This opponent (Alessandria) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Alessandria
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.33
0.88
1.00
0.93
1.71
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
1.42
0.88
1.12
0.25
2.00
vs Similar (18)
1.06
1.28
0.88
0.88
1.20
1.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Parma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.3%
@ 1.94+4.6%
Under 2.5
46.7%
@ 1.84-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.2%
No
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-0
10.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
Parma goals ↓
Alessandria goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
4.5%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
1
10%
12%
4.9%
1.5%
0.3%
2
11%
9.9%
4.6%
1.4%
0.3%
3
6.7%
6.2%
2.9%
0.9%
0.2%
4
3.2%
2.9%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Parma goals (down), columns = Alessandria goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lecce
1.87
Cremonese
1.82
Pisa
1.76
Monza
1.76
Brescia
1.74
Ascoli
1.71
Benevento
1.66
Frosinone
1.53
Perugia
1.53
Ternana
1.42
Cittadella
1.37
Parma
1.29
Reggina
1.26
Como
1.24
Spal
1.11
Cosenza
0.92
Alessandria
0.89
Vicenza Virtus
0.89
Crotone
0.68
Pordenone
0.47
Parma is 0.39 points better than Alessandria in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 0.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.63
Monza
1.58
Lecce
1.55
Frosinone
1.53
Ternana
1.53
Cremonese
1.50
Brescia
1.45
Ascoli
1.37
Como
1.29
Pisa
1.26
Parma
1.26
Spal
1.21
Crotone
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Cittadella
1.00
Vicenza Virtus
1.00
Alessandria
0.97
Cosenza
0.95
Reggina
0.82
Pordenone
0.76
Parma is 0.29 goals better than Alessandria in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lecce
0.82
Perugia
0.84
Pisa
0.92
Brescia
0.92
Cittadella
0.95
Monza
1.00
Cremonese
1.03
Benevento
1.03
Ascoli
1.11
Parma
1.13
Frosinone
1.18
Reggina
1.29
Spal
1.42
Como
1.42
Alessandria
1.55
Cosenza
1.55
Vicenza Virtus
1.55
Ternana
1.61
Crotone
1.61
Pordenone
1.87
Parma is 0.42 goals better than Alessandria in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.55).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Parma
For 6.2 · Against 4.9 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 3.3 · Total 6.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.1 · Against 17.3 · Total 32.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
A
Alessandria
For 5.2 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 3.3 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 17.9 · Total 31.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Parma
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.5
9.6
5.3
5.8
4.9
29.3
29.4
29.3
vs Stronger (6)
8.5
7.5
10.5
4.3
4.5
4.0
27.2
26.5
28.5
vs Similar (17)
10.1
9.8
10.3
4.9
6.0
4.0
29.2
28.1
30.1
vs Weaker (27)
10.4
11.9
8.9
5.8
6.0
5.6
29.9
31.0
28.9
% over line
56%
64%
48%
76%
84%
68%
92%
92%
92%
% under line
44%
36%
52%
24%
16%
32%
8%
8%
8%
This opponent (Alessandria) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Alessandria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (36)
10.5
12.0
8.9
5.4
5.1
5.8
32.4
31.9
32.9
vs Stronger (15)
9.7
11.6
7.6
5.5
5.2
5.7
33.7
35.0
32.3
vs Similar (21)
11.0
12.3
9.8
5.4
4.9
5.8
31.5
29.5
33.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
72%
44%
83%
83%
83%
97%
94%
100%
% under line
42%
28%
56%
17%
17%
17%
3%
6%
0%
This opponent (Parma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.5
Pisa
11.0
Benevento
10.6
Alessandria
10.5
Como
10.4
Frosinone
10.4
Crotone
10.3
Spal
10.3
Vicenza Virtus
10.2
Reggina
10.2
Monza
10.2
Ternana
10.1
Parma
10.0
Ascoli
10.0
Pordenone
9.7
Cittadella
9.6
Cremonese
9.6
Perugia
9.5
Lecce
9.4
Cosenza
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.4
Perugia
5.9
Pordenone
5.8
Frosinone
5.8
Pisa
5.7
Ascoli
5.7
Reggina
5.7
Vicenza Virtus
5.5
Alessandria
5.4
Como
5.4
Cremonese
5.3
Parma
5.3
Lecce
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Spal
5.1
Monza
5.1
Crotone
5.0
Ternana
4.8
Brescia
4.6
Benevento
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
34.0
Cittadella
34.0
Pisa
33.2
Perugia
33.2
Alessandria
32.4
Pordenone
32.1
Ascoli
31.9
Monza
31.4
Frosinone
31.3
Spal
31.2
Vicenza Virtus
30.1
Lecce
30.0
Como
29.9
Cremonese
29.7
Parma
29.3
Ternana
29.3
Benevento
28.7
Crotone
28.5
Cosenza
27.4
Brescia
26.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.9%
Under 9.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
84.4%
Under 3.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
97.0%
Under 21.5
3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Parma
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.47
0.67
0.40
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.22
0.56
0.25
0.00
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
0.71
0.43
0.82
0.55
0.60
0.30
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Alessandria) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Alessandria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.38
0.62
0.64
0.64
vs Stronger (12)
0.17
0.67
0.25
0.62
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.61
0.50
0.62
0.90
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Parma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Parma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alessandria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alessandria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alessandria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Parma
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.67
0.60
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.56
0.89
0.75
1.00
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (21)
0.62
0.52
0.64
0.45
0.60
0.60
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Alessandria) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Alessandria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.70
0.50
0.38
0.29
1.07
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.75
0.62
0.50
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (18)
0.33
0.67
0.38
0.25
0.30
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Parma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Parma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alessandria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alessandria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alessandria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 4.5 cards
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Parma · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
S. Lontani33%
Adrián Bernabé0%
Enrico Delprato0%
E. Valeri0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
E. Touré0%
M. Keita0%
C. Ordoñez0%
M. Troilo0%
S. Britschgi0%
Abdou-Salam Konate0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enrico Delprato33%
M. Troilo33%
Abdou-Salam Konate33%
Adrián Bernabé0%
E. Valeri0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
E. Touré0%
M. Keita0%
C. Ordoñez0%
S. Lontani0%
S. Britschgi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
E. Touré25%
Adrián Bernabé0%
Enrico Delprato0%
E. Valeri0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
M. Keita0%
C. Ordoñez0%
M. Troilo0%
S. Lontani0%
S. Britschgi0%
Abdou-Salam Konate0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Lontani33%
Adrián Bernabé0%
Enrico Delprato0%
E. Valeri0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
E. Touré0%
M. Keita0%
C. Ordoñez0%
M. Troilo0%
S. Britschgi0%
Abdou-Salam Konate0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Parma
Lecce
Cremonese
Monza
Pisa
Brescia
Ascoli
Benevento
Frosinone
Perugia
Ternana
Cittadella
Reggina
Como
Spal
Cosenza
Vicenza Virtus