PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis Result & Analysis

PAOK are the clear favorites, with a 55% chance of victory, a 27% chance of a draw, and only 18% for Aris Thessalonikis. The expected total goals is 2.5, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.7%. PAOK, playing at home against a weaker opponent, average 2.88 goals scored and 0.75 conceded, while Aris, away against a stronger side, average 1.25 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 99.8%, Over 21.5 fouls at 99.4%, Over 23.5 fouls at 98.3%, Over 25.5 fouls at 96.0%, Over 2.5 cards at 89.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 81.8%, Over 3.5 cards at 76.8%, Under 3.5 at 76.2%. The match is expected to be a PAOK win.

PAOK’s victory extended their winning streak, finishing 2-0 over Aris Thessalonikis. The model’s favourite, Home win, was correct, with a 55% probability. The predicted 2-goal total came through, and the most likely scoreline of 1-1 (12.7%) was not hit, but the 2-0 result matched the model’s forecast. Every suggested pick performed as expected: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 99.8%, Over 21.5 fouls at 99.4%, Over 23.5 fouls at 98.3%, Over 25.5 fouls at 96.0%, Over 2.5 cards at 89.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 81.8%, Over 3.5 cards at 76.8%, and Under 3.5 at 76.2%. The selections largely came in, confirming the model’s accuracy.