PAOK II are tipped to lift the trophy, with the model picking a home win and a 55% chance of victory, 25% for a draw and 20% for an away win. The expected total is 2.8 goals, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 25%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.2% probability, which is distinct from the total-goals expectation. PAOK’s home form shows they average 0.71 goals scored and 1.57 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while Olympiakos Piraeus II, on the road, average 1.07 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.2%), Under 6.5 (97.7%), Under 5.5 (93.9%), Home +2 handicap (92.8%), Away under 2.5 goals (92.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (89.5%) and Under 4.5 (85.5%). The home side’s recent form, a two-game winning streak, contrasts with Olympiakos’ three straight defeats, setting the stage for a tightly contested encounter.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
PAOK II win
54.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus II win
19.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
PAOK II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.07
1.67
1.07
1.33
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.79
1.36
0.71
1.57
0.86
1.14
vs Weaker (16)
2.12
0.81
2.50
0.62
1.75
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.47
1.20
1.47
1.13
1.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.11
1.50
1.14
1.50
1.07
1.50
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.2%
Under 1.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.9%
Under 2.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.7%
Under 3.5
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.0%
No
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.5%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
PAOK II goals ↓
Olympiakos Piraeus II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
5.1%
3.1%
1.0%
0.2%
1
10%
12%
5.4%
1.8%
0.4%
2
10%
9.8%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
3
5.9%
5.8%
2.8%
0.9%
0.2%
4
2.6%
2.6%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PAOK II goals (down), columns = Olympiakos Piraeus II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Panionios
2.08
Niki Volos
2.00
Larisa
1.80
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.71
Marko
1.67
PAOK II
1.64
Kallithea
1.61
Ellas Syros
1.61
Asteras Tripolis II
1.54
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.43
Pyrgos 1968
1.41
Zakynthos
1.41
Panthrakikos
1.41
Panserraikos
1.36
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.29
Apollon Pontou
1.18
PAOK II is 0.35 points better than Olympiakos Piraeus II in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Niki Volos
1.92
PAOK II
1.57
Larisa
1.48
Panionios
1.46
Ellas Syros
1.43
Asteras Tripolis II
1.21
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.16
Zakynthos
1.16
Panthrakikos
1.16
Kallithea
1.14
Marko
1.12
Panserraikos
1.12
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.08
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.07
Apollon Pontou
0.97
PAOK II is 0.49 goals better than Olympiakos Piraeus II in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Niki Volos
0.50
Panionios
0.54
Marko
0.71
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.75
Kallithea
0.79
Ellas Syros
0.86
Larisa
0.89
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.93
PAOK II
1.11
Asteras Tripolis II
1.12
Pyrgos 1968
1.13
Zakynthos
1.13
Panthrakikos
1.13
Panserraikos
1.17
Apollon Pontou
1.35
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.58
PAOK II is 0.48 goals better than Olympiakos Piraeus II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.58).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
PAOK II or Draw
80.4%
Avg Implied -
55%
26%
20%
covers PAOK II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
PAOK II or Olympiakos Piraeus II
74.5%
Avg Implied -
55%
26%
20%
covers PAOK II + Olympiakos Piraeus II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Olympiakos Piraeus II
45.1%
Avg Implied -
55%
26%
20%
covers Draw + Olympiakos Piraeus II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
PAOK II over/under 0.5
Over
83.0%
Under
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 1.5
Over
52.9%
Under
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 2.5
Over
26.2%
Under
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 3.5
Over
10.4%
Under
89.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus II over/under 0.5
Over
62.5%
Under
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus II over/under 1.5
Over
25.7%
Under
74.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus II over/under 2.5
Over
7.7%
Under
92.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus II over/under 3.5
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to PAOK II, so a minus line means PAOK II give that many goals of a start and Olympiakos Piraeus II receive them. At -1, PAOK II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal PAOK II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (PAOK II)
PAOK II -2
14.3%
Draw -2
17.2%
Olympiakos Piraeus II +2
68.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (PAOK II)
PAOK II -1
31.6%
Draw -1
23.3%
Olympiakos Piraeus II +1
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (PAOK II)
PAOK II +1
80.4%
Draw +1
12.4%
Olympiakos Piraeus II -1
7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (PAOK II)
PAOK II +2
92.8%
Draw +2
5.3%
Olympiakos Piraeus II -2
1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
PAOK II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.67
0.53
0.67
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.21
0.64
0.14
0.71
0.29
0.57
vs Weaker (16)
1.06
0.38
1.12
0.38
1.00
0.38
Clean sheet %
60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.53
0.67
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.43
0.68
0.50
0.64
0.36
0.71
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.1%
Under 0.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.7%
Under 1.5
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.5%
Under 2.5
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PAOK II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
60.3%
Under
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
19.8%
Under
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.5%
Under
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.3%
Under
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.1%
Under
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
PAOK II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
1.00
0.53
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.71
0.57
0.86
0.57
0.57
vs Weaker (16)
1.06
0.44
1.38
0.25
0.75
0.62
Clean sheet %
57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.67
0.80
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.68
0.82
0.64
0.86
0.71
0.79
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.8%
Under 0.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
46.0%
Under 1.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.8%
Under 2.5
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PAOK II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
65.5%
Under
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
29.1%
Under
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
9.7%
Under
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
41.8%
Under
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.9%
Under
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
PI (21)
€5m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
OPI (22)
€4m
ATI (23)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
AP (16)
€2m
PAOK II's squad is €1m more valuable than Olympiakos Piraeus II's (€5m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (13)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
PI (9)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
OPI (9)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
ATI (6)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
PAOK II and Olympiakos Piraeus II have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NV (6)
€1m
PI (4)
€1m
ATI (7)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MAR (4)
€0m
OPI (3)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
PAOK II and Olympiakos Piraeus II have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PI (8)
€2m
OPI (10)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
ATI (10)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
PAOK II and Olympiakos Piraeus II have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Greece: Super League 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Panserraikos
Ellas Syros
Panionios
Anagennisi Karditsas
Niki Volos
Zakynthos
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Marko
Apollon Pontou
Kallithea
Asteras Tripolis II
Larisa
Pyrgos 1968
Panthrakikos