Panionios are set to defend a tight, low-scoring match at home, with the model predicting a 58% chance of a win, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 15% chance of an Asteras Tripolis II victory. The most likely outcome is a 1-0 win for the home side, with a 15.8% probability. The expected total goals hover at 2.2, and the single most probable total is two goals, at 28%. Panionios have averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.43 conceded against similar opponents, while Asteras Tripolis II have managed 1.0 goal scored and 1.33 conceded on the road. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.5%), Under 6.5 (99.2%), Under 5.5 (97.4%), Away under 2.5 goals (97.0%), Home +2 handicap (95.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.8%), and Under 4.5 (92.6%). Panionios, coming off a draw, look to keep the scoreline tight.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Panionios win
57.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II win
14.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Panionios
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.53
1.53
0.47
1.33
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
1.37
0.56
1.43
0.43
1.31
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
0.50
3.00
1.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asteras Tripolis II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.17
1.57
1.00
0.94
1.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.21
1.14
1.46
0.92
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
3.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Panionios) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
66.0%
Under 1.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
38.1%
Under 2.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
18.4%
Under 3.5
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
39.3%
No
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.8%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
12.0%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
Panionios goals ↓
Asteras Tripolis II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
6.1%
2.4%
0.5%
0.1%
1
16%
12%
3.7%
0.8%
0.1%
2
13%
8.7%
2.9%
0.6%
0.1%
3
6.8%
4.5%
1.5%
0.3%
0.1%
4
2.6%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Panionios goals (down), columns = Asteras Tripolis II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Panionios
2.08
Niki Volos
2.00
Larisa
1.80
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.71
Marko
1.67
PAOK II
1.64
Kallithea
1.61
Ellas Syros
1.61
Asteras Tripolis II
1.54
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.43
Pyrgos 1968
1.41
Zakynthos
1.41
Panthrakikos
1.41
Panserraikos
1.36
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.29
Apollon Pontou
1.18
Panionios is 0.54 points better than Asteras Tripolis II in terms of average points per game (2.08 vs 1.54).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Niki Volos
1.92
PAOK II
1.57
Larisa
1.48
Panionios
1.46
Ellas Syros
1.43
Asteras Tripolis II
1.21
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.16
Zakynthos
1.16
Panthrakikos
1.16
Kallithea
1.14
Marko
1.12
Panserraikos
1.12
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.08
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.07
Apollon Pontou
0.97
Panionios is 0.25 goals better than Asteras Tripolis II in terms of goals scored per game (1.46 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Niki Volos
0.50
Panionios
0.54
Marko
0.71
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.75
Kallithea
0.79
Ellas Syros
0.86
Larisa
0.89
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.93
PAOK II
1.11
Asteras Tripolis II
1.12
Pyrgos 1968
1.13
Zakynthos
1.13
Panthrakikos
1.13
Panserraikos
1.17
Apollon Pontou
1.35
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.58
Panionios is 0.58 goals better than Asteras Tripolis II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.54 vs 1.12).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Panionios or Draw
85.3%
Avg Implied -
58%
28%
15%
covers Panionios + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Panionios or Asteras Tripolis II
72.4%
Avg Implied -
58%
28%
15%
covers Panionios + Asteras Tripolis II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Asteras Tripolis II
42.3%
Avg Implied -
58%
28%
15%
covers Draw + Asteras Tripolis II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Panionios over/under 0.5
Over
78.8%
Under
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 1.5
Over
46.0%
Under
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 2.5
Over
20.4%
Under
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 3.5
Over
7.2%
Under
92.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 0.5
Over
48.4%
Under
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 1.5
Over
14.3%
Under
85.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 2.5
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 3.5
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Panionios, so a minus line means Panionios give that many goals of a start and Asteras Tripolis II receive them. At -1, Panionios must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Panionios win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Panionios)
Panionios -2
13.3%
Draw -2
18.3%
Asteras Tripolis II +2
68.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Panionios)
Panionios -1
31.6%
Draw -1
26.2%
Asteras Tripolis II +1
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Panionios)
Panionios +1
85.3%
Draw +1
10.5%
Asteras Tripolis II -1
4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Panionios)
Panionios +2
95.9%
Draw +2
3.3%
Asteras Tripolis II -2
0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Panionios
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.27
0.67
0.27
0.47
0.27
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.26
0.64
0.21
0.46
0.31
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
77% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asteras Tripolis II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.79
0.43
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.61
0.54
0.77
0.38
0.47
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Panionios) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.6%
Under 0.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.8%
Under 1.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.3%
Under 2.5
87.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Panionios over/under 0.5 HT
Over
61.0%
Under
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 1.5 HT
Over
23.1%
Under
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
26.2%
Under
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
4.7%
Under
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Panionios
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.27
0.87
0.20
0.87
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.81
0.30
0.79
0.21
0.85
0.38
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asteras Tripolis II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.79
0.57
0.50
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.61
0.61
0.69
0.54
0.53
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Panionios) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.1%
Under 0.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
45.8%
Under 1.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.6%
Under 2.5
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Panionios over/under 0.5 2H
Over
71.5%
Under
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 1.5 2H
Over
34.7%
Under
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 2.5 2H
Over
10.5%
Under
89.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
30.2%
Under
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
5.6%
Under
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 0.5 HT goals
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 2H goals
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
PI (21)
€5m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
OPI (22)
€4m
ATI (23)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
AP (16)
€2m
Panionios's squad is €2m more valuable than Asteras Tripolis II's (€5m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (13)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
PI (9)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
OPI (9)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
ATI (6)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Panionios's attack is €2m more valuable than Asteras Tripolis II's (€3m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NV (6)
€1m
PI (4)
€1m
ATI (7)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MAR (4)
€0m
OPI (3)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
Panionios and Asteras Tripolis II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PI (8)
€2m
OPI (10)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
ATI (10)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Panionios and Asteras Tripolis II have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Greece: Super League 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Panserraikos
Ellas Syros
Anagennisi Karditsas
Niki Volos
Zakynthos
PAOK II
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Marko
Apollon Pontou
Kallithea
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Larisa
Pyrgos 1968
Panthrakikos