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Panionios vs PAOK II Prediction & Stats

Date: 11/10/2026
Time: 15:00
Panionios
Panionios
Vs
44%
32%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
PAOK II
PAOK II
Greece: Super League 2
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Panionios will look to keep the score tight, with both sides averaging low tallies against similar opposition - 1.43 goals for and 0.43 against at home, while PAOK II concedes 1.14 and scores only 0.86 on the road. The model favours a home win, with a 44% chance, a 32% draw and a 25% away win. The expected total is 2.1 goals, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.4% probability. The match is projected to be low-scoring, with the total goals likely to be 2, a 28% chance. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.8%), Under 5.5 (97.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.2%), Away under 2.5 goals (94.1%), Under 4.5 (93.6%) and Home +2 handicap (91.3%). Panionios, coming off a 0-0 draw, will aim to break the deadlock, while PAOK II, on a two-game winning run, will look to keep the game close.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panionios win
43.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
31.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
PAOK II win
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PanioniosPanionios

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D30W20W00D12L01L12L30W00DA·KAL11/01H·ELL18/01H·KIS25/01A·KAL15/02H·MAR21/02A·OLY01/03H·KAL07/03A·MAR15/03H·OLY21/03A·NIK19/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.531.530.471.330.60
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (27)1.370.561.430.431.310.69
vs Weaker (2)3.000.503.001.003.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PAOK IIPAOK II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W21W01L30W10W12L21W11D21W31WH·KAV14/02A·PAS22/02A·NES28/02H·KAM08/03A·MAK14/03A·KAV05/04H·PAS08/04H·NES18/04A·KAM22/04H·MAK26/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.071.671.071.331.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.791.360.711.570.861.14
vs Weaker (16)2.120.812.500.621.751.00
Clean sheet %30% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Panionios) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
63.8%
Under 1.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
35.5%
Under 2.5
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
16.4%
Under 3.5
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
42.7%
No
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
13.7%
0-0
13.4%
2-0
9.3%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.6%
Panionios goals ↓
PAOK II goals →
01234
013%9.2%4.6%1.3%0.3%
114%14%5.7%1.7%0.4%
29.3%8.1%3.5%1.0%0.2%
33.9%3.4%1.5%0.4%0.1%
41.2%1.0%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Panionios goals (down), columns = PAOK II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Panionios
2.08
Niki Volos
2.00
Larisa
1.80
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.71
Marko
1.67
PAOK II
1.64
Kallithea
1.61
Ellas Syros
1.61
Asteras Tripolis II
1.54
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.43
Pyrgos 1968
1.41
Zakynthos
1.41
Panthrakikos
1.41
Panserraikos
1.36
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.29
Apollon Pontou
1.18
Panionios is 0.44 points better than PAOK II in terms of average points per game (2.08 vs 1.64).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Niki Volos
1.92
PAOK II
1.57
Larisa
1.48
Panionios
1.46
Ellas Syros
1.43
Asteras Tripolis II
1.21
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.16
Zakynthos
1.16
Panthrakikos
1.16
Kallithea
1.14
Marko
1.12
Panserraikos
1.12
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.08
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.07
Apollon Pontou
0.97
Panionios is 0.11 goals worse than PAOK II in terms of goals scored per game (1.46 vs 1.57).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Niki Volos
0.50
Panionios
0.54
Marko
0.71
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.75
Kallithea
0.79
Ellas Syros
0.86
Larisa
0.89
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.93
PAOK II
1.11
Asteras Tripolis II
1.12
Pyrgos 1968
1.13
Zakynthos
1.13
Panthrakikos
1.13
Panserraikos
1.17
Apollon Pontou
1.35
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.58
Panionios is 0.57 goals better than PAOK II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.54 vs 1.11).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Panionios or Draw
75.3%
Avg Implied -
44%
32%
25%
covers Panionios + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Panionios or PAOK II
68.2%
Avg Implied -
44%
32%
25%
covers Panionios + PAOK II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or PAOK II
56.5%
Avg Implied -
44%
32%
25%
covers Draw + PAOK II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Panionios over/under 0.5
Over
71.1%
Under
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 1.5
Over
35.3%
Under
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 2.5
Over
13.0%
Under
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 0.5
Over
58.2%
Under
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 1.5
Over
21.8%
Under
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 2.5
Over
5.9%
Under
94.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 3.5
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Panionios, so a minus line means Panionios give that many goals of a start and PAOK II receive them. At -1, Panionios must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Panionios win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Panionios)
Panionios -2
6.9%
Draw -2
13.2%
PAOK II +2
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Panionios)
Panionios -1
20.1%
Draw -1
23.4%
PAOK II +1
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Panionios)
Panionios +1
75.3%
Draw +1
16.1%
PAOK II -1
8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Panionios)
Panionios +2
91.3%
Draw +2
6.5%
PAOK II -2
2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PanioniosPanionios

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W00D00D02L01L11D10W00DA·KAL11/01H·ELL18/01H·KIS25/01A·KAL15/02H·MAR21/02A·OLY01/03H·KAL07/03A·MAR15/03H·OLY21/03A·NIK19/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.270.670.270.470.27
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.560.260.640.210.460.31
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %77% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PAOK IIPAOK II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D01L20W00D10W01L00D11D30WH·KAV14/02A·PAS22/02A·NES28/02H·KAM08/03A·MAK14/03A·KAV05/04H·PAS08/04H·NES18/04A·KAM22/04H·MAK26/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.670.530.670.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.210.640.140.710.290.57
vs Weaker (16)1.060.381.120.381.000.38
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Panionios) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Panionios over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PanioniosPanionios

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D20W20W00D10W00D01L20W00DA·KAL11/01H·ELL18/01H·KIS25/01A·KAL15/02H·MAR21/02A·OLY01/03H·KAL07/03A·MAR15/03H·OLY21/03A·NIK19/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.270.870.200.870.33
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.810.300.790.210.850.38
vs Weaker (2)2.000.002.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %80% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PAOK IIPAOK II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W00D10W10W02L20W11D10W01LH·KAV14/02A·PAS22/02A·NES28/02H·KAM08/03A·MAK14/03A·KAV05/04H·PAS08/04H·NES18/04A·KAM22/04H·MAK26/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.571.000.530.670.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.570.710.570.860.570.57
vs Weaker (16)1.060.441.380.250.750.62
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Panionios) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Panionios over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panionios over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.8%-------
Under 6.599.4%-------
Away under 3.5 goals98.8%-------
Under 5.597.9%-------
Home under 3.5 goals96.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals94.1%-------
Under 4.593.6%-------
Home +2 handicap91.3%-------
Home under 2.5 goals87.0%-------
Under 3.583.6%-------
Away +2 handicap79.9%-------
Away under 1.5 goals78.2%-------
Home or Draw75.3%-------
Home +1 handicap75.3%-------
Home over 0.5 goals71.1%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
PI (21)
€5m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
OPI (22)
€4m
ATI (23)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
AP (16)
€2m
Panionios and PAOK II have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (13)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
PI (9)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
OPI (9)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
ATI (6)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Panionios's attack is €1m more valuable than PAOK II's (€3m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NV (6)
€1m
PI (4)
€1m
ATI (7)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MAR (4)
€0m
OPI (3)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
Panionios's midfield is €1m less valuable than PAOK II's (€0m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PI (8)
€2m
OPI (10)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
ATI (10)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Panionios and PAOK II have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
PAN wins
0
Draws
0
PI wins

Head-to-head

Panionios vs PAOK II · H/A from PAN
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

PanioniosPanionios

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/08/26ANiki Volos Vs PAN0-0
21/03/26HPAN Vs Olympiakos Piraeus II3-0
15/03/26AMarko Vs PAN2-1
07/03/26HPAN Vs Kalamata0-1
01/03/26AOlympiakos Piraeus II Vs PAN2-1
21/02/26HPAN Vs Marko0-0
15/02/26AKalamata Vs PAN0-2
25/01/26HPAN Vs Kissamikos3-0
18/01/26HPAN Vs Ellas Syros0-0
11/01/26AKalamata Vs PAN2-0

PAOK IIPAOK II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26HPI Vs Makedonikos Neapolis3-1
22/04/26AKampaniakos Chalastra Vs PI1-2
18/04/26HPI Vs Nestos Chrisoupolis1-1
08/04/26HPI Vs PAS Giannina2-1
05/04/26AKavala Vs PI2-1
14/03/26AMakedonikos Neapolis Vs PI0-1
08/03/26HPI Vs Kampaniakos Chalastra3-0
28/02/26ANestos Chrisoupolis Vs PI1-0
22/02/26APAS Giannina Vs PI1-2
14/02/26HPI Vs Kavala4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Panionios
Panionios
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD1.76
HomeDWDLW2.00
AwayLWLLD1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%60%40%
AVG goals2.122.242.00
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %36%40%32%
Over 3.5 %12%20%4%
Scored1.401.641.16
Conceded0.720.600.84
BTTS36%32%40%
Clean Sheet48%52%44%
Corners3.003.00-
Cards5.005.00-
PAOK II
PAOK II
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWW1.42
HomeWWWDW1.48
AwayWLWLW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%44%40%
AVG goals2.462.642.28
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %48%56%40%
Over 3.5 %22%28%16%
Scored1.321.481.16
Conceded1.141.161.12
BTTS46%40%52%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PanserraikosPanserraikos00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2130.00.0
-
2Ellas SyrosEllas Syros00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.00.0
-
3PanioniosPanionios00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3020.00.0
-
4Anagennisi KarditsasAnagennisi Karditsas00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.00.0
-
5Niki VolosNiki Volos00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2130.00.0
-
6ZakynthosZakynthos00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
7PAOK IIPAOK II00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.00.0
-
8Nestos ChrisoupolisNestos Chrisoupolis00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.00.0
-
9MarkoMarko00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2020.00.0
-
10Apollon PontouApollon Pontou00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.00.0
-
11KallitheaKallithea00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2130.00.0
-
12Asteras Tripolis IIAsteras Tripolis II00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.00.0
-
13Olympiakos Piraeus IIOlympiakos Piraeus II00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2020.00.0
-
14LarisaLarisa00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.00.0
-
15Pyrgos 1968Pyrgos 196800
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
16PanthrakikosPanthrakikos00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Greece: Super League 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →

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