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Partick vs Ayr Utd Result & Analysis

Date: 06/05/2025
Time: 18:45
Final 0-1
Partick
Partick
vs
Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Partick win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PartickPartick

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D10W12L12L12L00D21W10WH·AYR15/03H·RAI21/03H·RAI21/03A·MOR29/03A·AIR05/04H·HAM12/04H·HAM12/04A·DUN19/04H·FAL25/04A·LIV02/05← ChampionshipPremiership →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.271.291.071.121.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.201.271.291.071.121.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W12L02L11D30W01L11D05L22D10WA·QUE04/03A·MOR08/03A·PAR15/03H·HAM22/03H·DUN29/03A·RAI05/04H·FAL11/04A·LIV18/04H·QUE26/04A·AIR02/05← ChampionshipPremiership →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.101.931.001.471.20
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (29)1.761.102.071.001.471.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Livingston
2.50
Celtic
2.42
Rangers
1.97
Hibernian
1.53
Ayr Utd
1.50
Aberdeen
1.39
Dundee Utd
1.39
Heart Of Midlothian
1.37
ST Mirren
1.32
Motherwell
1.29
Kilmarnock
1.16
Dundee
1.08
Ross County
0.95
ST Johnstone
0.84
Partick
0.75
Partick is 0.75 points worse than Ayr Utd in terms of average points per game (0.75 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.95
Livingston
2.25
Rangers
2.11
Hibernian
1.63
Dundee
1.50
ST Mirren
1.39
Heart Of Midlothian
1.37
Aberdeen
1.26
Motherwell
1.21
Kilmarnock
1.18
Dundee Utd
1.18
Ross County
1.00
ST Johnstone
1.00
Partick
0.50
Ayr Utd
0.50
Partick and Ayr Utd are level in goals scored per game (both 0.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.68
Livingston
0.75
Ayr Utd
1.00
Rangers
1.08
Heart Of Midlothian
1.24
Partick
1.25
Hibernian
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.42
ST Mirren
1.55
Aberdeen
1.61
Motherwell
1.66
Kilmarnock
1.68
Ross County
1.75
ST Johnstone
1.79
Dundee
2.03
Partick is 0.25 goals worse than Ayr Utd in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
74%
Rangers
63%
Heart Of Midlothian
54%
Aberdeen
53%
ST Johnstone
53%
Hibernian
45%
Dundee
44%
Dundee Utd
44%
Kilmarnock
44%
ST Mirren
42%
Motherwell
42%
Ross County
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

PartickPartick

For 4.9 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

170429235622652456116118887917H·HAMH·RAIH·AYRA·QUEA·RAIA·AYRA·HAMH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

805332514422223385646426H·HAMH·RAIH·AYRA·QUEA·RAIA·AYRA·HAMH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 10.5 · Total 20.6

⚠️ Fouls

2501213121014101211101179712782522242321161915H·HAMH·RAIH·AYRA·QUEA·RAIA·AYRA·HAMH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

PartickPartick

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.69.61.31.51.220.520.920.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (50)9.69.69.61.31.51.220.520.920.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line40%50%29%20%20%20%40%50%29%
% under line60%50%71%80%80%80%60%50%71%
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (1)---0.00.0----
vs Similar (48)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
12.1
Ross County
11.7
Motherwell
11.4
Aberdeen
11.2
Hibernian
11.1
Kilmarnock
10.7
Dundee Utd
10.7
Heart Of Midlothian
10.6
Dundee
10.6
ST Johnstone
10.6
Rangers
10.5
ST Mirren
10.1
Partick
10.0
Livingston
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
4.6
Dundee Utd
4.4
ST Mirren
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Kilmarnock
4.2
Motherwell
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.1
Hibernian
4.0
Livingston
3.9
Heart Of Midlothian
3.9
Partick
3.9
Dundee
3.8
Celtic
3.4
Ross County
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aberdeen
23.8
Livingston
23.6
ST Johnstone
22.2
Motherwell
22.1
ST Mirren
21.8
Kilmarnock
21.7
Rangers
21.4
Heart Of Midlothian
21.2
Dundee Utd
21.1
Ross County
20.7
Hibernian
20.4
Partick
20.0
Dundee
19.8
Celtic
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
61.4%
Under 9.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.8%
Under 3.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
46.7%
Under 21.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PartickPartick

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D00D00D02L02L00D11D10WH·AYR15/03H·RAI21/03H·RAI21/03A·MOR29/03A·AIR05/04H·HAM12/04H·HAM12/04A·DUN19/04H·FAL25/04A·LIV02/05← ChampionshipPremiership →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.710.790.440.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.570.770.710.790.440.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W02L00D10W00D01L03L12L10WA·QUE04/03A·MOR08/03A·PAR15/03H·HAM22/03H·DUN29/03A·RAI05/04H·FAL11/04A·LIV18/04H·QUE26/04A·AIR02/05← ChampionshipPremiership →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.571.070.530.470.60
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (29)0.790.591.140.570.470.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Partick over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PartickPartick

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D10W12L10W10W00D10W00DH·AYR15/03H·RAI21/03H·RAI21/03A·MOR29/03A·AIR05/04H·HAM12/04H·HAM12/04A·DUN19/04H·FAL25/04A·LIV02/05← ChampionshipPremiership →
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.500.570.290.690.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.630.500.570.290.690.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W02L00D11D20W01L10W02L10W00DA·QUE04/03A·MOR08/03A·PAR15/03H·HAM22/03H·DUN29/03A·RAI05/04H·FAL11/04A·LIV18/04H·QUE26/04A·AIR02/05← ChampionshipPremiership →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.530.870.471.000.60
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (29)0.970.520.930.431.000.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Partick over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls82.1%--------
Over 2.5 cards79.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards75.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners73.0%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Partick and Ayr Utd have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Partick and Ayr Utd have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
Partick and Ayr Utd have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
Partick and Ayr Utd have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
PAR wins
3
Draws
2
AU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Partick vs Ayr Utd · H/A from PAR
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/25HPAR Vs Ayr Utd2-0
25/01/25AAyr Utd Vs PAR2-1
07/12/24HPAR Vs Ayr Utd1-0
14/09/24AAyr Utd Vs PAR1-1
27/04/24HPAR Vs Ayr Utd0-0
27/02/24AAyr Utd Vs PAR4-3
31/10/23HPAR Vs Ayr Utd2-2
15/09/23AAyr Utd Vs PAR0-4

PartickPartick

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/25ALivingston Vs PAR0-1
25/04/25HPAR Vs Falkirk2-1
19/04/25ADunfermline Vs PAR0-0
12/04/25HPAR Vs Hamilton Academical1-2
12/04/25HPAR Vs Hamilton1-2
05/04/25AAirdrie United Vs PAR2-1
29/03/25AMorton Vs PAR0-1
21/03/25HPAR Vs Raith Rovers0-0
21/03/25HPAR Vs Raith Rvs0-0
15/03/25HPAR Vs Ayr2-0

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/25AAirdrie United Vs AU0-1
26/04/25HAU Vs Queen's Park2-2
18/04/25ALivingston Vs AU5-0
11/04/25HAU Vs Falkirk1-1
05/04/25ARaith Rovers Vs AU1-0
29/03/25HAU Vs Dunfermline3-0
22/03/25HAU Vs Hamilton Academical1-1
15/03/25APartick Vs AU2-0
08/03/25AMorton Vs AU2-1
04/03/25AQueen's Park Vs AU2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Partick
Partick
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWW1.64
HomeDDLLW1.92
AwayWWLDW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%52%40%
AVG goals2.382.482.28
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %12%16%8%
Scored1.341.641.04
Conceded1.040.841.24
BTTS52%60%44%
Clean Sheet38%40%36%
Corners9.609.629.57
Cards4.474.754.14
Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDW1.74
HomeWDWDD2.12
AwayLLLLW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%62%38%
AVG goals2.823.122.50
Over 1.5 %76%81%71%
Over 2.5 %46%58%33%
Over 3.5 %28%35%21%
Scored1.762.151.33
Conceded1.060.961.17
BTTS48%58%38%
Clean Sheet36%38%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3892
76%
2.4
11226+86
3.6
92%
74%
47%
11.8
71%
3.5
41%
18.7
29%
116
5620412.90.7
74%
2RangersRangers3875
58%
2.0
8041+39
3.2
82%
66%
42%
11.1
71%
4.0
65%
20.9
53%
136
3844542.11.1
63%
3HibernianHibernian3858
39%
1.5
6250+12
2.9
87%
61%
37%
11.5
71%
4.4
70%
20.6
45%
20
7851.61.3
45%
4Dundee UtdDundee Utd3853
39%
1.4
4554-9
2.6
66%
45%
29%
10.9
71%
4.2
50%
20.9
39%
11
4341.21.4
44%
5AberdeenAberdeen3853
39%
1.4
4861-13
2.9
74%
61%
34%
11.9
74%
4.9
78%
22.8
61%
15
4471.31.6
53%
6Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3852
39%
1.4
5247+5
2.6
71%
55%
29%
10.8
58%
4.2
59%
21.2
50%
22
12461.41.2
54%
7ST MirrenST Mirren3850
37%
1.3
5359-6
2.9
82%
66%
34%
10.1
61%
4.6
61%
21.7
55%
8
1331.41.6
42%
8MotherwellMotherwell3849
37%
1.3
4663-17
2.9
82%
71%
26%
11.2
61%
4.5
65%
23.4
66%
16
10151.21.7
42%
9KilmarnockKilmarnock3844
32%
1.2
4564-19
2.9
74%
45%
34%
10.4
63%
4.0
54%
22.2
53%
7
3231.21.7
44%
10DundeeDundee3841
29%
1.1
5777-20
3.5
92%
68%
47%
10.4
63%
3.7
50%
20.3
34%
5
1221.52.0
44%
11Ross CountyRoss County4038
22%
0.9
4070-30
2.8
78%
55%
28%
11.8
74%
3.2
41%
20.9
50%
1
0011.01.8
40%
12ST JohnstoneST Johnstone3832
24%
0.8
3868-30
2.8
82%
61%
24%
10.6
53%
4.2
58%
22.8
61%
5
2121.01.8
53%
13LivingstonLivingston410
75%
2.5
93+6
3.0
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
0.0
0%
-
0%
4
1112.20.8
-
14Ayr UtdAyr Utd23
50%
1.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
9.0
100%
-
0%
2
1010.51.0
-
15PartickPartick43
25%
0.8
25-3
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
4.5
50%
-
0%
3
1110.51.2
-
Scotland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

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