This opponent (Como) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Como
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.23
1.12
0.94
1.29
1.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.67
1.33
1.50
0.50
2.00
3.00
vs Weaker (27)
1.15
1.22
1.07
1.00
1.23
1.46
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Parma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.8%
Under 1.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.0%
@ 1.89-3.9%
Under 2.5
54.0%
@ 1.88+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.6%
Under 3.5
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.9%
No
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
10.0%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.0%
Parma goals ↓
Como goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
7.8%
5.0%
1.9%
0.5%
1
10%
14%
7.1%
2.6%
0.7%
2
7.9%
8.8%
4.9%
1.8%
0.5%
3
3.7%
4.1%
2.3%
0.9%
0.2%
4
1.3%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Parma goals (down), columns = Como goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lecce
1.87
Cremonese
1.82
Pisa
1.76
Monza
1.76
Brescia
1.74
Ascoli
1.71
Benevento
1.66
Frosinone
1.53
Perugia
1.53
Ternana
1.42
Cittadella
1.37
Parma
1.29
Reggina
1.26
Como
1.24
Spal
1.11
Cosenza
0.92
Alessandria
0.89
Vicenza Virtus
0.89
Crotone
0.68
Pordenone
0.47
Parma is 0.05 points better than Como in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.63
Monza
1.58
Lecce
1.55
Frosinone
1.53
Ternana
1.53
Cremonese
1.50
Brescia
1.45
Ascoli
1.37
Como
1.29
Pisa
1.26
Parma
1.26
Spal
1.21
Crotone
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Cittadella
1.00
Vicenza Virtus
1.00
Alessandria
0.97
Cosenza
0.95
Reggina
0.82
Pordenone
0.76
Parma is 0.03 goals worse than Como in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lecce
0.82
Perugia
0.84
Pisa
0.92
Brescia
0.92
Cittadella
0.95
Monza
1.00
Cremonese
1.03
Benevento
1.03
Ascoli
1.11
Parma
1.13
Frosinone
1.18
Reggina
1.29
Spal
1.42
Como
1.42
Alessandria
1.55
Cosenza
1.55
Vicenza Virtus
1.55
Ternana
1.61
Crotone
1.61
Pordenone
1.87
Parma is 0.29 goals better than Como in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.42).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Parma
For 6.7 · Against 5.2 · Total 11.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.9 · Against 17.3 · Total 33.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Como
For 2.7 · Against 8.2 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 17.6 · Total 29.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Parma
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.3
9.4
5.4
5.8
5.0
29.6
29.4
29.8
vs Stronger (6)
8.5
7.5
10.5
4.3
4.5
4.0
27.2
26.5
28.5
vs Similar (20)
9.8
9.6
10.1
5.2
6.2
4.5
29.7
28.3
30.8
vs Weaker (24)
10.2
11.8
8.5
5.8
6.0
5.6
30.1
31.2
29.0
% over line
52%
60%
44%
74%
80%
68%
92%
92%
92%
% under line
48%
40%
56%
26%
20%
32%
8%
8%
8%
This opponent (Como) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Como
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.6
10.6
3.4
3.2
3.6
30.0
31.1
28.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
12.7
13.5
11.0
4.8
3.3
9.0
30.3
30.5
30.0
vs Weaker (46)
10.3
10.1
10.5
3.3
3.2
3.4
30.0
31.2
28.8
% over line
69%
69%
69%
56%
58%
54%
94%
94%
94%
% under line
31%
31%
31%
44%
42%
46%
6%
6%
6%
This opponent (Parma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.5
Pisa
10.8
Benevento
10.8
Alessandria
10.6
Crotone
10.6
Como
10.6
Reggina
10.5
Monza
10.3
Frosinone
10.3
Spal
10.1
Vicenza Virtus
10.1
Ascoli
10.0
Ternana
9.9
Cittadella
9.9
Parma
9.8
Pordenone
9.8
Cremonese
9.7
Perugia
9.4
Lecce
9.4
Cosenza
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.3
Perugia
5.9
Ascoli
5.8
Frosinone
5.8
Pordenone
5.8
Pisa
5.7
Reggina
5.6
Vicenza Virtus
5.5
Parma
5.4
Como
5.3
Alessandria
5.3
Cosenza
5.3
Cremonese
5.3
Monza
5.2
Lecce
5.2
Spal
5.2
Crotone
4.9
Ternana
4.9
Benevento
4.7
Brescia
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
34.0
Cittadella
33.7
Perugia
33.4
Pisa
33.1
Pordenone
32.6
Alessandria
32.5
Monza
32.1
Frosinone
31.7
Ascoli
31.6
Spal
31.5
Vicenza Virtus
30.8
Como
30.0
Ternana
29.8
Cremonese
29.7
Parma
29.6
Lecce
29.3
Benevento
29.0
Crotone
28.8
Cosenza
27.4
Brescia
26.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
62.5%
Under 9.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
84.5%
Under 3.5
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.2%
Under 21.5
4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Parma
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.60
0.53
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.10
0.80
0.00
0.60
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
0.85
0.30
0.90
0.50
0.80
0.10
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Como) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Como
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.62
0.50
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (27)
0.63
0.67
0.71
0.57
0.54
0.77
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Parma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Parma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Como over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Como over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Como over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Parma
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.60
0.40
0.67
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.40
0.50
0.40
0.20
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (20)
0.75
0.65
0.70
0.50
0.80
0.80
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Como) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Como
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.50
0.44
0.79
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.67
0.67
1.50
0.50
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (27)
0.52
0.56
0.36
0.43
0.69
0.69
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Parma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Parma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Como over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Como over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Como over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Parma · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
S. Lontani33%
Adrián Bernabé0%
Enrico Delprato0%
E. Valeri0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
E. Touré0%
M. Keita0%
C. Ordoñez0%
M. Troilo0%
S. Britschgi0%
Abdou-Salam Konate0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enrico Delprato33%
M. Troilo33%
Abdou-Salam Konate33%
Adrián Bernabé0%
E. Valeri0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
E. Touré0%
M. Keita0%
C. Ordoñez0%
S. Lontani0%
S. Britschgi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
E. Touré25%
Adrián Bernabé0%
Enrico Delprato0%
E. Valeri0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
M. Keita0%
C. Ordoñez0%
M. Troilo0%
S. Lontani0%
S. Britschgi0%
Abdou-Salam Konate0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Lontani33%
Adrián Bernabé0%
Enrico Delprato0%
E. Valeri0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
E. Touré0%
M. Keita0%
C. Ordoñez0%
M. Troilo0%
S. Britschgi0%
Abdou-Salam Konate0%
Como · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anastasios Douvikas32%
Nico Paz30%
Martin Baturina24%
Lucas Da Cunha17%
Jayden Addai12%
Marc-Oliver Kempf11%
Assane Diao10%
Alberto Moreno9%
Jesús Rodriguez8%
Máximo Perrone7%
Stefan Posch7%
Mërgim Vojvoda6%
Maxence Caqueret6%
Jacobo Ramón5%
Sergi Roberto4%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn4%
Álvaro Morata3%
Diego Carlos3%
Álex Valle3%
Jean Butez0%
Ivan Smolčić0%
Edoardo Goldaniga0%
Ignace Van der Brempt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jacobo Ramón32%
Diego Carlos29%
Ivan Smolčić25%
Jayden Addai25%
Máximo Perrone22%
Sergi Roberto21%
Alberto Moreno17%
Nico Paz15%
Álvaro Morata13%
Ignace Van der Brempt13%
Assane Diao10%
Álex Valle10%
Lucas Da Cunha10%
Maxence Caqueret8%
Jesús Rodriguez8%
Marc-Oliver Kempf8%
Jean Butez7%
Stefan Posch7%
Mërgim Vojvoda6%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn4%
Martin Baturina3%
Anastasios Douvikas0%
Edoardo Goldaniga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jesús Rodriguez25%
Maxence Caqueret19%
Nico Paz15%
Álex Valle13%
Martin Baturina12%
Lucas Da Cunha10%
Ignace Van der Brempt9%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn8%
Máximo Perrone7%
Mërgim Vojvoda6%
Assane Diao5%
Anastasios Douvikas5%
Alberto Moreno4%
Álvaro Morata3%
Diego Carlos3%
Ivan Smolčić3%
Marc-Oliver Kempf3%
Jean Butez2%
Sergi Roberto0%
Stefan Posch0%
Edoardo Goldaniga0%
Jayden Addai0%
Jacobo Ramón0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nico Paz45%
Anastasios Douvikas16%
Assane Diao10%
Jesús Rodriguez8%
Jacobo Ramón8%
Stefan Posch7%
Jayden Addai6%
Sergi Roberto4%
Álvaro Morata3%
Mërgim Vojvoda3%
Martin Baturina3%
Marc-Oliver Kempf3%
Alberto Moreno0%
Maxence Caqueret0%
Jean Butez0%
Ivan Smolčić0%
Diego Carlos0%
Edoardo Goldaniga0%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn0%
Ignace Van der Brempt0%
Lucas Da Cunha0%
Máximo Perrone0%
Álex Valle0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (34)
€488m
PAR (28)
€142m
FRO (33)
€84m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
MON (29)
€70m
CRE (30)
€49m
BEN (30)
€12m
VV (26)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
Parma's squad is €346m less valuable than Como's (€142m vs €488m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (13)
€261m
PAR (8)
€35m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
CRE (7)
€12m
ASC (11)
€5m
BEN (8)
€4m
VV (6)
€2m
Parma's attack is €226m less valuable than Como's (€35m vs €261m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (7)
€83m
PAR (8)
€60m
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
VV (12)
€5m
BEN (9)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
Parma's midfield is €23m less valuable than Como's (€60m vs €83m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COM (14)
€144m
PAR (12)
€46m
LEC (14)
€37m
FRO (14)
€24m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
MON (11)
€20m
BEN (13)
€5m
VV (8)
€4m
ASC (12)
€3m
Parma's defence is €97m less valuable than Como's (€46m vs €144m).
Italy: Serie B 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Lecce
Cremonese
Monza
Pisa
Brescia
Ascoli
Benevento
Frosinone
Perugia
Ternana
Cittadella
Reggina
Spal
Cosenza
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