%
0.5%
3
1.4%
1.8%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Panetolikos goals (down), columns = Kalamata goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.29
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.12
PAOK
2.06
Panathinaikos
1.71
Levadiakos
1.61
Aris Thessalonikis
1.44
Atromitos
1.29
Iraklis 1908
1.22
OFI
1.22
Kifisia
1.18
Kalamata
1.03
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Panetolikos is 0.01 points worse than Kalamata in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Levadiakos
2.00
PAOK
1.88
AEK Athens FC
1.76
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.68
Panathinaikos
1.56
Atromitos
1.39
OFI
1.34
Kifisia
1.18
Iraklis 1908
1.17
Aris Thessalonikis
1.08
Volos NFC
1.03
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.03
Kalamata
0.99
Panetolikos is 0.04 goals better than Kalamata in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 0.99).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.50
AEK Athens FC
0.62
PAOK
0.76
Panathinaikos
1.00
Aris Thessalonikis
1.06
Atromitos
1.18
Asteras Tripolis
1.39
Kifisia
1.42
Panetolikos
1.42
Iraklis 1908
1.48
Levadiakos
1.50
Volos NFC
1.67
OFI
1.72
Kalamata
1.75
Panetolikos is 0.33 goals better than Kalamata in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.75).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Olympiakos Piraeus
60%
PAOK
60%
AEK Athens FC
57%
Levadiakos
56%
Atromitos
53%
Panathinaikos
53%
Aris Thessalonikis
51%
Kifisia
48%
Volos NFC
46%
Panetolikos
46%
OFI
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Panetolikos
For 3.3 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 14.7 · Total 29.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kalamata
For 1.0 · Against 8.0 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 23.0 · Total 38.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Panetolikos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
8.9
7.9
4.5
4.2
4.8
27.1
26.0
28.2
vs Stronger (17)
9.4
8.7
10.1
4.2
4.0
4.3
27.9
27.1
28.7
vs Similar (33)
7.9
8.9
6.9
4.7
4.3
5.0
26.8
25.5
28.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
41%
55%
27%
66%
58%
73%
84%
73%
95%
% under line
59%
45%
73%
34%
42%
27%
16%
27%
5%
This opponent (Kalamata) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kalamata
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.0
-
0.2
0.4
0.0
38.0
38.0
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (35)
9.0
9.0
-
0.3
0.6
0.0
38.0
38.0
-
vs Weaker (15)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
50%
-
4%
7%
0%
100%
100%
-
% under line
50%
50%
-
96%
93%
100%
0%
0%
-
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kifisia
9.5
Asteras Tripolis
9.3
Aris Thessalonikis
9.3
Kalamata
9.0
OFI
8.9
Atromitos
8.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.9
PAOK
8.8
AEK Athens FC
8.8
Panetolikos
8.6
Volos NFC
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.5
Levadiakos
8.5
Iraklis 1908
5.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kifisia
6.6
Volos NFC
5.6
Kalamata
5.5
Levadiakos
5.5
Panetolikos
5.4
Asteras Tripolis
5.4
OFI
5.4
AEK Athens FC
5.3
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Panathinaikos
5.1
Atromitos
4.9
PAOK
4.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
Iraklis 1908
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Kalamata
38.0
Iraklis 1908
36.5
Kifisia
32.2
Levadiakos
30.5
Atromitos
30.4
Volos NFC
30.3
AEK Athens FC
29.3
OFI
28.6
Aris Thessalonikis
28.4
Panathinaikos
28.3
Asteras Tripolis
27.6
Panetolikos
26.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.4
PAOK
24.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.77
Marathonbet
2.63
1xBet
2.57
Superbet
2.52
Unibet
2.48
Under
Superbet
1.46
Unibet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
Under
Betano
5.20
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Panetolikos or Draw✓ Hit
55.8%
Avg Implied 70.8% · @ 1.32
Edge
-14.9%
25%
31%
44%
covers Panetolikos + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Panetolikos or Kalamata✓ Hit
69.0%
Avg Implied 70.2% · @ 1.33
Edge
-1.1%
25%
31%
44%
covers Panetolikos + Kalamata
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Draw or Kalamata✗ Miss
75.2%
Avg Implied 59.1% · @ 1.58
Edge
+16.1%
25%
31%
44%
covers Draw + Kalamata
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Panetolikos over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
59.7%
@ 1.32-10.7%
Under
40.3%
@ 3.14+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.34
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Under
Pinnacle
3.41
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Marathonbet
3.14
Superbet
3.10
Panetolikos over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
23.1%
@ 2.56-13.3%
Under
76.9%
@ 1.47+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.63
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.62
Unibet
2.60
Under
Pinnacle
1.51
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Superbet
1.46
Panetolikos over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 6.11-8.8%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.10+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
6.20
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
6.00
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Panetolikos over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 15.08-4.9%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.02+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Kalamata over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
72.6%
@ 1.47+9.5%
Under
27.4%
@ 2.52-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.70
Betano
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
Kalamata over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.2%
@ 3.30+9.0%
Under
62.8%
@ 1.29-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.48
Superbet
3.35
10Bet
3.30
Unibet
3.30
Under
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Kalamata over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.2%
@ 8.88+3.7%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.04-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
8.80
Superbet
8.80
Marathonbet
8.60
Betfair
8.50
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
Kalamata over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.3%
@ 22.50-0.0%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.01+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Panetolikos, so a minus line means Panetolikos give that many goals of a start and Kalamata receive them. At -1, Panetolikos must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Panetolikos win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Panetolikos)Actual: Draw
Panetolikos -2
2.3%
@ 10.63-6.1%
Draw -2
6.6%
@ 6.21-7.7%
Kalamata +2
91.1%
@ 1.15+13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
10.50
Superbet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.65
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Superbet
6.30
Unibet
6.25
Marathonbet
4.50
Away
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Handicap -1 (Panetolikos)Actual: Panetolikos
Panetolikos -1
8.9%
@ 4.62-10.2%
Draw -1
15.9%
@ 3.66-8.3%
Kalamata +1
75.2%
@ 1.57+18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.60
Unibet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Draw
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.56
Away
Marathonbet
1.60
Superbet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Unibet
1.56
Handicap +1 (Panetolikos)Actual: Panetolikos
Panetolikos +1
55.8%
@ 1.32-11.8%
Draw +1
23.2%
@ 4.52+3.4%
Kalamata -1
21.0%
@ 7.10+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Superbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Away
Bet365
8.00
10Bet
7.00
Unibet
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.80
Handicap +2 (Panetolikos)Actual: Panetolikos
Panetolikos +2
79.0%
@ 1.07-7.5%
Draw +2
13.5%
@ 10.50+4.6%
Kalamata -2
7.5%
@ 20.50+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
Betfair
20.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Panetolikos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.77
0.43
0.86
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
0.80
0.33
0.83
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.75
0.50
0.88
0.58
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalamata) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kalamata
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.20
1.06
0.12
1.23
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.86
0.18
0.77
0.08
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (8)
1.88
0.25
2.00
0.25
1.75
0.25
Clean sheet %
80% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.1%
@ 1.49+7.6%
Under 0.5
29.9%
@ 2.49-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Under
William Hil
2.62
Pinnacle
2.61
Betfair
2.60
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.47
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.0%
@ 3.33+4.0%
Under 1.5
68.0%
@ 1.29-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.40
1xBet
3.34
Marathonbet
3.30
Under
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.5%
@ 8.95+1.1%
Under 2.5
88.5%
@ 1.04-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.00
William Hil
9.00
Superbet
9.00
1xBet
8.30
Under
Betano
1.07
William Hil
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.03
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Panetolikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
38.8%
@ 2.16-4.2%
Under
61.2%
@ 1.63+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Superbet
2.17
Unibet
2.16
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Panetolikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.2%
@ 7.00-3.0%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.07+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Superbet
7.00
Marathonbet
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Panetolikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 21.17-3.3%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Kalamata over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
47.4%
@ 2.53+10.6%
Under
52.6%
@ 1.47-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.62
Superbet
2.57
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.50
Unibet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
Kalamata over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.4%
@ 8.88+3.9%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.04-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.50
Marathonbet
9.30
Superbet
9.10
10Bet
8.50
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
Kalamata over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 38.00-96.8%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
38.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Panetolikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.63
0.57
0.86
0.38
0.44
vs Stronger (10)
0.00
0.80
0.00
1.17
0.00
0.25
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.55
1.00
0.62
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalamata) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kalamata
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.50
1.18
0.65
0.92
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.00
0.59
1.00
0.69
1.00
0.44
vs Weaker (8)
1.25
0.25
1.75
0.50
0.75
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Panetolikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.6%
@ 1.33+7.4%
Under 0.5
22.4%
@ 3.12-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.34
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
Betano
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.15
Superbet
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.3%
@ 2.52+4.6%
Under 1.5
58.7%
@ 1.47-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.57
Unibet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
William Hil
2.50
Under
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.49
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.0%
@ 5.81+3.0%
Under 2.5
81.0%
@ 1.11-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Superbet
6.00
1xBet
5.60
Marathonbet
5.45
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Panetolikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
50.2%
@ 1.83-0.3%
Under
49.8%
@ 1.87+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Under
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Panetolikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.1%
@ 5.08+3.9%
Under
77.9%
@ 1.13-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.25
Superbet
5.25
1xBet
5.15
Marathonbet
5.05
Betano
4.70
Under
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Panetolikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 14.83-3.7%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.02+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Superbet
17.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Kalamata over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.2%
@ 2.09+8.0%
Under
47.8%
@ 1.66-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
Betano
2.07
Under
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.65
10Bet
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.64
Kalamata over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.4%
@ 6.66+3.6%
Under
82.6%
@ 1.07-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
6.85
Marathonbet
6.75
Superbet
6.70
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Kalamata over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 17.50-0.3%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.02+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
23.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.8%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
93.6%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.09
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
92.7%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Marathonbet
1.02
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
91.1%
1.15
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+13.8%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.07
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.5%
1.04
Betano
1.07
William Hil
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.03
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.8%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
85.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
-3.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
82.6%
1.07
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
81.8%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.0%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
79.0%
1.07
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
-
-
-
-7.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.9%
1.13
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
-3.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.6%
1.33
Superbet
1.34
Betano
1.33
10Bet
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
76.9%
1.47
Pinnacle
1.51
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Superbet
1.46
+13.3%
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
75.2%
1.58
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
+16.1%
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
75.2%
1.57
Marathonbet
1.60
Superbet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Unibet
1.56
+18.6%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
72.6%
1.47
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
+9.5%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.1%
1.49
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.49
+7.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Panetolikos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Juan Manuel García25%
Béni Nkololo25%
Farley Rosa21%
Jorge Aguirre17%
Alexandru Mățan15%
Youssouph Badji13%
Kosta Aleksić12%
Sotiris Kontouris10%
Konrad Michalak9%
Lenny Lobato6%
Diego Esteban6%
Lampros Smyrlis5%
Charis Mavrias4%
Andreas Bouchalakis3%
Miguel Luís0%
Lucas Cháves0%
Christian Manrique0%
Christos Sielis0%
Sebastian Mladen0%
Lazar Kojić0%
Unai García0%
Gustav Granath0%
Yevhenii Kucherenko0%
Giannis Satsias0%
Nikola Stajić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Jeyson Chura0%
Christos Belevonis0%
Vangelis Nikolaou0%
Adriano Bregou0%
Georgios Agapakis0%
David Galiatsos0%
Deivid Hoxha0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Georgios Agapakis38%
Miguel Luís29%
Lazar Kojić29%
Charis Mavrias25%
Christos Sielis25%
Béni Nkololo25%
Christian Manrique24%
Andreas Bouchalakis20%
Youssouph Badji20%
Jeyson Chura20%
Kosta Aleksić18%
Jorge Aguirre17%
David Galiatsos17%
Unai García15%
Giannis Satsias15%
Farley Rosa14%
Lenny Lobato12%
Diego Esteban12%
Nikola Stajić11%
Yevhenii Kucherenko10%
Sotiris Kontouris10%
Adriano Bregou9%
Juan Manuel García8%
Lucas Cháves7%
Alexandru Mățan6%
Gustav Granath6%
Vangelis Nikolaou6%
Lampros Smyrlis5%
Konrad Michalak4%
Sebastian Mladen0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Christos Belevonis0%
Deivid Hoxha0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Youssouph Badji20%
Farley Rosa14%
Konrad Michalak13%
Alexandru Mățan9%
Béni Nkololo8%
Giannis Satsias8%
Lucas Cháves7%
Lenny Lobato6%
Lampros Smyrlis5%
Jorge Aguirre4%
Christos Sielis4%
Christian Manrique3%
Andreas Bouchalakis3%
Kosta Aleksić3%
Diego Esteban3%
Miguel Luís0%
Juan Manuel García0%
Charis Mavrias0%
Sebastian Mladen0%
Lazar Kojić0%
Unai García0%
Gustav Granath0%
Yevhenii Kucherenko0%
Nikola Stajić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Jeyson Chura0%
Christos Belevonis0%
Vangelis Nikolaou0%
Adriano Bregou0%
Georgios Agapakis0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
David Galiatsos0%
Deivid Hoxha0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Béni Nkololo25%
Farley Rosa14%
Youssouph Badji13%
Juan Manuel García8%
Jorge Aguirre8%
Lenny Lobato6%
Alexandru Mățan6%
Konrad Michalak4%
Miguel Luís0%
Andreas Bouchalakis0%
Lucas Cháves0%
Christian Manrique0%
Charis Mavrias0%
Christos Sielis0%
Sebastian Mladen0%
Kosta Aleksić0%
Lazar Kojić0%
Unai García0%
Gustav Granath0%
Yevhenii Kucherenko0%
Giannis Satsias0%
Nikola Stajić0%
Apostolos Apostolopoulos0%
Diego Esteban0%
Jeyson Chura0%
Christos Belevonis0%
Lampros Smyrlis0%
Vangelis Nikolaou0%
Adriano Bregou0%
Georgios Agapakis0%
Sotiris Kontouris0%
David Galiatsos0%
Deivid Hoxha0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
Panetolikos's squad is €2m more valuable than Kalamata's (€13m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
Panetolikos's attack is €3m more valuable than Kalamata's (€7m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
Panetolikos and Kalamata have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
Panetolikos's defence is €1m less valuable than Kalamata's (€3m vs €5m).
Greece: Super League 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PAOK
Aris Thessalonikis
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
OFI
Kifisia
Volos NFC
Iraklis 1908
Atromitos
Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos