Panserraikos are tipped to lift the match, with a 47% chance of victory, a 30% chance of a draw and a 23% chance of a Nestos Chrisoupolis win. The model’s pick is a home win, and the expected total goals hover at 2.3, with the most likely total being two goals at 28%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14% probability. Panserraikos, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, average 1.0 goal scored and 0.83 conceded, while Nestos Chrisoupolis, on the road, average 0.87 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 99.7%, Under 6.5 at 99.1%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.6%, Under 5.5 at 97.0%, Home under 3.5 goals at 94.8%, Away under 2.5 goals at 93.5%, Under 4.5 at 91.6%, and Home +2 handicap at 91.6%. The home side’s recent form shows a win, while the away side remains unbeaten in their last five. This match is likely to be a low-scoring affair with Panserraikos edging out a narrow victory.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Panserraikos win
46.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis win
23.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Panserraikos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.93
0.67
1.60
0.80
2.27
vs Stronger (17)
0.65
2.71
0.44
2.11
0.88
3.38
vs Similar (13)
0.85
0.92
1.00
0.83
0.71
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Nestos Chrisoupolis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.93
1.12
0.69
0.93
1.21
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.07
0.93
1.21
0.64
0.93
1.21
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Panserraikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
68.2%
Under 1.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
40.4%
Under 2.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
20.1%
Under 3.5
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
46.2%
No
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
11.3%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.5%
Panserraikos goals ↓
Nestos Chrisoupolis goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.9%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.8%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.6%
8.8%
4.0%
1.2%
0.3%
3
4.5%
4.1%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.5%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Panserraikos goals (down), columns = Nestos Chrisoupolis goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Panionios
2.08
Niki Volos
2.00
Larisa
1.80
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.71
Marko
1.67
PAOK II
1.64
Kallithea
1.61
Ellas Syros
1.61
Asteras Tripolis II
1.54
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.43
Pyrgos 1968
1.41
Zakynthos
1.41
Panthrakikos
1.41
Panserraikos
1.36
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.29
Apollon Pontou
1.18
Panserraikos is 0.07 points worse than Nestos Chrisoupolis in terms of average points per game (1.36 vs 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Niki Volos
1.92
PAOK II
1.57
Larisa
1.48
Panionios
1.46
Ellas Syros
1.43
Asteras Tripolis II
1.21
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.16
Zakynthos
1.16
Panthrakikos
1.16
Kallithea
1.14
Marko
1.12
Panserraikos
1.12
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.08
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.07
Apollon Pontou
0.97
Panserraikos is 0.05 goals better than Nestos Chrisoupolis in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.07).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Niki Volos
0.50
Panionios
0.54
Marko
0.71
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.75
Kallithea
0.79
Ellas Syros
0.86
Larisa
0.89
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.93
PAOK II
1.11
Asteras Tripolis II
1.12
Pyrgos 1968
1.13
Zakynthos
1.13
Panthrakikos
1.13
Panserraikos
1.17
Apollon Pontou
1.35
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.58
Panserraikos is 0.24 goals worse than Nestos Chrisoupolis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 0.93).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Panserraikos or Draw
76.5%
Avg Implied -
47%
30%
23%
covers Panserraikos + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Panserraikos or Nestos Chrisoupolis
70.1%
Avg Implied -
47%
30%
23%
covers Panserraikos + Nestos Chrisoupolis
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Nestos Chrisoupolis
53.3%
Avg Implied -
47%
30%
23%
covers Draw + Nestos Chrisoupolis
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Panserraikos over/under 0.5
Over
75.0%
Under
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panserraikos over/under 1.5
Over
40.4%
Under
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panserraikos over/under 2.5
Over
16.3%
Under
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panserraikos over/under 3.5
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 0.5
Over
59.9%
Under
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 1.5
Over
23.2%
Under
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 2.5
Over
6.5%
Under
93.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 3.5
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Panserraikos, so a minus line means Panserraikos give that many goals of a start and Nestos Chrisoupolis receive them. At -1, Panserraikos must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Panserraikos win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Panserraikos)
Panserraikos -2
8.7%
Draw -2
14.4%
Nestos Chrisoupolis +2
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Panserraikos)
Panserraikos -1
23.1%
Draw -1
23.5%
Nestos Chrisoupolis +1
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Panserraikos)
Panserraikos +1
76.5%
Draw +1
15.0%
Nestos Chrisoupolis -1
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Panserraikos)
Panserraikos +2
91.6%
Draw +2
6.2%
Nestos Chrisoupolis -2
2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Panserraikos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
1.03
0.20
0.60
0.53
1.47
vs Stronger (17)
0.35
1.35
0.11
0.56
0.62
2.25
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.62
0.33
0.67
0.43
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Nestos Chrisoupolis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.27
0.44
0.12
0.43
0.43
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.46
0.25
0.50
0.07
0.43
0.43
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
77% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Panserraikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Panserraikos over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panserraikos over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panserraikos over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Panserraikos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.90
0.47
1.00
0.27
0.80
vs Stronger (17)
0.29
1.35
0.33
1.56
0.25
1.12
vs Similar (13)
0.46
0.31
0.67
0.17
0.29
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Nestos Chrisoupolis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.69
0.56
0.50
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.61
0.68
0.71
0.57
0.50
0.79
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Panserraikos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Panserraikos over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panserraikos over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panserraikos over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Panserraikos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aleksa Maraš25%
Andrei Ivan13%
Alex Teixeira11%
Adrián Riera11%
Ché Nunnely8%
Volnei Feltes7%
Vernon De Marco7%
Samir Ben Sallam6%
Alexandros Maskanakis5%
Nikolaos Karelis4%
Giannis Doiranlis4%
Iva Gelashvili4%
Lefteris Lyratzis3%
Marios Tsaousis3%
Moussa Wagué0%
Braian Galván0%
Andre Green0%
Yoël Armougom0%
Aristotelis Karasalidis0%
Angelos Liasos0%
Stephane Omeonga0%
Juan Francisco Tinaglini0%
Igor Kalinin0%
Matthew Guillaumier0%
Zidane Banjaqui0%
Ethan Duncan Brooks0%
Miguel Falé0%
Viktor Rumyantsev0%
Marios Sofianos0%
Charalampos Georgiadis0%
Alexandros Tsompanidis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Igor Kalinin48%
Viktor Rumyantsev36%
Ché Nunnely33%
Aristotelis Karasalidis29%
Vernon De Marco29%
Andrei Ivan26%
Yoël Armougom25%
Aleksa Maraš25%
Angelos Liasos19%
Iva Gelashvili18%
Juan Francisco Tinaglini17%
Alex Teixeira17%
Ethan Duncan Brooks17%
Marios Sofianos17%
Charalampos Georgiadis17%
Zidane Banjaqui15%
Volnei Feltes15%
Moussa Wagué14%
Alexandros Tsompanidis14%
Stephane Omeonga13%
Lefteris Lyratzis12%
Matthew Guillaumier12%
Adrián Riera11%
Alexandros Maskanakis11%
Giannis Doiranlis7%
Samir Ben Sallam6%
Marios Tsaousis6%
Nikolaos Karelis0%
Braian Galván0%
Andre Green0%
Miguel Falé0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrei Ivan13%
Nikolaos Karelis12%
Alex Teixeira11%
Adrián Riera11%
Lefteris Lyratzis9%
Andre Green9%
Ché Nunnely8%
Alexandros Maskanakis5%
Marios Tsaousis3%
Moussa Wagué0%
Braian Galván0%
Yoël Armougom0%
Aristotelis Karasalidis0%
Angelos Liasos0%
Vernon De Marco0%
Stephane Omeonga0%
Juan Francisco Tinaglini0%
Igor Kalinin0%
Matthew Guillaumier0%
Samir Ben Sallam0%
Zidane Banjaqui0%
Iva Gelashvili0%
Ethan Duncan Brooks0%
Volnei Feltes0%
Miguel Falé0%
Aleksa Maraš0%
Viktor Rumyantsev0%
Marios Sofianos0%
Charalampos Georgiadis0%
Alexandros Tsompanidis0%
Giannis Doiranlis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Miguel Falé14%
Andrei Ivan6%
Nikolaos Karelis4%
Volnei Feltes4%
Moussa Wagué0%
Lefteris Lyratzis0%
Braian Galván0%
Alex Teixeira0%
Andre Green0%
Yoël Armougom0%
Aristotelis Karasalidis0%
Angelos Liasos0%
Ché Nunnely0%
Vernon De Marco0%
Stephane Omeonga0%
Juan Francisco Tinaglini0%
Igor Kalinin0%
Matthew Guillaumier0%
Samir Ben Sallam0%
Zidane Banjaqui0%
Marios Tsaousis0%
Adrián Riera0%
Alexandros Maskanakis0%
Iva Gelashvili0%
Ethan Duncan Brooks0%
Aleksa Maraš0%
Viktor Rumyantsev0%
Marios Sofianos0%
Charalampos Georgiadis0%
Alexandros Tsompanidis0%
Giannis Doiranlis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
PI (21)
€5m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
OPI (22)
€4m
ATI (23)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
AP (16)
€2m
Panserraikos's squad is €3m more valuable than Nestos Chrisoupolis's (€6m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (13)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
PI (9)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
OPI (9)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
ATI (6)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Panserraikos and Nestos Chrisoupolis have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NV (6)
€1m
PI (4)
€1m
ATI (7)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MAR (4)
€0m
OPI (3)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
Panserraikos and Nestos Chrisoupolis have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PI (8)
€2m
OPI (10)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
ATI (10)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Panserraikos's defence is €2m more valuable than Nestos Chrisoupolis's (€3m vs €1m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
PAN wins
0
Draws
0
NC wins
Head-to-head
Panserraikos vs Nestos Chrisoupolis · H/A from PAN
Greece: Super League 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →