PAOK vs Atromitos Result & Analysis

PAOK are the clear favourites, the model giving them a 64% chance of victory, a 24% chance of a draw and only 12% for Atromitos. The prediction favours a 1-0 win for the home side, the single most likely scoreline with a 13.5% probability. The expected total goals is 2.5, with the most probable total of two goals at 26%. PAOK’s home form shows they average 2.22 goals scored and concede only 0.33 against weaker opponents, while Atromitos, playing away against stronger opposition, average just one goal scored and concede 2.8. The suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 99.6%, Over 21.5 fouls at 98.9%, Over 23.5 fouls at 97.0%, Over 25.5 fouls at 93.4%, Over 2.5 cards at 92.9%, Over 3.5 cards at 83.1%, Under 11.5 corners at 81.0%, and Under 3.5 at 74.9%. PAOK’s recent form has them coming off a defeat, while Atromitos also left a loss behind, setting the stage for a tight contest.

PAOK’s home form had been shaky, coming off a defeat, yet the model still tipped a home win at 64%. The match finished 1-1, a draw that left the favourite wrong. The model’s call was incorrect. Every suggested pick was settled: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 99.6%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 98.9%, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 97.0%, Over 25.5 fouls hit at 93.4%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 92.9%, Over 3.5 cards hit at 83.1%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 81.0%, and Under 3.5 hit at 74.9%. The final score of 1-1 matched the actual result, confirming the draw.