This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Praha
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
3.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.22
0.93
2.21
0.71
2.23
1.15
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.67
2.00
vs Weaker (23)
2.52
0.83
2.38
0.77
2.70
0.90
Clean sheet %
41% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Pardubice) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.1%
Under 2.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.7%
Under 3.5
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
0-2 ✓
9.3%
0-1
8.1%
1-3
6.7%
0-3
6.3%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
Pardubice goals ↓
Sparta Praha goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
8.1%
9.3%
6.3%
3.2%
1
3.8%
11%
9.9%
6.7%
3.4%
2
2.6%
5.2%
5.3%
3.6%
1.8%
3
0.9%
1.9%
1.9%
1.3%
0.7%
4
0.2%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pardubice goals (down), columns = Sparta Praha goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Slavia Praha
2.23
Sparta Praha
2.23
Plzen
1.74
Bohemians 1905
1.49
Slovácko
1.43
Sigma Olomouc
1.37
Hradec Králové
1.32
Slovan Liberec
1.29
Teplice
1.20
Baník Ostrava
1.20
Mlada Boleslav
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
FK Jablonec
1.14
Pardubice
1.11
Zlin
1.03
Zbrojovka Brno
0.94
Příbram
0.50
Vyškov
0.50
Pardubice is 1.12 points worse than Sparta Praha in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 2.23).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha
2.80
Sparta Praha
2.17
Plzen
1.71
Bohemians 1905
1.60
Sigma Olomouc
1.51
Baník Ostrava
1.51
Slovan Liberec
1.50
FK Jablonec
1.40
Teplice
1.29
Mlada Boleslav
1.22
Zlin
1.19
České Budějovice
1.19
Zbrojovka Brno
1.17
Hradec Králové
1.15
Slovácko
1.14
Pardubice
1.08
Příbram
0.00
Vyškov
0.00
Pardubice is 1.09 goals worse than Sparta Praha in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 2.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vyškov
0.50
Slavia Praha
0.89
Sparta Praha
0.94
Příbram
1.00
Plzen
1.09
Slovácko
1.31
Sigma Olomouc
1.34
Hradec Králové
1.35
Mlada Boleslav
1.38
Baník Ostrava
1.43
Slovan Liberec
1.44
Zlin
1.62
Bohemians 1905
1.66
Pardubice
1.70
FK Jablonec
1.80
Zbrojovka Brno
1.83
České Budějovice
1.88
Teplice
1.91
Pardubice is 0.76 goals worse than Sparta Praha in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 0.94).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Slavia Praha
61%
České Budějovice
56%
Sigma Olomouc
55%
Mlada Boleslav
53%
Sparta Praha
53%
Zbrojovka Brno
52%
Pardubice
51%
Baník Ostrava
50%
FK Jablonec
50%
Plzen
50%
Slovan Liberec
48%
Slovácko
48%
Vyškov
47%
Teplice
46%
Zlin
44%
Bohemians 1905
44%
Hradec Králové
39%
Pardubice is 1.4 percentage points worse than Sparta Praha in terms of average possession (51% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Pardubice
For 4.6 · Against 9.2 · Total 13.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 11.8 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sparta Praha
For 6.4 · Against 3.8 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 3.4 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 11.8 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pardubice
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (25)
11.8
12.5
11.0
3.6
3.7
3.5
24.2
25.3
23.3
vs Stronger (5)
12.5
15.0
10.0
4.0
5.0
3.3
26.2
27.0
25.5
vs Similar (19)
11.1
11.0
11.2
3.3
3.1
3.5
24.1
25.9
22.8
vs Weaker (1)
20.0
20.0
-
6.0
6.0
-
18.0
18.0
-
% over line
68%
82%
55%
56%
58%
54%
67%
70%
64%
% under line
32%
18%
45%
44%
42%
46%
33%
30%
36%
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Praha
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (27)
10.2
10.2
10.4
4.7
4.3
5.2
24.8
22.3
27.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
13.0
16.0
10.0
3.0
7.0
1.7
18.0
10.0
26.0
vs Weaker (23)
10.0
9.7
10.4
5.0
4.1
6.3
25.4
23.3
27.9
% over line
46%
46%
45%
70%
64%
77%
75%
69%
82%
% under line
54%
54%
55%
30%
36%
23%
25%
31%
18%
This opponent (Pardubice) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Pardubice
11.8
Baník Ostrava
11.7
Sigma Olomouc
11.5
Plzen
11.4
Slavia Praha
11.2
Slovan Liberec
11.1
Zbrojovka Brno
10.5
České Budějovice
10.5
Sparta Praha
10.2
Teplice
10.2
Mlada Boleslav
9.9
Slovácko
9.5
FK Jablonec
9.0
Bohemians 1905
9.0
Hradec Králové
8.8
Zlin
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sparta Praha
5.3
Baník Ostrava
5.3
Hradec Králové
5.1
Slavia Praha
4.8
Slovan Liberec
4.4
FK Jablonec
4.4
Sigma Olomouc
4.4
Plzen
4.3
Bohemians 1905
4.1
Pardubice
4.0
Teplice
4.0
Zbrojovka Brno
4.0
Zlin
3.9
Mlada Boleslav
3.9
Slovácko
3.7
České Budějovice
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Hradec Králové
28.8
Mlada Boleslav
27.9
Slovan Liberec
26.0
Zlin
25.9
Slovácko
25.5
Sigma Olomouc
25.2
Slavia Praha
25.2
Teplice
25.1
Sparta Praha
24.8
FK Jablonec
24.7
Baník Ostrava
24.7
Bohemians 1905
24.4
Pardubice
24.2
České Budějovice
23.1
Zbrojovka Brno
23.1
Plzen
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
70.4%
Under 9.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
69.4%
Under 3.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
85.4%
Under 21.5
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pardubice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.32
0.80
0.50
0.75
0.15
0.85
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.20
0.00
0.50
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (19)
0.37
0.68
0.67
0.78
0.10
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Praha
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.59
1.00
0.50
1.15
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.25
1.25
0.00
0.00
0.33
1.67
vs Weaker (23)
1.22
0.48
1.08
0.54
1.40
0.40
Clean sheet %
56% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Pardubice) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pardubice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pardubice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pardubice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pardubice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.20
0.42
0.75
0.77
1.62
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
2.20
0.50
1.00
0.67
3.00
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.95
0.44
0.67
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
24% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Praha
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.15
0.33
1.21
0.21
1.08
0.46
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (23)
1.30
0.35
1.31
0.23
1.30
0.50
Clean sheet %
74% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Pardubice) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pardubice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pardubice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pardubice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 9.5 corners
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Pardubice · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tobias Boledovic40%
Giannis-Fivos Botos0%
Václav Drchal0%
Michal Hlavatý0%
Simon Bammens0%
Abdoull Tanko0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Vojtěch Patrák0%
Marek Icha0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Jason Noslin0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Jan Trédl0%
Tomáš Jelínek0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
Kahuan0%
Victor Samuel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Emmanuel Godwin40%
Vojtěch Patrák33%
Václav Drchal20%
Michal Hlavatý20%
Jason Noslin20%
Jan Trédl20%
Victor Samuel20%
Giannis-Fivos Botos0%
Simon Bammens0%
Abdoull Tanko0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Marek Icha0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Tomáš Jelínek0%
Kahuan0%
Tobias Boledovic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michal Hlavatý20%
Jan Trédl20%
Tobias Boledovic20%
Giannis-Fivos Botos0%
Václav Drchal0%
Simon Bammens0%
Abdoull Tanko0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Vojtěch Patrák0%
Marek Icha0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Jason Noslin0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Tomáš Jelínek0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
Kahuan0%
Victor Samuel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tomáš Jelínek33%
Abdoull Tanko25%
Jason Noslin20%
Tobias Boledovic20%
Giannis-Fivos Botos0%
Václav Drchal0%
Michal Hlavatý0%
Simon Bammens0%
Vladimir Neuman0%
Vojtěch Patrák0%
Marek Icha0%
Samuel Šimek0%
Daniel Smékal0%
Jan Trédl0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
Kahuan0%
Victor Samuel0%
Sparta Praha
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ladislav Krejčí33%
Jaroslav Zelený0%
Martin Minchev0%
Qazim Laci0%
Asger Sørensen0%
Lukáš Sadílek0%
Filip Panák0%
Matej Kovar0%
Krystof Daněk0%
Martin Vitík0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jaroslav Zelený33%
Qazim Laci33%
Lukáš Sadílek33%
Martin Minchev0%
Asger Sørensen0%
Ladislav Krejčí0%
Filip Panák0%
Matej Kovar0%
Krystof Daněk0%
Martin Vitík0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ladislav Krejčí33%
Jaroslav Zelený0%
Martin Minchev0%
Qazim Laci0%
Asger Sørensen0%
Lukáš Sadílek0%
Filip Panák0%
Matej Kovar0%
Krystof Daněk0%
Martin Vitík0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Asger Sørensen33%
Ladislav Krejčí33%
Jaroslav Zelený0%
Martin Minchev0%
Qazim Laci0%
Lukáš Sadílek0%
Filip Panák0%
Matej Kovar0%
Krystof Daněk0%
Martin Vitík0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (38)
€123m
SP (35)
€92m
PLZ (28)
€57m
SO (32)
€30m
SL (30)
€27m
BO (31)
€19m
HK (27)
€14m
FJ (28)
€14m
PAR (29)
€14m
MB (28)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
TEP (28)
€8m
SLO (29)
€8m
B1 (24)
€7m
ZLI (27)
€7m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
Pardubice's squad is €78m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€14m vs €92m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (14)
€43m
SP (10)
€27m
SL (10)
€17m
PLZ (8)
€15m
SO (10)
€7m
BO (10)
€5m
FJ (10)
€4m
HK (8)
€4m
PAR (9)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
TEP (10)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ZLI (8)
€2m
SLO (7)
€2m
B1 (6)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Pardubice's attack is €39m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€4m vs €43m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (8)
€35m
SP (10)
€27m
PLZ (8)
€22m
SO (9)
€10m
BO (9)
€7m
PAR (8)
€4m
FJ (6)
€4m
SL (7)
€4m
MB (9)
€4m
HK (6)
€3m
SLO (9)
€3m
B1 (7)
€2m
ZLI (6)
€2m
TEP (8)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Pardubice's midfield is €23m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€4m vs €27m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SP (20)
€61m
SP (11)
€22m
PLZ (12)
€20m
SO (13)
€12m
BO (12)
€7m
HK (13)
€7m
FJ (12)
€6m
PAR (12)
€5m
SL (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
SLO (13)
€4m
B1 (11)
€3m
TEP (10)
€3m
MB (10)
€3m
ZLI (13)
€2m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Pardubice's defence is €16m less valuable than Sparta Praha's (€5m vs €22m).
Czech-Republic: Czech Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: Czech Liga stats & trends →
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Slavia Praha
Plzen
Bohemians 1905
Slovácko
Sigma Olomouc
Hradec Králové
Slovan Liberec
Baník Ostrava
Teplice
FK Jablonec
Mlada Boleslav
Zlin
České Budějovice
Zbrojovka Brno
Vyškov
Příbram