PAOK II are tipped to win at home, the model’s pick, with a 44% chance of triumph, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 27% chance of Ellas Syros taking the points. The expected total of 2.5 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.8% probability. PAOK II average 0.71 goals at home against similar opposition while conceding 1.57, whereas Ellas Syros, playing away, averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.25 conceded against comparable teams. The model offers a range of selections: Under 7.5 goals 99.6%, Under 6.598.6%, Away under 3.5 goals97.6%, Under 5.595.7%, Home under 3.5 goals94.3%, Away under 2.5 goals90.4%, Home +2 handicap89.0%, and Under 4.589.0%. PAOK II are on a two-game winning run after a 3-1 win over Makedonikos Neapolis, while Ellas Syros return from a 1-1 draw with Marko.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
PAOK II win
43.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros win
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
PAOK II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.07
1.67
1.07
1.33
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.79
1.36
0.71
1.57
0.86
1.14
vs Weaker (16)
2.12
0.81
2.50
0.62
1.75
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ellas Syros) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ellas Syros
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.07
1.75
1.00
1.29
1.14
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
5.00
2.00
5.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.28
1.00
1.38
0.77
1.17
1.25
vs Weaker (4)
3.00
0.50
4.00
0.50
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.7%
Under 1.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.9%
Under 2.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.4%
Under 3.5
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
4.8%
PAOK II goals ↓
Ellas Syros goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
7.5%
4.7%
1.7%
0.5%
1
10%
14%
6.8%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.3%
9.0%
4.8%
1.7%
0.5%
3
4.0%
4.3%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.4%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PAOK II goals (down), columns = Ellas Syros goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Panionios
2.08
Niki Volos
2.00
Larisa
1.80
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.71
Marko
1.67
PAOK II
1.64
Kallithea
1.61
Ellas Syros
1.61
Asteras Tripolis II
1.54
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.43
Pyrgos 1968
1.41
Zakynthos
1.41
Panthrakikos
1.41
Panserraikos
1.36
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.29
Apollon Pontou
1.18
PAOK II is 0.04 points better than Ellas Syros in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Niki Volos
1.92
PAOK II
1.57
Larisa
1.48
Panionios
1.46
Ellas Syros
1.43
Asteras Tripolis II
1.21
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.16
Zakynthos
1.16
Panthrakikos
1.16
Kallithea
1.14
Marko
1.12
Panserraikos
1.12
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.08
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.07
Apollon Pontou
0.97
PAOK II is 0.14 goals better than Ellas Syros in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 1.43).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Niki Volos
0.50
Panionios
0.54
Marko
0.71
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.75
Kallithea
0.79
Ellas Syros
0.86
Larisa
0.89
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.93
PAOK II
1.11
Asteras Tripolis II
1.12
Pyrgos 1968
1.13
Zakynthos
1.13
Panthrakikos
1.13
Panserraikos
1.17
Apollon Pontou
1.35
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.58
PAOK II is 0.25 goals worse than Ellas Syros in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 0.86).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
PAOK II or Draw
72.8%
Avg Implied -
44%
29%
27%
covers PAOK II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
PAOK II or Ellas Syros
71.0%
Avg Implied -
44%
29%
27%
covers PAOK II + Ellas Syros
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ellas Syros
56.2%
Avg Implied -
44%
29%
27%
covers Draw + Ellas Syros
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
PAOK II over/under 0.5
Over
76.1%
Under
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 1.5
Over
41.8%
Under
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 2.5
Over
17.4%
Under
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 3.5
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 0.5
Over
66.0%
Under
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 1.5
Over
29.4%
Under
70.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 2.5
Over
9.6%
Under
90.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 3.5
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to PAOK II, so a minus line means PAOK II give that many goals of a start and Ellas Syros receive them. At -1, PAOK II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal PAOK II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (PAOK II)
PAOK II -2
8.3%
Draw -2
13.5%
Ellas Syros +2
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (PAOK II)
PAOK II -1
21.8%
Draw -1
22.0%
Ellas Syros +1
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (PAOK II)
PAOK II +1
72.8%
Draw +1
16.3%
Ellas Syros -1
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (PAOK II)
PAOK II +2
89.0%
Draw +2
7.7%
Ellas Syros -2
3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
PAOK II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.67
0.53
0.67
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.21
0.64
0.14
0.71
0.29
0.57
vs Weaker (16)
1.06
0.38
1.12
0.38
1.00
0.38
Clean sheet %
60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ellas Syros) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ellas Syros
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.33
0.88
0.25
0.71
0.43
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.36
0.54
0.23
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
0.00
3.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PAOK II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
PAOK II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
1.00
0.53
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.71
0.57
0.86
0.57
0.57
vs Weaker (16)
1.06
0.44
1.38
0.25
0.75
0.62
Clean sheet %
57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ellas Syros) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ellas Syros
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.88
0.75
0.57
0.71
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
4.00
2.00
4.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.64
0.85
0.54
0.42
0.75
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PAOK II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ellas Syros over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
PI (21)
€5m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
OPI (22)
€4m
ATI (23)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
AP (16)
€2m
PAOK II's squad is €2m more valuable than Ellas Syros's (€5m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (13)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
PI (9)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
OPI (9)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
ATI (6)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
PAOK II and Ellas Syros have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NV (6)
€1m
PI (4)
€1m
ATI (7)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MAR (4)
€0m
OPI (3)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
PAOK II and Ellas Syros have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PI (8)
€2m
OPI (10)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
ATI (10)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
PAOK II and Ellas Syros have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Greece: Super League 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Panserraikos
Panionios
Anagennisi Karditsas
Niki Volos
Zakynthos
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Marko
Apollon Pontou
Kallithea
Asteras Tripolis II
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Larisa
Pyrgos 1968
Panthrakikos