Panetolikos vs Levadiakos Result & Analysis

Panetolikos are tipped to win, with a 51% chance of triumph, a 29% chance of a draw and a 20% chance of an away win. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly high-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.4% probability. In recent form, Panetolikos have won two of their last five matches, currently on a two-game winning run, and have scored an average of 1.5 goals while conceding 1.3 at home against opponents of similar strength. Levadiakos, after a defeat, have won two of their last five games, average away scoring of 1.0 and conceding 1.67 against similar opposition. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 95.9%, Over 3.5 cards at 89.2%, Under 3.5 total goals at 79.4%, Under 10.5 corners at 82.9%, Under 9.5 corners at 73.3%, Over 4.5 cards at 78.2% and Under 11.5 corners at 89.8%. Each pick is presented with its probability and, where applicable, the edge percentage.

The upset came early, with Levadiakos snatching a 0-1 away win that snapped Panetolikos’ two-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 51% probability, but the model’s call was wrong. The final score of 0-1 confirmed the away victory. The model’s other selections fared mixed: Over 2.5 cards hit at 95.9%, Over 3.5 cards hit at 89.2%, Under 3.5 hit at 79.4%; Under 11.5 corners missed at 89.8%, Under 10.5 corners missed at 82.9%, Over 4.5 cards missed at 78.2%, and Under 9.5 corners missed at 73.3%. The match delivered a stark reversal of expectations.