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PAOK vs Iraklis 1908 Result & Analysis

Date: 16/10/2016
Time: 00:00
Final 1-0
PAOK
PAOK
Vs
62%
26%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Iraklis 1908
Iraklis 1908
Greece: Super League 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK win✓ Hit
61.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 win✗ Miss
12.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PAOKPAOK

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L30W30W13L20W00D21W21W00D00DA·PAN06/03A·PAN12/03H·KAL20/03A·PAN03/04H·LEV10/04A·PLA17/04H·PAN11/09A·AST19/09H·XAN25/09A·VER02/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.001.600.801.271.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.001.401.501.500.671.33
vs Weaker (25)1.520.921.620.691.421.17
Clean sheet %33% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis 1908) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Iraklis 1908Iraklis 1908

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D04L01L02L30W00D22D12L00D12LH·VER13/03A·PAN19/03H·AST03/04H·OLY06/04A·PAN10/04H·PAN17/04A·LAR12/09H·OLY18/09A·AEK26/09H·PAN01/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.201.000.870.801.53
vs Stronger (10)0.801.901.201.600.402.20
vs Similar (12)0.751.170.800.800.711.43
vs Weaker (8)1.250.381.000.201.670.67
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.2%
Under 1.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.6%
Under 2.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.4%
Under 3.5
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.0%
No
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
16.1%
2-0
14.2%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
7.9%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
PAOK goals ↓
Iraklis 1908 goals →
01234
011%5.3%1.9%0.4%0.1%
116%12%3.2%0.7%0.1%
214%8.7%2.7%0.5%0.1%
37.9%4.8%1.5%0.3%0.0%
43.3%2.0%0.6%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PAOK goals (down), columns = Iraklis 1908 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.23
PAOK
2.13
Panathinaikos
1.90
AEK Athens FC
1.77
Panionios
1.73
Xanthi FC
1.60
Platanias
1.40
Atromitos
1.30
PAS Giannina
1.20
Kerkyra
1.07
Panetolikos
1.03
Iraklis 1908
0.97
Larisa
0.93
Asteras Tripolis
0.93
Levadiakos
0.87
Veria
0.73
PAOK is 1.17 points better than Iraklis 1908 in terms of average points per game (2.13 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.90
AEK Athens FC
1.80
PAOK
1.73
Panathinaikos
1.50
Panionios
1.17
Xanthi FC
1.13
Platanias
1.13
Asteras Tripolis
1.13
PAS Giannina
1.00
Panetolikos
0.97
Atromitos
0.97
Iraklis 1908
0.93
Levadiakos
0.90
Larisa
0.77
Veria
0.77
Kerkyra
0.73
PAOK is 0.80 goals better than Iraklis 1908 in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 0.93).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.53
PAOK
0.63
Panathinaikos
0.63
Panionios
0.77
AEK Athens FC
0.77
Xanthi FC
0.83
PAS Giannina
1.23
Atromitos
1.27
Platanias
1.27
Iraklis 1908
1.30
Panetolikos
1.33
Larisa
1.40
Kerkyra
1.43
Asteras Tripolis
1.63
Levadiakos
1.63
Veria
1.87
PAOK is 0.67 goals better than Iraklis 1908 in terms of goals conceded per game (0.63 vs 1.30).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

PAOKPAOK

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Iraklis 1908Iraklis 1908

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

PAOKPAOK

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (34)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (28)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Iraklis 1908) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Iraklis 1908Iraklis 1908

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (34)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (10)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (14)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (10)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

🟨 Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠️ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PAOKPAOK

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W10W01L00D00D20W20W00D00DA·PAN06/03A·PAN12/03H·KAL20/03A·PAN03/04H·LEV10/04A·PLA17/04H·PAN11/09A·AST19/09H·XAN25/09A·VER02/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.370.800.270.600.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.601.001.501.000.001.00
vs Weaker (25)0.720.240.690.150.750.33
Clean sheet %73% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis 1908) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Iraklis 1908Iraklis 1908

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L01L02L10W00D11D10W00D01LH·VER13/03A·PAN19/03H·AST03/04H·OLY06/04A·PAN10/04H·PAN17/04A·LAR12/09H·OLY18/09A·AEK26/09H·PAN01/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.600.600.400.270.80
vs Stronger (10)0.400.800.800.600.001.00
vs Similar (12)0.250.670.200.400.290.86
vs Weaker (8)0.750.250.800.200.670.33
Clean sheet %50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PAOK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PAOKPAOK

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W20W12L20W00D01L01L00D00DA·PAN06/03A·PAN12/03H·KAL20/03A·PAN03/04H·LEV10/04A·PLA17/04H·PAN11/09A·AST19/09H·XAN25/09A·VER02/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.630.800.530.670.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.400.400.000.500.670.33
vs Weaker (25)0.800.680.920.540.670.83
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis 1908) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Iraklis 1908Iraklis 1908

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D00D20W00D11D02L00D11DH·VER13/03A·PAN19/03H·AST03/04H·OLY06/04A·PAN10/04H·PAN17/04A·LAR12/09H·OLY18/09A·AEK26/09H·PAN01/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.600.400.470.530.73
vs Stronger (10)0.401.100.401.000.401.20
vs Similar (12)0.500.500.600.400.430.57
vs Weaker (8)0.500.120.200.001.000.33
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PAOK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

PAOK · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rahman Baba33%
Anestis Mythou33%
Cherif Ndiaye0%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Baptiste Santamaria0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Greg Taylor0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Dimitrios Chatsidis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Greg Taylor33%
Cherif Ndiaye0%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Baptiste Santamaria0%
Rahman Baba0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Anestis Mythou0%
Dimitrios Chatsidis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cherif Ndiaye0%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Baptiste Santamaria0%
Rahman Baba0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Greg Taylor0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Anestis Mythou0%
Dimitrios Chatsidis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cherif Ndiaye33%
Baptiste Santamaria33%
Dimitrios Chatsidis33%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Rahman Baba0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Greg Taylor0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Anestis Mythou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
I1 (25)
€9m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
PG (36)
€4m
PAOK's squad is €73m more valuable than Iraklis 1908's (€82m vs €9m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
PAN (11)
€7m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
ATR (7)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
PG (12)
€1m
PAOK's attack is €28m more valuable than Iraklis 1908's (€30m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
LEV (4)
€5m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
LAR (3)
€1m
PG (7)
€1m
PAN (1)
€0m
PAOK's midfield is €25m more valuable than Iraklis 1908's (€28m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
LEV (9)
€5m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
PG (17)
€2m
PAOK's defence is €20m more valuable than Iraklis 1908's (€24m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
PAO wins
1
Draws
1
I1 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

PAOK vs Iraklis 1908 · H/A from PAO
DateH/AGameScore
14/02/16HPAO Vs Iraklis 19080-1
18/10/15AIraklis 1908 Vs PAO3-3

PAOKPAOK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/16AVeria Vs PAO0-0
25/09/16HPAO Vs Xanthi FC0-0
19/09/16AAsteras Tripolis Vs PAO1-2
11/09/16HPAO Vs Panetolikos2-1
17/04/16APlatanias Vs PAO0-0
10/04/16HPAO Vs Levadiakos2-0
03/04/16APanionios Vs PAO3-1
20/03/16HPAO Vs Kallonis3-0
12/03/16APanetolikos Vs PAO0-3
06/03/16APanthrakikos Vs PAO2-1

Iraklis 1908Iraklis 1908

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/16HI1 Vs Panionios1-2
26/09/16AAEK Athens FC Vs I10-0
18/09/16HI1 Vs Olympiakos Piraeus1-2
12/09/16ALarisa Vs I12-2
17/04/16HI1 Vs Panetolikos0-0
10/04/16APanthrakikos Vs I10-3
06/04/16HI1 Vs Olympiakos Piraeus0-2
03/04/16HI1 Vs Asteras Tripolis0-1
19/03/16APanathinaikos Vs I14-0
13/03/16HI1 Vs Veria1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

PAOK
PAOK
Greece: Super League 1
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDD1.65
HomeWWWWD2.06
AwayWLDWD1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%59%29%
AVG goals2.442.292.59
Over 1.5 %71%71%71%
Over 2.5 %56%47%65%
Over 3.5 %24%18%29%
Scored1.441.531.35
Conceded1.000.761.24
BTTS53%47%59%
Clean Sheet35%41%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Iraklis 1908
Iraklis 1908
Greece: Super League 1
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDL1.09
HomeLLDLL1.12
AwayLLWDD1.06
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%24%24%
AVG goals1.941.762.12
Over 1.5 %56%53%59%
Over 2.5 %29%24%35%
Over 3.5 %15%6%24%
Scored0.820.880.76
Conceded1.120.881.35
BTTS32%35%29%
Clean Sheet38%41%35%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus3067
70%
2.2
5716+41
2.4
77%
43%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
175
8447441.90.5
-
2PAOKPAOK3064
67%
2.1
5219+33
2.4
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
82
3028241.70.6
-
3PanathinaikosPanathinaikos3057
53%
1.9
4519+26
2.1
60%
37%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
109
4626381.50.6
-
4AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC3053
47%
1.8
5423+31
2.6
73%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
85
4416261.80.8
-
5PanioniosPanionios3052
50%
1.7
3523+12
1.9
63%
23%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.20.8
-
6Xanthi FCXanthi FC3048
43%
1.6
3425+9
2.0
57%
33%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.8
-
7
P
Platanias
3042
37%
1.4
3438-4
2.4
67%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
8AtromitosAtromitos3039
37%
1.3
2938-9
2.2
63%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
3261.01.3
-
9PAS GianninaPAS Giannina3036
27%
1.2
3037-7
2.2
73%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.01.2
-
10
K
Kerkyra
3032
27%
1.1
2243-21
2.2
60%
33%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.4
-
11PanetolikosPanetolikos3031
27%
1.0
2940-11
2.3
73%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
7231.01.3
-
12Iraklis 1908Iraklis 19083029
20%
1.0
2839-11
2.2
73%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2340.91.3
-
13Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis3028
20%
0.9
3449-15
2.8
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5261.11.6
-
14LarisaLarisa3028
20%
0.9
2342-19
2.2
73%
33%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.81.4
-
15LevadiakosLevadiakos3026
20%
0.9
2749-22
2.5
80%
50%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
5550.91.6
-
16VeriaVeria3022
17%
0.7
2356-33
2.6
73%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Greece: Super League 1 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →

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