PAOK’s strong home form, averaging 2.11 goals scored and only 0.33 conceded against weaker opposition, makes them the clear favourite, reflected in the model’s 69% home win probability. The 19% draw chance and 12% away win chance confirm that the most likely result is a home victory. The model expects 3.2 goals in total, with the single most likely scoreline 2-0 (11% probability). Atromitos, struggling away with an average of 0.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded against stronger opponents, underpins this prediction. The expected total of 3 goals aligns with the 22% probability that the final tally will be exactly 3. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls (99.7%), Over 21.5 fouls (99.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.8% hit), Under 7.5 (98.3% hit), Under 11.5 corners (97.6%), Over 23.5 fouls (97.4%), Home +2 handicap (96.1% hit), and Under 6.5 (95.5% hit). The model’s home win probability is 69%, the draw probability 19%, and the away win probability 12%.
Results analysis
The 1-1 draw stunned the pre-match favourite, PAOK, who had been tipped for a home win with a 69% probability. The model’s call was wrong. PAOK, riding a win, had an average of 2.11 goals scored and 0.33 conceded at home, while Atromitos, struggling away, averaged only 0.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The model’s selections all hit: Away under 3.5 goals at 98.8%, Under 7.5 at 98.3%, Home +2 handicap at 96.1%, and Under 6.5 at 95.5%. The final score of 1-1 produced a draw, confirming the upset and the accuracy of the under-goals picks.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
PAOK win✗ Miss
68.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
19.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Atromitos win✗ Miss
11.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
PAOK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.03
2.20
0.33
1.87
1.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
2.08
1.17
2.33
0.33
1.83
2.00
vs Weaker (18)
2.00
0.94
2.11
0.33
1.89
1.56
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Atromitos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atromitos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.13
1.00
1.14
1.38
1.12
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
1.60
1.20
1.20
0.20
2.00
vs Similar (19)
1.47
0.89
0.89
1.11
2.00
0.70
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.7%
Under 1.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.0%
Under 2.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.7%
Under 3.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.5%
No
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
1-1 ✓
9.1%
1-0
8.7%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
4.9%
0-0
4.9%
PAOK goals ↓
Atromitos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
2.8%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
1
8.7%
9.1%
3.6%
1.1%
0.2%
2
11%
9.7%
4.2%
1.2%
0.3%
3
8.5%
7.5%
3.3%
1.0%
0.2%
4
4.9%
4.3%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PAOK goals (down), columns = Atromitos goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Asteras Tripolis
2.29
PAOK
2.25
Iraklis 1908
2.00
Kampaniakos Chalastra
2.00
Panargiakos
2.00
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.00
OFI
2.00
PAS Giannina
2.00
Kifisia
2.00
Makedonikos Neapolis
2.00
Kavala
2.00
Panserraikos
2.00
Volos NFC
2.00
Panathinaikos
1.75
AEK Athens FC
1.67
Kalamata
1.50
Ilioupoli
1.50
Niki Volos
1.50
Panionios
1.43
Egaleo
1.40
Aris Thessalonikis
1.33
Larisa
1.33
Atromitos
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.94
Marko
0.90
Ellas Syros
0.90
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.87
Kallithea
0.67
Levadiakos
0.00
Kissamikos
0.00
Panetolikos
0.00
PAOK is 1.25 points better than Atromitos in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PAS Giannina
6.00
Kifisia
3.40
Iraklis 1908
3.00
PAOK
2.75
Panargiakos
2.00
Kavala
2.00
Asteras Tripolis
1.86
OFI
1.75
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.71
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.67
Volos NFC
1.67
Ilioupoli
1.50
Niki Volos
1.50
Atromitos
1.33
Panionios
1.29
Panathinaikos
1.25
Egaleo
1.20
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.09
Marko
1.04
Ellas Syros
1.04
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.01
Levadiakos
1.00
Kissamikos
1.00
Panetolikos
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Larisa
1.00
AEK Athens FC
0.83
Aris Thessalonikis
0.67
Kalamata
0.50
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.50
Kallithea
0.33
PAOK is 1.42 goals better than Atromitos in terms of goals scored per game (2.75 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.00
Larisa
0.33
Kifisia
0.40
Kalamata
0.50
Iraklis 1908
0.50
Ilioupoli
0.50
PAOK
0.50
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.57
Asteras Tripolis
0.57
Kallithea
0.67
PAS Giannina
0.67
Aris Thessalonikis
0.67
Panionios
0.86
OFI
0.88
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.00
Panathinaikos
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Volos NFC
1.00
AEK Athens FC
1.33
Kavala
1.33
Niki Volos
1.50
Panargiakos
1.67
Atromitos
1.67
Levadiakos
2.00
Panetolikos
2.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
2.13
Marko
2.24
Ellas Syros
2.24
Nestos Chrisoupolis
2.30
Egaleo
2.60
Kissamikos
3.00
PAOK is 1.17 goals better than Atromitos in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
PAOK
For 6.2 · Against 2.9 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 13.0 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Atromitos
For 4.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 14.4 · Total 29.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
PAOK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.1
8.3
4.6
4.9
4.3
25.7
25.1
26.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
8.0
8.2
7.8
5.5
5.9
5.1
26.9
25.9
27.8
vs Weaker (26)
9.5
10.3
8.8
3.8
3.9
3.6
24.2
24.0
24.4
% over line
36%
52%
22%
64%
67%
62%
77%
76%
78%
% under line
64%
48%
78%
36%
33%
38%
23%
24%
22%
This opponent (Atromitos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atromitos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.3
8.1
4.7
4.6
4.8
30.3
29.7
30.8
vs Stronger (18)
8.2
9.0
7.7
3.9
3.1
4.5
27.2
27.0
27.3
vs Similar (27)
8.8
8.9
8.6
5.0
5.3
4.6
31.6
31.0
32.4
vs Weaker (5)
9.8
13.0
7.7
6.0
5.5
6.3
33.0
29.0
35.7
% over line
39%
48%
30%
72%
67%
77%
95%
95%
96%
% under line
61%
52%
70%
28%
33%
23%
5%
5%
4%
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Egaleo
14.0
Panargiakos
14.0
Panionios
10.4
Kifisia
10.1
Kampaniakos Chalastra
10.0
Panathinaikos
9.8
Kallithea
9.7
PAS Giannina
9.7
OFI
9.2
Panserraikos
9.2
Aris Thessalonikis
9.0
Levadiakos
9.0
PAOK
9.0
Asteras Tripolis
8.8
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.8
Panetolikos
8.7
Atromitos
8.7
Larisa
8.5
Volos NFC
8.5
AEK Athens FC
8.3
Makedonikos Neapolis
8.0
Kissamikos
7.0
Marko
7.0
Kalamata
7.0
Anagennisi Karditsas
6.0
Ellas Syros
5.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
5.0
Niki Volos
4.0
Iraklis 1908
3.0
Kavala
2.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anagennisi Karditsas
8.0
Kavala
8.0
Kifisia
7.1
Panserraikos
6.2
Larisa
6.2
Volos NFC
6.2
Asteras Tripolis
6.1
Makedonikos Neapolis
6.0
Levadiakos
5.9
AEK Athens FC
5.9
OFI
5.9
Kallithea
5.9
Panionios
5.8
Panathinaikos
5.8
Panetolikos
5.3
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Atromitos
5.2
PAOK
5.2
PAS Giannina
5.1
Kampaniakos Chalastra
5.0
Iraklis 1908
5.0
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.9
Ellas Syros
4.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
4.0
Kalamata
4.0
Kissamikos
3.0
Egaleo
3.0
Marko
3.0
Panargiakos
3.0
Niki Volos
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Egaleo
66.0
Panargiakos
66.0
Kampaniakos Chalastra
39.0
Anagennisi Karditsas
37.0
Kissamikos
37.0
Marko
37.0
Iraklis 1908
37.0
Larisa
34.6
Ellas Syros
34.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
34.0
Volos NFC
31.7
Kifisia
31.0
Panionios
30.5
Atromitos
30.0
PAS Giannina
29.3
Levadiakos
28.9
Panathinaikos
28.9
OFI
28.9
Kallithea
28.8
AEK Athens FC
28.0
Aris Thessalonikis
27.7
Panserraikos
27.3
Niki Volos
27.0
Asteras Tripolis
26.9
Panetolikos
25.9
PAOK
25.5
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.3
Makedonikos Neapolis
24.0
Kavala
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
9.7%
Under 9.5
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.1%
Under 3.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
99.0%
Under 21.5
1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
PAOK or Draw✓ Hit
88.3%
Avg Implied -
69%
19%
12%
covers PAOK + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
PAOK or Atromitos✗ Miss
80.6%
Avg Implied -
69%
19%
12%
covers PAOK + Atromitos
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Atromitos✓ Hit
31.1%
Avg Implied -
69%
19%
12%
covers Draw + Atromitos
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
PAOK over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
90.2%
Under
9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
67.4%
Under
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
41.0%
Under
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
20.5%
Under
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
58.4%
Under
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.9%
Under
78.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.9%
Under
94.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to PAOK, so a minus line means PAOK give that many goals of a start and Atromitos receive them. At -1, PAOK must win by two or more to land; a one-goal PAOK win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (PAOK)Actual: Atromitos
PAOK -2
26.1%
Draw -2
20.6%
Atromitos +2
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (PAOK)Actual: Atromitos
PAOK -1
46.7%
Draw -1
22.2%
Atromitos +1
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (PAOK)Actual: PAOK
PAOK +1
88.3%
Draw +1
7.9%
Atromitos -1
3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (PAOK)Actual: PAOK
PAOK +2
96.1%
Draw +2
2.9%
Atromitos -2
0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
PAOK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.43
0.87
0.13
1.13
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.17
1.00
0.83
vs Weaker (18)
1.17
0.39
1.11
0.11
1.22
0.67
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Atromitos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atromitos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.43
0.64
0.36
0.69
0.50
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.40
0.60
0.40
0.00
0.40
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.47
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PAOK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
PAOK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.60
1.33
0.20
0.73
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.33
0.67
1.83
0.17
0.83
1.17
vs Weaker (18)
0.83
0.56
1.00
0.22
0.67
0.89
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Atromitos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atromitos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.36
0.79
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.20
0.60
0.80
0.20
1.60
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.42
0.22
0.78
1.00
0.10
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PAOK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 9.5 corners
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 8.5 corners
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
PAOK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Giorgos Giakoumakis33%
Alexander Jeremejeff33%
Anestis Mythou31%
Giannis Konstantelias29%
Dimitrios Pelkas24%
Dimitrios Chatsidis21%
Alessandro Vogliacco17%
Kiril Despodov15%
Andrija Živković15%
Taison14%
Magomed Ozdoev13%
Alessandro Bianco11%
Rahman Baba9%
Soualiho Meïté7%
Fedor Chalov6%
Luka Ivanušec4%
Dejan Lovren0%
Mady Camara0%
Tomasz Kędziora0%
Jorge Sánchez0%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Konstantinos Thymianis0%
Greg Taylor0%
Joan Sastre0%
Antonis Tsiftsis0%
Ioannis Michailidis0%
Christos Zafeiris0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Andrija Živković33%
Christos Zafeiris28%
Alessandro Bianco21%
Luka Ivanušec21%
Jorge Sánchez18%
Giorgos Giakoumakis17%
Alessandro Vogliacco17%
Tomasz Kędziora16%
Antonis Tsiftsis14%
Magomed Ozdoev13%
Jonjoe Kenny12%
Dimitrios Pelkas12%
Dejan Lovren11%
Mady Camara10%
Giannis Konstantelias10%
Rahman Baba9%
Taison8%
Kiril Despodov8%
Soualiho Meïté7%
Ioannis Michailidis7%
Alexander Jeremejeff6%
Fedor Chalov0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Konstantinos Thymianis0%
Greg Taylor0%
Joan Sastre0%
Anestis Mythou0%
Dimitrios Chatsidis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrija Živković45%
Taison19%
Dimitrios Chatsidis14%
Luka Ivanušec12%
Dimitrios Pelkas12%
Kiril Despodov12%
Magomed Ozdoev10%
Rahman Baba9%
Anestis Mythou8%
Greg Taylor7%
Giorgos Giakoumakis7%
Giannis Konstantelias6%
Fedor Chalov6%
Jonjoe Kenny6%
Alexander Jeremejeff6%
Ioannis Michailidis3%
Dejan Lovren0%
Mady Camara0%
Tomasz Kędziora0%
Jorge Sánchez0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Konstantinos Thymianis0%
Soualiho Meïté0%
Alessandro Vogliacco0%
Joan Sastre0%
Antonis Tsiftsis0%
Christos Zafeiris0%
Alessandro Bianco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dimitrios Pelkas18%
Giorgos Giakoumakis17%
Alexander Jeremejeff17%
Giannis Konstantelias16%
Andrija Živković15%
Taison8%
Magomed Ozdoev8%
Kiril Despodov8%
Anestis Mythou8%
Dimitrios Chatsidis7%
Mady Camara6%
Luka Ivanušec4%
Jonjoe Kenny3%
Dejan Lovren0%
Fedor Chalov0%
Tomasz Kędziora0%
Jorge Sánchez0%
Rahman Baba0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Konstantinos Thymianis0%
Soualiho Meïté0%
Alessandro Vogliacco0%
Greg Taylor0%
Joan Sastre0%
Antonis Tsiftsis0%
Ioannis Michailidis0%
Christos Zafeiris0%
Alessandro Bianco0%
Atromitos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Steven Zuber22%
Makana Baku20%
Denzel Jubitana16%
Ognjen Ožegović14%
Stavros Pnevmonidis14%
Sotiris Tsiloulis12%
Mansur12%
Brayan Palmezano11%
Gerasimos Mitoglou11%
Samuel Moutoussamy11%
Panagiotis Tsantilas10%
Georgios Tzovaras10%
Dimitrios Tsakmakis7%
Peter Michorl6%
Dimitrios Stavropoulos6%
Tom van Weert5%
Athanasios Karamanis5%
Theocharis Tsingaras3%
Lefteris Choutesiotis0%
Jere Uronen0%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Quini0%
Aitor García0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
Spyros Abartzidis0%
Mattheos Mountes0%
Ehije Ukaki0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dimitrios Tsakmakis47%
Luka Gugeshashvili33%
Ognjen Ožegović29%
Athanasios Karamanis29%
Peter Michorl28%
Quini28%
Theocharis Tsingaras25%
Georgios Papadopoulos25%
Spyros Abartzidis25%
Dimitrios Stavropoulos21%
Mattheos Mountes19%
Aitor García18%
Samuel Moutoussamy18%
Steven Zuber17%
Mansur15%
Lefteris Choutesiotis13%
Brayan Palmezano11%
Gerasimos Mitoglou11%
Jere Uronen10%
Stavros Pnevmonidis7%
Panagiotis Tsantilas7%
Denzel Jubitana6%
Ehije Ukaki6%
Makana Baku6%
Tom van Weert5%
Georgios Tzovaras5%
Sotiris Tsiloulis0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Peter Michorl22%
Aitor García18%
Makana Baku14%
Stavros Pnevmonidis14%
Sotiris Tsiloulis12%
Ehije Ukaki12%
Jere Uronen10%
Athanasios Karamanis10%
Theocharis Tsingaras9%
Ognjen Ožegović7%
Denzel Jubitana6%
Tom van Weert5%
Georgios Tzovaras5%
Mattheos Mountes4%
Lefteris Choutesiotis0%
Steven Zuber0%
Mansur0%
Brayan Palmezano0%
Samuel Moutoussamy0%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Dimitrios Stavropoulos0%
Dimitrios Tsakmakis0%
Quini0%
Gerasimos Mitoglou0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
Spyros Abartzidis0%
Panagiotis Tsantilas0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Steven Zuber28%
Makana Baku17%
Denzel Jubitana13%
Ognjen Ožegović7%
Georgios Tzovaras5%
Panagiotis Tsantilas3%
Lefteris Choutesiotis0%
Jere Uronen0%
Theocharis Tsingaras0%
Peter Michorl0%
Mansur0%
Brayan Palmezano0%
Tom van Weert0%
Samuel Moutoussamy0%
Luka Gugeshashvili0%
Dimitrios Stavropoulos0%
Sotiris Tsiloulis0%
Dimitrios Tsakmakis0%
Quini0%
Aitor García0%
Gerasimos Mitoglou0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
Spyros Abartzidis0%
Athanasios Karamanis0%
Mattheos Mountes0%
Stavros Pnevmonidis0%
Ehije Ukaki0%
Georgios Papadopoulos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
EGA (40)
€6m
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
ILI (31)
€4m
PG (36)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
KAV (28)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
MN (29)
€3m
KC (26)
€2m
PAN (32)
€2m
PAOK's squad is €70m more valuable than Atromitos's (€82m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
EGA (19)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
I1 (6)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
PG (12)
€1m
KAV (12)
€1m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ILI (10)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
MN (10)
€1m
PAN (12)
€1m
KC (8)
€1m
PAOK's attack is €27m more valuable than Atromitos's (€30m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
EGA (6)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
ILI (6)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
KC (7)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
PG (7)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MN (4)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
PAN (7)
€0m
KAV (4)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
PAOK's midfield is €26m more valuable than Atromitos's (€28m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
EGA (15)
€2m
LAR (13)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
ILI (15)
€2m
PG (17)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
KAV (12)
€1m
MN (15)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
KC (11)
€1m
PAN (13)
€1m
PAOK's defence is €18m more valuable than Atromitos's (€24m vs €6m).
Greece: Super League 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
AEK Athens FC
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
Levadiakos
Aris Thessalonikis
Kifisia
OFI
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
Volos NFC
Larisa
Panserraikos