The model picks an away win, with a 47% chance for Baník Ostrava, a 30% chance for a draw, and a 23% chance for Pardubice to lift the trophy. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.9% probability. Pardubice’s home form shows an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded against similar opposition, while Baník Ostrava on the road averages 1.44 scored and 1.0 conceded versus comparable teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (99.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.7%), Under 5.5 (97.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.7%), Home under 2.5 goals (93.8%), Away +2 handicap (91.9%), and Under 4.5 (91.7%). Baník Ostrava are on a three-game winning streak after a 1-0 victory over Sigma Olomouc, whereas Pardubice return from a defeat to Artis, setting the stage for a likely away triumph.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved accurate as Baník Ostrava secured a 0-2 away win, extending their three-game winning run. The favourite, Away win, was chosen with a 47% probability and was indeed correct. The final score of 0-2 matched the actual result, confirming the model’s forecast. Every suggested pick hit: Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (99.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.7%), Under 5.5 (97.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.7%), Home under 2.5 goals (93.8%), Away +2 handicap (91.9%), and Under 4.5 (91.7%). The game’s low total of two goals was well within the model’s expectations, and the selections largely came in as predicted.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Pardubice win✗ Miss
22.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava win✓ Hit
47.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Pardubice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.53
1.23
1.31
0.82
1.71
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.00
1.52
1.30
1.30
0.77
1.69
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
0.80
2.36
0.57
1.50
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.17
0.67
1.33
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
1.94
0.65
2.50
0.25
1.44
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
2.71
0.86
3.67
0.67
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Pardubice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.0%
Under 1.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.2%
Under 2.5
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.9%
Under 3.5
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.8%
No
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-1
12.8%
0-0
11.4%
0-2 ✓
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.6%
Pardubice goals ↓
Baník Ostrava goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
13%
9.8%
4.6%
1.6%
1
7.8%
14%
8.8%
4.1%
1.4%
2
4.1%
5.7%
4.0%
1.8%
0.6%
3
1.2%
1.7%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pardubice goals (down), columns = Baník Ostrava goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sigma Olomouc
3.00
Zlin
2.50
Teplice
2.50
Vysoké Mýto
2.33
Hanácká
2.25
Bohemians 1905
2.25
Spartak Police n/Metují
2.25
Kuřim
2.25
FK Jablonec
2.25
Baník Ostrava
2.25
Táborsko
2.00
Vyškov
2.00
Baník Souš
2.00
Dukla Praha
2.00
Opava
2.00
Hodonín
2.00
Hradec Králové
2.00
Strání
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
2.00
Varnsdorf
2.00
Český Brod
2.00
Kozlovice
2.00
Artis
2.00
Vítkovice
2.00
Hlučín
2.00
Kladno
2.00
Sokol Zápy
2.00
Pardubice
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Uničov
2.00
Viktoria Otrokovice
2.00
Sparta Praha
2.00
Viktoria Žižkov
2.00
Plzen
1.75
Bílovec
1.75
Vratimov
1.50
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.50
Hřebeč
1.50
Slovan Liberec
1.50
Jiskra Domažlice
1.50
Spartak Soběslav
1.50
Kvasice
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Ústí nad Orlicí
1.50
Rokycany
1.50
Rapid Psáry
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Jiskra Rýmařov
1.50
HFK Olomouc
1.50
Start Brno
1.50
Frýdek-Místek
1.50
Mariánské Lázně
1.50
Karlovy Vary
1.50
Hranice
1.50
Benešov
1.50
Dobrovice
1.50
Ždírec nad Doubravou
1.50
Petřvald na Moravě
1.50
Kolovec
1.50
Mlada Boleslav
1.50
Písek
1.50
Horní Ředice
1.50
Tatran Bohunice
1.50
Sokol Brozany
1.50
Petřín Plzeň
1.50
Slaný
1.50
Sokol Tasovice
1.50
Aritma Praha
1.50
Sokol Živanice
1.50
Sokol Čechovice
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Slovácko
1.50
Povltava FA
1.50
Benátky nad Jizerou
1.33
Slavia Praha
1.33
Beskyd Frenštát
1.33
Ústí nad Labem
1.33
Hořovicko
1.33
Loko Vltavín
1.33
Uherský Brod
1.33
Žďár nad Sázavou
1.33
Neratovice-Byškovice
1.00
Tichá
1.00
Pěnčín
1.00
Unie Hlubina
1.00
České Budějovice
1.00
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Králův Dvůr
1.00
Přední Kopanina
1.00
Třinec
1.00
Baník Sokolov
1.00
Slovan Velvary
1.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.00
FS Třebíč
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou
1.00
Havlíčkův Brod
1.00
Havířov
1.00
Milin
0.67
Bzenec
0.67
Velké Hamry
0.50
Velké Meziříčí
0.50
Bospor Bohumín
0.50
Nový Jičín
0.50
Meteor Praha
0.50
Olympie Březová
0.50
Turnov
0.50
Slovan Rosice
0.50
Motorlet Praha
0.50
Kosmonosy
0.00
Břidličná
0.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
0.00
Břeclav
0.00
Vsetín
0.00
Ostrov
0.00
Štětí
0.00
Chrudim
0.00
Brandýs nad Labem
0.00
Blansko
0.00
Doubravka
0.00
Česká Třebová
0.00
Sokol Hostouň
0.00
Přepeře
0.00
Karviná
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Komárov
0.00
Sokol Železnice
0.00
Valašské Meziříčí
0.00
Řepiště
0.00
Chomutov
0.00
Cidlina Novy Bydzov
0.00
Baťov
0.00
Slavičín
0.00
Kostelec na Hané
0.00
Trutnov
0.00
Slavia Vejprnice
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Rousínov
0.00
Slavoj Žatec
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
0.00
Polanka nad Odrou
0.00
Vrchovina
0.00
Krnov
0.00
Tatran Všechovice
0.00
Skaštice
0.00
Kolín
0.00
Pustá Polom
0.00
Hlinsko
0.00
MILO Olomouc
0.00
Šumperk
0.00
Pardubice is 0.25 points worse than Baník Ostrava in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ústí nad Labem
4.00
Příbram
4.00
Jiskra Domažlice
3.50
Benešov
3.50
Kladno
3.50
Dukla Praha
3.33
Táborsko
3.00
Hodonín
3.00
Doubravka
3.00
Zbrojovka Brno
3.00
HFK Olomouc
3.00
Sokol Brozany
3.00
Uničov
3.00
Havlíčkův Brod
3.00
Viktoria Žižkov
3.00
Sigma Olomouc
2.83
Hlučín
2.80
Hanácká
2.75
Český Brod
2.67
Sokol Zápy
2.67
Žďár nad Sázavou
2.67
Baník Souš
2.50
Admira Praha
2.50
Rokycany
2.50
Rapid Psáry
2.50
Karlovy Vary
2.50
Zlin
2.50
Slaný
2.50
Sokol Čechovice
2.50
Varnsdorf
2.33
Artis
2.33
Bílovec
2.25
Teplice
2.25
Sparta Praha
2.20
Vysoké Mýto
2.00
Pěnčín
2.00
Opava
2.00
Plzen
2.00
Brandýs nad Labem
2.00
Spartak Soběslav
2.00
Strání
2.00
Sokol Hostouň
2.00
Přepeře
2.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
2.00
Start Brno
2.00
Frýdek-Místek
2.00
Řepiště
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Kostelec na Hané
2.00
Baník Sokolov
2.00
Slovan Velvary
2.00
FS Třebíč
2.00
Tatran Bohunice
2.00
Baník Ostrava
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Povltava FA
2.00
Slovan Rosice
2.00
Bohemians 1905
1.75
Kuřim
1.75
Vyškov
1.67
Benátky nad Jizerou
1.67
Beskyd Frenštát
1.67
Pardubice
1.67
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.50
Slovan Liberec
1.50
Kvasice
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Olympie Březová
1.50
Hranice
1.50
Dobrovice
1.50
Petřvald na Moravě
1.50
Kolovec
1.50
Mlada Boleslav
1.50
Písek
1.50
Petřín Plzeň
1.50
Viktoria Otrokovice
1.50
Sokol Tasovice
1.50
Aritma Praha
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Havířov
1.50
Slavia Praha
1.33
Loko Vltavín
1.33
Bzenec
1.33
FK Jablonec
1.25
Neratovice-Byškovice
1.00
Tichá
1.00
Kosmonosy
1.00
Břidličná
1.00
Vsetín
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
Hřebeč
1.00
Velké Hamry
1.00
Blansko
1.00
České Budějovice
1.00
Hradec Králové
1.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
1.00
Velké Meziříčí
1.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
1.00
Valašské Meziříčí
1.00
Chomutov
1.00
Cidlina Novy Bydzov
1.00
Mariánské Lázně
1.00
Baťov
1.00
Králův Dvůr
1.00
Slavičín
1.00
Přední Kopanina
1.00
Vítkovice
1.00
Slavia Vejprnice
1.00
Slavoj Žatec
1.00
Třinec
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.00
Vrchovina
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Tatran Všechovice
1.00
Pustá Polom
1.00
Sokol Živanice
1.00
MILO Olomouc
1.00
Motorlet Praha
1.00
Hořovicko
0.67
Milin
0.67
Uherský Brod
0.67
Vratimov
0.50
Nový Jičín
0.50
Kozlovice
0.50
Meteor Praha
0.50
Ždírec nad Doubravou
0.50
Horní Ředice
0.50
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
0.00
Břeclav
0.00
Unie Hlubina
0.00
Štětí
0.00
Chrudim
0.00
Česká Třebová
0.00
Bospor Bohumín
0.00
Karviná
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Komárov
0.00
Sokol Železnice
0.00
Trutnov
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Rousínov
0.00
Turnov
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Polanka nad Odrou
0.00
Krnov
0.00
Skaštice
0.00
Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou
0.00
Kolín
0.00
Hlinsko
0.00
Šumperk
0.00
Pardubice is 0.33 goals worse than Baník Ostrava in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Unie Hlubina
0.00
Kozlovice
0.00
Slovan Hrádek nad Nisou
0.00
Vysoké Mýto
0.33
Táborsko
0.50
Baník Souš
0.50
FK Jablonec
0.50
Viktoria Otrokovice
0.50
Vyškov
0.67
Opava
0.67
Slavia Praha
0.67
Hradec Králové
0.67
Sigma Olomouc
0.67
Uherský Brod
0.67
Hanácká
0.75
Spartak Police n/Metují
0.75
Hlučín
0.80
Neratovice-Byškovice
1.00
Tichá
1.00
Dukla Praha
1.00
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.00
Štětí
1.00
Chrudim
1.00
Slovan Liberec
1.00
Jiskra Domažlice
1.00
České Budějovice
1.00
Česká Třebová
1.00
Strání
1.00
Beskyd Frenštát
1.00
Bohemians 1905
1.00
Bospor Bohumín
1.00
Nový Jičín
1.00
Karviná
1.00
Holešov
1.00
Komárov
1.00
Prostějov
1.00
HFK Olomouc
1.00
Start Brno
1.00
Kuřim
1.00
Králův Dvůr
1.00
Přední Kopanina
1.00
Vítkovice
1.00
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Humpolec
1.00
Rousínov
1.00
Třinec
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.00
Zlin
1.00
Sokol Zápy
1.00
Pardubice
1.00
Horní Ředice
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Teplice
1.00
Uničov
1.00
Baník Ostrava
1.00
Sparta Praha
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Artis
1.33
Milin
1.33
Hodonín
1.50
Hřebeč
1.50
Plzen
1.50
Spartak Soběslav
1.50
Bílovec
1.50
Frýdek-Místek
1.50
Karlovy Vary
1.50
Hranice
1.50
Petřvald na Moravě
1.50
Mlada Boleslav
1.50
Sokol Brozany
1.50
Příbram
1.50
Petřín Plzeň
1.50
Sokol Živanice
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Havířov
1.50
Motorlet Praha
1.50
Benátky nad Jizerou
1.67
Varnsdorf
1.67
Český Brod
1.67
Žďár nad Sázavou
1.67
Břidličná
2.00
Vratimov
2.00
Pěnčín
2.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
2.00
Ostrov
2.00
Kvasice
2.00
Admira Praha
2.00
Velké Meziříčí
2.00
Sokol Železnice
2.00
Cidlina Novy Bydzov
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Baťov
2.00
Benešov
2.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
2.00
Turnov
2.00
Baník Sokolov
2.00
Slovan Velvary
2.00
FS Třebíč
2.00
Tatran Všechovice
2.00
Kolín
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Povltava FA
2.00
Zbrojovka Brno
2.33
Hořovicko
2.33
Velké Hamry
2.50
Ústí nad Orlicí
2.50
Olympie Březová
2.50
Mariánské Lázně
2.50
Kladno
2.50
Písek
2.50
Aritma Praha
2.50
Slovan Rosice
2.50
Ústí nad Labem
2.67
Kosmonosy
3.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
3.00
Břeclav
3.00
Vsetín
3.00
Brandýs nad Labem
3.00
Sokol Hostouň
3.00
Přepeře
3.00
Meteor Praha
3.00
Řepiště
3.00
Slavičín
3.00
Dobrovice
3.00
Trutnov
3.00
Slavia Vejprnice
3.00
Tatran Bohunice
3.00
Slaný
3.00
Havlíčkův Brod
3.00
Sokol Tasovice
3.00
Bzenec
3.33
Jiskra Rýmařov
3.50
Doubravka
4.00
Valašské Meziříčí
4.00
Frýdlant
4.00
Kolovec
4.00
Vrchovina
4.00
Skaštice
4.00
Sokol Čechovice
4.00
Hlinsko
4.00
MILO Olomouc
4.00
Šumperk
4.00
Rokycany
4.50
Blansko
5.00
Chomutov
5.00
Kostelec na Hané
5.00
Slavoj Žatec
5.00
Pustá Polom
5.00
Rapid Psáry
6.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
6.00
Krnov
7.00
Pardubice and Baník Ostrava are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Pardubice or Draw✗ Miss
52.7%
Avg Implied -
23%
30%
47%
covers Pardubice + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pardubice or Baník Ostrava✓ Hit
70.2%
Avg Implied -
23%
30%
47%
covers Pardubice + Baník Ostrava
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Baník Ostrava✓ Hit
77.1%
Avg Implied -
23%
30%
47%
covers Draw + Baník Ostrava
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Pardubice over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
59.2%
Under
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pardubice over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
22.6%
Under
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pardubice over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.2%
Under
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pardubice over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.2%
Under
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
40.6%
Under
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.5%
Under
83.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.3%
Under
94.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Pardubice, so a minus line means Pardubice give that many goals of a start and Baník Ostrava receive them. At -1, Pardubice must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Pardubice win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Pardubice)Actual: Baník Ostrava
Pardubice -2
2.1%
Draw -2
6.0%
Baník Ostrava +2
91.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Pardubice)Actual: Baník Ostrava
Pardubice -1
8.1%
Draw -1
14.8%
Baník Ostrava +1
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Pardubice)Actual: Baník Ostrava
Pardubice +1
52.7%
Draw +1
23.7%
Baník Ostrava -1
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Pardubice)Actual: Draw
Pardubice +2
76.4%
Draw +2
14.6%
Baník Ostrava -2
8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pardubice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.31
0.38
0.53
0.71
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (23)
0.35
0.61
0.30
0.40
0.38
0.77
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
0.50
0.50
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.37
1.00
0.29
0.62
0.44
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.83
0.33
1.00
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.29
0.88
0.12
0.56
0.44
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.14
2.00
0.00
0.75
0.25
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Pardubice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pardubice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pardubice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pardubice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pardubice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.97
0.92
0.92
0.29
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.91
1.00
0.90
0.38
0.92
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Baník Ostrava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.43
1.36
0.29
0.88
0.56
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (17)
1.24
0.35
1.62
0.12
0.89
0.56
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.71
1.67
0.67
1.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Pardubice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pardubice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pardubice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pardubice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Pardubice
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jan Kalabiška20%
Vojtech Patrak15%
Adam Fousek14%
Ladislav Krobot12%
Filip Šancl7%
Kamil Vacek7%
Abdullahi Tanko7%
Dominique Simon7%
Tomas Zlatohlavek6%
Stepan Misek6%
André Leipold4%
Louis Lurvink4%
Vojtěch Sychra4%
Mohammed Marzuq Yahaya4%
Vojtěch Vorel0%
Viktor Budinský0%
Jan Stejskal0%
Pavel Zifcak0%
Tomáš Solil0%
Emil Tischler0%
David Huf0%
Michal Surzyn0%
David Šimek0%
Eldar Šehić0%
Laurent Kissiedou0%
Denis Darmovzal0%
Denis Alijagič0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Jason Noslin0%
Ryan Mahuta0%
Lukáš Fila0%
Tomáš Polyak0%
Jan Tredl0%
Dominik Mareš0%
Filip Brdicka0%
Vaclav Jindra0%
Daniel Pandula0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniel Pandula43%
Tomas Zlatohlavek35%
Emil Tischler33%
Louis Lurvink31%
Kamil Vacek30%
Tomáš Polyak30%
Dominique Simon27%
David Huf25%
Eldar Šehić23%
Jan Tredl21%
Ladislav Krobot21%
Filip Brdicka20%
David Šimek18%
Vojtěch Vorel17%
Tomáš Solil17%
Denis Alijagič17%
Jason Noslin17%
Vojtech Patrak15%
Samuel Šimek11%
Mohammed Marzuq Yahaya11%
Michal Surzyn10%
Dominik Mareš9%
André Leipold8%
Ryan Mahuta8%
Vaclav Jindra7%
Jan Kalabiška7%
Abdullahi Tanko7%
Jan Stejskal5%
Vojtěch Sychra4%
Viktor Budinský0%
Pavel Zifcak0%
Adam Fousek0%
Laurent Kissiedou0%
Denis Darmovzal0%
Lukáš Fila0%
Filip Šancl0%
Stepan Misek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Huf25%
Tomas Zlatohlavek18%
Ladislav Krobot12%
Vojtěch Sychra12%
Dominik Mareš9%
André Leipold8%
Jan Tredl7%
Jan Kalabiška7%
Abdullahi Tanko7%
Dominique Simon7%
Michal Surzyn5%
Eldar Šehić5%
Vojtech Patrak4%
Kamil Vacek3%
Vojtěch Vorel0%
Viktor Budinský0%
Jan Stejskal0%
Pavel Zifcak0%
Adam Fousek0%
Tomáš Solil0%
Emil Tischler0%
David Šimek0%
Laurent Kissiedou0%
Denis Darmovzal0%
Denis Alijagič0%
Louis Lurvink0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Jason Noslin0%
Ryan Mahuta0%
Lukáš Fila0%
Tomáš Polyak0%
Filip Šancl0%
Stepan Misek0%
Mohammed Marzuq Yahaya0%
Filip Brdicka0%
Vaclav Jindra0%
Daniel Pandula0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tomas Zlatohlavek29%
Dominique Simon20%
Filip Šancl7%
Abdullahi Tanko7%
David Šimek5%
Eldar Šehić5%
Mohammed Marzuq Yahaya4%
Vojtěch Vorel0%
Viktor Budinský0%
Jan Kalabiška0%
Kamil Vacek0%
Jan Stejskal0%
Pavel Zifcak0%
Adam Fousek0%
Tomáš Solil0%
Emil Tischler0%
David Huf0%
Michal Surzyn0%
Laurent Kissiedou0%
Ladislav Krobot0%
Denis Darmovzal0%
Denis Alijagič0%
Vojtech Patrak0%
Louis Lurvink0%
Vojtěch Sychra0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Jason Noslin0%
Ryan Mahuta0%
Lukáš Fila0%
André Leipold0%
Tomáš Polyak0%
Jan Tredl0%
Dominik Mareš0%
Stepan Misek0%
Filip Brdicka0%
Vaclav Jindra0%
Daniel Pandula0%
Baník Ostrava
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ewerton36%
David Lischka33%
Erik Prekop24%
Dennis Owusu20%
Matěj Šín18%
David Buchta17%
Michal Kohút15%
Filip Kubala12%
Tomas Zlatohlavek9%
Abdullahi Tanko8%
Uchenna Aririerisim8%
Jiří Klíma7%
Karel Pojezný6%
Michal Frydrych4%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Jiri Boula3%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Patrick Kpozo0%
Dominik Holec0%
Michal Fukala0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Jan Juroska0%
Matěj Chaluš0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Jakub Markovič0%
Matúš Rusnák0%
David Latal0%
Issa Fomba0%
Samuel Grygar0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Lischka33%
Uchenna Aririerisim31%
Matěj Chaluš25%
Tomas Zlatohlavek18%
Erik Prekop15%
Jiri Boula14%
Tomáš Rigo12%
Dominik Holec12%
David Buchta11%
Patrick Kpozo10%
Michal Frydrych8%
Jan Juroska7%
Jiří Klíma7%
Karel Pojezný6%
Filip Kubala6%
Matěj Šín6%
Ewerton4%
Daniel Holzer3%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Michal Fukala0%
Michal Kohút0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Abdullahi Tanko0%
Jakub Markovič0%
Matúš Rusnák0%
David Latal0%
Issa Fomba0%
Dennis Owusu0%
Samuel Grygar0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tomáš Rigo16%
Michal Kohút15%
Matěj Šín15%
Ewerton14%
Patrick Kpozo10%
Daniel Holzer10%
Dennis Owusu10%
Michal Frydrych8%
Abdullahi Tanko8%
Uchenna Aririerisim8%
Jan Juroska7%
Karel Pojezný6%
Erik Prekop6%
Filip Kubala3%
David Buchta3%
Jiri Boula3%
David Lischka0%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Dominik Holec0%
Michal Fukala0%
Matěj Chaluš0%
Jiří Klíma0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Jakub Markovič0%
Tomas Zlatohlavek0%
Matúš Rusnák0%
David Latal0%
Issa Fomba0%
Samuel Grygar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erik Prekop30%
Ewerton29%
Filip Kubala15%
Matěj Šín12%
Tomáš Rigo9%
Michal Kohút8%
Abdullahi Tanko8%
Uchenna Aririerisim8%
Jiří Klíma7%
Karel Pojezný3%
David Buchta3%
Jiri Boula3%
Michal Frydrych0%
David Lischka0%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Patrick Kpozo0%
Dominik Holec0%
Michal Fukala0%
Daniel Holzer0%
Jan Juroska0%
Matěj Chaluš0%
Georgios Kornezos0%
Jakub Markovič0%
Tomas Zlatohlavek0%
Matúš Rusnák0%
David Latal0%
Issa Fomba0%
Dennis Owusu0%
Samuel Grygar0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
KAR (24)
€7m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Pardubice's squad is €5m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€14m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
KAR (11)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Pardubice's attack is €1m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€4m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Pardubice's midfield is €2m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€4m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Pardubice's defence is €2m less valuable than Baník Ostrava's (€5m vs €7m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →