Panserraikos are tipped to win, with a 50% chance of taking the match home, a 28% chance of a draw and a 22% chance of an away victory. The model expects 2.4 goals on average, most likely a 2-goal total, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 13.4%. Home side Panserraikos, playing at home against a team of similar strength, normally score 1.0 goal and concede 0.83. Their opponents, Asteras Tripolis II, on the road against a similar opponent, average 1.0 goal scored and 1.33 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.6%), Under 5.5 (96.1%), Away under 2.5 goals (93.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.1%), Home +2 handicap (92.3%) and Under 4.5 (89.8%). Panserraikos are coming off a win, while Asteras Tripolis II return after a defeat.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Panserraikos win
50.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II win
21.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Panserraikos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.93
0.67
1.60
0.80
2.27
vs Stronger (17)
0.65
2.71
0.44
2.11
0.88
3.38
vs Similar (13)
0.85
0.92
1.00
0.83
0.71
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asteras Tripolis II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.17
1.57
1.00
0.94
1.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.21
1.14
1.46
0.92
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
3.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Panserraikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
71.4%
Under 1.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
44.2%
Under 2.5
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
23.1%
Under 3.5
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
48.3%
No
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.0%
2-0
10.1%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.1%
Panserraikos goals ↓
Asteras Tripolis II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.9%
6.7%
3.7%
1.1%
0.3%
1
12%
13%
5.6%
1.7%
0.4%
2
10%
9.3%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
3
5.1%
4.7%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
4
2.0%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Panserraikos goals (down), columns = Asteras Tripolis II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Panionios
2.08
Niki Volos
2.00
Larisa
1.80
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.71
Marko
1.67
PAOK II
1.64
Kallithea
1.61
Ellas Syros
1.61
Asteras Tripolis II
1.54
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.43
Pyrgos 1968
1.41
Zakynthos
1.41
Panthrakikos
1.41
Panserraikos
1.36
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.29
Apollon Pontou
1.18
Panserraikos is 0.18 points worse than Asteras Tripolis II in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 1.54).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Niki Volos
1.92
PAOK II
1.57
Larisa
1.48
Panionios
1.46
Ellas Syros
1.43
Asteras Tripolis II
1.21
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.16
Zakynthos
1.16
Panthrakikos
1.16
Kallithea
1.14
Marko
1.12
Panserraikos
1.12
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.08
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.07
Apollon Pontou
0.97
Panserraikos is 0.09 goals worse than Asteras Tripolis II in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Niki Volos
0.50
Panionios
0.54
Marko
0.71
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.75
Kallithea
0.79
Ellas Syros
0.86
Larisa
0.89
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.93
PAOK II
1.11
Asteras Tripolis II
1.12
Pyrgos 1968
1.13
Zakynthos
1.13
Panthrakikos
1.13
Panserraikos
1.17
Apollon Pontou
1.35
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.58
Panserraikos is 0.05 goals worse than Asteras Tripolis II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.12).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Panserraikos or Draw
78.5%
Avg Implied -
50%
28%
22%
covers Panserraikos + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Panserraikos or Asteras Tripolis II
71.8%
Avg Implied -
50%
28%
22%
covers Panserraikos + Asteras Tripolis II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Asteras Tripolis II
49.8%
Avg Implied -
50%
28%
22%
covers Draw + Asteras Tripolis II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Panserraikos over/under 0.5
Over
78.3%
Under
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panserraikos over/under 1.5
Over
45.1%
Under
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panserraikos over/under 2.5
Over
19.8%
Under
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panserraikos over/under 3.5
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 0.5
Over
60.1%
Under
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 1.5
Over
23.5%
Under
76.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 2.5
Over
6.6%
Under
93.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 3.5
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Panserraikos, so a minus line means Panserraikos give that many goals of a start and Asteras Tripolis II receive them. At -1, Panserraikos must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Panserraikos win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Panserraikos)
Panserraikos -2
10.8%
Draw -2
15.7%
Asteras Tripolis II +2
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Panserraikos)
Panserraikos -1
26.5%
Draw -1
23.7%
Asteras Tripolis II +1
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Panserraikos)
Panserraikos +1
78.5%
Draw +1
13.8%
Asteras Tripolis II -1
7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Panserraikos)
Panserraikos +2
92.3%
Draw +2
5.7%
Asteras Tripolis II -2
2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Panserraikos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
1.03
0.20
0.60
0.53
1.47
vs Stronger (17)
0.35
1.35
0.11
0.56
0.62
2.25
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.62
0.33
0.67
0.43
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asteras Tripolis II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.79
0.43
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.61
0.54
0.77
0.38
0.47
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Panserraikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.8%
Under 0.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.2%
Under 1.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.3%
Under 2.5
88.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Panserraikos over/under 0.5 HT
Over
54.4%
Under
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panserraikos over/under 1.5 HT
Over
26.0%
Under
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panserraikos over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.5%
Under
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.1%
Under
92.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Panserraikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.90
0.47
1.00
0.27
0.80
vs Stronger (17)
0.29
1.35
0.33
1.56
0.25
1.12
vs Similar (13)
0.46
0.31
0.67
0.17
0.29
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asteras Tripolis II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.79
0.57
0.50
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.61
0.61
0.69
0.54
0.53
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Panserraikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.0%
Under 0.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.3%
Under 1.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.4%
Under 2.5
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Panserraikos over/under 0.5 2H
Over
61.9%
Under
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panserraikos over/under 1.5 2H
Over
36.1%
Under
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panserraikos over/under 2.5 2H
Over
10.1%
Under
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
36.2%
Under
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.4%
Under
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Panserraikos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aleksa Maraš25%
Andrei Ivan13%
Alex Teixeira11%
Adrián Riera11%
Ché Nunnely8%
Volnei Feltes7%
Vernon De Marco7%
Samir Ben Sallam6%
Alexandros Maskanakis5%
Nikolaos Karelis4%
Giannis Doiranlis4%
Iva Gelashvili4%
Lefteris Lyratzis3%
Marios Tsaousis3%
Moussa Wagué0%
Braian Galván0%
Andre Green0%
Yoël Armougom0%
Aristotelis Karasalidis0%
Angelos Liasos0%
Stephane Omeonga0%
Juan Francisco Tinaglini0%
Igor Kalinin0%
Matthew Guillaumier0%
Zidane Banjaqui0%
Ethan Duncan Brooks0%
Miguel Falé0%
Viktor Rumyantsev0%
Marios Sofianos0%
Charalampos Georgiadis0%
Alexandros Tsompanidis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Igor Kalinin48%
Viktor Rumyantsev36%
Ché Nunnely33%
Aristotelis Karasalidis29%
Vernon De Marco29%
Andrei Ivan26%
Yoël Armougom25%
Aleksa Maraš25%
Angelos Liasos19%
Iva Gelashvili18%
Juan Francisco Tinaglini17%
Alex Teixeira17%
Ethan Duncan Brooks17%
Marios Sofianos17%
Charalampos Georgiadis17%
Zidane Banjaqui15%
Volnei Feltes15%
Moussa Wagué14%
Alexandros Tsompanidis14%
Stephane Omeonga13%
Lefteris Lyratzis12%
Matthew Guillaumier12%
Adrián Riera11%
Alexandros Maskanakis11%
Giannis Doiranlis7%
Samir Ben Sallam6%
Marios Tsaousis6%
Nikolaos Karelis0%
Braian Galván0%
Andre Green0%
Miguel Falé0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrei Ivan13%
Nikolaos Karelis12%
Alex Teixeira11%
Adrián Riera11%
Lefteris Lyratzis9%
Andre Green9%
Ché Nunnely8%
Alexandros Maskanakis5%
Marios Tsaousis3%
Moussa Wagué0%
Braian Galván0%
Yoël Armougom0%
Aristotelis Karasalidis0%
Angelos Liasos0%
Vernon De Marco0%
Stephane Omeonga0%
Juan Francisco Tinaglini0%
Igor Kalinin0%
Matthew Guillaumier0%
Samir Ben Sallam0%
Zidane Banjaqui0%
Iva Gelashvili0%
Ethan Duncan Brooks0%
Volnei Feltes0%
Miguel Falé0%
Aleksa Maraš0%
Viktor Rumyantsev0%
Marios Sofianos0%
Charalampos Georgiadis0%
Alexandros Tsompanidis0%
Giannis Doiranlis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Miguel Falé14%
Andrei Ivan6%
Nikolaos Karelis4%
Volnei Feltes4%
Moussa Wagué0%
Lefteris Lyratzis0%
Braian Galván0%
Alex Teixeira0%
Andre Green0%
Yoël Armougom0%
Aristotelis Karasalidis0%
Angelos Liasos0%
Ché Nunnely0%
Vernon De Marco0%
Stephane Omeonga0%
Juan Francisco Tinaglini0%
Igor Kalinin0%
Matthew Guillaumier0%
Samir Ben Sallam0%
Zidane Banjaqui0%
Marios Tsaousis0%
Adrián Riera0%
Alexandros Maskanakis0%
Iva Gelashvili0%
Ethan Duncan Brooks0%
Aleksa Maraš0%
Viktor Rumyantsev0%
Marios Sofianos0%
Charalampos Georgiadis0%
Alexandros Tsompanidis0%
Giannis Doiranlis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
PI (21)
€5m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
OPI (22)
€4m
ATI (23)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
AP (16)
€2m
Panserraikos's squad is €2m more valuable than Asteras Tripolis II's (€6m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (13)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
PI (9)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
OPI (9)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
ATI (6)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Panserraikos's attack is €1m more valuable than Asteras Tripolis II's (€2m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NV (6)
€1m
PI (4)
€1m
ATI (7)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MAR (4)
€0m
OPI (3)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
Panserraikos and Asteras Tripolis II have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PI (8)
€2m
OPI (10)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
ATI (10)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Panserraikos's defence is €2m more valuable than Asteras Tripolis II's (€3m vs €1m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
PAN wins
0
Draws
0
ATI wins
Head-to-head
Panserraikos vs Asteras Tripolis II · H/A from PAN
Greece: Super League 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →