PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Panthrakikos vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: 06/03/2016
Time: 00:00
Final 2-1
Panthrakikos
Panthrakikos
Vs
14%
23%
63%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
PAOK
PAOK
Greece: Super League 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panthrakikos win✓ Hit
14.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
PAOK win✗ Miss
63.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PanthrakikosPanthrakikos

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W04L00D00D02L01L11D02L01L24LH·PAN20/12A·AST02/01A·VER09/01H·PAN16/01A·KAL23/01H·PAN30/01A·LEV06/02H·PLA13/02A·XAN21/02H·PAS28/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.621.670.671.670.581.67
vs Stronger (16)0.811.500.751.500.881.50
vs Similar (8)0.252.000.502.000.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PAOKPAOK

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W31W21W11D01L11D01L01L22D20WH·PLA20/12H·PAS10/01H·VER17/01A·XAN20/01A·AEK24/01H·ATR30/01A·OLY07/02H·IRA14/02A·PAN21/02H·AST27/02
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.461.121.460.921.451.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.171.331.671.330.671.33
vs Weaker (18)1.561.061.400.801.751.38
Clean sheet %25% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Panthrakikos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.9%
Under 2.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.6%
Under 3.5
68.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.2%
No
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.6%
1-1
10.9%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.7%
0-0
6.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-1 ✓
4.2%
Panthrakikos goals ↓
PAOK goals →
01234
06.9%11%12%7.7%3.8%
14.0%11%9.8%6.5%3.2%
22.1%4.2%4.2%2.8%1.4%
30.6%1.2%1.2%0.8%0.4%
40.1%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Panthrakikos goals (down), columns = PAOK goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.83
Panathinaikos
1.93
AEK Athens FC
1.90
PAOK
1.60
Panionios
1.47
Atromitos
1.40
PAS Giannina
1.40
Asteras Tripolis
1.37
Platanias
1.30
Levadiakos
1.23
Panetolikos
1.17
Iraklis 1908
1.17
Xanthi FC
1.10
Veria
0.90
Panthrakikos
0.57
Kallonis
0.53
Panthrakikos is 1.03 points worse than PAOK in terms of average points per game (0.57 vs 1.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.70
Panathinaikos
1.73
PAOK
1.50
AEK Athens FC
1.43
PAS Giannina
1.20
Panionios
1.10
Platanias
1.07
Asteras Tripolis
1.03
Panetolikos
1.00
Xanthi FC
0.90
Levadiakos
0.90
Atromitos
0.87
Iraklis 1908
0.80
Kallonis
0.63
Veria
0.63
Panthrakikos
0.60
Panthrakikos is 0.90 goals worse than PAOK in terms of goals scored per game (0.60 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.53
AEK Athens FC
0.70
Panathinaikos
0.87
Panionios
0.90
Platanias
1.00
Asteras Tripolis
1.00
Atromitos
1.03
PAOK
1.07
Xanthi FC
1.07
Iraklis 1908
1.07
Veria
1.10
Levadiakos
1.20
PAS Giannina
1.33
Panetolikos
1.53
Kallonis
1.77
Panthrakikos
1.93
Panthrakikos is 0.87 goals worse than PAOK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.93 vs 1.07).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

PanthrakikosPanthrakikos

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

PAOKPAOK

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

PanthrakikosPanthrakikos

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (24)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (16)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (8)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PAOKPAOK

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (24)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (18)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Panthrakikos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

🟨 Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠️ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PanthrakikosPanthrakikos

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W01L00D00D00D00D00D01L00D11DH·PAN20/12A·AST02/01A·VER09/01H·PAN16/01A·KAL23/01H·PAN30/01A·LEV06/02H·PLA13/02A·XAN21/02H·PAS28/02
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.290.500.330.500.250.50
vs Stronger (16)0.380.440.380.380.380.50
vs Similar (8)0.120.620.250.750.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %54% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PAOKPAOK

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W10W10W01L10W01L00D01L10WH·PLA20/12H·PAS10/01H·VER17/01A·XAN20/01A·AEK24/01H·ATR30/01A·OLY07/02H·IRA14/02A·PAN21/02H·AST27/02
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.460.690.310.550.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.500.831.000.670.001.00
vs Weaker (18)0.670.330.600.200.750.50
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Panthrakikos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Panthrakikos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panthrakikos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panthrakikos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PanthrakikosPanthrakikos

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L00D00D02L01L11D01L01L13LH·PAN20/12A·AST02/01A·VER09/01H·PAN16/01A·KAL23/01H·PAN30/01A·LEV06/02H·PLA13/02A·XAN21/02H·PAS28/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.170.331.170.331.17
vs Stronger (16)0.441.060.381.120.501.00
vs Similar (8)0.121.380.251.250.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PAOKPAOK

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W11D01L00D01L00D01L21W10WH·PLA20/12H·PAS10/01H·VER17/01A·XAN20/01A·AEK24/01H·ATR30/01A·OLY07/02H·IRA14/02A·PAN21/02H·AST27/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.670.770.620.910.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.670.500.670.670.670.33
vs Weaker (18)0.890.720.800.601.000.88
Clean sheet %42% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Panthrakikos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Panthrakikos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panthrakikos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panthrakikos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

PAOK · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rahman Baba33%
Anestis Mythou33%
Cherif Ndiaye0%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Baptiste Santamaria0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Greg Taylor0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Dimitrios Chatsidis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Greg Taylor33%
Cherif Ndiaye0%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Baptiste Santamaria0%
Rahman Baba0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Anestis Mythou0%
Dimitrios Chatsidis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cherif Ndiaye0%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Baptiste Santamaria0%
Rahman Baba0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Greg Taylor0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Anestis Mythou0%
Dimitrios Chatsidis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cherif Ndiaye33%
Baptiste Santamaria33%
Dimitrios Chatsidis33%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Rahman Baba0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Greg Taylor0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Anestis Mythou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
I1 (25)
€9m
PAN (24)
€5m
PG (36)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
PAN (11)
€7m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
ATR (7)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
PG (12)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
LEV (4)
€5m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
PG (7)
€1m
PAN (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
LEV (9)
€5m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
PAN (10)
€2m
PG (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
PAN wins
1
Draws
0
PAO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Panthrakikos vs PAOK · H/A from PAN
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/15APAOK Vs PAN3-3

PanthrakikosPanthrakikos

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/16HPAN Vs PAS Giannina2-4
21/02/16AXanthi FC Vs PAN1-0
13/02/16HPAN Vs Platanias0-2
06/02/16ALevadiakos Vs PAN1-1
30/01/16HPAN Vs Panionios0-1
23/01/16AKallonis Vs PAN2-0
16/01/16HPAN Vs Panetolikos0-0
09/01/16AVeria Vs PAN0-0
02/01/16AAsteras Tripolis Vs PAN4-0
20/12/15HPAN Vs Panathinaikos1-0

PAOKPAOK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/02/16HPAO Vs Asteras Tripolis2-0
21/02/16APanathinaikos Vs PAO2-2
14/02/16HPAO Vs Iraklis 19080-1
07/02/16AOlympiakos Piraeus Vs PAO1-0
30/01/16HPAO Vs Atromitos1-1
24/01/16AAEK Athens FC Vs PAO1-0
20/01/16AXanthi FC Vs PAO1-1
17/01/16HPAO Vs Veria2-1
10/01/16HPAO Vs PAS Giannina3-1
20/12/15HPAO Vs Platanias1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Panthrakikos
Panthrakikos
Greece: Super League 1
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL0.58
HomeWDLLL0.50
AwayLDLDL0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %8%8%8%
AVG goals2.292.332.25
Over 1.5 %62%58%67%
Over 2.5 %33%33%33%
Over 3.5 %25%25%25%
Scored0.620.670.58
Conceded1.671.671.67
BTTS33%33%33%
Clean Sheet25%33%17%
Corners---
Cards---
PAOK
PAOK
Greece: Super League 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDW1.58
HomeWWDLW1.92
AwayDDLLD1.18
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%54%27%
AVG goals2.582.382.82
Over 1.5 %71%69%73%
Over 2.5 %54%46%64%
Over 3.5 %29%23%36%
Scored1.461.461.45
Conceded1.120.921.36
BTTS58%54%64%
Clean Sheet25%31%18%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus3085
93%
2.8
8116+65
3.2
87%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
175
8447442.70.5
-
2PanathinaikosPanathinaikos3058
60%
1.9
5226+26
2.6
63%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
109
4626381.70.9
-
3AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC3057
57%
1.9
4321+22
2.1
63%
47%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
85
4416261.40.7
-
4PAOKPAOK3048
43%
1.6
4532+13
2.6
73%
57%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
82
3028241.51.1
-
5PanioniosPanionios3044
40%
1.5
3327+6
2.0
67%
27%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.10.9
-
6PAS GianninaPAS Giannina3042
40%
1.4
3640-4
2.5
80%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.3
-
7AtromitosAtromitos3042
40%
1.4
2631-5
1.9
50%
30%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
3260.91.0
-
8Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis3041
37%
1.4
3130+1
2.0
70%
40%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5261.01.0
-
9
P
Platanias		3039
33%
1.3
3230+2
2.1
67%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
10LevadiakosLevadiakos3037
30%
1.2
2736-9
2.1
73%
33%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
5550.91.2
-
11Iraklis 1908Iraklis 19083035
27%
1.2
2432-8
1.9
53%
23%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2340.81.1
-
12PanetolikosPanetolikos3035
30%
1.2
3046-16
2.5
70%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
7231.01.5
-
13Xanthi FCXanthi FC3033
20%
1.1
2732-5
2.0
60%
30%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
14VeriaVeria3027
17%
0.9
1933-14
1.7
60%
23%
3%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
15PanthrakikosPanthrakikos3017
10%
0.6
1858-40
2.5
67%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.9
-
16
K
Kallonis		3016
10%
0.5
1953-34
2.4
70%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.8
-
Greece: Super League 1 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →

← all matches