This opponent (Crotone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Crotone
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.93
1.12
1.56
1.29
2.36
vs Stronger (17)
1.35
2.18
1.00
1.60
1.86
3.00
vs Similar (13)
1.00
1.62
1.33
1.50
0.71
1.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
3% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Parma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.9%
Under 1.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.8%
@ 2.06-8.8%
Under 2.5
63.2%
@ 1.73+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.4%
Under 3.5
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.4%
No
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.9%
1-1 ✓
13.5%
0-0
12.7%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
Parma goals ↓
Crotone goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
7.5%
3.3%
0.8%
0.2%
1
15%
13%
4.7%
1.2%
0.2%
2
11%
8.6%
3.3%
0.8%
0.2%
3
5.3%
4.0%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.9%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Parma goals (down), columns = Crotone goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lecce
1.87
Cremonese
1.82
Pisa
1.76
Monza
1.76
Brescia
1.74
Ascoli
1.71
Benevento
1.66
Frosinone
1.53
Perugia
1.53
Ternana
1.42
Cittadella
1.37
Parma
1.29
Reggina
1.26
Como
1.24
Spal
1.11
Cosenza
0.92
Alessandria
0.89
Vicenza Virtus
0.89
Crotone
0.68
Pordenone
0.47
Parma is 0.61 points better than Crotone in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 0.68).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benevento
1.63
Monza
1.58
Lecce
1.55
Frosinone
1.53
Ternana
1.53
Cremonese
1.50
Brescia
1.45
Ascoli
1.37
Como
1.29
Pisa
1.26
Parma
1.26
Spal
1.21
Crotone
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Cittadella
1.00
Vicenza Virtus
1.00
Alessandria
0.97
Cosenza
0.95
Reggina
0.82
Pordenone
0.76
Parma is 0.18 goals better than Crotone in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lecce
0.82
Perugia
0.84
Pisa
0.92
Brescia
0.92
Cittadella
0.95
Monza
1.00
Cremonese
1.03
Benevento
1.03
Ascoli
1.11
Parma
1.13
Frosinone
1.18
Reggina
1.29
Spal
1.42
Como
1.42
Alessandria
1.55
Cosenza
1.55
Vicenza Virtus
1.55
Ternana
1.61
Crotone
1.61
Pordenone
1.87
Parma is 0.47 goals better than Crotone in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Parma
For 4.7 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 16.0 · Total 29.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
C
Crotone
For 5.7 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.0 · Against 12.6 · Total 29.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Parma
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.8
8.8
5.0
5.2
4.8
27.5
27.0
28.0
vs Stronger (12)
10.2
9.0
11.3
3.8
4.0
3.7
23.3
23.5
23.2
vs Similar (20)
9.2
10.1
8.4
5.1
5.6
4.6
28.7
27.4
30.0
vs Weaker (18)
8.8
10.1
7.8
5.7
5.8
5.6
29.0
29.0
29.0
% over line
48%
58%
38%
68%
71%
65%
84%
83%
85%
% under line
52%
42%
62%
32%
29%
35%
16%
17%
15%
This opponent (Crotone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Crotone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
11.0
9.5
4.9
5.5
4.2
28.2
29.0
27.3
vs Stronger (36)
10.1
11.2
8.9
4.8
5.5
3.9
28.0
29.1
26.7
vs Similar (14)
10.7
10.7
10.7
5.1
5.4
4.9
28.7
28.6
28.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
62%
54%
72%
77%
67%
82%
85%
79%
% under line
42%
38%
46%
28%
23%
33%
18%
15%
21%
This opponent (Parma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.0
Benevento
10.9
Spal
10.7
Pisa
10.6
Alessandria
10.5
Reggina
10.5
Como
10.4
Frosinone
10.3
Crotone
10.3
Ternana
10.2
Ascoli
10.0
Monza
10.0
Cittadella
9.9
Lecce
9.8
Cremonese
9.6
Pordenone
9.6
Perugia
9.4
Cosenza
9.4
Vicenza Virtus
9.4
Parma
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ascoli
6.1
Pordenone
6.0
Reggina
5.8
Perugia
5.6
Cittadella
5.6
Vicenza Virtus
5.5
Pisa
5.4
Frosinone
5.4
Como
5.3
Monza
5.1
Lecce
5.0
Parma
5.0
Alessandria
4.9
Cremonese
4.9
Cosenza
4.9
Spal
4.9
Brescia
4.9
Crotone
4.9
Benevento
4.8
Ternana
4.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
33.8
Cittadella
33.0
Pordenone
32.9
Perugia
32.7
Pisa
32.5
Ascoli
32.4
Alessandria
32.2
Monza
31.8
Vicenza Virtus
31.5
Spal
31.1
Frosinone
30.7
Como
30.5
Cremonese
29.9
Ternana
29.7
Benevento
29.0
Lecce
28.4
Crotone
28.2
Brescia
27.9
Cosenza
27.7
Parma
27.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.2%
Under 9.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.3%
Under 3.5
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
94.7%
Under 21.5
5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Parma
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.43
0.79
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.91
0.33
0.67
0.60
1.20
vs Weaker (15)
0.67
0.53
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.44
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Crotone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Crotone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.77
0.56
0.62
0.64
0.93
vs Stronger (17)
0.76
0.71
0.50
0.50
1.14
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.85
0.67
0.83
0.14
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Parma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Parma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Parma
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.03
0.57
0.93
0.69
1.12
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
2.00
1.50
2.50
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (11)
0.45
1.00
0.33
0.83
0.60
1.20
vs Weaker (15)
0.73
0.80
0.50
0.50
0.89
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Crotone) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
C
Crotone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.17
0.56
0.94
0.64
1.43
vs Stronger (17)
0.59
1.47
0.50
1.10
0.71
2.00
vs Similar (13)
0.62
0.77
0.67
0.67
0.57
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Parma) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Parma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Parma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Parma · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
S. Lontani33%
Adrián Bernabé0%
Enrico Delprato0%
E. Valeri0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
E. Touré0%
M. Keita0%
C. Ordoñez0%
M. Troilo0%
S. Britschgi0%
Abdou-Salam Konate0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enrico Delprato33%
M. Troilo33%
Abdou-Salam Konate33%
Adrián Bernabé0%
E. Valeri0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
E. Touré0%
M. Keita0%
C. Ordoñez0%
S. Lontani0%
S. Britschgi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
E. Touré25%
Adrián Bernabé0%
Enrico Delprato0%
E. Valeri0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
M. Keita0%
C. Ordoñez0%
M. Troilo0%
S. Lontani0%
S. Britschgi0%
Abdou-Salam Konate0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Lontani33%
Adrián Bernabé0%
Enrico Delprato0%
E. Valeri0%
Edoardo Corvi0%
E. Touré0%
M. Keita0%
C. Ordoñez0%
M. Troilo0%
S. Britschgi0%
Abdou-Salam Konate0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Parma
Lecce
Cremonese
Monza
Pisa
Brescia
Ascoli
Benevento
Frosinone
Perugia
Ternana
Cittadella
Reggina
Como
Spal
Cosenza
Vicenza Virtus