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Partick vs Arbroath Result & Analysis

Date: 11/12/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 0-2
Partick
Partick
Vs
45%
30%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Partick win✗ Miss
44.9%
Avg Implied 43.6% · @ 2.12
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.34
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arbroath win✓ Hit
25.1%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.23
Edge
-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

PartickPartick

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-623L40W61W00D00D00D10W40W10W00DA·RAI26/09H·AYR02/10A·HAM15/10H·DUN23/10A·MOR26/10H·INV30/10A·KIL06/11A·AYR13/11H·HAM20/11A·QUE04/12
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.000.901.930.572.061.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)2.120.882.090.552.141.14
vs Weaker (5)1.401.001.330.671.501.50
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D22D12L11D10W42W11D11D10W00DH·KIL24/09A·MOR02/10A·RAI16/10H·AYR23/10A·INV26/10H·DUN30/10A·HAM06/11H·QUE13/11A·KIL20/11H·RAI04/12
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.971.560.751.431.21
vs Stronger (12)1.080.751.000.171.171.33
vs Similar (18)1.781.111.901.101.621.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.9%
Under 1.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.2%
@ 2.00-5.6%
Under 2.5
58.8%
@ 1.76+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.7%
Under 3.5
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.3%
No
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
0-2 ✓
4.5%
Partick goals ↓
Arbroath goals →
01234
011%8.1%4.5%1.4%0.3%
112%14%6.2%2.0%0.5%
29.1%8.8%4.2%1.4%0.3%
34.2%4.0%1.9%0.6%0.1%
41.4%1.4%0.7%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Partick goals (down), columns = Arbroath goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Partick is 0.36 points worse than Arbroath in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.81).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Partick is 0.22 goals worse than Arbroath in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.50).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Partick is 0.33 goals worse than Arbroath in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 0.78).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

PartickPartick

For 5.9 · Against 5.1 · Total 11.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

150736644675346105181046510128138101591411A·QUEH·HAMA·AYRA·KILH·INVA·MORH·DUNA·HAMH·AYRA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

5021322322133222323525330545A·QUEH·HAMA·AYRA·KILH·INVA·MORH·DUNA·HAMH·AYRA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 10.7 · Total 22.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

2901211191011121011141513512613941281623292321291818221624A·QUEH·HAMA·AYRA·KILH·INVA·MORH·DUNA·HAMH·AYRA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArbroathArbroath

For 8.6 · Against 3.8 · Total 12.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

170741078414183941017776611117121511131114137H·RAIA·KILH·QUEA·HAMH·DUNA·INVH·AYRA·RAIA·MORH·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6041331313211223212225644332534H·RAIA·KILH·QUEA·HAMH·DUNA·INVH·AYRA·RAIA·MORH·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

27013141011816129119910128147118121327212421201920211925H·RAIA·KILH·QUEA·HAMH·DUNA·INVH·AYRA·RAIA·MORH·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PartickPartick

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.99.63.23.03.421.020.021.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (41)10.310.89.83.33.13.520.919.621.9
vs Weaker (9)10.111.48.53.13.03.221.421.221.8
% over line60%62%58%40%38%42%48%38%58%
% under line40%38%42%60%62%58%52%62%42%
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.710.43.33.13.523.122.523.8
vs Stronger (19)10.210.79.73.63.24.023.822.325.1
vs Similar (31)9.99.110.93.13.03.222.722.622.9
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line58%54%62%48%38%58%54%54%54%
% under line42%46%38%52%62%42%46%46%46%
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dunfermline
11.4
Raith Rvs
11.2
Queen of Sth
10.5
Morton
10.4
Kilmarnock
10.3
Partick
10.2
Ayr
10.2
Hamilton
10.2
Arbroath
10.0
Inverness CT
9.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.2
Inverness CT
3.5
Hamilton
3.4
Kilmarnock
3.4
Arbroath
3.3
Partick
3.2
Ayr
3.2
Queen of Sth
3.1
Dunfermline
3.1
Morton
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kilmarnock
25.0
Hamilton
24.9
Arbroath
23.1
Inverness CT
22.8
Raith Rvs
22.4
Ayr
21.0
Partick
21.0
Queen of Sth
20.9
Morton
20.5
Dunfermline
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
67.8%
Under 9.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.6%
Under 3.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
46.6%
Under 21.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PartickPartick

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W10W00D00D00D10W20W00D00DA·RAI26/09H·AYR02/10A·HAM15/10H·DUN23/10A·MOR26/10H·INV30/10A·KIL06/11A·AYR13/11H·HAM20/11A·QUE04/12
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.400.860.290.750.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.880.401.000.180.790.57
vs Weaker (5)0.400.400.330.670.500.00
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W02L00D00D22D01L00D00D00DH·KIL24/09A·MOR02/10A·RAI16/10H·AYR23/10A·INV26/10H·DUN30/10A·HAM06/11H·QUE13/11A·KIL20/11H·RAI04/12
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.400.750.380.640.43
vs Stronger (12)0.420.250.500.000.330.50
vs Similar (18)0.890.500.900.600.880.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Partick over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PartickPartick

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D20W51W00D00D00D00D20W10W00DA·RAI26/09H·AYR02/10A·HAM15/10H·DUN23/10A·MOR26/10H·INV30/10A·KIL06/11A·AYR13/11H·HAM20/11A·QUE04/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.501.070.291.310.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.240.481.090.361.360.57
vs Weaker (5)1.000.601.000.001.001.50
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L10W11D10W20W10W11D10W00DH·KIL24/09A·MOR02/10A·RAI16/10H·AYR23/10A·INV26/10H·DUN30/10A·HAM06/11H·QUE13/11A·KIL20/11H·RAI04/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.570.810.380.790.79
vs Stronger (12)0.670.500.500.170.830.83
vs Similar (18)0.890.611.000.500.750.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Partick over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards86.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls82.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.579.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners78.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards74.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
Partick's squad is €2m more valuable than Arbroath's (€3m vs €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
Partick and Arbroath have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
Partick and Arbroath have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Partick and Arbroath have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
PAR wins
1
Draws
3
ARB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Partick vs Arbroath · H/A from PAR
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/21AArbroath Vs PAR3-1
25/01/20AArbroath Vs PAR2-1
26/10/19HPAR Vs Arbroath1-3
13/09/19AArbroath Vs PAR1-1

PartickPartick

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/12/21AQueen of Sth Vs PAR0-0
20/11/21HPAR Vs Hamilton1-0
13/11/21AAyr Vs PAR0-4
06/11/21AKilmarnock Vs PAR0-1
30/10/21HPAR Vs Inverness CT0-0
26/10/21AMorton Vs PAR0-0
23/10/21HPAR Vs Dunfermline0-0
15/10/21AHamilton Vs PAR1-6
02/10/21HPAR Vs Ayr4-0
26/09/21ARaith Rvs Vs PAR3-2

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/12/21HARB Vs Raith Rvs0-0
20/11/21AKilmarnock Vs ARB0-1
13/11/21HARB Vs Queen of Sth1-1
06/11/21AHamilton Vs ARB1-1
30/10/21HARB Vs Dunfermline4-2
26/10/21AInverness CT Vs ARB0-1
23/10/21HARB Vs Ayr1-1
16/10/21ARaith Rvs Vs ARB2-1
02/10/21AMorton Vs ARB2-2
24/09/21HARB Vs Kilmarnock0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWD1.64
HomeLWDDW1.75
AwayWDWWD1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%46%42%
AVG goals2.602.422.77
Over 1.5 %70%67%73%
Over 2.5 %48%42%54%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.641.621.65
Conceded0.960.791.12
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet44%50%38%
Corners10.2410.929.62
Cards3.243.043.42
Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 6 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWD1.38
HomeDDWDD1.58
AwayDLWDW1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%38%29%
AVG goals2.282.082.50
Over 1.5 %64%62%67%
Over 2.5 %38%35%42%
Over 3.5 %24%19%29%
Scored1.221.311.12
Conceded1.060.771.38
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet36%42%29%
Corners10.009.6510.38
Cards3.303.083.54

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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