PAOK are the clear favourites to win this Cup clash, with a 59% chance of triumph, 24% for a draw and 17% for an OFI victory. The model expects a total of 2.9 goals, but the most likely total is 2, a 24% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with an 11.3% chance. PAOK, playing at home against a weaker side, normally scores 3.0 goals and concedes only 0.6, while OFI, on the road against a stronger opponent, averages 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded. The match preview is shaped by PAOK’s recent win and OFI’s recent defeat. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 99.6%, Under 7.5 at 99.1%, Over 21.5 fouls at 98.9%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.4%, Under 6.5 at 97.2% with a 5% edge, Over 23.5 fouls at 97.1%, Home +2 handicap at 93.9%, and Over 25.5 fouls at 93.6%.
Results analysis
The 0-0 draw stunned everyone, as the pre-match favourite, PAOK, failed to secure the win the model had predicted with a 59% probability. The model’s call was wrong, and the match ended in a stalemate. The model’s other selections all hit: the Under 7.5 goal market closed at 99.1%, the Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.4%, the Under 6.5 goal market at 97.2% with a 5% edge, and the Home +2 handicap at 93.9%. PAOK’s recent form shows a mixed run of D W L W D, while OFI also finished on a draw, both teams ending the game level.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
PAOK win✗ Miss
59.2%
Avg Implied 66.8% · @ 1.37
Edge
-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.41
Unibet
1.40
Betano
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Draw✓ Hit
23.8%
Avg Implied 21.1% · @ 4.35
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.90
BetVictor
4.75
Superbet
4.65
Betfair
4.60
Betano
4.55
OFI win✗ Miss
17.0%
Avg Implied 12.1% · @ 7.55
Edge
+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
8.53
Betano
8.50
1xBet
8.40
Marathonbet
8.20
Bet365
8.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
PAOK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.10
1.80
0.60
1.40
1.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.25
1.25
1.20
0.60
1.30
1.90
vs Weaker (10)
2.30
0.80
3.00
0.60
1.60
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OFI
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.27
1.93
0.79
1.25
1.69
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
1.90
1.00
1.67
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (19)
1.79
1.00
2.10
0.60
1.44
1.44
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.2%
@ 1.19+1.3%
Under 1.5
20.8%
@ 4.20-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Under
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.30
10Bet
4.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.9%
@ 1.64-1.9%
Under 2.5
45.1%
@ 2.16+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.71
Betano
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.64
1xBet
1.62
Under
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.5%
@ 2.56-3.7%
Under 3.5
67.5%
@ 1.46+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.80
BetVictor
2.63
Betano
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Betfair
2.60
Under
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Superbet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.45
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.4%
@ 1.84+3.4%
No
46.6%
@ 1.84-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.92
Superbet
1.87
Betfair
1.85
William Hil
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
No
Betano
1.90
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Betfair
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%@ 8.22+6.0%
2-0
10.5%@ 6.54+3.7%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.52+4.1%
1-0
9.8%@ 6.90+3.4%
3-0
6.7%@ 9.02+1.8%
0-0 ✓
6.7%@ 12.25+3.0%
3-1
6.4%@ 10.21+2.1%
1-2
4.9%@ 20.89+2.8%
PAOK goals ↓
OFI goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
4.3%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
1
9.8%
11%
4.9%
1.5%
0.4%
2
10%
9.9%
4.7%
1.5%
0.4%
3
6.7%
6.4%
3.0%
1.0%
0.2%
4
3.2%
3.1%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = PAOK goals (down), columns = OFI goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.40
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.40
Levadiakos
2.38
OFI
2.22
Aris Thessalonikis
2.17
Panathinaikos
2.14
PAOK
2.00
Volos NFC
1.67
Atromitos
1.60
Kifisia
1.29
Kallithea
1.20
Ellas Syros
1.20
Panetolikos
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.03
Zakynthos
1.03
Panthrakikos
1.03
Trikala
1.03
Iraklis 1908
1.00
Panionios
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Marko
0.80
Larisa
0.80
Asteras Tripolis
0.80
Apollon Pontou
0.71
Kalamata
0.00
Niki Volos
0.00
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.00
PAOK is 0.22 points worse than OFI in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.22).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
3.60
Volos NFC
2.33
PAOK
2.00
Levadiakos
1.88
Ellas Syros
1.80
Atromitos
1.60
OFI
1.56
Asteras Tripolis
1.40
Aris Thessalonikis
1.33
Panathinaikos
1.29
AEK Athens FC
1.20
Larisa
1.20
Panetolikos
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.10
Zakynthos
1.10
Panthrakikos
1.10
Trikala
1.10
Kalamata
1.00
Panionios
1.00
Niki Volos
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.00
Marko
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Kifisia
0.86
Kallithea
0.80
Apollon Pontou
0.76
Iraklis 1908
0.60
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.00
PAOK is 0.44 goals better than OFI in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.56).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
AEK Athens FC
0.40
OFI
0.67
Panathinaikos
0.71
Levadiakos
0.75
Aris Thessalonikis
0.83
Panionios
1.00
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.00
Kallithea
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.00
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Kifisia
1.00
PAOK
1.11
Panetolikos
1.17
Atromitos
1.20
Asteras Tripolis
1.20
Volos NFC
1.33
Pyrgos 1968
1.45
Zakynthos
1.45
Panthrakikos
1.45
Trikala
1.45
Kalamata
2.00
Iraklis 1908
2.00
Niki Volos
2.00
Marko
2.00
Larisa
2.00
Apollon Pontou
2.10
Ellas Syros
2.60
PAOK is 0.44 goals worse than OFI in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 0.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Volos NFC
87%
Levadiakos
71%
Panserraikos
65%
Kifisia
63%
Kallithea
60%
Niki Volos
59%
Ellas Syros
59%
Panionios
56%
Kalamata
50%
Marko
50%
Larisa
50%
Iraklis 1908
44%
Nestos Chrisoupolis
41%
Panetolikos
41%
Anagennisi Karditsas
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
PAOK
For 4.4 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 13.7 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OFI
For 3.3 · Against 3.9 · Total 7.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.5 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 15.7 · Total 29.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
PAOK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.0
9.1
3.2
3.1
3.4
24.7
24.1
25.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
9.9
10.0
9.7
3.7
3.9
3.6
24.0
24.0
24.0
vs Weaker (23)
8.1
7.8
8.3
2.7
2.2
3.2
25.6
24.1
27.0
% over line
38%
45%
32%
52%
46%
58%
67%
70%
63%
% under line
62%
55%
68%
48%
54%
42%
33%
30%
37%
This opponent (OFI) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OFI
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
8.0
8.8
4.3
4.0
4.6
29.6
29.9
29.4
vs Stronger (14)
6.5
5.6
7.4
3.1
3.7
2.8
27.1
27.2
27.0
vs Similar (33)
8.8
8.4
9.2
4.8
4.2
5.6
30.8
30.9
30.6
vs Weaker (3)
11.0
13.0
9.0
3.7
3.5
4.0
26.5
28.0
25.0
% over line
35%
25%
45%
70%
72%
68%
92%
90%
95%
% under line
65%
75%
55%
30%
28%
32%
8%
10%
5%
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Panionios
10.4
Kallithea
9.7
Asteras Tripolis
9.4
Kifisia
9.2
Aris Thessalonikis
9.1
Atromitos
8.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.9
PAOK
8.8
OFI
8.8
AEK Athens FC
8.7
Larisa
8.6
Panetolikos
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.6
Levadiakos
8.6
Volos NFC
8.5
Panserraikos
8.5
Kalamata
8.3
Marko
7.0
Anagennisi Karditsas
6.0
Ellas Syros
5.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
5.0
Iraklis 1908
4.7
Niki Volos
4.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anagennisi Karditsas
8.0
Kifisia
6.6
Kalamata
6.3
Larisa
6.1
Panserraikos
6.0
Kallithea
5.9
Panionios
5.8
Levadiakos
5.6
Volos NFC
5.5
Panetolikos
5.5
Asteras Tripolis
5.5
AEK Athens FC
5.4
OFI
5.3
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Panathinaikos
5.1
Atromitos
4.9
Iraklis 1908
4.7
PAOK
4.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
Ellas Syros
4.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
4.0
Marko
3.0
Niki Volos
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Iraklis 1908
38.0
Kalamata
37.5
Anagennisi Karditsas
37.0
Marko
37.0
Ellas Syros
34.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
34.0
Kifisia
32.3
Larisa
32.0
Atromitos
30.8
Levadiakos
30.6
Volos NFC
30.5
Panionios
30.5
AEK Athens FC
29.3
OFI
28.8
Kallithea
28.8
Aris Thessalonikis
28.7
Panathinaikos
28.2
Asteras Tripolis
27.8
Panserraikos
27.2
Panetolikos
27.1
Niki Volos
27.0
PAOK
25.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
8.7%
@ 2.06-36.5%
Under 9.5
91.3%
@ 1.69+36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
1.96
Under
1xBet
1.75
Superbet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
62.0%
@ 1.30-9.8%
Under 3.5
38.0%
@ 3.30+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
Under
Betano
3.30
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
98.9%
Under 21.5
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
PAOK or Draw✓ Hit
83.0%
Avg Implied 87.2% · @ 1.06
Edge
-4.2%
59%
24%
17%
covers PAOK + Draw
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.10
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Unibet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
PAOK or OFI✗ Miss
76.2%
Avg Implied 79.9% · @ 1.15
Edge
-3.7%
59%
24%
17%
covers PAOK + OFI
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Draw or OFI✓ Hit
40.8%
Avg Implied 32.9% · @ 2.80
Edge
+7.9%
59%
24%
17%
covers Draw + OFI
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Betano
3.00
BetVictor
2.90
10Bet
2.90
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
PAOK over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
85.5%
@ 1.08-0.5%
Under
14.5%
@ 6.63+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Under
1xBet
7.40
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.60
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.30
PAOK over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
57.4%
@ 1.47-5.4%
Under
42.6%
@ 2.48+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.56
Unibet
1.50
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.57
BetVictor
2.55
1xBet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
PAOK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
30.4%
@ 2.41-8.1%
Under
69.6%
@ 1.51+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.47
Superbet
2.42
BetVictor
2.40
10Bet
2.40
Under
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
PAOK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
13.0%
@ 4.48-7.7%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.17+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.80
Superbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
OFI over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
61.3%
@ 1.68+6.5%
Under
38.7%
@ 2.04-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Pinnacle
1.71
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
Superbet
2.07
10Bet
2.05
OFI over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
24.6%
@ 4.44+3.7%
Under
75.4%
@ 1.17-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.50
10Bet
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
OFI over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 10.83-1.5%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.02+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Bet365
10.50
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
OFI over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 30.50-98.4%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
40.00
Bet365
21.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to PAOK, so a minus line means PAOK give that many goals of a start and OFI receive them. At -1, PAOK must win by two or more to land; a one-goal PAOK win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (PAOK)Actual: OFI
PAOK -2
17.4%
@ 3.49-7.7%
Draw -2
18.5%
@ 4.03-3.3%
OFI +2
64.1%
@ 1.65+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Unibet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.34
Draw
Marathonbet
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Unibet
3.35
Away
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.65
Unibet
1.49
Handicap -1 (PAOK)Actual: OFI
PAOK -1
35.9%
@ 2.01-7.7%
Draw -1
23.3%
@ 3.50-1.8%
OFI +1
40.8%
@ 2.81+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Draw
Marathonbet
3.90
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
10Bet
3.45
Betfair
3.40
Away
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.90
Superbet
2.87
Marathonbet
2.66
Handicap +1 (PAOK)Actual: PAOK
PAOK +1
83.0%
@ 1.10-1.1%
Draw +1
10.9%
@ 9.00+0.6%
OFI -1
6.1%
@ 16.50+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
7.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
12.00
Handicap +2 (PAOK)Actual: PAOK
PAOK +2
93.9%
@ 1.01-0.1%
Draw +2
4.5%
@ 23.00+0.4%
OFI -2
1.6%
@ 51.00-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.01
Draw
Bet365
23.00
Away
Bet365
51.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
PAOK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.40
0.73
0.40
0.67
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.45
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.50
vs Weaker (10)
1.30
0.30
1.80
0.40
0.80
0.20
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OFI
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.63
1.29
0.43
0.69
0.81
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.67
0.57
1.14
vs Similar (19)
1.11
0.47
1.40
0.40
0.78
0.56
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Under
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.40
Superbet
3.35
William Hil
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Pinnacle
2.42
Betfair
2.40
William Hil
2.40
Marathonbet
2.39
Under
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.00
1xBet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.50
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
PAOK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
Pinnacle
1.51
Superbet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.44
Under
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Pinnacle
2.47
10Bet
2.45
Betano
2.40
PAOK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.40
Betano
3.35
10Bet
3.25
Superbet
3.25
Under
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
PAOK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.50
Superbet
8.20
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.70
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.05
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
OFI over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.20
Betano
3.05
10Bet
3.00
Superbet
2.92
Under
Superbet
1.36
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.30
OFI over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
13.00
10Bet
12.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
OFI over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
55.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
PAOK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.70
1.07
0.20
0.73
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.80
1.00
0.20
0.70
1.40
vs Weaker (10)
1.00
0.50
1.20
0.20
0.80
0.80
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (OFI) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
OFI
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.64
0.36
0.56
0.88
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.90
0.67
1.00
0.43
0.86
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.53
0.70
0.20
0.67
0.89
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Under
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.35
William Hil
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.91
Superbet
1.87
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
10Bet
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.93
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
10Bet
1.90
Bet365
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.90
1xBet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Betano
3.50
Under
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
PAOK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Under
10Bet
3.10
Betano
3.05
Superbet
2.95
1xBet
2.95
PAOK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.65
Superbet
2.62
Betano
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Under
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.43
1xBet
1.42
PAOK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.10
1xBet
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
OFI over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.42
Betano
2.40
10Bet
2.38
Under
10Bet
1.53
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.50
1xBet
1.47
OFI over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
8.50
1xBet
8.45
Superbet
8.40
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
OFI over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
34.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
93.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
92.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.8%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.03
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
87.0%
1.17
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
85.5%
1.08
Betano
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
-0.5%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
83.5%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
83.0%
1.06
BetVictor
1.10
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Unibet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
-4.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
83.0%
1.10
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.1%
1.13
Betano
1.13
-
-
-
-
-2.9%
-
Over 1.5
79.2%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Unibet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
+1.3%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
76.2%
1.15
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
-3.7%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
75.4%
1.17
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
-3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.9%
1.66
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.64
-
-
-
+18.2%
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
PAOK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rahman Baba33%
Anestis Mythou33%
Cherif Ndiaye0%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Baptiste Santamaria0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Greg Taylor0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Dimitrios Chatsidis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Greg Taylor33%
Cherif Ndiaye0%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Baptiste Santamaria0%
Rahman Baba0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Anestis Mythou0%
Dimitrios Chatsidis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cherif Ndiaye0%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Baptiste Santamaria0%
Rahman Baba0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Greg Taylor0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Anestis Mythou0%
Dimitrios Chatsidis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cherif Ndiaye33%
Baptiste Santamaria33%
Dimitrios Chatsidis33%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Rahman Baba0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Greg Taylor0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Anestis Mythou0%
OFI · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eddie Salcedo35%
Taxiarchis Fountas28%
Juan Angel Neira25%
Thiago Nuss16%
Athanasios Androutsos10%
Giannis Theodosoulakis10%
Levan Shengelia7%
Aaron Leya Iseka6%
Borja Gonzalez Tejada6%
Konstantinos Kostoulas5%
Zisis Karachalios4%
Vasilis Lampropoulos4%
Giannis Apostolakis4%
Krešimir Krizmanić0%
Ilias Chatzitheodoridis0%
Achilleas Poungouras0%
Nikolaos Marinakis0%
Giannis Christopoulos0%
Franco Zanelatto0%
Ilija Vukotić0%
Marko Rakonjac0%
Filip Bainović0%
Nikolaos Christogeorgos0%
Georgios Kanellopoulos0%
Kevin Lewis0%
Nikolaos Athanasiou0%
Klidman Lilo0%
Manolis Faitakis0%
Pavlos Kenourgiakis0%
Thiago Romano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Thiago Nuss48%
Manolis Faitakis33%
Eddie Salcedo31%
Nikolaos Marinakis27%
Juan Angel Neira25%
Giannis Apostolakis25%
Pavlos Kenourgiakis25%
Achilleas Poungouras23%
Athanasios Androutsos17%
Ilias Chatzitheodoridis17%
Kevin Lewis17%
Nikolaos Athanasiou14%
Giannis Theodosoulakis14%
Levan Shengelia13%
Zisis Karachalios13%
Aaron Leya Iseka12%
Filip Bainović12%
Krešimir Krizmanić10%
Klidman Lilo10%
Konstantinos Kostoulas10%
Georgios Kanellopoulos8%
Vasilis Lampropoulos8%
Taxiarchis Fountas8%
Borja Gonzalez Tejada6%
Nikolaos Christogeorgos5%
Giannis Christopoulos0%
Franco Zanelatto0%
Ilija Vukotić0%
Marko Rakonjac0%
Thiago Romano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikolaos Athanasiou21%
Thiago Nuss20%
Borja Gonzalez Tejada17%
Georgios Kanellopoulos17%
Juan Angel Neira12%
Levan Shengelia10%
Konstantinos Kostoulas10%
Nikolaos Marinakis9%
Eddie Salcedo8%
Athanasios Androutsos7%
Aaron Leya Iseka6%
Nikolaos Christogeorgos5%
Taxiarchis Fountas4%
Vasilis Lampropoulos0%
Krešimir Krizmanić0%
Ilias Chatzitheodoridis0%
Achilleas Poungouras0%
Giannis Christopoulos0%
Zisis Karachalios0%
Franco Zanelatto0%
Ilija Vukotić0%
Marko Rakonjac0%
Filip Bainović0%
Kevin Lewis0%
Giannis Apostolakis0%
Giannis Theodosoulakis0%
Klidman Lilo0%
Manolis Faitakis0%
Pavlos Kenourgiakis0%
Thiago Romano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thiago Nuss32%
Eddie Salcedo15%
Taxiarchis Fountas12%
Aaron Leya Iseka6%
Konstantinos Kostoulas5%
Vasilis Lampropoulos0%
Athanasios Androutsos0%
Krešimir Krizmanić0%
Levan Shengelia0%
Ilias Chatzitheodoridis0%
Achilleas Poungouras0%
Nikolaos Marinakis0%
Giannis Christopoulos0%
Juan Angel Neira0%
Zisis Karachalios0%
Franco Zanelatto0%
Ilija Vukotić0%
Marko Rakonjac0%
Filip Bainović0%
Borja Gonzalez Tejada0%
Nikolaos Christogeorgos0%
Georgios Kanellopoulos0%
Kevin Lewis0%
Nikolaos Athanasiou0%
Giannis Apostolakis0%
Giannis Theodosoulakis0%
Klidman Lilo0%
Manolis Faitakis0%
Pavlos Kenourgiakis0%
Thiago Romano0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
AP (16)
€2m
PAOK's squad is €64m more valuable than OFI's (€82m vs €18m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
I1 (6)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
PAOK's attack is €24m more valuable than OFI's (€30m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MAR (4)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
PAOK's midfield is €25m more valuable than OFI's (€28m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
PAOK's defence is €16m more valuable than OFI's (€24m vs €8m).
Greece: Super League 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
Kifisia
Volos NFC
Iraklis 1908
Atromitos
Kalamata
Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos