PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis Result & Analysis

PAOK are the clear favourites, with a 53% chance of victory, a 26% chance of a draw and a 21% chance of an Aris win. The model predicts a 2.7-goal average, the most likely total being two goals, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%. PAOK, playing at home against a weaker side, have been scoring 2.56 goals per match and conceding 1.22. Aris, on the road against a stronger opponent, average 0.86 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. The suggested selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 99.3%, Over 21.5 fouls at 97.9%, Over 23.5 fouls at 94.8%, Over 25.5 fouls at 89.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 90.8%, Over 3.5 cards at 79.2%, Over 1.5 at 76.0% (miss), and Under 11.5 corners at 73.6%. PAOK’s recent form shows a win, while Aris are on a five-game winning streak.

The upset came early as Aris Thessalonikis snatched a 1-0 win, ending PAOK’s winning streak and proving the pre-match favourite - Home win - was wrong. The model had given PAOK a 53% chance of triumph, yet the away side prevailed. All of the model’s suggested picks were settled: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 99.3%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 97.9%, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 94.8%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 90.8%, Over 25.5 fouls hit at 89.3%, Over 3.5 cards hit at 79.2%, Over 1.5 missed at 76.0%, and Under 11.5 corners hit at 73.6%. The final score of 0-1 confirmed the away win and the model’s prediction was incorrect.